Does pace of play impact totals in the NBA Playoffs?

Pace of play stats for NBA Playoffs

As the NBA playoffs start on April 18 and the play-in tournament tips off on Tuesday, April 14, how is important is tempo when it comes to totals?

In the NBA playoffs, the pace is normally slower than normal because teams are forced to play defense, and in a long series, it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to push the ball at a very high tempo.

For example, the pace of play doesn’t always lead to a great offense. Case in point is Miami, which ranks 1st in pace of play, but 13th in offensive rating (according to DunksandThrees). Sometimes, the slower team runs the best offense. If you look at Boston, they are 30th in pace of play and second in offensive rating. The Celtics are also 4th in defensive rating, which might explain why they are 30-52-1 Under this season.

Last season, Boston was 5-5-1 O/U in the playoffs after finishing 29th in pace of play. But their defense was slightly worse than this season (6th in defensive rating). The bigger question is whether a slower pace in the regular season correlates to more unders in the playoffs?

That can be a tricky question, but it wouldn’t make a lot of sense to go over with slower-paced teams, especially when the tempo is even slower in the postseason.

This season, Miami (1st), Atlanta (4th), and Minnesota (10th) are in the playoffs as fast-paced teams, but the other seven are out of the playoffs (Utah, Chicago, Wash, Dallas, Memphis, Portland, Indiana). The Heat are barely in the play-in tournament, so playing at a faster pace didn’t help eight of the top 10 teams make the playoffs.

Last season, OKC was the fifth-fastest team, and Indiana was the sixth-fastest, and both met up in the NBA Finals with the Thunder winning. In the Finals, the total finished at 5-2 Under.

Research is important in any handicapping endeavor so check out DunksandThrees.com or TeamRankings.com for possessions per game (similar to pace) and you can find the pace of play stats. Also, check out offensive and defensive efficiency numbers. Regular season numbers don’t automatically mean that high-paced teams will play fast; however, knowing that most of the playoff teams are out of the top 10.

A slow pace doesn’t always indicate an under if their offense is elite. The under makes sense in situations where the pace of play might be slower and the fact that defenses are better. For example, when looking at the top defenses in terms of adjusted rating, OKC (1st), Detroit (2nd), Spurs (3rd), Boston (4th), Toronto (5th), Houston (6th), New York (7th), Minnesota (8th), Atlanta (9th) and Phoenix (10th) are all playoff or play-in teams.) are all playoff teams (from 1-9 in defense). When it comes to pace, there is only one team in the top 5 (Atlanta) and six teams are in the bottom 10.

Aside from the pace of play, check out the latest key injuries, offensive and defensive efficiency stats, logs for the last 10 games and matchups for each team this season to give you some tips when it comes to picking totals for the NBA Playoffs.

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There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of nine weeks, and $250/unit players are up nearly $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

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2026 Baseball has begun, and we won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February, including Saturday from Miami.  

  • UFC goes 4-1 from Miami; $250/unit players win nearly $4,000!

    *WON 5 units Cub Swanson -112 vs Nate Landwehr*WON 5 units Carlos Ulberg -110 vs Jiri Prochazka*WON 4 units Kevin Holland -115 vs Randy Brown -105*WON 3 units Charles Radtke -175 vs Francisco Prado*loss 3 units Esteban Ribovics +170 vs Mateusz Gamrot

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

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Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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Why is it important to bet on the niche sports?

Some bettors think we’re at a “dead period” when it comes to sports, because college basketball, the NFL, and college football are in the offseason.

 There are many other options for sharp bettors, and we call them niche sports.

There are plenty of niche sports available, but right now, with this being spring, let’s focus on golf, horse racing, UFC and UFL.

Why would you bet on sports that most people don’t watch?

These are not popular sports, and they may have less betting action. However, it also means that the odds can be more favorable for the bettor. They offer a strategic advantage because they feature less analytical saturation and lower betting volumes than mainstream sports. There are softer lines available along with value bets.

But here’s the thing: the more eyes on a market, the sharper the odds become.

Sports like MMA, which is getting more popular by the day to bet on, golf, UFL, WNBA, and horse racing are just some of the niche sports full of opportunities.  

Advantages of betting on smaller sports:

1)Less efficient odds

2)Bookmakers don’t invest as much in modeling minor sports. That leaves room for mistakes — and value.

3)Fewer public bettors = less noise

4)Odds don’t swing wildly due to hype or emotion. You can make cleaner, quieter decisions.

5)With fewer random events and less media drama, stats often reflect reality more directly.

The best option is to focus on one niche sport. Let’s say golf is your so-called niche sport. Develop as much knowledge as you can about the golfer’s records, greens in regulation, all the metrics, how the course plays, weather, etc.

Weather and track conditions are also very key in sports like horse racing, as well as jockey and trainer patterns. 

In terms of MMA/UFC, styles make fights and matchups are huge. Unlike boxing, wrestling is involved. Sometimes a wrestler can beat a striker; other times a striker matches up better against a wrestler. Cardio, durability, and fight IQ are keys to winning. There are also underdogs winning a lot, which can make this sport very profitable.

A sport like the WNBA or the UFL can be very profitable if you have the right information. In a lot of cases, the favorite is overvalued and the top teams are overinflated in terms of the odds.

But the bottom line is that if you truly understand a niche sport better than the bookmaker, you can find value.

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There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks and $250/unit players are up over $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun, and we’re up this week! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.
Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February! This Saturday’s UFC card in Miami is going to be a scorcher!

Results from Seattle on March 28*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

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The Masters Tournament has begun 

Day 1 at Augusta is in the books—and just like we expected, our positions are already looking strong.

While others are just catching up, our clients are sitting on value heading into the next rounds. And the best part? We’re not done. We’ll have 6-8 picks each week in every golf tournament with a long shot. 

Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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Live Betting in Golf

Live Betting Golf

Now that The Masters Tournament has begun (Thursday), I thought it would be the perfect time to bring up Live Betting. This is a pretty exciting way of betting as the tournament is happening. You can bet on various outcomes as players make their moves. Once a tournament begins, there’s a reset after each round, and sportsbooks will offer refreshed odds throughout the tournament. The tournament winner odds are refreshed even during play.

The key to live betting during golf tournaments is patience and strategy. Also, remember several other key components of live betting on golf.

1)Early leaders often regress.

2)The course conditions can change dramatically due to the weather.

3)Look to bet strong players who start slow (good prices)

Types of Live Bets in Golf

1) Head-to-Head. You can wager on which player outperforms the other. Check past performances and current form. Also assess how golfers perform under pressure.

2)Live Over/Under. This is about betting on certain performance metrics. For example, total strokes in a round.

3)Prop Bets: Betting on total bridies or whether a player will hit a certain score.

4)Hole-to-Hole Betting. This is about betting on a player’s performance on specific holes.

5)Outright Winner: The toughest bet is picking the player to win the tournament, but you can make the most money.

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Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks and $250/unit players are up nearly $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun, and we’re up this week! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.
Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February! This Saturday’s UFC card in Miami is going to be a scorcher!

Results from Seattle on March 28*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

____________________________________________________

The Masters Tournament starts on Thursday, and ATS has a Golf Tournament Program set to break records! We give 6-8 picks each week with one long shot. Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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Golf Betting Guide

Betting Guide for Golf

With The Masters starting on Thursday, we thought it was a great time to talk about the basics and keys to betting on golf.

Before you bet, you must know the simplest things about a golf tournament, and that is a typical PGA event starts on Thursday and finishes on Sunday. The LIV Golf League is different because it focuses on 54-hole stroke play (instead of 72) for individual and team titles. It also goes Friday-Sunday, and that’s a blog for another day (lol).

Research is also crucial to earning a profit in betting on PGA tournaments. There are many sites, including PGA.com, datagolf.com, ESPN.com and golfstats.com.

Let’s focus on the basics for betting the PGA Tour:

1)Outright Winner:

If you are picking a player, say Tiger Woods, (I know he’s out), to win The Masters Tournament, that he must finish first outright, and if it goes to a playoff, he must win it. You can pick Scottie Scheffler to win The Masters (+495 on DK), and you can make a nice scorer, even though he’s the favorite. Scheffler has played in six events in 2026 and is averaging 68.3 to rank second behind Jake Knapp. He also has one win and three top 10s.

2)Each-Way Betting:

This is where you pick a player to win and a player to finish in the top positions. You can still win partial money if your golfer places, but doesn’t win. For example, you can combine an outright winner bet with a placement bet (one that will finish in the top 5. When you make an each-way bet, your wager amount is doubled into two bets: a win bet and a place bet.

3)Head-to-Head Matchups:

This is where you bet on one golfer to perform better than the other. Since they are both not playing, let’s say Phil Mickelson vs. Tiger Woods. Whoever has the lower total score over the tournament wins. You must also distinguish between betting on a tournament or a round matchup in this type of bet.

4)Top Finish Bets

This is a very popular bet, which can include a Top 5, 10, 20, 30, or 40. This is much easier than picking the winner, but the payouts are much lower.

If you bet $500 on Mickelson to finish in the top 20 (+130) at a certain event and he finishes 12th, you would earn $650 in profit. Now, certain dead heat rules may apply at the sportsbook you are looking at that may come into play with top finish bets. If a player finishes in a tie for 20th with other players, I would make sure you choose a sportsbook that says next to the winner odds that say “including ties”. 

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks and $250/unit players are up nearly $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.
Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February! This Saturday’s UFC card in Miami is going to be a scorcher!

Results from Seattle on March 28*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

____________________________________________________

The Masters Tournament starts on Thursday, and ATS has a Golf Tournament Program set to break records! We give 6-8 picks each week with one long shot. Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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NHL Playoff Betting Outlook

If you are betting on hockey, it’s important to know which teams are playing for seedings and which ones are out of the mix. The NHL Playoffs begin on April 18, and the regular season will end on April 16.

There are 16 teams the quality for the playoffs from the 32 teams, with eight coming from both conferences.  Teams that are fighting for playoff spots have more motivation and a sense of urgency. NHL teams don’t usually believe in load management, but players can go through the motions if they have nothing to play for aside from their individual stats.

Some points to remember:

A)The top three teams in each division automatically qualify for the playoffs. In the Eastern Conference, that would be Carolina (104 points), Tampa Bay (102 points), Montreal (100 points), and Buffalo (100 points). With 4-5 games left, there is still a lot to play for.

In the West, you have Colorado (110 pts), Dallas (102) and Minnesota (100), all from the Central Division, vying for the top three, and all of them have clinched at least a top-three.

B)The top three teams in each division automatically qualify for the playoffs. In the East, the Atlantic Division has Boston (95pts), still with a long shot of getting a top-three spot, but with just four games left. Pittsburgh (96pts), Philadelphia (90pts), Ottawa (90pts), Detroit (88pts), the NY Islanders (89pts) and Washington (87pts) are fighting for playoff spots in the East and the last two wild card spots.

In the West, there is a huge divide between the top three teams and the rest. Edmonton (87pts), Anaheim (87), Vegas (86) and Utah (86) are all vying for playoff spots. Edmonton, Anaheim, and Vegas are in the Pacific Division, along with the LA Kings (83) and San Jose (81), who all have shots of finishing in the top three of the Pacific Division or wild card spots. Nashville (82pts) and Winnipeg (80pts) are fighting for the last two wild-card spots in the conference, along with Utah.

The top division winner in each conference will play the second wild card team, and the other division winner will play the first wild card team. Right now, that will be Colorado vs the LA Kings in the West and Tampa Bay vs. Boston in the East.

The second and third-place teams in each division will match up with one another in the first round. Buffalo would play Montreal in the East, while Dallas would meet Minnesota in the West.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February! This Saturday’s card in Miami is going to be a scorcher!

Results from Seattle on March 28*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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NCAA Championship Basketball Game Betting Preview

The national championship game goes at 8:50pmET from Indiana, featuring No. 1 seed Michigan vs. No. 2 seed UConn from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The game will be broadcast on TBS/tru/HBO Max.

UConn (34-5, 17-22 ATS, 18-21 O/U) vs. Michigan (36-3, 19-20 ATS, 17-22 O/U) 

Odds: (from DK). Michigan -6.5. Total: 144.5. Money line: Michigan -298; UConn +240.  

Prop Bets: Final Four Most Outstanding Player Best Bet:  Aday Mara (Michigan) +220. Longshot: Silas Demary Jr. +800

We’re finally here at the end of the college basketball season and another strong NCAA Tournament. The Final Four was not special after some great games in the Elite Eight. UConn handled Illinois by nine as a 1.5-point dog, while Michigan dominated No. 1 Arizona 91-73 as a 1.5-point underdog. UConn is going for its seventh NCAA title and third for Danny Hurley/.  Michigan is looking at its second and the first for Dusty May. The Wolverines are 1-6 in the national title games. 

UConn (9th KenPom, 27th in Adjusted Offense, 9th in Adjusted Defense, 319th in Adjusted Tempo). UConn beat No. 3 Illinois in the semifinal and dominated the game as a slight underdog. Tarris Reed Jr. dominated a big Illini frontcourt with 17 points and 11 rebounds, while Braylon Mullins, the hero in the Elite Eight, added 15 points on four 3-pointers. But it was the UConn defense that was the most impressive, holding a very good Illini offense (ranked first on KenPom) to just 34% shooting from the field and 23% from beyond the arc. They were outrebounded by nine. The Huskies arrived in Indianapolis by beating Furman by 11, UCLA by 16, No. 3 Michigan State by four, and No. 1 Duke 73-72 in one of the most incredible finishes in the history of the NCAA Tournament. Mullins nailed a 35-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to lead the Huskies to the come-from-behind win. UConn did not play well, shooting just 5 of 23 from beyond the arc (22%), and Mullins was 0-for-5 from 3-point range before he made that big shot. But Tarris Reed Jr. was phenomenal against Duke, dominating the paint with 26 points, nine rebounds, and four blocks. Alex Karaban, who went 2 for 10 against the Blue Devils, is having a great tournament, averaging 17.8 points on 39% shooting from 3-point range despite that poor shooting performance. But with the size of the Illini, they will need players like Silas Demary Jr. (39% 3pt), Karaban (38% 3pt in the regular season), and Mullins (33.7% 3pt reg season) to step up from the perimeter.

Strengths: Dan Hurley is one of the best coaches in the nation—very balanced scoring. Defense is elite, and they shoot 48.1% from the field. Reed can compete against any big man and is stronger than Mara. Just beat one very good Big 10 team. Weakness: Three-point shooting is mediocre for an elite team (35.2%, overall). Offense can be susceptible to droughts. 

Michigan (1st KenPom, 4th Adjusted Offense, 1st Adjusted Defense, 22nd in Adjusted Tempo) blew the doors off of Arizona on Saturday night. That was despite losing star Yaxel Lendeborg for most of the game due to an MCL strain. He played just 15 minutes, scoring 11 points, while 7-3 center Aday Mara led the way with 26 points and nine rebounds. Lendeborg returned after going back to the locker room multiple times, despite (reportedly) the urges of family members to sit out. The Wolverines managed to shoot 44% (12 of 27) from 3-point range and went +12 in the rebounding margin against a top-five rebounding squad. 

Michigan arrived at the Final Four after destroying No. 6 Tennessee 95-62, No. 4 Alabama (90-77), Saint Louis (75-72), and Howard (101-80). They were defeated by Purdue in the Big 10 title game 80-72 as a 4.5-point favorite.

The Wolverines have a very talented squad, led by Lendeborg, who had 27 points and seven rebounds last Sunday against Tennessee. He is one of the best all-around players in the nation, averaging 15.1 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks, while shooting 52.3% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc. Mara (12.2ppg, 2.6bpg, 6.8rpg) has plenty of perimeter help led by UNC transfer Elliott Cadeau at the point, averaging 10.3 points and 5.9 assists, while shooting 37% from three-point range.

Michigan also has several players who might be taken in the first round of the NBA, along with Mara, Lendeborg and Morez Johnson (6-9, 250), who averages 13.1 points and 7.3 rebounds, while shooting 62.1% from the field. In terms of guards. Lendeborg is expected to play on Monday

Strengths: Size. They are eighth in rebound rate.  Number one in the nation in field goal defense (38.4%). Weaknesses: Not many. Guards are good, but they don’t have an explosive scorer.  They are 288th in defensive turnover rate.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Championship game included.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success in cards since February! This Saturday’s card in Miami is going to be a scorcher!

Results from Seattle on March 28*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards April 11th/April 18If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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A Betting Guide for MMA

A Betting Guide for MMA

Some people only like to bet on team sports, but sharp bettors realize that a sport like UFC can be very profitable. Unlike boxing, UFC has a consistent schedule, where there is a card nearly every Saturday. Research is key because the better fighter doesn’t always win. They say styles make fights, and that’s important in UFC. Is he or she a wrestler or a striker? Wrestlers often control fights. The goal is not to just pick who has the best record.

  • Ground experts dominate through control and submissions.
  • Strikers dominate through damage and knockouts.
  • Complete fighters who combine both tend to reach the top in today’s UFC.
GROUND: Wrestling, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, control on the mat.
 
STRIKERS: Boxing, kickboxing, Muay Thai
 

Top Betting options:

1)Money Line

This is the most basic bet in MMA. If you lay -125 on a fighter, that means a winning bet of $125 would net $100 in addition to your initial stake. If you bet the underdog at +110, that would mean a winning bet of $100 would win $110 in addition to your initial stake. If you have a +200 odds, that means a better would have to place a $100 wager to receive a $200 profit if the wager was successful. A -200 odds means that a bettor would have to play a $100 bet to receive a $50 profit if the wager was successful.

2)Over/Under Rounds or Round Totals

The key to this bet is to wager on how long the fight will last. For example, let’s say a round total is set at 1.5 rounds. If you bet the under, then you think that the fight will end before 2:30 of the second round. If the O/U set is at 2.5, then go under if you think the fight will end in the first round. If you think it will end up longer than 2:30 into the third round, then the over is the play. It’s important to pay attention to whether the fight is scheduled for three or five rounds.

Also, make sure you know the history of both fighters and how they finish a fight, and how they have been finished. If you get a fight where two fighters who have never been stopped in their career, the value is on the over. However, if you have two big finishers, then you may consider the under.

3)Method of victory.

You can wager on the exact outcome of the fight. Whether it’s a KO, TKO, submission, or a judge’s decision. The judge’s decision is a difficult one to wager as you have to rely on all three judges’ scores to determine the winner.

4)MMA Parlay: These can be very profitable, but as with most parlays, you need to get all the outcomes selected correctly. You can choose four different fighters on a UFC card to win all their fights via a moneyline bet and parlay them. There are also SGP (Same Game Parlay) bets, which are structured around the same fight in MMA betting. Let’s say you pick Fighter A, and you want him to win by a decision, but also have the most significant strikes and most knockdowns in a fight. That would be an SGP bet and a profitable one if all legs hit.

5)Prop Bets

There are many different prop bets, including: 1)The number of significant strikes landed. 2)Number of submissions in the fight. 3)How many takedowns will be landed in the fight? 4)Whether the fight will be a unanimous decision. Not every prop will be available for every fight. Most props will be listed until a day or two prior to the event.

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Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). We’re up again this week in the Financial Program after winning six of seven weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Final Four and Championship game included.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

ATS CRUSHES AGAIN in UFC from Seattle this past Saturday, Hitting the Top 4 Fights!

*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

Huge opportunity in VEGAS this Saturday, April 4th –

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards / April 4th and April 11thIf you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Final Four Betting Preview: Michigan vs. Arizona

Final Four Betting Preview

The Final Four is headed for Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday, where we’ll have No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 2 UConn at 6:0pmET and No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 1 Michigan at 8:49pmET on TBS.

In terms of odds, Illinois is a 2.5-point favorite, and the total is 139.5. The money line is Illinois -130. Michigan is a 1.5-point favorite in the second game, and the total is 157.5. Michigan is -122 on the money line. Here is a link to the first preview of UConn/Illinois.

Michigan (35-3, 18-20 ATS, 16-22 O/U) vs. Arizona (36-2, 23-15 ATS, 19-19 O/U)

Michigan is the favorite to win the title (+170), according to DraftKings, while Arizona (+180) is the second favorite.

Michigan (1st KenPom, 5th Adjusted Offense, 1st Adjusted Defense) arrives at the Final Four after destroying No. 6 Tennessee 95-62, No. 4 Alabama (90-77), Saint Louis (75-72) and Howard (101-80). They were defeated by Purdue in the Big 10 title game 80-72 as a 4.5-point favorite.

The Wolverines have a very talented squad, led by 6-9 Yexel Lendenborg, who had 27 points and seven rebounds on Sunday against the Vols. He’s averaging 21 points per game, 7.3 rebounds, and 4.3 assists in this tournament, while shooting 59.2% from beyond the arc. Michigan might not have a superstar, but they have several players who might be taken in the first round of the NBA. One of them is 7-3 Aday Mara, who averages 11.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 2.6 blocks. Morez Johnson (6-9, 250) is another potential first-rounder who averages 13.7 points and 7.4 rebounds, while shooting 64.3% from the field. In terms of guards, Elliott Cadeau (9.9ppg, 5.5apg) runs the show, and as a junior, who also played at North Carolina, should be fine in this moment. *(Check on Cadeau’s status. Apparently, he had an allergic reaction to something he ate on Wednesday.

Strengths: Sixth in the country in field goal shooting. Size. They are eighth in rebound rate.  Number one in the nation in field goal defense (38.4%). Weaknesses: Guards are good, but they don’t have an explosive scorer like Jaden Bradley, Keaton Wagler, or Silas Demary Jr.  They are 288th in defensive turnover rate.

Arizona (2nd KenPom, 4th Adjusted Offense, 2nd Adjusted Defense) comes to the Final Four after winning 13 straight games. That includes a dominant performance over Big 10 champ Purdue (79-64), which was the second seed. They also crushed No. 4 Arkansas (109-88), beat Utah State by 12 and demolished LIU (92-58). This is Arizona’s first trip to the Final Four in 25 years. Guard Jaden Bradley, who was named Big 12 Player of the Year, has been ordinary in the tournament, averaging 13.3 points and 3.8 assists, while shooting 44.7% from the field (33.3% 3pt). But he’s normally a 39% three-point shooter. Guard Brayden Burries leads the Wildcats with 16 points per game and shoots 39.2% from the field. Arizona has the better guard play. Now the question is whether they can neutralize Michigan’s size. It helps to have freshman forward Koa Peat (6-8, 235), who averages 13.7 points along with 5.5 rebounds. Motiejus Krivas (7-2, 260) and Mara should be a war in the middle. He’s averaging 10.4 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.9 blocks. An x-factor is Tobe Awaka (6-8, 250), who is a great rebounder with 9.3 per game in just 21.1 minutes per game.

Strengths: Rebounding (6th in total rebounding percentage). They shoot 50.3% from the field. Weaknesses: Three-point shooting (36.7%) is good, but not great. In conference play, they were worse at 33.2%. If you can slow down their game in the paint, Arizona takes just 26.4% of its shots from 3-point range, which is one of the lowest marks in the nation.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). We’re up again this week in the Financial Program after winning six of seven weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Final Four and Championship game included.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

ATS CRUSHES AGAIN in UFC from Seattle this past Saturday, Hitting the Top 4 Fights!

*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

Back in VEGAS at the APEX this weekend with a MAIN CARD and some big value opportunities in the Prelims!

Get with an ATS Specialist ASAP to talk about this Saturday:UFC Fight NightMOICANO VS DUNCAN!

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Final Four Betting Preview: UConn vs. Illinois

Final Four Betting Preview

The Final Four is headed for Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday, where we’ll have No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 2 UConn at 6:0pmET and No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 1 Michigan at 8:49pmET on TBS.

In terms of odds, Illinois is a 2.5-point favorite and the total is 139.5. The money line is Illinois -130. Michigan is a 1.5-point favorite in the second game and the total is 157.5. Michigan is -122 on the money line. On Thursday, I’ll have the second Final Four Game preview.

Illinois (28-8, 21-15 ATS, 14-22 O/U) vs. UConn (33-5, 16-22 ATS, 18-20 O/U)

These teams last met on Nov. 28, 2025, 74-61 from Madison Square Garden and in the Elite Eight in 2024, with UConn winning 77-52 before claiming their 2nd straight NCAA title. Illinois was led by Kylan Boswell, who had 25 points, while Solo Ball led the Huskies with 15 points. UConn shot 41% from the field and outrebounded the Illini by five. Illinois shot a putrid 32% from the field and just 6-of-29 (21%) from beyond the arc.

Illinois (4th KenPom, 1st Adjusted Offense, 20th Adjusted Defense) arrives at the Final Four after beating Iowa (71-59) in the Elite Eight. That came after upsetting No. 2 Houston by 10, VCU by 21 and Penn by 35. That’s not an easy road for the Illini who is a better team than they showed in late November. Their offense is listed as the most efficient in the country by KenPom. The question here is whether freshman point guard Keaton Wagler can be consistent. In the tournament, he’s averaging 17.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, while shooting 44% from the 3-point line. At 6-6, he can rebound (had 12 vs. Houston). Andrej Stojakovic is a Cal transfer and Peja’s son, who averages 13.6 points but is shooting just 24.4% from beyond the arc. The frontcourt is massive, led by forward David Mikrovic (6-9, 250), Tomislav (7-1, 255), and Zvonimir Ivisic (7-2, 255). They’ll have their hands full with Tarris Reed Jr. (6-11, 265). Strengths: Size, Offense. Weakness: Defense away from home (43.6% FG), 33.2% 3pt). 296th in Adjusted Tempo.

UConn (9th KenPom, 28th in Adjusted Offense, 9th in Adjusted Defense, 319th in Adjusted Tempo). UConn arrived here by beating Furman by 11, UCLA by 16, No. 3 Michigan State by four, and No. 1 Duke 73-72 in one of the most incredible finishes in the history of the NCAA Tournament. Braylon Mullins nailed a 35-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to lead the Huskies to the come-from-behind win. UConn did not play well, shooting just 5 of 23 from beyond the arc (22%), and Mullins was 0-for-5 from 3-point range before he made that big shot. But Tarris Reed Jr. was phenomenal against Duke, dominating the paint with 26 points, nine rebounds, and four blocks. Alex Karaban, who went 2 for 10 against the Blue Devils, is having a great tournament, averaging 17.8 points on 39% shooting from 3-point range despite that poor shooting performance. But with the size of the Illini, they will need players like Silas Demary Jr. (42% 3pt), Karaban (40% 3pt in the regular season), and Mullins (36.4% 3pt) to step up from the perimeter. Strengths: Dan Hurley is one of the best coaches in the nation. Very balanced scoring. Defense is elite, and they shoot 48.1% from the field. Weakness: Three-point shooting is mediocre for an elite team (34.6%, 85th overall). Offense can be susceptible to droughts.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). We’re up again this week in the Financial Program after winning six of seven weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Final Four and Championship game included.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program, which has won 6 of 7 weeks, is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. ____________________________________________________

ATS CRUSHES AGAIN in UFC from Seattle this past Saturday, Hitting the Top 4 Fights!

*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

Back in VEGAS at the APEX this weekend with a MAIN CARD and some big value opportunities in the Prelims!

Get with an ATS Specialist ASAP to talk about this Saturday:UFC Fight NightMOICANO VS DUNCAN!

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Best Options for Betting on Baseball

Betting on Baseball can be very simple, but let’s talk about some of the more unusual ways of betting, and we’ll also discuss the typical stuff that bettors wager on.

1)First Five innings. If you want to avoid the bullpen blowing leads late in games and just want to rely on the starting pitcher, this is the way to go. If you select Team A and they are leading after five innings, you get the win. If it’s 2-2, then it’s a push and you get your money back. If Team A is trailing after five innings, you lose. There is also an F5 Run line, so if you pick the Dodgers -0.5, they must be winning after five innings. If the total is 4.5, then both teams must score five runs or more.

2)Betting on the money line is the most popular wager or at least it was before all these options came about. If you just want to pick a winner, there is no reason you shouldn’t pick Team A -130 over Team B. The problem comes when the money line is -175 or more and then if you stick to big favorites, you are usually going to lose in the long run. You can earn a bigger profit by taking some underdogs and smaller favorites. The stronger pitchers are normally going to be the biggest favorites, especially against bad teams.

3)Picking over/unders is another big option in wagering on baseball. The key to picking totals, especially for outdoor stadiums, is the weather. Specifically, the wind, especially at this time of the year, where the weather can be under 60 degrees in a lot of places. Always remember to check to see if the wind is blowing out (say 10-20 mph) and that happens a lot in the Midwest, especially Chicago, Detroit and Kansas City. Picking an over in Denver is fine, but the odds are usually going to be 10-11 runs due to the thin air and the history of high scoring games at Coors Field in Colorado.

4)A popular option in baseball is picking the run line. Usually the run line is -1.5/+1.5. It’s a nice option if the money line is -175 or higher. The only issue is to remember that about ¼ of the games are decided by one run. But you can get a better payout than a moneyline.

5)Finally, one of the most popular options over the last five years is player props. Strikeouts and hits are very popular nowadays. But the key is studying the numbers and checking out the lineups, which are usually posted about two hours before the game. Sites like ESPN.com, have splits for starting pitchers (don’t choose rookies) and they also have batters vs. pitchers. So if you have one veteran pitcher and he’s struggling against 2-3 guys in his career, I’d look at home runs, which are usually +200 or higher and hits or even total bases if there is a good value. I’d stay away from -120 or higher odds when it comes to prop bets. Look for good values, but also check out their numbers against the current starting pitcher. When it comes to strikeouts, some pitchers own certain teams, and their strikeout numbers are high against them.

____________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Package for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Package, which has won 6 of 7 weeks, is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. ____________________________________________________

UFC goes 4-0 on Saturday as $100/unit clients win $1,700. That included a big win with Joe Pyfer (+120) over Israel Adesanya. Don’t miss another huge card from Las Vegas this upcoming Saturday, April 4. 

If you want to test our Program in basketball or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

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