NCAA Championship Basketball Game Betting Preview

The national championship game goes at 8:50pmET from Indiana, featuring No. 1 seed Michigan vs. No. 2 seed UConn from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The game will be broadcast on TBS/tru/HBO Max.

UConn (34-5, 17-22 ATS, 18-21 O/U) vs. Michigan (36-3, 19-20 ATS, 17-22 O/U) 

Odds: (from DK). Michigan -6.5. Total: 144.5. Money line: Michigan -298; UConn +240.  

Prop Bets: Final Four Most Outstanding Player Best Bet:  Aday Mara (Michigan) +220. Longshot: Silas Demary Jr. +800

We’re finally here at the end of the college basketball season and another strong NCAA Tournament. The Final Four was not special after some great games in the Elite Eight. UConn handled Illinois by nine as a 1.5-point dog, while Michigan dominated No. 1 Arizona 91-73 as a 1.5-point underdog. UConn is going for its seventh NCAA title and third for Danny Hurley/.  Michigan is looking at its second and the first for Dusty May. The Wolverines are 1-6 in the national title games. 

UConn (9th KenPom, 27th in Adjusted Offense, 9th in Adjusted Defense, 319th in Adjusted Tempo). UConn beat No. 3 Illinois in the semifinal and dominated the game as a slight underdog. Tarris Reed Jr. dominated a big Illini frontcourt with 17 points and 11 rebounds, while Braylon Mullins, the hero in the Elite Eight, added 15 points on four 3-pointers. But it was the UConn defense that was the most impressive, holding a very good Illini offense (ranked first on KenPom) to just 34% shooting from the field and 23% from beyond the arc. They were outrebounded by nine. The Huskies arrived in Indianapolis by beating Furman by 11, UCLA by 16, No. 3 Michigan State by four, and No. 1 Duke 73-72 in one of the most incredible finishes in the history of the NCAA Tournament. Mullins nailed a 35-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to lead the Huskies to the come-from-behind win. UConn did not play well, shooting just 5 of 23 from beyond the arc (22%), and Mullins was 0-for-5 from 3-point range before he made that big shot. But Tarris Reed Jr. was phenomenal against Duke, dominating the paint with 26 points, nine rebounds, and four blocks. Alex Karaban, who went 2 for 10 against the Blue Devils, is having a great tournament, averaging 17.8 points on 39% shooting from 3-point range despite that poor shooting performance. But with the size of the Illini, they will need players like Silas Demary Jr. (39% 3pt), Karaban (38% 3pt in the regular season), and Mullins (33.7% 3pt reg season) to step up from the perimeter.

Strengths: Dan Hurley is one of the best coaches in the nation—very balanced scoring. Defense is elite, and they shoot 48.1% from the field. Reed can compete against any big man and is stronger than Mara. Just beat one very good Big 10 team. Weakness: Three-point shooting is mediocre for an elite team (35.2%, overall). Offense can be susceptible to droughts. 

Michigan (1st KenPom, 4th Adjusted Offense, 1st Adjusted Defense, 22nd in Adjusted Tempo) blew the doors off of Arizona on Saturday night. That was despite losing star Yaxel Lendeborg for most of the game due to an MCL strain. He played just 15 minutes, scoring 11 points, while 7-3 center Aday Mara led the way with 26 points and nine rebounds. Lendeborg returned after going back to the locker room multiple times, despite (reportedly) the urges of family members to sit out. The Wolverines managed to shoot 44% (12 of 27) from 3-point range and went +12 in the rebounding margin against a top-five rebounding squad. 

Michigan arrived at the Final Four after destroying No. 6 Tennessee 95-62, No. 4 Alabama (90-77), Saint Louis (75-72), and Howard (101-80). They were defeated by Purdue in the Big 10 title game 80-72 as a 4.5-point favorite.

The Wolverines have a very talented squad, led by Lendeborg, who had 27 points and seven rebounds last Sunday against Tennessee. He is one of the best all-around players in the nation, averaging 15.1 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks, while shooting 52.3% from the field and 38.3% from beyond the arc. Mara (12.2ppg, 2.6bpg, 6.8rpg) has plenty of perimeter help led by UNC transfer Elliott Cadeau at the point, averaging 10.3 points and 5.9 assists, while shooting 37% from three-point range.

Michigan also has several players who might be taken in the first round of the NBA, along with Mara, Lendeborg and Morez Johnson (6-9, 250), who averages 13.1 points and 7.3 rebounds, while shooting 62.1% from the field. In terms of guards. Lendeborg is expected to play on Monday

Strengths: Size. They are eighth in rebound rate.  Number one in the nation in field goal defense (38.4%). Weaknesses: Not many. Guards are good, but they don’t have an explosive scorer.  They are 288th in defensive turnover rate.

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Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Championship game included.

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2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
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Results from Seattle on March 28*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER–

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A Betting Guide for MMA

A Betting Guide for MMA

Some people only like to bet on team sports, but sharp bettors realize that a sport like UFC can be very profitable. Unlike boxing, UFC has a consistent schedule, where there is a card nearly every Saturday. Research is key because the better fighter doesn’t always win. They say styles make fights, and that’s important in UFC. Is he or she a wrestler or a striker? Wrestlers often control fights. The goal is not to just pick who has the best record.

  • Ground experts dominate through control and submissions.
  • Strikers dominate through damage and knockouts.
  • Complete fighters who combine both tend to reach the top in today’s UFC.
GROUND: Wrestling, Brazilian jiu-jitsu, control on the mat.
 
STRIKERS: Boxing, kickboxing, Muay Thai
 

Top Betting options:

1)Money Line

This is the most basic bet in MMA. If you lay -125 on a fighter, that means a winning bet of $125 would net $100 in addition to your initial stake. If you bet the underdog at +110, that would mean a winning bet of $100 would win $110 in addition to your initial stake. If you have a +200 odds, that means a better would have to place a $100 wager to receive a $200 profit if the wager was successful. A -200 odds means that a bettor would have to play a $100 bet to receive a $50 profit if the wager was successful.

2)Over/Under Rounds or Round Totals

The key to this bet is to wager on how long the fight will last. For example, let’s say a round total is set at 1.5 rounds. If you bet the under, then you think that the fight will end before 2:30 of the second round. If the O/U set is at 2.5, then go under if you think the fight will end in the first round. If you think it will end up longer than 2:30 into the third round, then the over is the play. It’s important to pay attention to whether the fight is scheduled for three or five rounds.

Also, make sure you know the history of both fighters and how they finish a fight, and how they have been finished. If you get a fight where two fighters who have never been stopped in their career, the value is on the over. However, if you have two big finishers, then you may consider the under.

3)Method of victory.

You can wager on the exact outcome of the fight. Whether it’s a KO, TKO, submission, or a judge’s decision. The judge’s decision is a difficult one to wager as you have to rely on all three judges’ scores to determine the winner.

4)MMA Parlay: These can be very profitable, but as with most parlays, you need to get all the outcomes selected correctly. You can choose four different fighters on a UFC card to win all their fights via a moneyline bet and parlay them. There are also SGP (Same Game Parlay) bets, which are structured around the same fight in MMA betting. Let’s say you pick Fighter A, and you want him to win by a decision, but also have the most significant strikes and most knockdowns in a fight. That would be an SGP bet and a profitable one if all legs hit.

5)Prop Bets

There are many different prop bets, including: 1)The number of significant strikes landed. 2)Number of submissions in the fight. 3)How many takedowns will be landed in the fight? 4)Whether the fight will be a unanimous decision. Not every prop will be available for every fight. Most props will be listed until a day or two prior to the event.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). We’re up again this week in the Financial Program after winning six of seven weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Final Four and Championship game included.

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2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
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ATS CRUSHES AGAIN in UFC from Seattle this past Saturday, Hitting the Top 4 Fights!

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LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Final Four Betting Preview: Michigan vs. Arizona

Final Four Betting Preview

The Final Four is headed for Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday, where we’ll have No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 2 UConn at 6:0pmET and No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 1 Michigan at 8:49pmET on TBS.

In terms of odds, Illinois is a 2.5-point favorite, and the total is 139.5. The money line is Illinois -130. Michigan is a 1.5-point favorite in the second game, and the total is 157.5. Michigan is -122 on the money line. Here is a link to the first preview of UConn/Illinois.

Michigan (35-3, 18-20 ATS, 16-22 O/U) vs. Arizona (36-2, 23-15 ATS, 19-19 O/U)

Michigan is the favorite to win the title (+170), according to DraftKings, while Arizona (+180) is the second favorite.

Michigan (1st KenPom, 5th Adjusted Offense, 1st Adjusted Defense) arrives at the Final Four after destroying No. 6 Tennessee 95-62, No. 4 Alabama (90-77), Saint Louis (75-72) and Howard (101-80). They were defeated by Purdue in the Big 10 title game 80-72 as a 4.5-point favorite.

The Wolverines have a very talented squad, led by 6-9 Yexel Lendenborg, who had 27 points and seven rebounds on Sunday against the Vols. He’s averaging 21 points per game, 7.3 rebounds, and 4.3 assists in this tournament, while shooting 59.2% from beyond the arc. Michigan might not have a superstar, but they have several players who might be taken in the first round of the NBA. One of them is 7-3 Aday Mara, who averages 11.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 2.6 blocks. Morez Johnson (6-9, 250) is another potential first-rounder who averages 13.7 points and 7.4 rebounds, while shooting 64.3% from the field. In terms of guards, Elliott Cadeau (9.9ppg, 5.5apg) runs the show, and as a junior, who also played at North Carolina, should be fine in this moment. *(Check on Cadeau’s status. Apparently, he had an allergic reaction to something he ate on Wednesday.

Strengths: Sixth in the country in field goal shooting. Size. They are eighth in rebound rate.  Number one in the nation in field goal defense (38.4%). Weaknesses: Guards are good, but they don’t have an explosive scorer like Jaden Bradley, Keaton Wagler, or Silas Demary Jr.  They are 288th in defensive turnover rate.

Arizona (2nd KenPom, 4th Adjusted Offense, 2nd Adjusted Defense) comes to the Final Four after winning 13 straight games. That includes a dominant performance over Big 10 champ Purdue (79-64), which was the second seed. They also crushed No. 4 Arkansas (109-88), beat Utah State by 12 and demolished LIU (92-58). This is Arizona’s first trip to the Final Four in 25 years. Guard Jaden Bradley, who was named Big 12 Player of the Year, has been ordinary in the tournament, averaging 13.3 points and 3.8 assists, while shooting 44.7% from the field (33.3% 3pt). But he’s normally a 39% three-point shooter. Guard Brayden Burries leads the Wildcats with 16 points per game and shoots 39.2% from the field. Arizona has the better guard play. Now the question is whether they can neutralize Michigan’s size. It helps to have freshman forward Koa Peat (6-8, 235), who averages 13.7 points along with 5.5 rebounds. Motiejus Krivas (7-2, 260) and Mara should be a war in the middle. He’s averaging 10.4 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.9 blocks. An x-factor is Tobe Awaka (6-8, 250), who is a great rebounder with 9.3 per game in just 21.1 minutes per game.

Strengths: Rebounding (6th in total rebounding percentage). They shoot 50.3% from the field. Weaknesses: Three-point shooting (36.7%) is good, but not great. In conference play, they were worse at 33.2%. If you can slow down their game in the paint, Arizona takes just 26.4% of its shots from 3-point range, which is one of the lowest marks in the nation.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). We’re up again this week in the Financial Program after winning six of seven weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Final Four and Championship game included.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
    ____________________________________________________

ATS CRUSHES AGAIN in UFC from Seattle this past Saturday, Hitting the Top 4 Fights!

*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

Back in VEGAS at the APEX this weekend with a MAIN CARD and some big value opportunities in the Prelims!

Get with an ATS Specialist ASAP to talk about this Saturday:UFC Fight NightMOICANO VS DUNCAN!

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Final Four Betting Preview: UConn vs. Illinois

Final Four Betting Preview

The Final Four is headed for Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis on Saturday, where we’ll have No. 3 Illinois vs. No. 2 UConn at 6:0pmET and No. 1 Arizona vs. No. 1 Michigan at 8:49pmET on TBS.

In terms of odds, Illinois is a 2.5-point favorite and the total is 139.5. The money line is Illinois -130. Michigan is a 1.5-point favorite in the second game and the total is 157.5. Michigan is -122 on the money line. On Thursday, I’ll have the second Final Four Game preview.

Illinois (28-8, 21-15 ATS, 14-22 O/U) vs. UConn (33-5, 16-22 ATS, 18-20 O/U)

These teams last met on Nov. 28, 2025, 74-61 from Madison Square Garden and in the Elite Eight in 2024, with UConn winning 77-52 before claiming their 2nd straight NCAA title. Illinois was led by Kylan Boswell, who had 25 points, while Solo Ball led the Huskies with 15 points. UConn shot 41% from the field and outrebounded the Illini by five. Illinois shot a putrid 32% from the field and just 6-of-29 (21%) from beyond the arc.

Illinois (4th KenPom, 1st Adjusted Offense, 20th Adjusted Defense) arrives at the Final Four after beating Iowa (71-59) in the Elite Eight. That came after upsetting No. 2 Houston by 10, VCU by 21 and Penn by 35. That’s not an easy road for the Illini who is a better team than they showed in late November. Their offense is listed as the most efficient in the country by KenPom. The question here is whether freshman point guard Keaton Wagler can be consistent. In the tournament, he’s averaging 17.5 points and 6.5 rebounds, while shooting 44% from the 3-point line. At 6-6, he can rebound (had 12 vs. Houston). Andrej Stojakovic is a Cal transfer and Peja’s son, who averages 13.6 points but is shooting just 24.4% from beyond the arc. The frontcourt is massive, led by forward David Mikrovic (6-9, 250), Tomislav (7-1, 255), and Zvonimir Ivisic (7-2, 255). They’ll have their hands full with Tarris Reed Jr. (6-11, 265). Strengths: Size, Offense. Weakness: Defense away from home (43.6% FG), 33.2% 3pt). 296th in Adjusted Tempo.

UConn (9th KenPom, 28th in Adjusted Offense, 9th in Adjusted Defense, 319th in Adjusted Tempo). UConn arrived here by beating Furman by 11, UCLA by 16, No. 3 Michigan State by four, and No. 1 Duke 73-72 in one of the most incredible finishes in the history of the NCAA Tournament. Braylon Mullins nailed a 35-pointer with 0.4 seconds left to lead the Huskies to the come-from-behind win. UConn did not play well, shooting just 5 of 23 from beyond the arc (22%), and Mullins was 0-for-5 from 3-point range before he made that big shot. But Tarris Reed Jr. was phenomenal against Duke, dominating the paint with 26 points, nine rebounds, and four blocks. Alex Karaban, who went 2 for 10 against the Blue Devils, is having a great tournament, averaging 17.8 points on 39% shooting from 3-point range despite that poor shooting performance. But with the size of the Illini, they will need players like Silas Demary Jr. (42% 3pt), Karaban (40% 3pt in the regular season), and Mullins (36.4% 3pt) to step up from the perimeter. Strengths: Dan Hurley is one of the best coaches in the nation. Very balanced scoring. Defense is elite, and they shoot 48.1% from the field. Weakness: Three-point shooting is mediocre for an elite team (34.6%, 85th overall). Offense can be susceptible to droughts.

____________________________________________________________________ 

Basketball doesn’t end with the Final Four. There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). We’re up again this week in the Financial Program after winning six of seven weeks. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the Final Four and Championship game included.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program, which has won 6 of 7 weeks, is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. ____________________________________________________

ATS CRUSHES AGAIN in UFC from Seattle this past Saturday, Hitting the Top 4 Fights!

*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER

Back in VEGAS at the APEX this weekend with a MAIN CARD and some big value opportunities in the Prelims!

Get with an ATS Specialist ASAP to talk about this Saturday:UFC Fight NightMOICANO VS DUNCAN!

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Best Options for Betting on Baseball

Betting on Baseball can be very simple, but let’s talk about some of the more unusual ways of betting, and we’ll also discuss the typical stuff that bettors wager on.

1)First Five innings. If you want to avoid the bullpen blowing leads late in games and just want to rely on the starting pitcher, this is the way to go. If you select Team A and they are leading after five innings, you get the win. If it’s 2-2, then it’s a push and you get your money back. If Team A is trailing after five innings, you lose. There is also an F5 Run line, so if you pick the Dodgers -0.5, they must be winning after five innings. If the total is 4.5, then both teams must score five runs or more.

2)Betting on the money line is the most popular wager or at least it was before all these options came about. If you just want to pick a winner, there is no reason you shouldn’t pick Team A -130 over Team B. The problem comes when the money line is -175 or more and then if you stick to big favorites, you are usually going to lose in the long run. You can earn a bigger profit by taking some underdogs and smaller favorites. The stronger pitchers are normally going to be the biggest favorites, especially against bad teams.

3)Picking over/unders is another big option in wagering on baseball. The key to picking totals, especially for outdoor stadiums, is the weather. Specifically, the wind, especially at this time of the year, where the weather can be under 60 degrees in a lot of places. Always remember to check to see if the wind is blowing out (say 10-20 mph) and that happens a lot in the Midwest, especially Chicago, Detroit and Kansas City. Picking an over in Denver is fine, but the odds are usually going to be 10-11 runs due to the thin air and the history of high scoring games at Coors Field in Colorado.

4)A popular option in baseball is picking the run line. Usually the run line is -1.5/+1.5. It’s a nice option if the money line is -175 or higher. The only issue is to remember that about ¼ of the games are decided by one run. But you can get a better payout than a moneyline.

5)Finally, one of the most popular options over the last five years is player props. Strikeouts and hits are very popular nowadays. But the key is studying the numbers and checking out the lineups, which are usually posted about two hours before the game. Sites like ESPN.com, have splits for starting pitchers (don’t choose rookies) and they also have batters vs. pitchers. So if you have one veteran pitcher and he’s struggling against 2-3 guys in his career, I’d look at home runs, which are usually +200 or higher and hits or even total bases if there is a good value. I’d stay away from -120 or higher odds when it comes to prop bets. Look for good values, but also check out their numbers against the current starting pitcher. When it comes to strikeouts, some pitchers own certain teams, and their strikeout numbers are high against them.

____________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

  • Join our Baseball Financial Package for $399 and get the rest of the NBA and Final Four/Championship game for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Package, which has won 6 of 7 weeks, is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. ____________________________________________________

UFC goes 4-0 on Saturday as $100/unit clients win $1,700. That included a big win with Joe Pyfer (+120) over Israel Adesanya. Don’t miss another huge card from Las Vegas this upcoming Saturday, April 4. 

If you want to test our Program in basketball or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Betting Outlook for the rest of the NBA Regular Season and Playoffs

NBA Playoffs are starting to take shape

Betting the NBA is never easy, but now that the playoffs are nearly set, there are some things to be cautious about when it comes to approaching teams’ mindsets this late.

The NBA Playoffs tip off on Saturday, April 18, but before that, the Play-in Tournament starts on April 14. At this point (March 31), there are 10 teams out of the running for the playoffs: Milwaukee, Chicago, Brooklyn, Washington, Indiana, Memphis, New Orleans, Dallas, Utah, and Sacramento. Those teams basically tank mode as New Orleans (4-6 L10) is the only team attempting to try because they traded away their first-round pick last season.

Here are some playoff scenarios as of March 31, according to NBA.com. Click the link for more information. Division wins aren’t a big deal.

*Cleveland (47-27) can clinch a playoff spot with a win over the Lakers. Clinching a playoff spot means finishing in the top six in each conference. If you finish 7-10, you are I the play-in tournament.

*Detroit (54-21) is four games above Boston for the Eastern Conference lead. Despite not having Cade Cunningham (lung), the Pistons have won 7 of their last 10 games. They do expect him to return before the playoffs. Betting against the Pistons once they clinch first place (they have seven games left) is logical.

 *Boston (50-25) has a full roster save for new center Nikola Vucevic (finger), who is expected to return this weekend. This is a dangerous team, and it’s not a shocker that they are the second favorite (+550) to win the NBA Championship and the favorite (+170) to win the Eastern Conference (odds from DraftKings).

*Denver (48-28) can clinch a playoff spot with a Phoenix loss to Orlando tonight. The Nuggets have won six straight and are in fourth place in the Western Conference, just 1.5 games ahead of Minnesota and two games up on Houston. They are also 1.5 games behind the LA Lakers, who have won three straight and nine of 10. If you’re looking for a big underdog to win the NBA Championship, the Nuggets are +800.

*San Antonio (57-18) has won nine straight games but is 2.5 behind OKC for first place in the West.  This is a very dangerous team, and their only weakness is a lack of experience. They are picked as the third favorite to win the NBA title (+600) and second-favorite to win the Western Conference (+340).

*Golden State (36-39) appears to be in a rebuilding mode as the 10th seed, but they are dangerous as long as Stephen Curry is healthy. Curry is having a solid season with 27.2 points per game and is shooting 39.1% from beyond the arc in just 39 games. Their season basically ended when Jimmy Butler (20ppg) suffered a season-ending knee injury. Curry (knee) should return before the end of the season, but he hasn’t played since January 30. Pass on their future playoff odds, but check on how they’re playing when and if Curry returns.

*Another team to look out for now and possibly in the playoffs is the LA Clippers (39-36). They’ve won five straight games, but looking at a play-in game at No. 8, considering they are three games behind No. 7 Phoenix with seven games to play. Why are the Clippers dangerous if they beat the Suns and make the playoff field? Kawhi Leonard is having a great season (28.2ppg, 6.3rpg) and is healthy (at the moment. Darius Garland (21.3ppg, 7apg) and Bennedict Mathurin (20.3ppg, 5.0rpg) were two late trade additions and are also healthy.

 *The Los Angeles Lakers (49-26) can clinch a playoff spot and the Pacific Division title with a win against Cleveland OR a Phoenix loss to Orlando. This Lakers team has been playing great basketball, winning six straight and eight of their last 10 games. They have no chance of getting the top two seeds and are 1.5 games ahead of Denver. But at this point, they are going to rest Lebron James and last night, rested Luka Doncic. Another team to bet against down the stretch despite their record. They’ve also covered just once in their last five games. The Lakers are +1500 to win the Western Conference and +3000 to win the NBA title.

This is where research matters. Always pay attention to the standings as well as the injury reports. Teams that are still fighting for seedings will play their starters full minutes. Those who are locked into a seed or a play-in tournament are not going to have the motivation and may end up playing starters fewer minutes.

At this point, expect some weird rotations and starters either sitting or playing fewer minutes. The tanking teams are going to do what they’ve done all season, or most, and that includes a lot of G-League-type lineups and a fourth quarter where coaches are not trying to win.

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2026 Baseball has begun! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

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UFC goes 4-0 on Saturday as $100/unit clients win $1,700. That included a big win with Joe Pyfer (+120) over Israel Adesanya. Don’t miss another huge card from Las Vegas this upcoming Saturday, April 4. 

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Betting Strategies for the Sweet 16

The Sweet 16 tips off tonight with four games on Thursday and four on Friday. 

If you are betting tonight and tomorrow, here are a few rules to ponder.

1)Considering going under because, as good as these teams are offensively, they are outstanding defensively. There are also more half-court sets.

2)Experience is important. The top three freshmen (Darryn Peterson, Caleb Wilson, and AJ Dybantsa) are out of the tournament. Teams with veteran guards tend to do better at this level. You also have plenty of coaches with a tremendous resume’. 

3)The seeds aren’t that important this late in the game. Focus more on matchups. Does a team rely on three-point shooting and does the opponent struggle to defend it? Is this about tempos? In other words, if you have one methodical team that is all about the halfcourt, facing a faster tempo team, they can be neutralized. 

4)Always check out advanced metrics at TeamRankings.com, KenPom, etc. Use stats like offensive/defensive efficiency, rebounding margin, turnover rate and more. That can be the deciding factor as much as injuries.

5)There are some live betting opportunities. If a favorite starts slow, there is a strong chance they’ll have a good second half. So there is value in second-half betting, but beware of teams shooting 50% or higher in the first half (assuming they are mostly long-range shots), as you might want to be against them in the second half.

____________________________________________________________________

If you don’t have the time for research, ATS is here to help with this tournament season and March Madness for just $175 through the NCAA title game and get the NCAA Tournament Max Bet included (which goes Friday). That’s Thursday and Friday (8 big picks), Saturday and Sunday (4 big picks) and the Final Four and title (3 big picks)! Or sign up for Baseball Financial for the entire season at $399 (starts March 25) and get the rest of the March Madness Package free.

ATS is the premier Sports Advisory Firm since 1992 (34 years). 

  ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball starts on Thursday with a full opening day! We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play (has won 4 of 6 weeks) and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

If you want to test our Program in basketball or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

2026 UFL Betting Preview

2026 UFL Betting Preview

Welcome to the third season of the UFL, which includes eight teams and 10 weeks of regular-season action. The season starts on Friday, March 27 and the top four teams make the playoffs. The championship game is on June 13 and will be televised on ABC.

There are many changes this season, including the relocation of the Michigan Panthers to Columbus and they will be known as the Aviators. The Memphis Showboats have also relocated to Kentucky, where they will be known as the Louisville Kings. The San Antonio Brahmas have also moved to Orlando and will be known as the Storm. Houston was known as the Roughnecks last season and will now be rebranded as the Gamblers.

There are also changes in the coaching ranks as former Alabama QB A.J. McCarron takes over as head coach for the Birmingham Stallions. More former NFL players are head coaches including Ted Ginn Jr. at Columbus, Chris Redman at Louisville, Anthony Becht at Orlando and Ricky Proehl will lead St. Louis. Longtime college coach Rick Neuheisel takes over in Dallas.

Speaking of changes, there are some significant rule changes.

1)No Tush Push.

2)Every field goal from 60 yards or more will count as four points.

3)Teams cannot punt inside the opponent’s 50-yard line unless it’s the final two minutes of the half or the game.

4)Players can now get one foot inbounds to complete a catch instead of two.

5)Teams can opt for an extra point from the 33-yard line, a two-point try from the 2-yard line or a 3-point try from the 8-yard line.

Here are the future odds (from Draft Kings) to win the UFL title

Birmingham Stallions +340

D.C. Defenders +360

Dallas Renegades +500

Orlando Storm +550

Columbus Aviators +600

St. Louis Battlehawks +700

Louisville Kings +1200

Houston Gamblers +1700

Last season, the D.C. Defenders were led by interim head coach Shannon Harris, who took over because Reggie Barlow left to become head coach of Tennessee State. Harris is back after leading the Defenders to the 2025 UFL championship. The Defenders are led by QB Jordan T’amu, who threw for 2,153 yards with 17 TDs and just four picks. He also had 390 yards and four TDs in the championship win over Michigan.  Edge Derrick Roberson has tallied 10 sacks over the last two seasons.

Birmingham has inexperience at head coach in McCarron and as the OC in Tyler Siskey. But they have talent at receiver led by John Ross, Laviska Shenault and Deon Cain. On the defensive side, CB Steven Gilmore and LB Kyahva Tezino lead the way.

Columbus has former Ohio State WR Ginn Jr. as their head coach. His play-caller is veteran OC Todd Haley and will have QB Jalan McClendon and WRs Devin Ross and Jaylon Moore to deal with. Defensively, they have a 10-year NFL veteran at DC in Captain Munnerlyn.

The Dallas Renegades are coached by longtime college coach Rick Neuheisel. Luis Perez is back at quarterback along with All-UFL WR Tyler Vaughns, so Nueheisel has plenty to work with. But their defense might be the best in the NFL led by former first-round pick Taco Charlton and 2025 INT leader Ajene Harris.

Houston and coach Kevin Sumlin have some playmakers in Kai Locksley, Justin Hall and Jontre Kirklin. The key will be at quarterback where Nolan Henderson and newly-added Taulia Tagovailoa will battle it out.

Louisville has a former NFL quarterback in Redman, who also played with the Cardinals. He has a dual-threat QB in Jason Bean. Benny Snell Jr. is a former NFLer and they have a deep group of receivers.

Orlando brings back former Jets’ TE and St. Louis head man Anthony Becht as head coach, where he was 22-10 in two seasons. He also has a talented quarterback in Dorian Thompson-Robinson and a strong WR in K.J. Hamler. Lamar Jackson (not the QB) is their top cornerback.

St. Louis adds another former NFLer in Proehl. He’ll have Brandon Silvers, a spring veteran at quarterback. This is a town that does not have an NFL team anymore, but they really support the Battlehawks, averaging over 30,000 fans.

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If you don’t have the time for research, ATS is here to help with this tournament season and March Madness for just $175 through the NCAA title game, and get the NCAA Tournament Max Bet included, which goes today. That’s Thursday and Friday (8 big picks), Saturday and Sunday (4 big picks) and the Final Four and title (3 big picks)! Or sign up for Baseball Financial for the entire season at $399 (starts March 25) and get the rest of the March Madness Package free.

ATS is the premier Sports Advisory Firm since 1992 (34 years). 

  ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball starts this week! We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play (has won 4 of 6 weeks) and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

UFC goes this week from Seattle, featuring former champ Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer from Seattle. Contact us if you want predictions for this card!

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2026 MLB Betting Predictions

2026 Baseball Betting Predictions

Baseball starts on Wednesday night and that’s an underrated betting opportunity for sharps out there. The key to wagering on baseball is money management. Picking favorites of -150 or more is not a wise choice. But considering there are 162 games and as many as 15 games per day, you have plenty of opportunities to find good values on a money line, run line or a total. Also, it’s a long season. Pace yourself, don’t get frustrated by losing streaks and don’t chase losses.

Here are my predictions in order of Divisions with last year’s record, money line profit, totals record and odds to win the World Series (from DK).

AL East

1)Toronto Blue Jays:  Last year: 104-76, ML: +1677, 97-77-6 O/U. WS Odds: +1500

2)NY Yankee: Last year: 97-72, ML: -559, 79-85-5 O/U. WS Odds: +1000

3)Baltimore Orioles: Last year: 75-87, ML: -863, 66-88-8 O/U. WS Odds: +2200

4)Boston Red Sox: Last year: 90-75, ML: +662,  76-85-4 O/U. WS Odds: +1600

5)Tampa Bay Rays: Last year: 77-85, ML: -1131, 71-80-11 O/U. WS Odds: +8000

AL Central

1)Detroit Tigers: Last year: 91-79, ML: -667, 86-75-9  O/U. WS Odds: +2000

2)Cleveland Guardians: Last year: 89-76, ML: +1579,  72-86-7 O/U. WS Odds: +7000

3)Kansas City Royals: Last year: 82-80, ML: +85,  71-90-1 O/U. WS Odds: +4000

4)Minnesota Twins: Last year: 70-92, ML: -2559,  73-79-10 O/U. WS Odds: +10000

5)Chicago White Sox: Last year: 60-102, ML: -1472,  75-78-9 O/U. WS Odds: +50000

AL West

1)Seattle Mariners:  Last year: 96-78, ML: +219,  96-72-6 O/U. WS Odds:+1200

2)Athletics: Last year: 76-86, ML: +322,  78-77-7 O/U. WS Odds: +8000

3)Texas Rangers: Last year: 81-81, ML: -934,  71-88-3 O/U. WS Odds: +3000

4)Houston Astros: Last year: 87-75, ML: +593,  73-86-6 O/U. WS Odds: +2500

5)LA Angeles: Last year: 72-90, ML: +37,  87-72-3 O/U. WS Odds: +25000

To Win Division and World Series: Seattle +1600

NL East

1)Philadelphia Phillies: Last year: 97-69, ML: +376,  74-82-10 O/U. WS Odds: +1600

2)NY Mets: Last year: 83-79, ML: -1530,   76-78-8 O/U. WS Odds: +1300

3)Atlanta Braves: Last year: 76-86, ML: -2660,  73-78-10 O/U. WS Odds: +1800

4)Miami Marlins: Last year: 79-83, ML: +2103,  81-76-5 O/U. WS Odds: +20000

5)Washington Nationals: Last year: 66-96, ML: -342,  81-70-11 O/U. WS Odds: +50000

NL Central

1)Chicago Cubs Last year: 96-74 , ML: +49,  77-80-13 O/U. WS Odds: +1800

2)Milwaukee Brewers: Last year: 100-71, ML: +2029,  80-86-5 O/U. WS Odds: +3500

3)Pittsburgh Pirates: Last year: 71-91, ML: -875,  63-93-6 O/U. WS Odds: +6500

4)Cincinnati Reds: Last year: 83-81, ML: +594,  61-93-9 O/U. WS Odds: +5500

5)St. Louis Cardinals: Last year: 78-84, ML: -392,  81-73-8 O/U. WS Odds: +30000

NL West

1)LA Dodgers:  Last year: 106-73, ML: -954,  81-88-10 O/U. WS Odds: +230

2)Arizona Diamondbacks: Last year: 80-82, ML:-453,  78-74-10 O/U. WS Odds: +7000

3)San Diego Padres:  Last year: 91-74,  ML: +852,  69-90-6 O/U. WS Odds: +3500

4)San Francisco Giants: Last year: 81-81, ML: -938,  76-79-7 O/U. WS Odds: +3500

5)Colorado Rockies: Last year: 43-119, ML: -4120, 72-85-5 O/U. WS Odds: +50000

To Win Division and World Series: LA Dodgers +255

World Series: Seattle +1200 over LA Dodgers

Take Seattle (+500) to win the American League. 

Take the LA Dodgers (+120) to win the National League. 

Solid Underdogs to make the playoffs: Athletics +380, Cincinnati +180

____________________________________________________________________

If you don’t have the time for research, ATS is here to help with this tournament season and March Madness for just $175 through the NCAA title game and get the NCAA Tournament Max Bet included (which goes Friday). That’s Thursday and Friday (8 big picks), Saturday and Sunday (4 big picks) and the Final Four and title (3 big picks)! Or sign up for Baseball Financial for the entire season at $399 (starts March 25) and get the rest of the March Madness Package free.

ATS is the premier Sports Advisory Firm since 1992 (34 years). 

  ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball starts TODAY! We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play (has won 4 of 6 weeks) and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

If you want to test our Program in basketball or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

 

Sweet 16 Betting Preview: Friday

Sweet 16 Preview-Friday version. 

(KenPom: ORTG: Adjusted Offensive Rating; DRTG: Adjusted Defensive Rating; ADJT: Adjusted Tempo; SOS: Strength of Schedule; NCSOS: Non-conference strength of schedule; TeamRankings.com=Effective Field Goal%). Odds: from DraftKings. Seeds are in parentheses.

Friday

East Region, Washington D.C, 7:10pmET

1)Duke: 34-2, 19-16 ATS, 17-1 ACC, KenPom: 2, ORTG: 7th, DRTG: 1st: ADJT: 281, SOS NET: 22nd; NCSOS: 18th; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.6% (16th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.9% (10th); Total Rebounding %: 57.9% (4th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +425

VS.

(5) St. John’s 30-6, 20-15 ATS, 18-2 BEast; KenPom: 14 ; ORTG: 44; DRTG: 9; ADJT: 68; SOS NET: 45; NCSOS Rating:44; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.1%(189th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 47.2% (23rd); Total Rebounding %: 52.7% (33rd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +3000

Analysis: The Johnnies had the tougher road as the 5th seed, destroying Northern Iowa by 26 and then edging Kansas on Sunday by two on a last-second layup from Dylan Darling. Duke’s toughest game came on Thursday when they had to come back from double digits to beat No. 16 Siena 71-65. They dominated TCU 81-58 thanks to 19 points and 11 rebounds from Cam Boozer. Center Patrick Ngongba II returned from missing the Siena game due to injury and played just 13 minutes due to foul trouble. This is a matchup of the nation’s top power forwards. Boozer is a double-double machine, but has some defensive issues that can be assisted by Ngongba II. Zuby Ejiofor is a beast down low and is also a defensive specialist. Duke is still expected to miss guard Caleb Foster (foot) for this game. Were the Johnnies underseeded at five due to the lackluster Big East?

Midwest, 10:10pmET, Chicago


(2) Iowa State 29-7, 23-13 ATS, 12-6 B12; KenPom: 6; ORTG: 16th; DRTG: 5th; ADJT: 205th; SOS NET: 33rd ; NCSOS Rating: 279th; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.6% (15th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.4% (82nd),  Total Rebounding %: 53.7% (25th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +1500

VS.

(6) Tennessee 24-11, 15-19 ATS, 11-7 SEC;  KenPom: 14 ; ORTG: 31; DRTG: 13; ADJT: 306; SOS NET: 9; NCSOS Rating: 10; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.8% (159th),  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 47.5% (34th); Total Rebounding %: 58.9% (2nd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +5500

 

Analysis: Iowa State has been one of the best teams in the nation all season, but they lost star forward Joshua Jefferson in their easy opening win over Tennessee State (108-74). The biggest question whether an extra four days of rest will be enough to heal his ankle by Friday. They didn’t need him in their win over Kentucky as they won by nine and Nate Heise (4.4ppg) stepped up with 12 points and three assists. Guard Tamin Lipsey (26pts, 10apg, 5stls) was fantastic against a pretty good Kentucky team that was just harassed by a great defense that forced 19 turnovers. The Vols had an easy time with a good Miami-Ohio team (78-56) and then edged No. 3 Virginia 79-72 on Sunday. Guard Ja’Kobi Gillespie led the way with 21 points and six assists. Tennessee will have its work cut out for them if Jefferson plays because he leads in points and rebounds and is second in assists. The Vols have some talented players, including long freshman wing Nate Ament, but they’ll need to defend and outrebound the Cyclones to advance.

Midwest Region, 7:35pmET, Alabama vs. Michigan

(4) Alabama 25-9, 16-18 ATS, 13-5 SEC; KenPom: 12; ORTG: 3; DRTG: 60; ADJT: 4; SOS NET: 2; NCSOS Rating: 9; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.5% (30th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.9% (65th); Total Rebound %: 50.8% (136). NCAA Tournament Odds: +13000

VS.

1)Michigan: 33-3, 16-20 ATS, 19-1 B10, KenPom: 1, ORTG: 6th; DRTG: 2nd; ADJT: 22, SOS NET: 4; NCSOS: 12; Team Effective Field Goal%: 58.7% (7th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.2% (3rd); Total Rebound % 56.4% (8th).  NCAA Tournament Odds: +340

Analysis:  Alabama has been one of the most impressive teams thus far, crushing Hofstra by 20 in their opener and dominating No. 5 Texas Tech 90-65 on Sunday. Their depth is outstanding because they lost second-leading scorer Aiden Holloway to a felony drug charge. Guard LaBaron Philon (21.7ppg, 4.7apg. 40.2% 3pt) had 29 against Hofstra and then was held to nine points against Texas Tech, but also had 12 assists. They’ll need to push the tempo against a huge Michigan team that dominated Howard by 21 and Saint Louis by 23 in the round of 32. The Wolverines have a 7-foot-3 center in Aday Mara, who averages 11.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 2.6 blocks. Their best payer is All-American Yaxel Lendeborg, who can beat you from the perimeter, in the paint and disrupt teams defensively. The Tide need to not only keep up with Michigan on the boards, but their defense (120th in FG%) has to step up.

East, Washington D.C., 9:45pmET

(3) Michigan State 27-7, 19-15 ATS, 15-5 B10; KenPom: 9; ORTG: 22; DRTG: 13; ADJT: 243; SOS NET: 20; NCSOS Rating: 93; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.61 (66tu), Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.7% (53rd); Total Rebound %: 58.4% (3rd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +3000

VS.

2) Connecticut (UConn) 31-5, 14-22 ATS, 17-3 BEast; KenPom: 1-; ORTG: 30; DRTG: 11; ADJT: 322; SOS NET: 36; NCSOS Rating: 32; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.3% (35th);  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.8% (8th), Total Rebound %: 54.7% (17th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +2500

Analysis: Both teams are considered threats, but not favorites, when it comes to winning the title. UConn is always a threat with Danny Hurley as a coach. They were not impressive in wins over No. 15 Furman by 11 and had a late run against UCLA, to crush them 73-57. Forward Alex Karaban went nuts with a career-high 27 points, but the key was freshman Braylon Mullins, who averages 12 points per game, but had scored in single digits in four of his last eight games. Michigan State is led by 71-year-old Tom Izzo, who hasn’t lost his touch with strong rebounding teams and solid defensive squads. They had no problem with North Dakota State in the opening round by 25 and held on to beat Louisville 77-69 in the next round. Sparty has size usual, but to get to the Final Four, they have strong play from PG Jeremy Fears Jr, who leads the nation in assists with 9.4 per game. The difference here could be three-point shooting, as both teams are solid, but not great. Both are also very good on the boards. 

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have the time for research, ATS is here to help with this tournament season and March Madness for just $175 through the NCAA title game and get the NCAA Tournament Max Bet included (which goes Friday). That’s Thursday and Friday (8 big picks), Saturday and Sunday (4 big picks) and the Final Four and title (3 big picks)! Or sign up for Baseball Financial for the entire season at $399 (starts March 25) and get the rest of the March Madness Package free.

ATS is the premier Sports Advisory Firm since 1992 (34 years). 

  ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 25. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play (has won 3 straight weeks) and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer one play today as part of our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss this easy winner and check out why we like the pick below. 

 

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