
Jacksonville State–Kennesaw State is a rematch of last season’s CUSA Championship Game, while New Mexico State–FIU features a major recent QB change for the Aggies.
Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State
Kickoff: 7:00 p.m. ET — CBS Sports Network
Site: Fifth Third Stadium, Kennesaw, Georgia
Records: Jacksonville State 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS; Kennesaw State 1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS.
Current odds: Jacksonville State -3, 49.5.
Weather
This looks almost ideal for football: roughly 69 degrees with very light wind and no meaningful weather impact expected.
QB Matchup
Jacksonville State — Caden Creel:
Creel has developed into one of the more important dual-threat quarterbacks in CUSA.
2026: 87-of-126, 69.0%, 1,112 yards, 9 TD, 4 INT
Rushing: 375 yards, 3 TD
Creel was outstanding in the last game against Middle Tennessee: 241 passing yards and a TD plus 119 rushing yards and a TD, earning CUSA Offensive Player of the Week.
Kennesaw State — Rickie Collins:
Collins gives Kennesaw a similar dual-threat dimension.
2026: approximately 749 passing yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Rushing: 185 yards, 3 TD
The efficiency has actually been pretty good — roughly 68% completions — even though the touchdown production hasn’t followed.
QB EDGE: Jacksonville State. Creel has been considerably more productive throwing touchdowns and has become the centerpiece of the Gamecock offense.
Last Game — Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State 23, Middle Tennessee 13
The final margin doesn’t fully show how well Jacksonville State moved the football.
The Gamecocks produced 517 total yards, including 276 rushing yards on 39 carries — 7.1 yards per rush. Creel accounted for 360 total yards himself.
Defensively, JSU held Middle Tennessee to 103 rushing yards and 319 total yards.
Jacksonville State has now won two straight after starting 1-2:
Georgia Southern — W 31-27
Middle Tennessee — W 23-13.
Last Game — Kennesaw State
Arkansas State 17, Kennesaw State 14
Kennesaw actually played reasonably well statistically despite losing its third consecutive game.
The Owls produced 326 yards, including 197 rushing, but couldn’t generate enough points. Arkansas State finished with 363 yards.
That’s becoming Kennesaw’s issue: the Owls average only 21.8 points per game, despite generating a respectable 368 yards per game.
Offensive/Defensive Matchup
This game may come down to whether Kennesaw can prevent Creel from controlling the game with his legs.
Jacksonville State averages 27.4 points and 392.4 total yards per game. Kennesaw is allowing about 363 yards and 22.5 points.
Jacksonville State’s defense has been particularly good against the pass — about 151 passing yards allowed per game — but less imposing against the run at 170.8 yards allowed.
2025 Meetings — Very Important
These teams actually played twice last season.
Nov. 15, 2025: Jacksonville State 35, Kennesaw State 26
JSU covered as a 3.5-point favorite.
Then came the rematch:
Dec. 5, 2025 — CUSA Championship:
Kennesaw State 19, Jacksonville State 15
Interestingly, Creel was held to only 96 passing yards in that championship loss, although he rushed for 112.
New Mexico State at FIU
Kickoff: 7:30 p.m. ET — ESPN2
Site: Pitbull Stadium, Miami
Records: New Mexico State 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS; FIU 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS.
Current Odds
FIU -6.5
Total: 46.5
Weather —
Miami could have thunderstorms around the game.
Current forecast around kickoff:
81°F at kickoff
Very humid — approximately 86%
Light wind around 3 mph
Rain chance around 85%
QB Matchup
New Mexico State — Adam Damante
This is one of the most important handicapping factors tonight.
Damante made his first start of the season against Western Kentucky and helped engineer NMSU’s best performance of the year.
Season:
34-of-48 — 70.8%
373 yards
4 TD
1 INT
159.4 rating
Against Western Kentucky:
15-of-26, 146 yards, 1 TD, plus a rushing touchdown.
Damante has been considerably more efficient than Ty Hedden, who has thrown for 887 yards but has a 5 TD/5 INT ratio and only a 54.3% completion percentage.
FIU — QB situation
FIU has used Jaxon Kohl and Zach Marker, so this isn’t the same conventional one-QB matchup as JSU-Kennesaw.
Against LIU, Kohl went 6-of-11 for 135 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT, while Marker was 6-of-10 for 92 yards.
FIU’s passing offense overall has been productive statistically — approximately 294 passing yards per game — but the Panthers’ strength has really been their defense.
Last Game — New Mexico State
New Mexico State 34, Western Kentucky 13
This was easily one of NMSU’s most encouraging performances.
The Aggies rushed for 206 yards, recorded six sacks and scored a defensive touchdown.
RB James Jones ran for a career-high 155 yards and a touchdown.
De’Marcus Peters returned an interception 53 yards for a TD, and NMSU led 20-6 at halftime.
That’s significant because the Aggies had been blown out by rival New Mexico 42-18 immediately before it.
Their season:
at Florida State — L 34-17
Mercyhurst — W 51-14
at Hawaii — L 29-19
New Mexico — L 42-18
Western Kentucky — W 34-13.
Last Game — FIU
FIU 20, LIU 3
FIU didn’t need explosive offense because the defense completely controlled the game.
The Panthers rushed for 167 yards and threw for 227. Anthony Carrie led the rushing attack with 71 yards on 14 carries.
FIU’s season:
at USF — L 19-9
Buffalo — W 33-20
at FAU — L 16-10
LIU — W 20-3.
Notice the pattern:
FIU hasn’t allowed more than 20 points in any game.
The Panthers are allowing only 14.5 PPG, 81.5 rushing yards per game and 164.8 passing yards per game.
NMSU Offense vs. FIU Defense
This is where the game gets interesting.
NMSU just rushed for 206 against Western Kentucky, with James Jones producing 155.
Now it faces an FIU defense allowing only:
81.5 rushing yards/game
2.5 yards per rush
164.8 passing yards/game
14.5 points/game.
If FIU takes away Jones and forces Damante to throw 30-35 times in potentially wet conditions, we will find out quickly whether his excellent efficiency numbers are sustainable.
That’s the biggest tactical question of this game.
FIU Offense vs. NMSU Defense
FIU isn’t an offensive powerhouse — only 18.0 PPG — but it has generated approximately 418 total yards per game, including 294 passing.
The Panthers’ ability to generate explosive passes could be the difference. FIU’s Maguire Anderson presents a potentially favorable matchup against an NMSU secondary that has been vulnerable to efficient passing attacks.
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