
2026 Preakness Stakes Probables with Odds
The Preakness Stakes goes on Saturday, May 16 from Laurel Park, in Laurel, Maryland at approximately 6:50pmET. For the first time in 118 years, the Preakness will be held outside of Pimlico Race Course in 2026, due to renovations. The only three horses to join the field from the Kentucky Derby are Robusta, Incredibolt and Ocelli.
Let’s take a look at the 14 horses in this race, which will not include 23-1 longshot Golden Tempo, who won the Kentucky Derby but will bypass the Preakness Stakes for the Belmont Stakes on June 6 at Saratoga Race Course.
Post Positions, Odds, Horses, Jockeys, Trainers
1)Taj Mahal (5-1). Jockey: Sheldon Russell, Trainer: Brittany Russell. Last race: Finished first in the Federico Tesio Stakes at Laurel Park. Analysis: Taj Mahal is 3-0 at Laurel Park and is sired by Kentucky Derby champion Nyquist.
2)Ocelli (6-1). Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione, Trainer: D. Whitworth Beckman. Last race: Finished third in the Kentucky Derby. Analysis: He was the 70-1 third-place finisher (maiden) at the Derby behind Golden Tempo and Renegade. He also finished third in the Wood Memorial.
3)Crupper (30-1). Jockey: Junior Alvarado, Trainer: Donnie Von Hemmel. Last Race: Won the Bathhouse Row Stakes at Oaklawn Park. Analysis: Crupper needed four starts to get his first win after setting an easy pace to win the Bathhouse Row Stakes.
4)Robusta (30-1). Jockey: Rafael Bejarano, Trainer: Doug O’Neill. Last Race: Finished 7th in the Santa Anita Derby. Analysis: He was runner-up in the San Felipe Stakes, but was not competitive in the Santa Anita Derby. He finished 14th of 18 starters in the Kentucky Derby.
5)Talkin (20-1). Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. Trainer: Danny Gargan. Last race: 3rd in the Blue Grass Stakes. Analysis: Talkin has been rough in all four stakes tries. His most recent finish was at the Blue Grass, where he ran 12 ¾ lengths behind Further Ado.
6)Chip Honcho (5-1). Jockey: Jose Ortiz. Trainer Steve Asmussen. Last race: 5th in the Louisiana Derby. Analysis: One of the favorites, he won the Gun Runner Stakes, placed fourth in the Lecomte Stakes, and also finished a runner-up to Paladin in the Fasig-Tipton Risen Star Stakes. His last effort was a disappointing fifth in the Louisiana Derby.
7)The Hell We Did (15-1). Jockey: Luis Saez. Trainer: Todd Fincher. Last race: 2nd in Lexington at Keeneland. Analysis: He was runner-up at the 1 1/16 mile Lexington Stakes in mid-April at Keeneland. Did have three starts on the Southwest racing circuit, winning at Remington Park and Sunland Park, and also finished 2nd in a stakes at Zia Park.
8)Bull by the Horns (30-1). Jockey: Micah Husbands. Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr. Last race: Won the Rushaway Stakes in March at Florence, KY. Analysis: He was withdrawn from the Peter Pan Stakes on May 9 to run in the Preakness instead. He finished 7th in the Fountain of Youth Stakes in late February. Did win at the Rushaway Stakes on March 21 at Turfway Park, held on an all-weather surface. Also has a win on dirt, a 6 ½ length win in a one-turn mile maiden race at Gulfstream Park last fall.
9)Iron Honor (9-2). Jockey: Flavien Pratt. Trainer: Chad Brown. Last race: 7th at the Wood Memorial. Analysis: Had a disappointing finish at the Wood at Aqueduct in April. Before that, he was undefeated in two starts. He won the Gotham Stakes by a length. His trainer Chad Brown has two Preakness wins on his resume’.
10) Napoleon Solo (8-1). Jockey: Paco Lopez. Trainer: Chad Summer. Last race: 5th in the Wood Memorial. Analysis: Won the Champagne Stakes last year in October, but has not done well since. He ran well in the Wood, setting an early pace and tired to finish 2 ¾ lengths behind winner Albus and 1 ½ lengths behind Ocelli.
11)Corona de Oro (30-1). Jockey: John Velázquez. Trainer: Dallas Stewart. Last race: 3rd in the Lexington Stakes. Analysis: He just missed making the field at the Kentucky Derby. He has steadily improved in three starts at age 3. He made his first two starts at Fair Grounds, which included a 1 1/16 mile maiden race and a 4 ½ length. He contested the pace in the Lexington Stakes, but tired down the stretch, finishing three lengths behind the winner, Trendsetter.
12)Incredibolt (5-1). Jockey: Jamie Torres. Trainer: Riley Mott. Last race: 6th in the Kentucky Derby. He was a late entry, who ran well in the Derby, rallying wide and recovering from a bump in the midstretch by runner-up Renegade. He won the 1 1/8 miler Virginia Derby in March at Colonial Downs.
13)Great White (15-1). Jockey: Alex Achard. Trainer: John Ennis. Last race: 5th in Blue Grass Stakes. Analysis: This was the horse that flipped just before entering the gate for the Kentucky Derby, unseating jockey Alex Achard in front of 150,000 fans. The good news is that Laurel Park has fewer than 5,000 fans, so he shouldn’t be as upset. Had a fifth-place finish in the 1 1/8 mile Blue Grass Stakes held in April, getting beaten by 22 ¼ lengths after setting an early pace. Before the Blue Grass, he won twice in three starts.
14)Pretty Boy Miah (15-1). Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr. Trainer: Jermiah Englehart. Last race: Won claiming race on April 25 at Aqueduct. Analysis: Had four starts at Aqueduct this year. Will make his stakes debut in this race. Does have a 6 ½ length win at the Beau Liam in late March. This is a jump in class and a stretch out in distance.
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Big UFC card from the APEX in Vegas this Saturday! - ATS has won 5 of the last 7 weeks. *ALLEN VS COSTA
One of the better analytical points from early-week MMA betting coverage is that UFC markets are still less efficient than NFL/NBA markets because of information asymmetry and recency bias.
The common public mistakes this week:
*Overvaluing recognizable UFC veterans
*Overreacting to recent knockout wins
*Ignoring grappling advantages
*Betting favorites too early before line movement settles
