ATS: Friday College Football Previews with Prop Bets

ATS: Friday College Football Previews with Prop Bets


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It’s now out for Nov. 4-9. Check out Vol. 11 of the New ATS Weekly Gaming Review with 22 pages of stats, trends, football and basketball power ratings, trend plays, articles and preview for every NFL and college football game with weather, injuries, stats and more.
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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 6

Virginia Tech (6-2) at SMU (6-2)

TV / time: 7:00 p.m. ET | ESPN
Odds: SMU -6.5 | Total 56.5
Weather: Mostly clear, about 65°F.

Betting records: Virginia Tech 5-3 ATS (62.5% cover), O/U 5-3 (37.5% Under); SMU 4-4 ATS (50.0% cover), O/U 3-5 (62.5% Under).

Venue SU splits: Virginia Tech 3-1 away; SMU 5-0 home.

QB matchup (season passing): Virginia Tech — Ethan Grunkemeyer: 2,140 passing yards, 17 TD, 2 INT, 71.6% completions; SMU — Kevin Jennings: 2,414 passing yards, 21 TD, 5 INT, 73.7% completions.

Last game recap: Virginia Tech: W 20-16 @ CLEM (Oct 24, 2026); Ethan Grunkemeyer 20/32, 156 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT. SMU: L 27-30 @ SYR (Oct 31, 2026); Kevin Jennings 29/36, 352 passing yards, 2 TD, 0 INT.

Last three (newest first; ATS result / total result): Virginia Tech: W 20-16 @ CLEM (ATS W; U); W 34-24 GT (ATS W; O); L 20-25 @ CAL (ATS L; U) | SMU: L 27-30 @ SYR (ATS L; U); W 59-20 CAL (ATS W; O); W 23-13 UVA (ATS W; U).

Offense: Virginia Tech: 284.4 passing, 138.5 rushing, 422.9 total yards/game; 35.0 points/game. SMU: 318.0 passing, 146.1 rushing, 464.1 total yards/game; 35.3 points/game.
Defense: Virginia Tech: 218.0 passing, 93.4 rushing, 311.4 total yards/game; 20.5 points/game allowed. SMU: 181.8 passing, 125.9 rushing, 307.6 total yards/game; 22.3 points/game allowed.
Net scoring / yardage margins: Virginia Tech +14.5 points/game, +111.5 yards/game; SMU +13.0 points/game, +156.5 yards/game.

Key availability update: . Virginia Tech — OL Marlen Bright: QUESTIONABLE; WR Luke Stuewe: QUESTIONABLE; WR Shamarius “Snook” Peterkin: QUESTIONABLE; DL Emmett Laws: QUESTIONABLE; DL Randy Adirika: QUESTIONABLE; CB Thomas Williams: QUESTIONABLE; OL Justin Terry: OUT; OL Lucas Austin: OUT. SMU — S Ahmaad Moses: QUESTIONABLE; OL Abel Hoopii: OUT; RB Link Rhodes: OUT; WR Carterrious Brown: OUT; LB I’Zayah Young: OUT; DE Ira Singleton IV: OUT; CB Jaelyn Davis-Robinson: OUT; DE Trey Wilson: OUT.

Top 2 conditional prop targets (entry thresholds, not posted lines):

  1. Kevin Jennings OVER passing yards at 269.5  

  2. Ethan Grunkemeyer OVER passing yards at 239.5 

South Florida (6-2) at East Carolina (4-4)

TV / time: 7:30 p.m. ET | ESPN2
Odds: East Carolina -2.5 | Total 39.5
Weather: Clouds and a shower risk, about 67°F.

Betting records: South Florida 4-4 ATS (50.0% cover), O/U 3-5 (62.5% Under); East Carolina 4-4 ATS (50.0% cover), O/U 2-6 (75.0% Under).

Venue SU splits: South Florida 2-1 away; East Carolina 3-1 home.

QB matchup (season passing): South Florida — M. Van Buren Jr.: 1,273 passing yards, 6 TD, 0 INT, 64.1% completions / L. Kromenhoek: 60 passing yards, 0 TD, 0 INT, 64.3% completions; East Carolina — M. Griffis: 753 passing yards, 4 TD, 5 INT, 54.8% completions.

Last game recap: South Florida: W 30-10 UAB (Oct 31, 2026); L.Kromenhoek 7/10, 39 passing yards, 0 TD, 0 INT. East Carolina: W 17-9 TEM (Oct 31, 2026); M.Griffis 17/30, 130 passing yards, 0 TD, 1 INT.

Last three (newest first; ATS result / total result): South Florida: W 30-10 UAB (ATS W; U); W 29-2 KENT (ATS W; U); L 24-31 @ UTSA (ATS L; O) | East Carolina: W 17-9 TEM (ATS W; U); L 34-41 @ MEM (ATS W; O); L 17-30 @ UAB (ATS L; U).

Offense: South Florida: 166.6 passing, 148.0 rushing, 314.6 total yards/game; 27.0 points/game. East Carolina: 186.5 passing, 164.5 rushing, 351.0 total yards/game; 24.0 points/game.
Defense: South Florida: 178.4 passing, 128.3 rushing, 306.6 total yards/game; 14.5 points/game allowed. East Carolina: 196.6 passing, 139.8 rushing, 336.4 total yards/game; 24.1 points/game allowed.
Net scoring / yardage margins: South Florida +12.5 points/game, +8.0 yards/game; East Carolina -0.1 points/game, +14.6 yards/game.

Key availability update: South Florida (Oct 31 Game Day): A’Mon Lane-Ganus S Out; Cash Hudson OL Out; Gabe Legrand WR Out; Iverson Garcia-Ponce NT Out East Carolina (Oct 31 Game Day): Ayden Duncanson DB Out; Dawson Quarterman WR Out; DeMarius Hines DB Out; Dillon Lorick WR Out.

 

Nebraska (5-3) at Illinois (5-3)

TV / time: 8:00 p.m. ET | FOX
Odds: Nebraska -4.5 | Total 49.5
Weather: Mostly clear, about 41°F.

Betting records: Nebraska 6-2 ATS (75.0% cover), O/U 3-5 (62.5% Under); Illinois 4-4 ATS (50.0% cover), O/U 5-3 (37.5% Under).

Venue SU splits: Nebraska 1-1 away; Illinois 3-2 home.

QB matchup (season passing): Nebraska — Anthony Colandrea: 1,825 passing yards, 15 TD, 7 INT, 61.2% completions; Illinois — Katin Houser: 1,663 passing yards, 13 TD, 5 INT, 64.8% completions.

Last game recap: Nebraska: L 10-17 WASH (Oct 31, 2026); Anthony Colandrea 24/44, 255 passing yards, 1 TD, 3 INT. Illinois: W 20-17 @ MD (Oct 31, 2026); Katin Houser 18/32, 223 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT.

Last three (newest first; ATS result / total result): Nebraska: L 10-17 WASH (ATS L; U); L 14-17 @ ORE (ATS W; U); L 17-20 IU (ATS W; U) | Illinois: W 20-17 @ MD (ATS W; U); W 21-10 ORE (ATS W; U); W 38-37 @ MSU (ATS L; O).

Offense: Nebraska: 238.3 passing, 186.6 rushing, 424.9 total yards/game; 32.4 points/game. Illinois: 230.0 passing, 164.3 rushing, 394.3 total yards/game; 29.0 points/game.
Defense: Nebraska: 179.6 passing, 91.1 rushing, 270.8 total yards/game; 15.6 points/game allowed. Illinois: 240.8 passing, 129.9 rushing, 370.6 total yards/game; 24.3 points/game allowed.
Net scoring / yardage margins: Nebraska +16.8 points/game, +154.1 yards/game; Illinois +4.7 points/game, +23.7 yards/game.

Key availability update:   Nebraska — RB Vincent Genatone: OUT; WR Larry Miles: OUT; DL Anthony Jones Jr.: OUT; DL Gabe Moore: OUT; LB Jacob Bower: OUT; LB Jase Reynolds: OUT; DB Kahmir Prescott: OUT. Illinois — TE BJ Thurman: DOUBTFUL; OL Kai Pritchard: OUT; OL TJ McMillen: OUT; RB Ca’Lil Valentine: OUT; WR Jayshon Platt: OUT; DL Carter Smith: OUT; DL Demetrius John: OUT; LB Grant Beerman: OUT.

Personnel / coaching impact: The Nov. 4 update no longer lists Nebraska OL Gunnar Gottula or DB Jamir Conn as questionable. Illinois QB Katin Houser has no designation after returning Oct. 31; RB Ca’Lil Valentine remains out. Larry Miles is out rather than questionable.

Trends:  Nebraska 5-1 Under last six overall; 0-4-1 ATS last five Friday games; 1-5-1 ATS last seven after an ATS loss. Illinois 3-9 ATS last 12 Friday games; 5-1-1 ATS last seven in November; 4-1-1 Under last six Friday games; 4-0 Under last four in November.

 

Top 2 conditional prop targets 

  1. Anthony Colandrea OVER 0.5 interceptions  

  2. Katin Houser UNDER passing yards (219.5)

New Mexico (7-1) at Nevada (3-5)

TV / time: 9:00 p.m. ET | CBS Sports Network
Odds: New Mexico -10.5 | Total 38.5
Weather: Mostly clear, about 53°F.

Betting records: New Mexico 6-2 ATS (75.0% cover), O/U 3-5 (62.5% Under); Nevada 5-3 ATS (62.5% cover), O/U 3-5 (62.5% Under).

Venue SU splits: New Mexico 3-1 away; Nevada 2-2 home.

QB matchup (season passing): New Mexico — T. Fa’avae: 891 passing yards, 6 TD, 7 INT, 57.4% completions; Nevada — A. Bianco: 397 passing yards, 2 TD, 3 INT, 52.1% completions / L. Duncan: 265 passing yards, 2 TD, 5 INT, 47.3% completions.

Last game recap: New Mexico: W 21-16 @ SJSU (Oct 31, 2026); T.Fa’avae 9/14, 101 passing yards, 1 TD, 3 INT. Nevada: L 0-27 @ UCLA (Oct 31, 2026); A.Bianco 6/13, 71 passing yards, 0 TD, 0 INT.

Last three (newest first; ATS result / total result): New Mexico: W 21-16 @ SJSU (ATS L; U); W 21-16 NDSU (ATS W; U); W 21-10 @ HAW (ATS L; U) | Nevada: L 0-27 @ UCLA (ATS L; U); W 28-13 SJSU (ATS W; U); L 17-31 @ NDSU (ATS W; O).

Offense: New Mexico: 148.0 passing, 213.1 rushing, 361.1 total yards/game; 35.0 points/game. Nevada: 169.0 passing, 167.0 rushing, 336.0 total yards/game; 23.0 points/game.
Defense: New Mexico: 176.5 passing, 81.6 rushing, 258.1 total yards/game; 11.9 points/game allowed. Nevada: 156.1 passing, 162.0 rushing, 318.1 total yards/game; 22.6 points/game allowed.
Net scoring / yardage margins: New Mexico +23.1 points/game, +103.0 yards/game; Nevada +0.4 points/game, +17.9 yards/game.

Key availability update: New Mexico — CB Ormanie Arnold: QUESTIONABLE; QB Jack Layne: OUT; QB James Laubstein: OUT; OL Elvin Harris: OUT; OL Kaden Robnett: OUT; WR Massiah Mingo: OUT; WR Shawn Miller: OUT; WR Troy Omiere: OUT. Nevada — K Joe McFadden: QUESTIONABLE; QB Carter Jones: OUT; OL Elias Justice: OUT; TE DJ Asiasi: OUT; DB Bryson Snelling: OUT; LB Colson Kermode: OUT; DB Cooper Wilson: OUT; LB Jake Silverman: OUT.

Personnel / coaching impact: New Mexico C Kaden Robnett is newly confirmed out for the season in Nov. 4 reporting. That matters to the interior run game. Nevada QB Carter Jones is out on the Nov. 5 report, replacing the older questionable entry.

 

TCU (4-4) at Arizona (6-2)

TV / time: 10:15 p.m. ET | ESPN
Odds: Arizona -7.5 | Total 45.5
Weather: Mostly clear, about 65°F.

Betting records: TCU 3-5 ATS (37.5% cover), O/U 1-7 (87.5% Under); Arizona 3-5 ATS (37.5% cover), O/U 4-4 (50.0% Under).

Venue SU splits: TCU 1-1 away; Arizona 4-0 home.

QB matchup (season passing): TCU — Jaden Craig: 2,207 passing yards, 11 TD, 6 INT, 65.1% completions; Arizona — Noah Fifita: 2,481 passing yards, 19 TD, 4 INT, 74.1% completions.

Last game recap: TCU: W 22-16 KU (Oct 31, 2026); Jaden Craig 13/29, 141 passing yards, 0 TD, 0 INT. Arizona: L 26-34 @ TTU (Oct 31, 2026); Noah Fifita 33/45, 417 passing yards, 1 TD, 0 INT.

Last three (newest first; ATS result / total result): TCU: W 22-16 KU (ATS L; U); L 20-24 WVU (ATS L; U); W 17-6 @ BAY (ATS W; U) | Arizona: L 26-34 @ TTU (ATS L; O); W 39-3 ISU (ATS W; U); W 52-31 @ WVU (ATS W; O).

Offense: TCU: 275.9 passing, 114.6 rushing, 390.5 total yards/game; 23.3 points/game. Arizona: 324.1 passing, 131.5 rushing, 455.6 total yards/game; 34.9 points/game.


Defense: TCU: 174.6 passing, 113.0 rushing, 287.6 total yards/game; 14.1 points/game allowed. Arizona: 199.8 passing, 134.8 rushing, 334.5 total yards/game; 18.9 points/game allowed.
Net scoring / yardage margins: TCU +9.2 points/game, +102.9 yards/game; Arizona +16.0 points/game, +121.1 yards/game.

Key availability update: Latest retrieved availability report — . TCU — RB Jeremy Payne: QUESTIONABLE; OL Cade Bennett: OUT; RB Jon Denman: OUT; WR Cooper Reid: OUT; WR Keagan Cunningham: OUT; WR Terry Shelton: OUT; TE Braden Bach: OUT; CB Devondre McGee: OUT. Arizona — OL Grayson Stovall: DOUBTFUL; RB Ismail Mahdi: QUESTIONABLE; WR Caleb Smith: QUESTIONABLE; LB Max Harris: QUESTIONABLE; CB Swayde Griffin: QUESTIONABLE; WR R.J. Mosley: OUT; TE Shane King: OUT; S Cam Chapa: OUT.

Personnel / coaching impact: TCU fired co-offensive coordinator AJ Ricker in late October.  

Top 3 conditional prop targets (entry thresholds, not posted lines):

  1. Noah Fifita UNDER passing yards at 289.5 or higher 

  2. Jaden Craig UNDER passing touchdowns at 1.5 or higher:  

  3. Isaiah Mizell UNDER receiving yards at 79.5 or higher, if active 

 

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