The NBA Play-in Tournament begins on Tuesday with No. 10 Miami (42-39) facing No. 9 Charlotte (43-38) at 7:30pmET and No. 8 Portland (41-40), taking on No. 7 Phoenix (44-37). If Phoenix wins, they move on to the playoffs as the 7th seed in the West and the same with Portland. If Phoenix loses, they have to play the winner of the No. 10 Golden State (37-44) vs. No. 9 LA Clippers (41-40) game. The loser of the No. 9 vs. No. 10 games in both conferences goes home. The winner advances to the Play-in Final on Friday vs. the loser of the 9-10 game.
*-stats from DunksandThrees.com
Tuesday, April 14
10)Miami (46-35-1 ATS, 47-35 O/U) vs. 9)Charlotte (50-32 ATS), 31-51 O/U)
From Charlotte, NC, the Spectrum Center, 7:30pmET
Winner faces the loser of the No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers vs. No. 8 Orlando Magic on Friday for the eighth playoff spot.
Line: Charlotte -5.5
Total: 228.5
ML: Miami +180/Charlotte -215
Head-to-Head: Miami 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS. Last game: Charlotte 136-106 at home
Key Stats*: Charlotte is 8th in Adjusted Net Rating, 6th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 14th in Adjusted Defense. 27th in Pace, 2nd in Rebound Rate.
Miami is 13th in Adjusted Net Rating, 12th in Adjusted Offense and 13th in Adjusted Defense. First in Pace, 12th in Rebound Rate.
Analysis: Charlotte has had quite a regular season, but they’ll need to win twice to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2016. A big worry here is that they don’t match up with the Heat who beat them three times and in the fourth, did not have center Bam Adebayo, who sat out with a calf issue. Miami is led by Norman Powell, who has played in just 58 games due to injuries, while Adebayo adds 20.1 points and 10 rebounds. The Hornets are 33-16 since Jan. 1 and have one of the best records since 2026 started. Braxton Miller (20.2ppg), LaMelo Ball (20.1ppg 7.1apg) and rookie Kon Kneuppel (18.5ppg, 42.5% 3pt) are combining for 10.3 three-pointers per game. Rebounding will be key as the Hornets are second in rebound rate, led by Moussa Diabate (6-10, 210).
*-stats from DunksandThrees.com
8)Portland (44-38 ATS, 42-40 O/U) vs. 7)Phoenix (46-33-3 ATS, 37-45 O/U)
From Phoenix, Arizona, Mortgage Matchup Center
The winner moves on to the 7th seed in the playoffs, and the loser faces the winner of the LA Clippers/Golden State game on Friday.
Line: Phoenix -3.5
Total: 216.5
ML: Phoenix -158/Portland +134
Head-to-Head: Phoenix won two of three games SU and ATS. In their last meeting on Feb. 22,
Key Stats*: Portland is 20th in Adjusted Net Rating, 22nd in Adjusted Offensive Rating, and 11th in Adjusted Defense. 8th in Pace, 7th in Rebound Rate.
Phoenix is 15th in Adjusted Net Rating, 18th in Adjusted Offense and 10th in Adjusted Defense. First in Pace, 17th in Rebound Rate.
Analysis: Portland has won five of its last seven games and will need to win two games to make the playoffs. That would be a great accomplishment because Tiago Splitter has been their interim coach for most of the season due to the suspension of Chauncey Billups early in the season. Portland is led by 7-2 Donovan Clingan (11.6rpg), a space eater and rim protector with a soft touch (12.1ppg). Deni Avdija is one of the best all-around players in the Western Conference, averaging 24.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.7 assists, who gets little notice. Shaedon Sharpe (20.8ppg) is another gifted scorer, but if this team has an issue, it’s their shooting from the field (45.3%) and three-point shooting (34.3%), where they rank near the bottom of the league. A healthy Phoenix team could be a factor in the West. The good news is that Dillon Brooks (20.2ppg) and Devin Booker (26.1ppg, 6apg) rested late in the season and appear to be healthy. The bigger question is whether Jalen Green (17.8ppg) can return from a knee injury. The Suns also struggle to shoot the ball (45.5% FG), but they have some strong three-point shooters in Connor Gillespie (40.1%) and Royce O’Neal (40.8%).
Wednesday, April 15
8)Orlando (45-37 SU, 37-44-1 ATS, 45-37 O/U) vs. 7)Philadelphia (45-37 SU, 41-38-3 ATS, 39-43 O/U)
From Philadelphia, PA, Xfinity Mobile Arena
The winner moves on to the 7th seed in the playoffs, and the loser faces the winner of the Charlotte/Miami game on Friday.
Line: Philadelphia -1.5
Total: 220.5
ML: Philadelphia -120/Orlando +102
Head-to-Head: The Sixers have won two of the three meetings SU and ATS. In their last meeting on Jan. 9, the 76ers won 103-91 from Orlando.
Key Stats*: Orlando is 17th in Adjusted Net Rating, 16th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 12th in Adjusted Defense. 14th in Pace, 10th in Rebound Rate.
Philadelphia is 19th in Adjusted Net Rating, 17th in Adjusted Offense and 17th in Adjusted Defense, 16th in Pace, 20th in Rebound Rate.
Analysis: Orlando has won five of their last six games, and if this team does reach the playoffs, it can be dangerous. It starts with the return of Franz Wagner, who has played in just 34 games due to various ankle and lower-leg injuries. He’s played in just 34 games this season, but averages 20.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, shooting 48.1% from the field. He’s an excellent complement to Paulo Banchero (22.2ppg, 8.4rpg, 5.2apg). The Magic have been very ordinary from the field (46.4%) and from the three-point line (34.3%), but a lot of that has been without Wagner. The big question for Philadelphia is whether Joel Embiid (abdomen) is going to play. It appears that the former MVP is going to miss the play-in tournament due to an Appendectomy. That’s a huge loss considering he’s averaging 26.9 points and 7.7 rebounds despite playing 38 games. In this matchup, they’ll have to rely on Tyrese Maxey (28.3ppg, 6.6apg), one of the most explosive guards in the league. Andre Drummond (8.4rpg) isn’t Embiid but he can rebound just as well. But for the Sixers to win this game, they’ll need Paul George (17.3ppg, 5.3rpg) to live up to his own nickname of “Playoff P”.
10)Golden State (37-45 SU, 34-47-1 ATS, 49-33 O/U) vs. 9)LA Clippers (42-40 SU SU, 42-39-1 ATS, 42-40 O/U)
From Inglewood, CA., Intuit Dome
The winner moves on to face the loser of the Portland/Phoenix game on Friday and the loser goes home.
Line: LA Clippers -5
Total: 220.5
ML: LA Clippers -205/Golden State +172
Head-to-Head: The Clippers won three of four games SU and ATS.
Key Stats*: Golden State is 17th in Adjusted Net Rating, 16th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 12th in Adjusted Defense. 14th in Pace, 10th in Rebound Rate.
Analysis: Two aging teams meet in this matchup and both teams are still relying on future Hall of Famers to advance. Steph Curry has played in just 43 games and still led the team in scoring with 26.6 points per game, while shooting 39.3% from long range. He has played in just four games since Jan. 30, averaging just 20.3 points, 3.5 assists, but is shooting 41.7% from three-point range in 26.8 minutes per game. They did add another aging veteran in Kristaps Porzingis (16.1ppg, 5.3rpg) to give them a rare 7-3 rim protector, but the loss of Jimmy Butler to an ACL injury at mid-season was a devastating blow and his leadership and defense can’t be replaced. The Warriors have won just one of their last eight games. The Clippers have played a little bit better than Golden State down the stretch, but it’s tough to develop chemistry after some major acquisitions when they have so many injuries. Yet, there is talent aside from Kawhi Leonard, who is having a great season in 65 games, averaging 27.9 points and 6.4 rebounds. James Harden, though slowing down, is shooting just 41.9% from the field, yet he still gets to the line 8.5 times per game. Bennedict Mathurin (17.4ppg, 5.5rpg) adds star potential and length if he can just stay healthy. The same can be said about point guard Darius Garland (19.9ppg, 6.4apg), who could be an All-Star-caliber player if he can stay healthy, which has been rare in a seven-season career.
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