ATS: Thursday Night Football Betting Previews for Oct. 15

ATS: Thursday Night Football Betting Previews for Oct. 15


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NFL — SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT DENVER BRONCOS
8:15 PM ET | Prime Video | Empower Field at Mile High
Seattle -2½ | Total 40½

Records: Seattle 3–2 SU, 2–3 ATS, 3–2 O/U; Denver 3–2 SU, 3–2 ATS, 1–4 O/U.  

Last-game recaps

Seattle: Lost at home to San Francisco 32-29. Four turnovers gave away scoring opportunities and helped the 49ers generate 21 points off takeaways. Sam Darnold also absorbed five sacks. Jaxon Smith-Njigba produced 102 receiving yards and a touchdown, but Seattle’s protection and ball security undermined its offensive production.  

Denver: Won 23–17 at the Chargers despite limited passing production. Bo Nix finished with 123 passing yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. Defensive takeaways helped  

Quarterback matchup

 Season passing yardsTD–INTPasser ratingLast game
Sam Darnold, Seattle7557–590.3118/29, 195 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
Bo Nix, Denver9426–380.8416/27, 123 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT

Offense versus defense

 Seattle offenseDenver defense allowsDenver offenseSeattle defense allows
Total yards328.0347.4269.0251.2
Rushing yards106.0145.286.2100.4
Passing yards222.0202.2182.8150.8
Points26.822.219.421.0

Seattle ranks first in total and passing yards allowed in the cited preview, while Denver ranks 30th in total offense.  

Seattle with the ball: Denver’s secondary absences create opportunities for Smith-Njigba and the supporting receivers. Seattle should also have reason to stay patient with the run against a defense allowing 145.2 rushing yards per game. Can Denver pressure Darnold without committing extra rushers and exposing its replacement defensive backs?

Denver with the ball: Long, methodical drives look difficult against Seattle’s defensive profile. Denver needs to avoid negative plays, use quick throws and generate favorable field position. Seattle’s missing starting linebacker gives Denver a matchup to test with its backs and underneath routes, although that alone does not erase the broader statistical disadvantage.

Final injury updates

Seattle:

  • RB Zach Charbonnet — out, knee/ACL rehabilitation. His absence limits backfield depth and leaves more responsibility with the available runners.
  • LB Drake Thomas — out, ankle. Tyrice Knight will replace him alongside Ernest Jones IV.
  • LB Chazz Surratt — out, calf. Primarily a depth and special-teams loss.

Denver:

  • CB Patrick Surtain II — out, ankle. A major loss against Seattle’s receiving corps.
  • S Talanoa Hufanga — out, ankle. Further weakens coverage flexibility and run support.
  • CB Riley Moss — questionable, ribs. Limited throughout the week; his availability is the major remaining defensive personnel question.

Weather: Updated reporting points to temperatures falling through the 40s, with one forecast near 52°F at kickoff and northeast winds around 10 mph.

Key Trends: Sea is: 1)2-6 ATS last 8 Thursday games. 2)6-1 ATS last 7 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Den is: 1)1-6 ATS last 7 Thursday games. 2)1-4 ATS last 5 in Week 6. 3)5-1 Under last 6 overall. 4)8-2 Under last 10 in Week 6.   

Prop Bets:

First TD Scorer

Jaxon Smith-Njigba +550

Anytime TD Scorer

Jaylen Waddle +240

Emmanuel Wilson +120

Courtland Sutton +265

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
7:30 PM ET | ESPN2 | Georgia Southern -3½ | Total 47½

Records: Georgia Southern 2–4 SU, 5–1 ATS, 3–3 O/U; Old Dominion 2–4 SU, 1–5 ATS, 3–3 O/U.

Last games: Georgia Southern lost to James Madison 27-24 but covered as a 7½-point home underdog. ODU won at Appalachian State 10-3, covering as an 8½-point underdog.

QB matchup: Max Johnson’s supplied season line is 66.1% completions, 1,572 yards and 11 TD/2 INT. He went 26-of-38 for 343 yards and three touchdowns against JMU. Quinn Henicle’s numbers are 54.5%, 570 passing yards, 3 TD/4 INT, plus 323 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. He threw for only 97 yards with two interceptions against Appalachian State. Henicle’s availability is now a central concern.

Updated injuries:

  • Georgia Southern: WR A. Hollins remains out with a season-ending shoulder injury. WR J. Ware and RB D. Mbadinga are listed out with undisclosed injuries. QB W. Bryan is listed probable.
  • Old Dominion: QB Quinn Henicle is questionable with an undisclosed injury. WR J. Harrell is listed out;  

Offense/defense: Georgia Southern averages 120.0 rushing and 275.8 passing yards, scoring 24.7 PPG; it allows 136.5 rushing, 199.3 passing and 24.3 PPG. ODU averages 122.5 rushing, 143.5 passing and 18.2 PPG; it allows 138.2 rushing, 186.0 passing and 27.5 PPG.

2025 meeting: Old Dominion won 45–10, covering -9½; the game stayed Under 61½.

Key Trends: Georgia Southern 7–1 ATS in its last eight and 7–1–1 ATS following a straight-up loss. ODU 0–4 ATS in its last four home games, with the Under 7–1 in its last eight at home.


East Carolina at UAB
7:30 PM ET | ESPN | East Carolina -4½ | Total 47½

Records: East Carolina 3–2 SU, 2–3 ATS, 1–4 O/U; UAB 3–3 SU, 2–4 ATS, 1–5 O/U.

Last games: ECU defeated Rice 28–12, covering -9½ at home. UAB lost at Memphis 38-13 and failed to cover +15½.

QB matchup: Emory Williams’ is  completing 64.9% of his passes for 529 yards and 5 TD/1 INT; he went 19-of-31 for 143 yards and two touchdowns against Rice. Ryder Burton’s line is 55.4%, 922 yards and 4 TD/5 INT; he finished 10-of-20 for 131 yards and an interception at Memphis.

Updated injuries: ECU WR J. Melvin remains questionable with a back injury. UAB TE A. Ferguson remains questionable with an undisclosed injury.  

Offense/defense: ECU averages 148.8 rushing and 195.2 passing yards, scoring 24.8 PPG; it allows 146.8 rushing, 172.6 passing and 22.6 PPG. UAB averages 179.5 rushing, 155.8 passing and 22.2 PPG; it allows 190.8 rushing, 126.0 passing and 25.8 PPG.

Trends from your draft: ECU is 7–2–1 ATS in its last 10 road games. UAB has gone Under in five straight overall and four straight at home.  The Blazers are 2-8 ATS last 10 in October. and 5-0 Under last 5 after an ATS loss.


Colorado State at Texas State
8:00 PM ET | CBSSN | Texas State -14½ | Total 69½–70

Records: Colorado State 2–3 SU, 3–2 ATS, 5–0 O/U; Texas State 2–3 SU, 2–3 ATS, 4–1 O/U.

Last games: CSU lost  to Oregon State on October 3, 56-26, failing to cover +6½. Texas State lost 31–29 at San Diego State that day, failing to cover -9½. Both enter following a bye.

QB matchup: K’Saan Farrar’s season line is 61.2% completions, 649 yards and 3 TD/2 INT; he threw for 178 yards and a touchdown against Oregon State. Brad Jackson is completing 66.7% of his passes for 1,226 yards and 13 TD/5 INT, plus 186 rushing yards. Jackson threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns, with two interceptions, at San Diego State.

Updated injuries:

  • Colorado State: Hauss Hejny will not start because of a hamstring injury, according to an October 13 report relaying ESPN’s Pete Thamel.  
  • CSU WR R. Vick is questionable; . WR T. Foster and TE G. Houser remain listed out, although their accompanying notes reference the previous game.
  • Texas State: TE B. Smith is questionable with a foot injury; RB D. Jackson is listed out. TE C. Snodgrass remains listed out. WR K. Evans and LB J. Sample still carry older questionable listings referencing October 3; 

Offense/defense: CSU averages 175.2 rushing and 273.2 passing yards, scoring 37.4 PPG; it allows 228.6 rushing, 264.6 passing and 38.6 PPG. Texas State averages 263.6 rushing, 268.0 passing and 34.8 PPG; it allows 122.8 rushing, 300.4 passing and 33.2 PPG.

Key Trends: CSU 6–1 ATS following a bye and 4-0 Over last 4 games overall. Texas State 4–1 ATS in its last five home games, 7-1 ATS last 8 Thursday games and 0-5 ATS last 5 after a bye  week.

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The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol.8 (Oct 14-19) is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

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Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs win again for the week! Don’t miss another profitable postseason.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 14 weeks. Has won nearly 40 units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey wins big for the week as average clients win up to $6,000! We crushed it at the end of last season.  
  • ATS All-Sports Program continues to roll (hockey, football, baseball). 
  • Basketball tips off on October 20 with the NBA and Nov. 2 in College Basketball. Don’t miss this season as the Lock Club is projected to set records!
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