Keys to Betting on Wimbledon
The greatest grass court tennis tournament in the world begins its second week with some outlandish results, especially on the women’s side, where No. 1 seed Arna Sabalenka was upset on Sunday by No. 14 Naomi Osaka. Top Americans advanced as No. 7 Coco Gauff defeated No. 11 Belinda Bencic and No. 4 Jessica Pegula downed No. 16 American Iva Jovic in three sets.
When it comes to advancing in Wimbledon, it’s important to take note of some of the previous results of players against their current opponent and on grass surfaces.
Betting on tennis in the second week should be a little easier because you should get better odds on the money line. The key is to shop for the best odds.
1)One of the best ways to bet on tennis is to bet on the game spread. For example, if a player is -3.5 games, and he/she wins 6-4, 6-4, 6-3, that’s by seven games, and they cover the 3.5 with ease. If you think the match is going to be very close, betting the underdog is the best move. Grigor Dimitrov is a 4.5-game spread favorite against Arthur Fery on Monday morning. He needs to win by five games, so something like 6-3, 6-4, 7-5 would be fine. However, if the match goes four sets, he might not cover.
2)Another option is to bet on the Over/Under total games. This is where the big serve and grass services come into play. A strong favorite against a weak returner usually means under games, while two big servers usually mean over games. In that Dimitrov/Fery match, the total is 39.5. The juice is -115 for the over and -125 for the under.
3)Another option is to bet on the first set. Once again, grass comes into play as the underdog with nothing to lose might start strong and then fade later. Some players are also just fast starters. In that Dimitrov/Fery match, Dimitrov is a -120 favorite in the first set.
4)Set Betting is also a strong option. This is where you pick the exact final score of a match in sets, rather than just picking the outright winner. On the women’s side, you can pick player A to win in straight sets (2-0) or three sets (2-1). On the men’s side, where it is Best-of-Five, there are six possible set score outcomes ranking from 3-0 to 3-2 for either player. If you bet on the heavy favorite to win 3-0 instead of just winning the match outright, your potential profit increases substantially.
5)If you are looking for prop bets, focus on ace betting. A lot depends on the opponent’s return quality. In the Dimitrov/Fery match, Fery is at 6.5 (Over -120/Under -120) and Dimitrov is 11.5 (Over -130/Under -110). Look at the overall numbers and what their averages are coming into the tournament and at Wimbledon or on other grass surfaces. For example, Dimitrov averages roughly 7.0 aces per match overall but he averages much more than that on grass, including 23 aces in his first round match, 10 in his second round match and 14 in his third round match.
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