
College basketball tournaments continue today and you have your mix of Power 5 teams playing along with some mid-majors.
What is the best strategy this late in the season? Some people will say bet on the teams that have double-byes, because they are playing teams that have played two or three straight games in three nights. That’s not a bad idea, but it doesn’t always work if teams have good depth or they’re relying on motivation.
You also have great teams like Duke, who are dealing with major injuries and don’t have a lot of motivation to advance. What really matters at this stage is defense and rebounding. Teams that are tired will struggle to shoot the ball, but if they can rebound and defend, that can keep them in these games as a dog. Team Rankings is a good site to find out about metrics for both stats. KenPom is another site that focuses on Adjusted Defensive Efficiency.
There are some teams that are still on the bubble in these bigger conferences and they desperately need wins, so they are treating these games as elimination games. Nobody wants to play in the NIT.
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Daily Program Plays
First Game
*Our opponent is playing its worst basketball of the season
*Our side still has a shot at the NCAA Tournament, even if it’s a long shot.
*Our side has one of the top scorers in the conference.
*Our opponent has little to play for in terms of the NCAA’s, where they are locked in.
Second Game
*Our opponent has a key player out with an injury.
*Our side has revenge on their minds.
*Our side is a very good three-point shooting team.
*Our opponent is already in the NCAA Tournament so the motivation is just winning the whole thing.

