The Sweet 16 tips off tonight with four games on Thursday and four on Friday.
If you are betting tonight and tomorrow, here are a few rules to ponder.
1)Considering going under because, as good as these teams are offensively, they are outstanding defensively. There are also more half-court sets.
2)Experience is important. The top three freshmen (Darryn Peterson, Caleb Wilson, and AJ Dybantsa) are out of the tournament. Teams with veteran guards tend to do better at this level. You also have plenty of coaches with a tremendous resume’.
3)The seeds aren’t that important this late in the game. Focus more on matchups. Does a team rely on three-point shooting and does the opponent struggle to defend it? Is this about tempos? In other words, if you have one methodical team that is all about the halfcourt, facing a faster tempo team, they can be neutralized.
4)Always check out advanced metrics at TeamRankings.com, KenPom, etc. Use stats like offensive/defensive efficiency, rebounding margin, turnover rate and more. That can be the deciding factor as much as injuries.
5)There are some live betting opportunities. If a favorite starts slow, there is a strong chance they’ll have a good second half. So there is value in second-half betting, but beware of teams shooting 50% or higher in the first half (assuming they are mostly long-range shots), as you might want to be against them in the second half.
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