ATS: Moday Night Football & Key College Basketball Betting Previews for Monday, Nov. 2

ATS: Moday Night Football & Key College Basketball Betting Previews for Monday, Nov. 2


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CHICAGO BEARS AT SEATTLE SEAHAWKS — 8:15 p.m., ESPN

Records and odds: Chicago is 5–2; Seattle is 4–3. Seattle -3, with a 46.5 total and moneylines of Seattle -166/Chicago +140. Spread pricing varies by listing.

This is a particularly interesting matchup because Chicago’s recent offense looks stronger than its full-season numbers, while Seattle’s defense has consistently controlled opposing passing games. Williams’ return raises Chicago’s ceiling, but playing at Lumen Field against Mike Macdonald’s disguised coverages is a substantial step up in difficulty.

Last three games

Chicago:

  • October 11: Lost at Green Bay, 31–7.
  • October 18: Won at Atlanta, 31–23.
  • October 22: Beat New England, 30–24.

The Bears are 2–1 over their last three, averaging 22.7 points and allowing 26.0. Those averages require context: Williams returned for the two victories. Chicago also has extra preparation time after playing on Thursday night.

Seattle:

  • October 11: Lost to San Francisco, 32–29.
  • October 15: Lost at Denver, 17–14 in overtime.
  • October 25: Beat Kansas City, 20–3.

The Seahawks are 1–2 over their last three, averaging 21.0 points and allowing 17.3. Their latest victory was their strongest defensive statement of the season.  

Last-game recaps

Chicago 30, New England 24: Williams completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Luther Burden III produced 130 yards on four receptions, while D’Andre Swift carried 22 times for 78 yards. Chicago generated 405 total yards, but New England’s passing production showed that the Bears still have vulnerabilities through the air.  

Seattle 20, Kansas City 3: The Seahawks handed Kansas City its first loss behind a dominant defensive performance. Sam Darnold finished 20 of 28 for 257 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jaxon Smith-Njigba caught nine passes for 150 yards, and Emanuel Wilson rushed 24 times for 100 yards, including a fourth-quarter touchdown that helped finish the game.  

Quarterback matchup

Chicago — Caleb Williams: 88-of-124 passing, 71.0%, 1,020 yards, five touchdowns, one interception and a 105.6 passer rating. He also has 128 rushing yards and two rushing touchdowns.

Williams has thrown for 305 and 308 yards in consecutive starts, without an interception in either game. His mobility can extend drives, but Seattle will try to turn those extensions into sacks by keeping its coverage intact. Getting the ball out on schedule will be crucial.

Seattle — Sam Darnold: 110-of-177 passing, 62.2%, 1,290 yards, eight touchdowns, eight interceptions and an 80.5 rating. He has added 52 rushing yards. The interceptions are the clearest concern, particularly against a Chicago front receiving reinforcements.  

Offense/Defense

The published pregame statistical set lists these per-game averages:

Chicago offense: 390.7 total yards, including 236.4 net passing and 154.3 rushing; 25.7 points. The passing figure is calculated from the listed total and rushing averages.

Chicago defense: 313.4 total yards allowed, including 225.9 passing and 87.6 rushing; 20.4 points allowed.

Seattle offense: 343.3 total yards, including 229.6 net passing and 113.7 rushing; 24.0 points.

Seattle defense: Approximately 233.9 total yards allowed, including 144.4 passing and 89.4 rushing; 17.9 points allowed.  

 =

Key injuries and personnel updates

Chicago:

  • RB Kyle Monangai — Out, thumb/toe. His absence removes an efficient complement to Swift.
  • TE Cole Kmet — Season-ending knee injury. Chicago loses an important blocker and receiving option.
  • CB Malik Muhammad — Questionable, toe.
  • LB D’Marco Jackson — Questionable, ankle.

Chicago also expects DT Jeffery Simmons to make his Bears debut following his acquisition from Tennessee, while DE Montez Sweat returns from suspension. These are meaningful additions against a Seattle line missing its starting left tackle.  

Seattle:

  • LT Charles Cross — Out, ankle. The most consequential Seattle absence.
  • WR Rashid Shaheed — Out, knee.
  • RB Velus Jones Jr. — Out, hamstring.
  • OLB Uchenna Nwosu — Doubtful, ankle.
  • G Anthony Bradford — Questionable, knee.
  • QB Drew Lock — Questionable, right elbow.
  • LB Patrick O’Connell — Questionable, toe.
  • DT Brandon Pili — Questionable, back.
  • RB Zach Charbonnet — Cleared to return following ACL rehabilitation.
  • RB Jadarian Price — Medically cleared, but activation from injured reserve is still required to play.  

EPA analytics

EPA measures how much a play changes a team’s expected points. Positive offensive EPA is better; negative defensive EPA allowed is better.

  • Chicago offense: +0.047 EPA/play, 12th.
  • Seattle defense: -0.131 EPA/play allowed, second.
  • Seattle offense: -0.040 EPA/play, 21st.
  • Chicago defense: -0.002 EPA/play allowed, 16th.
  • Offensive success rate: Chicago 46.7%, Seattle 42.1%.
  • Quarterback EPA/dropback: Williams +0.317, Darnold -0.008.  

Weather

The stadium-specific forecast calls for approximately 50°F at kickoff, falling into the upper 40s, with light winds and dry conditions.  

Prop Bets

First TD scorer
+550

Anytime TD scorer

Cooper Kupp  +295

Jadarian Price +340

Rome Odunze  +280

 

College Basketball Betting Previews:

MIAMI VS. FLORIDA — 6 p.m., ESPN2, Tampa

Market: Florida -4.5; 161.5.   

2025–26 baseline: Florida went 27–8, averaging 87.1 points and allowing 71.5. Miami went 26–9, averaging 81.5 and allowing 71.3. Florida returns approximately 82% of its scoring, compared with 49% for Miami.  

Florida’s frontcourt continuity is its strongest opening-night advantage. Thomas Haugh, Alex Condon and Rueben Chinyelu give the Gators established scoring, rebounding and interior passing. Miami counters with Malik Reneau, who averaged 18.9 points and 6.5 rebounds, plus returning forward Shelton Henderson and transfer point guard Acaden Lewis.

The Gators’ own preview identifies a concern beneath the starting lineup: their bench was outscored 61–7 across two exhibitions. Miami beat Vanderbilt 109–96 in an exhibition, evidence of scoring potential but not a regular-season efficiency sample.  

Availability: Florida’s Boogie Fland is expected to play after headaches; CJ Ingram is not expected to play because of a back issue. Miami’s Marcus Allen is out for the season, while LJ Cason is expected to medical-redshirt following ACL rehabilitation. 

Florida: The Gators bring back an unusually experienced foundation:

  • F Thomas Haugh: 17.1/6.1/2.1.
  • F/C Alex Condon: 15.1/7.5/3.6.
  • C Rueben Chinyelu: 10.9/11.2/0.7.
  • G Boogie Fland: 11.6/2.5/3.5.

That combination provides established interior scoring, rebounding and passing. Condon’s assists are especially valuable against teams that double the post. www.thelowpost.com

Key transfer: G Denzel Aberdeen returns from Kentucky, where he averaged 13.5/2.5/3.4 and started 35 games. His familiarity with Florida’s program should ease the transition. UK Athletics

Miami: Returning forwards **Malik Reneau—18.9/6.5/2.1—and Shelton Henderson—13.8/4.9/2.1—**give the Hurricanes proven production against high-level competition. PG Acaden Lewis, a Villanova transfer, averaged 12.2/3.0/5.3. His ability to organize possessions is a major addition. www.thelowpost.com

Miami also added Georgia C Somto Cyril, who averaged 2.2 blocks, and talented freshman forward Caleb Gaskins. Cyril gives Miami a more credible answer to Florida’s size; Gaskins adds athleticism and another potential scoring option

PURDUE VS. GONZAGA — 7:30 p.m., TNT/truTV/HBO Max, Las Vegas

Market: Gonzaga  -5.5, total 155.5.  

Purdue enters with a substantially different roster and no preseason All-Big Ten selection. Caden Pierce adds an experienced piece, while Gonzaga’s Braden Huff and Xaivian Lee create familiar connections: Pierce and Huff were high-school teammates, and Pierce previously played with Lee at Princeton.  

Availability: Gonzaga’s Davis Fogle returned to the starting lineup in its latest exhibition after a leg issue. Izan Almansa has been cleared, while Chauncey Wiggins remained ineligible in the latest retrieved report.

Purdue: The returning backcourt has experience, although much of it came in complementary roles:

  • G C.J. Cox: 8.5/2.8/1.3.
  • G Gicarri Harris: 4.6/1.6/0.8.
  • G Omer Mayer: 5.5/1.1/1.2.
  • C Daniel Jacobsen: 5.5/3.0/0.3.

The question is how efficiently those players handle larger responsibilities. Freshman guard Luke Ertel and freshman big man Sinan Huan are among the newcomers to monitor. After The Timeout

Key transfer: F Caden Pierce arrives from Princeton, where he played three seasons before redshirting in 2025–26. His older statistics should not be presented as last season’s production. He adds experienced rebounding, passing and positional versatility. Official Athletics Website

Gonzaga: Returning frontcourt scorer Braden Huff averaged 17.8/5.6/1.5, while Davis Fogle contributed 8.6/3.1/1.3. The Bulldogs supplemented them with:

  • PG Javon Bennett, Dayton: 15.8/2.2/2.9.
  • PG Xaivian Lee, Florida: 11.6/3.7/4.2.
  • C Massamba Diop, Arizona State: 13.6/5.8/1.1, plus 2.1 blocks.

Freshmen Luca Foster and Sam Funches add perimeter and interior depth.

OHIO STATE VS. BYU — 9 p.m., FS1, Salt Lake City

Market: BYU -3.5, total 160.5.  

2025–26 baseline: Ohio State finished 21–13, scoring 79.3 and allowing 72.6 per game. BYU finished 23–12, scoring 83.5 and allowing 75.4. Returning scoring is limited on both sides: approximately 33% for Ohio State and 26% for BYU. BYU’s Robert Wright III averaged 18.1 points and 4.6 assists; Ohio State’s John Mobley Jr. averaged 15.7 points

Ohio State beat Butler 82–73 in its final exhibition. Its opener preview highlights transfer guard Justin Pippen, returning forward Amare Bynum, and highly rated freshman Anthony Thompson as important pieces around Mobley.

Availability: Mobley’s ankle is the primary game-time concern. His status was uncertain in the latest reporting. BYU’s Jaxon Kohler has an injunction allowing him to play; Dawson Baker and Brody Kozlowski have been working back from injuries.  

Ohio State: Returning starters **G John Mobley Jr.—15.7/2.4/2.8—and F Amare Bynum—9.7/4.9/1.1—**are the foundation. Transfers **Justin Pippen—14.2/3.9/4.6—and Jimmie Williams—15.1/4.5/2.6—**supply additional ball handling and scoring.  

Key freshman: F Anthony Thompson averaged 24.9 points, 7.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists at Western Reserve Academy last season. The 6-foot-9 wing is a five-star recruit whose shooting and length could make him an immediate contributor. Freshman guard LJ Smith is another perimeter option. 

BYU: Returning point guard Robert Wright III averaged 18.1/3.5/4.6. He is the most established offensive organizer in this matchup. Important transfers include F Jaxon Kohler—12.5/8.9/1.3 at Michigan State—and G Collin Chandler—9.7/2.8/2.3.  

Key freshman: Bruce Branch III averaged 14.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.5 assists in BYU’s two exhibitions. Those are exhibition numbers, but the passing production suggests he can contribute beyond scoring. At the summer FIBA U18 AmeriCup, he averaged 8.6/8.6/1.8 for the United States.  

ARIZONA VS. UCLA — 10 p.m., TNT/truTV/HBO Max, Las Vegas

Market: Arizona approximately –5.5, with totals 150.5 across retrieved feeds.

2025–26 baseline: Arizona went 36–3, scoring 86.2 and allowing 69.4. UCLA went 24–12, scoring 77.1 and allowing 71.1. Arizona returns approximately 24% of its scoring, compared with UCLA’s 45%.  

Arizona’s returning foundation is Motiejus Krivas and Ivan Kharchenkov, who each averaged 10.4 points last season. Krivas blocked 73 shots and enters as the Big 12 preseason player of the year. Freshman Caleb Holt averaged 17.7 points across three exhibitions, giving the Wildcats an additional perimeter scoring threat 

UCLA’s established contributors include Trent Perry and Eric Dailey Jr. The Bruins need reliable guard play and defensive rebounding to keep Arizona from generating repeated transition and second-chance opportunities.

Availability: Arizona forward RJ Godfrey remained ineligible in the latest retrieved eligibility update.    

Arizona: Returning starters **C Motiejus Krivas—10.4/8.2/1.1—and F Ivan Kharchenkov—10.4/4.3/2.3—**provide the interior and defensive foundation. Transfers **G Derek Dixon—6.5/2.3/2.7 at North Carolina—and G JJ Mandaquit—5.2/2.1/3.2—**help replace the departed backcourt.  

Key freshman: G Caleb Holt averaged 17.7 points across three exhibitions, leading Arizona. He is an important source of potential offensive upside. Freshman wing Cameron Holmes adds another talented perimeter option.  

UCLA: The returning group includes:

  • G Trent Perry: 12.6/3.0/2.8.
  • F Eric Dailey Jr.: 11.6/5.8/1.3.
  • C Xavier Booker: 7.3/3.5/0.8.

**Texas Tech transfer Jaylen Petty—9.9/3.9/2.2—**adds backcourt experience, while Filip Jovic and Sergej Macura bolster the frontcourt.  

Key freshman: F Nikola Kusturica averaged 24.6 points and 6.9 rebounds in seven games for Serbia at the summer FIBA U17 World Cup. That is international youth production, but it illustrates his scoring potential.

OTHER RANKED TEAMS ON MONDAY

Duke vs. Army: Duke returns Caleb Foster—8.3/3.5/2.8; Dame Sarr—6.4/3.8/1.1; Cayden Boozer—7.7/2.3/3.0; and Patrick Ngongba II, who averaged 10.1 points. **Wisconsin transfer John Blackwell—19.1/5.1/2.3—**is the major established scoring addition.  

Freshmen Joaquim Boumtje Boumtje, Cameron Williams and Deron Rippey Jr. give Duke considerable upside. Boumtje Boumtje is the ACC preseason rookie of the year. Foster has returned from an ankle injury; transfer Drew Scharnowski’s knee recovery leaves his early availability uncertain. Army counters with returning guard Ryan Curry—13.3/4.1/4.5.  

Illinois vs. FDU: Returning contributors include David Mirkovic—13.3/8.0/2.6; Andrej Stojakovic—13.5/4.5/1.0; and Tomislav Ivisic—10.4/5.6/1.6. **Providence transfer Stefan Vaaks—15.8/2.5/3.2—**adds a proven perimeter scorer. Freshman Quentin Coleman is the leading newcomer to watch. 

Important update: Mirkovic will miss the opener following an emergency appendectomy, in addition to his ongoing recovery from foot surgery. Stojakovic and Zvonimir Ivisic have been cleared to return. Illinois’ normal frontcourt rating needs an adjustment for Mirkovic’s absence.  

UConn vs. Gardner-Webb: Returning starters **Silas Demary Jr.—10.1/4.5/5.9—and Braylon Mullins—12.0/3.5/1.4—**give UConn an experienced backcourt. Seton Hall transfer Na’jai Hines averaged 6.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.2 blocks. 

Duke transfer Nik Khamenia averaged 13.0 points and 8.3 rebounds in UConn’s exhibitions. Freshman Colben Landrew, the Big East preseason freshman of the year, averaged 12.0 exhibition points; fellow freshman Junior County also figures into the rotation. Solo Ball remains out following wrist surgery. 

Michigan State vs. Quinnipiac: Returning starters **PG Jeremy Fears Jr.—15.2/2.4/9.4—and F Coen Carr—12.0/5.4/1.2—**are joined by returning rotation players Jordan Scott—5.8/3.1/1.2—and Kur Teng—7.3/2.0/1.0. **Charlotte transfer C Anton Bonke—10.6/8.3/1.0—**adds size and rebounding.  

Freshmen Jasiah Jervis, Ethan Taylor and Carlos Medlock Jr. add depth around an experienced core. Fears’ established playmaking makes Michigan State less dependent on freshmen to organize its offense.  

Texas vs. Chicago State: C Matas Vokietaitis—15.6/7.1/0.6—is the lone returning starter. Key transfers are PG Isaiah Johnson—16.9/2.9/3.0 at Colorado—and F David Punch—14.1/6.8/2.0 at TCU.  

Freshmen Marcus Spears Jr. and Austin Goosby are central to Texas’ ceiling. Transfer G Mikey Lewis—13.9/2.7/2.1 last season—is expected out until approximately December following foot surgery. His absence increases the early burden on Johnson and the young guards.  

Houston vs. La Salle: Returning defensive anchor Joseph Tugler averaged 8.4/5.3/1.3. LSU transfer PG Dedan Thomas Jr. averaged approximately 15.3 points and 6.4 assists, while Kent State transfer Delrecco Gillespie posted 17.7/11.3/1.7. Freshmen C Arafan Diané and G Ikenna Alozie add size and athleticism. 

Houston has imported substantial production, but how Thomas and Gillespie function against stronger competition matters more than adding their old scoring averages together.

Louisville vs. Chattanooga: The Cardinals’ rotation is heavily rebuilt. Transfers **PG Jackson Shelstad—15.6/2.9/4.9 at Oregon; G Seth Trimble—14.0/3.8/3.0; and C Flory Bidunga—13.3/9.0/1.5 at Kansas—**form the new foundation.  

Freshman center Obinna Ekezie Jr. scored 16 points with five blocks in the Kansas exhibition. Louisville’s frontcourt depth is promising, but the new backcourt’s defensive coordination is still an early-season evaluation point. 

St. John’s vs. Monmouth: Returning guard Ian Jackson averaged 9.4 points. The biggest addition is Baylor transfer Tounde Yessoufou—17.8/5.9/1.6. International newcomer Quinn Ellis is expected to run the offense; freshman big man Theo Edema adds interior depth.  

Syracuse transfer Donnie Freeman suffered an Achilles injury requiring surgery, a significant frontcourt concern. Monmouth has a credible returning interior player in Stefanos Spartalis—10.7 points and 5.1 rebounds.  

Michigan vs. Oakland: Returning guards **Elliot Cadeau—10.5/2.7/5.9—and Trey McKenney—9.9/2.8/0.9—**lead the defending champions. Transfers **Kenny Noland—17.1/3.4/3.7 at Columbia—and Moustapha Thiam—12.8/7.1/0.5 at Cincinnati—**replace important lost production.  

Freshman Quinn Costello adds frontcourt upside, but the freshman group has been affected by injuries to Brandon McCoy Jr., Lincoln Cosby and Joseph Hartman. Michigan also begins under new head coach Mike Boynton Jr.  

Iowa State vs. Memphis: Returning guards **Tamin Lipsey—13.5/3.9/5.1—and Killyan Toure—8.6/3.5/2.3—**provide continuity. Transfers **Jaquan Johnson—16.9/3.9/3.6—and Ryan Prather Jr.—15.7/3.9/3.6—**supply additional perimeter production. Freshman Christian Wiggins adds another backcourt option.  

Memphis’ important transfers include Tylik Weeks—19.7/5.4/2.3 at Southern Miss—and Jayden Reid—10.1/1.4/5.0 at Northwestern. Iowa State’s established defensive structure faces a Memphis team with experienced individual scorers but substantial roster turnover.  

Texas Tech vs. Jackson State: Returning starters **JT Toppin—21.8/10.8/2.1—and Donovan Atwell—13.5/3.2/0.8—**are the foundation on paper. Transfers **Cruz Davis—20.1/3.7/4.7 at Hofstra; Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn—20.7/3.1/2.5 at UNLV; and Darrion Williams—14.0/4.6/2.8 at NC State—**add substantial offense.  

Freshman DaKari Spear is a notable perimeter addition. Toppin is still rehabilitating his season-ending injury and should not be treated as available without confirmation. Jackson State’s returning guard **Daeshun Ruffin—23.3/2.8/5.3—**is a legitimate scoring threat.  

Vanderbilt vs. Bellarmine: Returning star PG Tyler Tanner averaged 19.5/3.6/5.1. Transfers **Ace Glass—16.4/3.0/2.3—and Bangot Dak—11.5/6.5/1.4—**help replace departed scoring. Freshmen Gabe Nesmith and Ethan Mgbako are among the young pieces to watch.  

Tanner gives Vanderbilt an established late-clock creator, but this is a young roster whose defensive consistency must be demonstrated.

Kansas vs. Fordham: Returning veterans **Melvin Council Jr.—12.7/5.0/5.1—and Tre White—13.5/6.7/1.8—**provide experience around freshman star Tyran Stokes. Transfer **Keanu Dawes—12.5/8.8/2.2—**adds rebounding and frontcourt versatility. 

Stokes averaged 31.0 points, 13.0 rebounds and 6.0 assists at Rainier Beach High School, then 18.7 points and 7.0 rebounds across Kansas’ three exhibitions. Freshman guard Taylen Kinney is another important newcomer. Stokes’ readiness is one of the most consequential freshman variables on Monday’s board.

USC vs. Milwaukee: Returning contributors **Rodney Rice—20.3/3.3/6.0; Alijah Arenas—14.1/2.9/2.1; and Jacob Cofie—9.9/6.8/1.9—**give USC a productive core, although injuries prevented the group from playing together consistently last season.

**Georgetown transfer KJ Lewis—14.9/5.1/2.5—and South Dakota transfer Isaac Bruns—20.8/5.1/1.3—**add experience. Freshman Christian Collins supplies major upside. The early question is how the scoring pieces share possessions and defend together.

 

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