Author: Mat Daily

Top NFL Draft Prospects by Position

One of the most important three days for the NFL fans is here: the NFL Draft. The show starts at 8 p.m. ET from Pittsburgh, but more like 8:15 p.m. ET when the Las Vegas Raiders select QB Fernando Mendoza from Indiana. After that, is basically anybody’s guess and that’s where the fun starts as trades, speculation and fans worry that their favorite player is going to their rival. However, bettors also need to pay attention not just to the talking heads on ESPN and ABC, but also to some of the articles written about how teams fared in this draft.

Again, a lot of this is educated guessing and while “experts” may talk about every positive intangible that a player has coming out of college, not everyone is going to be the next Tom Brady or Saquon Barkley. Let’s take a look at some of the top players by position in this year’s draft.

QB

1)Fernando Mendoza, Indiana (6-5, 225). Top prospect in a poor draft for QBs. Very accurate and smart.

2)Ty Simpson, Alabama (6-1, 211). Undersized but very productive with quick feet.

3)Garrett Nussmeier, LSU (6-2, 203). Was Senior Bowl MVP. Smart QB who throws with touch. Not a very strong arm and is coming off an injury-prone season.

4)Cole Payton, North Dakota State (6-3, 233). Comes from the top FCS program headed to FBS. Averaged 12 yards per attempt. Strong and good size who can run (4.56 40). Still raw and a starter for just one season.

5)Drew Allar, Penn State (6-5, 235). Played about ½ the season due to injury. Good size and strong arm. Footwork and mechanics have been an issue.

RB

1)Jermiyah Love, Notre Dame (6-0, 214). A burner who is the best back by far. Pretty good in pass protection and a home run hitter. Complete package.

2)Emmett Johnson, Nebraska (5-11, 200)

3)Jadarian Price, Notre Dame (5-11, 203)

4)Jonah Coleman, Washington (5-8, 220)

5)Mike Washington Jr., Arkansas (6-2, 228)

WR

1)Jordyn Tyson, Arizona State (6-2, 203). Tyson is an outstanding route-runner who can make difficult catches across the middle. This is a strong WR class and if Tyson drops, it’s due to his durability issues.

2)Carnell Tate, Ohio State (6-3, 195).

3)Makai Lemon, USC (5-11, 195).

4)Omar Cooper Jr., Indiana (6-0, 204).

5)KC Concepcion, Texas A&M (5-11, 190).

TE

1)Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon (6-3, 245). Smallish tight end who makes up for his lack of height with great athleticism. He’s more than just a receiver, as his blocking is top-notch.

2)Dallen Bentley, Utah (6-4, 260)

3)Max Klare, Ohio State (6-4, 246)

4)Nate Boerkicircher, Texas A&M (6-6, 245)

5)Eli Stowers, Vanderbilt (6-4, 240)

OL (including guards, centers and tackles)

1)Spencer Fano, OT/G/C, Utah (6-6, 310)

2)Francis Mauigoa, OT, Miami-Fla. (6-6, 329)

3)Olaivavega Ioane, OG Penn State (6-4, 328)

4)Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama, (6-7, 352)

5)Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia (6-7, 315)

6)Blake Miller, OT, Clemson, (6-6, 315)

7)Max Iheanachor, OT, Arizona State (6-6, 330)

8)Emmanuel Pregnon, G/C, Oregon (6-5, 318)

9)Caleb Lomu, OT, Utah (6-6, 308)

10)Caleb Tiernan, Northwestern (6-8, 323)

Defensive Tackles/Ends

1)Peter Woods, Clemson (6-3, 298)

2)Lee Hunter, Texas Tech (6-4, 318)

3)Kayden McDonald, Ohio State (6-3, 326)

4)Caleb Banks, Florida (6-6, 330)

5)Christen Miller, Georgia (6-4, 310)

EDGE

1)David Bailey, Texas Tech (6-3, 250)

2)Rueben Bain Jr., Miami-Fla (6-3, 270)

3)Arvell Reese, Ohio State (6-4, 243).

4)Kedric Faulk, Auburn (6-6, 285)

5)Akheem Mesidor (6-3, 280)

Linebackers

1)Sonny Styles, Ohio State (6-5, 243)

2)Josiah Trotter, Missouri (6-2, 237)

3)CJ Allen, Georgia (6-1, 235)

4)Jake Golday, Cincinnati (6-2, 237)

5)Jacob Rodriguez, Texas Tech (6-1, 235)

Cornerbacks

1)Mansoor Delane, LSU (6-0, 190)

2)Jermod McCoy, Tennessee (6-1, 188)

3)Avieon Terrell, Clemson (5-11, 180)

4)Chris Johnson, San Diego State (6-0, 195)

5)Treydan Stukes, Arizona (6-1, 190)

Safeties

1)Caleb Downs, Ohio State (6-0, 205)

2)Dillon Thieneman, Oregon (6-0, 205)

3)Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, Toledo (6-2, 202)

4)A.J. Haulcy, LSU (6-0, 222)

5)Kamari Ramsey, USC, (6-0, 205)

__________________________________________________________________ 

There are two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which have begun. The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of 10 weeks, and average players are up $3,500 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the playoffs through mid-June.

_____________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project average bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.

Guide to Picking Prop Bets in the NBA Playoffs

The NBA Playoffs have begun, and if you’re picking the side, totals and money line, there are several other options to earn a profit in these two months of the postseason.

If you want to bet on exact scores, quarters, individual player performances and more, then NBA Props bets are a strong option.

The most popular are stat props, which are usually the over/under on points. So for example, on Tuesday, Boston’s  Jaylen Brown is 26+ (-111) against Philadelphia (on DraftKings), which means he needs to score at least 27 to win the bet or there is a push if he scores 26, but you lose the juice. A more profitable bet would be to take Brown 30+ (+205). The best option is to go to any decent website. Pick ESPN.com, for example, and look at Brown’s splits. He’s averaging 28.7 points per game, 27.9 points at home, 30.6 points in April and 27 points against Philly this season. It’s that simple but it takes some time and work.

You can also wager on rebounds, assists, 3-pointers made, steals, blocks, turnovers, etc. In the Portland/San Antonio game, Victor Wembanyama for the Spurs set at 45+ (+109) in points+rebounds+assists. This is a combo prop, also called PRA. “Wemby” recorded 35 points, five rebounds and one assist in his last game. So he would have gone under, but if he normally puts up 25 points, 11.5 rebounds and 3.1 assists per game, which still would have put him under that total. However, in the last 10 games, he’s averaging 30.7 points, 4.1 assists, and 14.3 rebounds, which would put him over that 45 total.

There are also triple-double and double-double bets, which are known as yes/no bets. Those are a little more difficult, unless you’re talking about players who average double-doubles or triple-doubles. But then there isn’t much value to picking Nikola Jokic to get a triple double when Denver meets the Timberwolves in Minnesota on Thursday.

Team props are about betting on the first team to score, a winning margin range, team rebounds, team total points, etc. You can also go with same-game parlays, picking a player’s points, another player’s assists and a team’s over, for example.

This is a three-point league and a lot of teams have players who can get hot from beyond the arc and carry them. If you really want to make a score, look at some of the good three-point shooters and check if you can find good value. Payton Pritchard of Boston is 3+ (+135), and he’s averaging 20.3 points per game over the last nine, shooting 49.2% from 3-point range. He hasn’t shot that well from 3-point range against Philadelphia (12%). Without doing research, it seemed like a good play to pick him over 3, but on the other hand, under might be the play here.

If you are a beginner when it comes to picking props in the NBA, keep it simple. Make sure you have a strategy and do the research.

____________________________________________________________________ 

There are two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which have begun. The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of 10 weeks, and average players are up nearly $3,500 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project average bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.

The Early Winners of the College Basketball Portal

The money is flowing in college basketball even after the transfer portal closed on April 21, around midnight EST. The portal opened right after the National Championship game on April 7. Those who haven’t committed after the deadline have time to make a decision, but teams start off-season workouts shortly after the season ends, and then practice on a limited basis right after the school year ends. That decision will need to be made in the next few weeks or many players will be scrambling to find schools (and probably will have to lower their price). 

From a betting perspective, if you want a firm grasp of the 2026-27 college basketball season or are just looking to bet futures, we have a look at the top as of April 21, near the deadline. Check out the NCAA Tournament Championship Odds from DK in parentheses.

1)Indiana (+7500): Head coach Darian DeVries missed the tournament in his first season, but that won’t happen this season with Markus Burton (Notre Dame), Aidan Sherrell (Alabama), Darren Harris (Duke), Samet Yigitoglu (SMU), Bryce Lindsay (Villanova) and Jaedan Mustaf (Georgia Tech). It’s not just about quantity, as Burton is an underrated player who suffered a season-ending ankle injury at Notre Dame. Sherrell provides shot blocking and rebounding. Yigitloglu is a 7-2 shotblocker and rebounder. This is going to be a tough team to score against in the paint. The Big 10 is usually not shy of quality big men, so Indiana did a nice job of counteracting that.

2)Louisville (+2500): They could claim the first spot after picking up Flory Bidunga, a 6-9 big man from Kansas, a strong defender and great athlete. Not only did they add one of Kansas’ best players, but they just added another solid big man in Alvaro Folgueiras (Iowa), who is more of a stretch 4 or 5. They also added Jackson Shelstad from Oregon, who played just 12 games due to injury, but was one of the best guards in the portal. Then add Karter Knox from Arkansas as a big wing who can shoot spot-up threes, and Pat Kelsey should have Louisville contending in the ACC.

3)Tennessee (+3500): He’s not retiring yet, folks and maybe there was a reason. Rick Barnes has gone to three straight Elite Eights, and he’s about to turn 72. Could this be the season? Terrence Hill Jr. goes from hitting a big shot for VCU to playing for Tennessee (hello $$$). They add Jalen Harlson from Notre Dame, who goes from a struggling program to a place where he should shine with better players as a 6-7 wing. Miles Rubin is another athletic big man who can defend from Loyola-Chicago. Tyler Lundblade from Belmont adds a strong shooter along with Dai Dai Ames from Cal.

4)Texas (+4000): Sean Miller made a Sweet 16 run last season and could go farther this season. The key addition was TCU forward David Punch, a strong shotblocker at 6-7, who is also a good mid-range shooter. Elyjah Freeman goes from D2 to Auburn and now Texas, though he was inconsistent last season. He has all the tools to play at the next level. Isaiah Johnson (Colorado) is a very quick guard who can also make threes (37%). They also get center Matas Vokietaitis back ($$), and they add an All-American freshman in Austin Goosby.

5)DePaul (+50000): Chris Hotlmann may finally have a really good squad in Chicago after going .500 for the first time since 2019-20 last season. That’s because they brought in six quality players thanks to some increased money. It starts with center Magoon Gwath from San Diego State after spurring some pretty good high major programs because he’s a 7-footer who can block shots and is still developing. Wing Ade Popoola comes from Tulsa, where he shot 41% from three-point range. The Blue Demons desperately needed three-point shooters who could defend. They also added Kahmare Holmes, who averaged nearly 20 points per game at Wofford last season.

6)Iowa State (+5000): If Joshua Jefferson had stayed healthy….we’ll never know. But TJ Otzelberger didn’t dwell on his injury and his loss to graduation, along with Milan Momcilovic, to the portal. Those were huge losses, but then the Cyclones added JaQuan Johnson from Bradley, a dominant defender who hounds opponents as a diminutive point guard, who can also knock down threes. Tre Singleton comes from Northwestern as a 6-8 power forward who finishes well near the rim and has a lot of growth potential. Ryan Prather is making a big leap from Robert Morris, but so did Alvaro Foluieras at Iowa. They added some solid talent, but they also lost a lot to graduation and the portal.

7)Miami-Florida (+6000): Jai Lucas did an excellent job in his first season at Miami. He adds Somto Cyril, who is 6-11 with a 7-7 wingspan at 260 pounds. He averaged a little over 9 points and a little over 5.0 rebounds at Georgia, but with better pieces around him? DeSean Goode is from….Robert Morris. Of course, the Colonials are becoming a mid-major AAA team for the big leagues. He can really score and was the Horizon League Player of the Year. Acaden Lewis was a very good freshman point guard at Villanova and could be even better in the ACC with Cyril running the rim and freshman All-American Caleb Gaskins coming in.

8)Providence (+9000): New coach Bryan Hodgson comes from South Florida, where he brought Gavin Hightower with him as a solid playmaker and defender. They added another strong off-ball defender in Miles Byrd from San Diego State. Arrinten Page comes from Northwestern as (you guessed it), a shotblocker and rebounder, who also spend team at USC and Cincinnati. Devin Vanterpool from FAU, a 6-4 guard who averaged nearly 16 points and 6.3 rebounds. Ryan Sabol is a 39.9% three-point shooter from Buffalo, who adds scoring. There were some nice gets for Hodgson in his first portal additions.

9)UConn (+1500): You could say that Dan Hurley’s best transfer was keeping Braylon Mullins. When there was just a little money in NIL, Mullins would have gone to the NBA Draft, but not nowadays. The Huskies also kept point guard Silas Demary, which was huge. They added one of the better bigs in the portal to replace another great one (Tarris Reed). Najai Hines (6-10, 265) from Seton Hall is just a sophomore, so he’ll have a chance to get better, but he will have big shoes to fill. The bigger pickup was Nik Khamenia from Duke, who is a former five-star recruit who was nearly forgotten in Durham because of the Boozer brothers and all that talent. He can replace Alex Karaban in the lineup.

10)Missouri (+6000): The Tigers have done a nice job under Dennis Gates, making two straight NCAA Tournament appearances. They also have a very strong freshman class coming in with Jason Crowe and Toni Bryant, who are McDonald’s All-Americans. Jamier Jones (Providence) is coming off a strong season as a freshman, averaging nearly 12ppg and 38.7% from three-point range. Bryson Tiller (6-11, 240) arrives from Kansas as a 6-10 shotblocker who can score and rebound. Jaylen Carey (6-8, 270) is a dominant rebounder coming from Tennessee. The Tigers really beefed up their frontcourt and should be one of the better SEC rebounding squads.

____________________________________________________________________ 

There are two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which have begun. The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of 10 weeks, and average players are up $3,500 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project average bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.

ATS’ 2026 NFL Mock Draft

The NFL Draft starts on Thursday, April 23, and there is a big question about who the draft picks will be after the first pick. If you wager on the NFL, it’s important to keep track of the offseason moves, especially if you want to bet on the futures.

For example, before the draft (from DK), the LA Rams (+750) are the Super Bowl favorites, followed by Seattle (+950), Buffalo and Baltimore (both +1000) and Kansas City/Green Bay (+1500).

Things can change and there has already been a massive trade involving the NY Giants and Cincinnati Bengals on Saturday. The Giants traded DT Dexter Lawrence II to Cincinnati for the No. 10 pick in the draft. They also extended him for one year, which means Lawrence is under contract for the next three seasons. That’s a big risk for the Bengals, but if they want to win now, they are adding a player who had nine sacks in 2014 in just 12 games, but recorded just 0.5 sacks and 48 tackles last season with a pick, but did have 34 pressures.

Check out team needs and an NFL Draft betting preview here.

First Round

1)Las Vegas Raiders: QB Fernando Mendoza, Indiana (6-5, 236)

Comments: It’s not a great draft for quarterbacks. Mendoza led a school known for basketball to a national title by throwing 41 TDs and just six picks. He’s not a great runner, but can get yards when needed. The Raiders need to get him some help and the addition of Kirk Cousins can’t hurt as a veteran who can either start or help teach him the rigors of being a starting QB.

2)NY Jets: EDGE David Bailey, Texas Tech (6-4, 251)

Comments: This is the biggest question in the top two picks: Bailey or Avrell Reece? Both are outstanding pass rushers and a huge need for a Jets team that had no picks last season. They were 31^st in sacks last season with 26. Bailey is one of the best pass rushers in college football, but will need to get stronger to overpower so many bigger tackles.

3)Arizona Cardinals: EDGE Avrell Reese, Ohio State (6-4, 243)

This could also be David Bailey, as both players are Edge rushers. Reese is a very explosive athlete and does a nice job against the run. He has the power but will need to polish his pass rush moves at the next level. He can play inside or outside, with 4.46 speed gives the Cardinals a lot of versatility.

4)Tennessee Titans: RB Jeremiyah Love, Notre Dame (6-0, 212)

Comments Love might be the only RB drafted. He has great burst and explosion. He’s more than just a 4.3 40 burner. He also has good vision and is a complete back, though he does need to work on pass blocking, which most backs do.

5)NY Giants: OT Francis Mauigoa, Miami-Fla. (6-6, 329).

Comments: The Giants have plenty of needs, especially with Dexter Lawrence gone, but they can go DT for 10 and offensive line help. Again, not a great offensive tackle draft. Mauigoa is an athletic tackle who is light on his feet. He has a very strong base, which will help against power rushers.

6)Cleveland Browns: OT/G Spencer Fano, Utah (6-5, 311)

Comments: He’s the most versatile of the top linemen who can play guard, tackle and center. Cleveland is desperate for offensive line help. He played right and left tackle at Utah. But his 32 1/8 inch arms limited him to right tackle and he’ll probably end up in the interior.

7)Washington Commanders: LB Sonny Styles, Ohio State (6-5, 244)

Comments: Styles ran a 4.46 40 and jumped 43.5 inches, so he’s an athletic freak. He can play the Edge, but can also cover tight ends and running backs. He’s a complete linebacker.

8)New Orleans Saints: WR Carnell Tate, Ohio State (6-2, 192)

Comments: Not a big draft for wide receivers. Tate gives the team another former Ohio State WR (Terry McLaurin) and potentially his replacement. He’s one of the best route runners in the draft and can get downfield.

9)Kansas City Chiefs: S Caleb Downs, Ohio State (5-11, 206)

Comments: Downs is the biggest safety, but is very smart with great instincts and has the speed to defend the pass and play some nickel. He can also play close to the line of scrimmage.

10)NY Giants (From Cincinnati): DT Peter Woods (6-3, 298)

Comments: The Giants could also trade out of this spot, but with Lawrence gone, they should go for need here. Woods is a defensive tackle but can also play some Edge despite having short arms (31 ¼). He has strong pass rush moves.

11)Miami Dolphins: CB Mansoor Delane, LSU (6-0, 187)

12)Dallas Cowboys: Edge Rueben Bain, Miami-Fla (6-2, 263)

13)LA Rams: WR Makai Lemon, USC, (5-11, 192)

14)Baltimore Ravens: TE Kenyon Sadiq, Oregon (6-3, 241).

15)Tampa Bay Bucs: G Olaivavega Iaone, Penn State (6-4, 323)

16)NY Jets: QB Ty Simpson, Alabama (6-1, 211)

17)Detroit Lions: OT Kadyn Proctor, Alabama (6-7, 352)

18)Minnesota Vikings: EDGE Akheem Mesidor, Miami-Fla. (6-3, 259)

19)Carolina Panthers: WR Omar Cooper, Indiana (6-0, 199)

20)Dallas Cowboys: CB Colton Hood, Tennessee (6-0, 195)

21)Pittsburgh Steelers:  WR KC Concepcion, Texas A&M (6-0, 196)

22)LA Chargers: WR Jordan Tyson, Arizona State (6-2, 203)

23)Philadelphia Eagles: OT Blake Miller, Clemson (6-7, 317)

24)Cleveland Browns: OT Monroe Freeling, Georgia (6-7, 315)

25)Chicago Bears: CB Jermod McCoy, Tennessee (6-1, 188)

26)Buffalo Bills: DT Caleb Banks, Florida (6-6, 327)

27)San Francisco 49ers: OT Caleb Lomu, Utah (6-6, 313)

28)Houston Texans: OT Max Iheadnachor, Arizona State (6-6, 321)

29)Kansas City Chiefs: S Dillon Thieneman, Oregon (6-0, 210)

30)Miami Dolphins: WR Denzel Boston, Washington (6-4, 212)

31)New England Patriots: EDGE  R Mason Thomas, Oklahoma (6-2, 241)

32)Seattle Seahawks:  EDGE Keldric Faulk, Auburn (6-6, 274)

____________________________________________________________________ 

There are two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which began. The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of 10 weeks, and $250/unit players are up nearly $7,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
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The first round series of the NBA Playoffs begins on Saturday, April 18, after the final Play-in Tournament ends on Friday night. 

These series begin on Saturday, April 18.

 5)Toronto (46-36 SU, 43-39 ATS, 33-49 O/U) vs. 4)Cleveland (52-30 SU, 33-48-1 ATS, 41-41 O/U)

Series: Cleveland -550/Toronto +400 (from DK)

*-DunkandThrees

Head-to-Head: These teams met three times, with the Raptors winning all three SU and ATS. They have not met since November 24, 2025, with Toronto winning 110-99.

Key Stats*: Toronto is 11th in Adjusted Net Rating, 15th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 6^th in Adjusted Defense. 22nd in Pace, 18^th in Rebound Rate.

Cleveland is 9^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 5^th in Adjusted Offense and 16^th in Adjusted Defense, 12th in Pace, 11^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: This should be quite the matchup despite Toronto dominating the first three games. That came early in the season. Toronto comes into this game having won three of its last four games. They have as much talent as just about anybody in the Eastern Conference. The problem has been staying healthy, and they appear to be 100% coming into the playoffs. They have a lot of length, and it allows them to rank in the top 10 in field goal defense (46.7%) and three-point defense (34.9%). They are led by 6-9 Brandon Ingram (21.6ppg, 5.6rpg, 3.7apg) and Scottie Barnes (18.1ppg, 7.5rpg, 5.9apg). Jakob Poeltl (10.7ppg, 7rpg) sets the tone in the middle. They are also very deep, with 10 players averaging six or more points per game.

Cleveland is another dangerous team because they have Donovan Mitchell (27.9ppg, 5.7apg) and veteran James Harden (20.5ppg, 7.7apg) in the backcourt. Their frontcourt is loaded with Evan Mobley (18.2ppg, 9rpg) and Jarrett Allen (154.ppg, 8.5rpg). Their biggest issue is their three-point defense, which ranks 26^th in the NBA (37.2%). The bigger question is whether Harden can put them over the top after they gave up Darius Garland for him. The Cavs did win five of their last six games, though mostly against non-playoff teams. Dennis Schroder was also added and while he’s not Garland, he knows how to get things done in the playoffs, backing up Harden and Mitchell. Lean? Toronto in six.

6)Minnesota (49-33 SU, 37-45 ATS, 37-45 O/U) vs. 3)Denver (54-28 SU, 44-38 ATS, 52-30 O/U)

Series: Denver -350/Minnesota +280 (from DK)

*-DunkandThrees

Head-to-Head: These teams met three times in the regular season with Denver winning 2 of 3 SU and ATS. They last met on March 1 with Minnesota winning at Denver 117-108 as a 3-point dog.

Key Stats*: Minnesota is 10th in Adjusted Net Rating, 13th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 8^th in Adjusted Defense. 9th in Pace, 12^th in Rebound Rate.

Denver is 7^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 1st in Adjusted Offense, and 21st in Adjusted Defense, 19th in Pace, 8^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Another potential (as the kids say) banger of a playoff series. The key for Minnesota is the health of Anthony Edwards, who has been limited by a knee injury. But he’s expected to go after resting for over a week. Edwards is a prolific scorer who averages 28.8 points and 5.0 rebounds per game on 39.9% three-point shooting. An underrated pickup for the T-Wolves was Ayou Dosunmo (14.4ppg, 3.5apg), while Donte DiVincenzo (12.2ppg, 3.8apg) is a gamer who runs the show. Up front, Julius Randle (21.1ppg, 6.7rpg) is a tough lefty post player, while Rudy Gobert (10.9ppg, 11.5rpg) still protects the paint as well as most. Minnesota shoots 37% from three-point range, and they defend well. They should have more than 49 wins, and while DiVincenzo is a solid player at the point, they could have used a younger Mike Conley there.

Denver could be another contender, and they are certainly playing as well as anybody in the league after winning 12 straight games to end the regular season. Now they also faced Utah twice, Memphis, Dallas, and several teams resting their starters due to injuries or clinching berths. When you have Nikola Jokic (27.7ppg, 12.9rpg, 10.7apg), you always have a chance. He actually led the league in rebounds and assists. Jamal Murray (25.4ppg, 7.1apg) is a pure scorer who can carry a team on certain nights. But the key is Aaron Gordon (16.2ppg, 5.8rpg), who appears to be healthy after playing just 36 games. While Denver doesn’t have a great bench, they did add veteran big man Jonas Valanciunas (8.7ppg, 5.1rpg) to relieve Jokic. They also have Cam Johnson (12.2ppg) and Peyton Watson (14.6ppg, 1.1bpg) who can contribute in various ways. Lean? Minnesota is deeper, but the Nuggets are finally healthy and playing so well.

6)Atlanta (46-33 SU, 44-38 ATS, 41-41 O/U) vs. 3)NY Knicks (54-28 SU, 44-38 ATS, 52-30 O/U)

Series:  NY Knicks -275/Atlanta +220 (from DK)

*-DunkandThrees

Head-to-Head: These teams met three times in the regular season, with the Knicks winning twice but going 1-2 ATS.

Key Stats*: Atlanta is 12th in Adjusted Net Rating, 14th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 9^th in Adjusted Defense, 4th in Pace, 15^th in Rebound Rate.

New York is 5^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 4th in Adjusted Offense and 7th in Adjusted Defense, 25th in Pace, 5^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis:  Atlanta could pose a major threat to the Knicks because they were very good down the stretch and nearly knocked off the Knicks (108-105 loss) on April 6 when both teams shortened rotations. The addition of veteran guard CJ McCollum and subtraction of Trae Young has made this team a squad to watch. From Feb. 22 until March 18, they won 11 straight games. Dyson Daniels (6-7, 199) and Nickeil Alexander-Walker (6-5, 205) have a lot of length and will attempt to slow down high-scoring Jalen Brunson. As good as Brunson has been (18.7ppg, 37.5% 3pt with Washington/Atlanta), he’s not a true point guard. Jalen Johnson (22.5ppg, 7.9apg, 10.3rpg) has been the team’s best all-around player and has been an under-the-radar star. The Hawks are shooting 37.1% from 3-point range to rank 5^th.  The defense is going to need to step up I this series as they’ve been pretty average this season (18^th).

No pressure on the Knicks, right? If they lose this series, not only is head coach Mike Brown in trouble after one season, but they may break up some of the key pieces. They appear to have everything to at least make an Eastern Conference title run. Mitchell Robinson is a huge factor in this series, considering he’s averaged 10.5 rebounds and 2.0 blocks against Atlanta this season. Brunson (26ppg, 6.8apg) and Karl-Anthony Towns (20.1ppg, 11.9rpg) are the two top scorers, but they have help. The Knicks have the size and rebounding advantage, but what they have struggled it as Atlanta’s strength. Their three-point defense (38.4%, 22^nd) could be a huge weakness in this series. Atlanta is also quicker and more athletic. KAT and Brunson are not defensive stalwarts. Lean? Atlanta in 7.

5)Houston (52-30 SU, 36-46 ATS, 39-43 O/U) vs. 4)LA Lakers (53-20 SU, 45-36-1 ATS, 42-40 O/U)

Series: Houston -575/LA Lakers +400 (from DK)

*-DunkandThrees

Head-to-Head: These teams met three times in the regular season with the Lakers winning twice, including on March 18 (124-116).

Key Stats*: Houston is 6th in Adjusted Net Rating, 8th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 5^th in Adjusted Defense, 29th in Pace, 1st in Rebound Rate.

LA Lakers are 14^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 9^th in Adjusted Offense and 20^th in Adjusted Defense, 28th in Pace, 9^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Houston is the favorite in this series because Luka Doncic (hamstring) and Austin Reaves (oblique) are not expected to play. Barring a minor miracle, the Rockets will be facing LeBron James and mostly role players. One player who has the ability to step up is center DeAndre Ayton (12.5ppg, 8rpg) and veteran Marcus Smart (9.3ppg, 3apg), who has played in plenty of playoff series with Boston. But this will be all about LeBron James. At 41, he’s still averaging 20.9 points, 7.2 assists and 6.1 rebounds. He’ll need to average 30+ in this series for the Lakers to have a chance. They’ll need to defend better in this series, as they rank 24th in field goal defense.

Houston has an aging star in Kevin Durant, who led the team with 26 points on 52% shooting (41.3% 3pt). Alperen Sengun (20.4ppg, 8.9rpg, 6.2apg) is a poor man’s Nikola Jokic, while Amen Thompson (18.3ppg, 7.8rpg, 5.3apg) is an explosive athlete. Reed Sheppard has earned more playing time this season because he can fill it up from deep (39.4%), and they need production at the point. Defensively, Houston is top 10 in most categories including 3-poitn defense, while the Lakers are 24^th (32.9%) in 3-point shooting. The Rockets won nine of the 10 games to end the season. Lean? Rockets in six, but I’d wait until more about Doncic and Reaves before betting the series price.

Sunday, April 19

7)Philadelphia (46-37 SU, 42-38-3 ATS, 39-44 O/U) vs. 2)Boston (56-26 SU, 49-32-1 ATS, 30-52 O/U)

Boston -900/Philadelphia +600

*(stats from DunkandThrees.com and Team Rankings).

Head-to-Head: These teams spit the four games with Philly going 2-1-1 ATS.

Key Stats*: Boston is 3rd in Adjusted Net Rating, 2nd in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 4^th in Adjusted Defense. 30th in Pace, 4th in Rebound Rate.

Philadelphia is 18^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 17^th in Adjusted Offense and 16^th in Adjusted Defense, 16th in Pace, 23rd in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: This is one of the premier rivalries in the NBA. Unfortunately for Philadelphia, they are not expected to have center Joel Embiid due to an appendectomy. Without Embiid, the Sixers were able to beat Orlando 109-97 on Wednesday in the play-in tournament to advance. Tyrese Maxey went for 31 points and he’ll need to do more to get the Sixers past a very good Boston team. He’s averaging over 28 points per game, but he’ll need help from Paul “Playoff P” George, who had 16 points and doesn’t always live up to that moniker in the postseason. The Sixers struggle to shoot the three (34.9%) and they’re not great on the boards despite having Andre Drummond in the middle.

Boston lost two games to Philadelphia this season, but they didn’t have Jayson Tatum for any of those games. Tatum has come back from an Achilles injury, and he’s been good, but not great. He’s shooting just 41.1% from the field and 32.9% from beyond the arc, which is understandable since he has played in 16 games. Jaylen Brown (28.7ppg, 6.9rpg) should be an MVP candidate for keeping this team near the top of the standings with Tatum out for most of the season. This team has some flaws, but not many. Their offense could be outstanding if Tatum gets his touch back, as they are shooting just 46.7% (16^th) from the field. They also lack a dominant center, but they got veteran Nikola Vucevic back on April 5 from injury. He’ll help as the playoffs continue on offense. Lean? Boston should win this in four.

7)Portland (43-40 SU, 45-38 ATS, 43-40 O/U) vs 2)San Antonio (62-21 SU, 45-36-2 ATS, 36-47 O/U)

Series: Spurs -2000/Trail Blazers +1000 (from DK)

*-DunkandThrees

Head-to-Head: These teams met three times, with the Spurs winning twice and covering twice. All three games went under.

Key Stats*: Portland is 20th in Adjusted Net Rating, 21st in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 11^th in Adjusted Defense. 8th in Pace, 7^th in Rebound Rate.

San Antonio is 2nd in Adjusted Net Rating, 3rd in Adjusted Offense and 3rd in Adjusted Defense, 15th in Pace, 6th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Portland upset Phoenix on the road 114-110 on Tuesday to gain entrance to the playoffs for the first time in 10 years. Deni Avdija led the Blazers with 41 points in that game and has been the leader on the floor all season. Portland comes into this game having won six of its last eight games. Avdija averages 24.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.8 assists and is their assists leader. But for this team to advance, they’ll need more than Avdija to shine. Jrue Holiday (16.3ppg, 6.1apg) is one of those veterans who two rings and understands what it means to win the big one. Shaedon Sharpe (20.8ppg), Jerami Grant (18.6ppg), Scoot Henderson (14.2ppg) and Toumani Camara (13.4ppg, 5.1rpg) will all need to step up. Center Donovan Clingan (12.1ppg , 11.6rpg) is one of the most improved big men in the league.

Speaking of big men or long men, 7-4 Victor Wembanyama is an unstoppable player in many ways. The only way he can be stopped (25ppg, 11.5rpg, 3.1bpg, 3.1apg) is through injuries. That slowed him down to some extent as he was limited to 65 games this season, but he should be close to 100% and raring to go in his first playoff series. The Spurs didn’t win 62 games due to Wemby. They have a ton of talent, especially at guard with De’Aaron Fox (18.6ppg, 6.2apg), Stephon Castle (16.7ppg, 7.4apg, 5.3rpg), and Devin Vassell (13.9ppg). Rookie Dylan Harper is also starting to come on as if they needed more help. He’s averaging 13.7 points and 4.0 assists, while shooting 54.8% from the field and 53.3% from beyond the arc in his last 10 games. Lean? Come on. If Wemby is healthy, the Spurs should sweep. Pass because that’s too much to lay.

(The next two series were written before Friday night’s results. But when it comes to No. 8 vs. No. 1 in the NBA Playoffs, there have only been six upsets since 1984. The last was when Miami shocked Milwaukee in five games in 2023. Detroit appears to be a pretty vulnerable top seed only because they are pretty young and their best player, Cade Cunningham, is just returning from a collapsed lung.

8)Suns (44-37 SU, 45-33-3 ATS, 36-45 O/U) or 8)Warriors (37-44 SU, 34-46-1 ATS, 49-32 O/U) vs. 1)OKC (64-18 SU, 39-41-1 ATS, 43-38 O/U)

Key Stats*: OKC is 1st in Adjusted Net Rating, 7th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 1st in Adjusted Defense. 15th in Pace, 25th in Rebound Rate.

Finals Odds

OKC +110/Phoenix +70000/Golden State +60000

Western Conference Odds

OKC -160/Phoenix +20000/Golden State +18000

Analysis: Oklahoma City is the team to beat this season. They have the best guard and arguably the best player in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who averages 31.1 points and 6.6 assists, while shooting 55.3% from the field and 38.6% from beyond the arc. They’ve had a ton of injuries throughout the season but everyone appears to be healthy. Chet Holmgren (17.1ppg, 8.9rpg, 1.9bpg) and Jalen Williams (17.1ppg, 5.5apg) are the other key players and difference-makers on both ends. Williams has played in just 33 games due to various injuries. Despite the injuries, they have a +11.9 net rating and a 107.3 DRTG because their depth is amazingly good. However, their rebounding numbers might be a concern when they face the Spurs (if it happens in the Finals).

8)Magic (45-36 SU, 37-43-1 ATS, 45-36 O/U) or 8)Hornets (43-38, 50-31 ATS, 31-50 O/U) vs. 1)Detroit (60-22 SU, 44-37-1 ATS, 38-44 O/U)

Key Stats*: Detroit is 4th in Adjusted Net Rating, 10^th in Adjusted Offense and 2nd in Adjusted Defense, 20th in Pace, 3^rd in Rebound Rate.

Finals Odds

Detroit +2200/Charlotte +10000/Orlando +35000

Eastern Conference Odds

Detroit +500/Charlotte +2500/Orlando +7500

Analysis:

Cade Cunningham (23.9ppg, 9.9apg, 5.5rpg) and the Detroit Pistons have the best record in the East, but they are fourth favorite (+500) to win the East behind Boston (+155), Cleveland (+330) and the Knicks (+450). That shows you the lack of a respect for a team that has won 60 games. Maybe it’s due to Cunningham’s recent return from a collapsed lung. It’s not like they didn’t finish strong, winning six of their last seven. Jalen Duren (19.5ppg, 10.5rpg) and Isaiah Stewart (10ppg, 1.6bpg) are as good a 1-2 center duo in the game. The problem is that there isn’t a whole lot of balance after Cunningham and Duren. Their defense is elite as they rank first in the NBA defending the three-point shot and that’s where Ausar Thompson (2spg) fits in. They do rank third in the NBA in field goal percentage (48.5%), but just 17^th in three-point percentage (35.6%).

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NBA Play-In Tournament 8^th seed game

The NBA Play-in Tournament final is here on Friday, with the winner heading to the playoffs on Sunday as the 8^th seed. No. 9 Charlotte takes on No. 8 Orlando, while No. 10 Golden State travels to No. 7 Phoenix. The first round of the NBA Playoffs tips off on Saturday, April 18.

9)Charlotte (45-38 SU, 50-33 ATS, 32-51 O/U) vs. 8)Orlando (45-38 SU, 37-45-1 ATS, 45-38 O/U)

Charlotte: -3.5. Total: 218.5

Kia Center, Orlando. 7:30pmET

*(stats from DunkandThrees.com and Team Rankings).

Head-to-Head: These teams met four times with the Hornets winning three SU and ATS. They last met on March 19, with the Hornets winning 130-111.

Key Stats*: Charlotte is 8th in Adjusted Net Rating, 5th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 14^th in Adjusted Defense. 27th in Pace, 2nd in Rebound Rate.

Orlando is 17^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 18^th in Adjusted Offense and 12^th in Adjusted Defense, 14th in Pace, 10th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Orlando lost to Philadelphia by 12 (109-97) on Wednesday, but they have one last chance to make the playoffs. They need a little more from Wendell Carter Jr. (1-7 FG, 5pts), who did have 11 rebounds, but was outplayed by backup Andre Drummond (14pts, 11 rebs). Desmond Bane did his part with 34 points on 10-of-16 shooting, but needs more help from Franz Wagner and Paolo Banchero. All are capable of big offensive games, but their three-point shooting (27% against Philadelphia, 34.3% overall) may ultimately be their undoing. Wagner (20-.6ppg, 5.2rpg) played just 34 regular-season games due to injuries and has played in just seven games since Feb. 11.

However, the Hornets never met a three-point shot they didn’t like to attempt. They were able to get past Miami on Tuesday night 127-126 in overtime, despite nearly blowing a five-point lead with seconds left. LaMelo Ball, who contributed to the downfall, was able to win the game on a layup. Ball had 30 points and 10 assists, but shot 12 of 31 from the field and 2-of-16 from beyond the arc. Rookie Kon Kneuppel struggled with six points on 2-of-12 shooting (0-6 3pt) in his first non-regular season game. Charlotte took 56 3-pointers and made 18 (31%). The Hornets are usually a better three-point shooting team (37.8%), ranking third in the league. This is more about Charlotte’s guards (Braxton Miller, Ball, Kneuppel and Coby White) going up against Orlando’s talented frontcourt. Better shot selection might also help the Hornets, who somehow turned the ball over just six times in the overtime win.

10)Golden State (38-45 SU, 35-47 ATS, 50-33 O/U) vs. 7)Phoenix (45-38 SU, 46-34-3 ATS, 38-45 O/U)

Phoenix -2.5. Total: 218.5

Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, Ariz, 10pmEt

*(stats from DunkandThrees.com and Team Rankings).

Head-to-Head: Golden State has won three of the four meetings this season. The last one took place on Feb. 5 with the Warriors winning 101-97 at home as a 6.0-point favorite.

Key Stats*: Golden State is 19th in Adjusted Net Rating, 19th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 15^th in Adjusted Defense. 18th in Pace, 21st in Rebound Rate.

Phoenix is 15^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 16^th in Adjusted Offense and 10^th in Adjusted Defense, 23rd in Pace, 18th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Golden State isn’t done yet. That’s because 38-year-old Stephen Curry found another gear on Wednesday, scoring 27 of his 35 points in the second half, and 39-year-old Al Hoford hit four 3-pointers during the Warriors’ fourth-quarter comeback. Golden State was down 13 early in the fourth quarter before exploding for 43 points. One x-factor is 6-7 Gui Santos (9.2ppg) who scored 20 points on 9-of-13 shooting. The Warriors shot 57% from the field and 46% (19-of-41) from long range against a pretty good LA Clippers defense. The Clippers shot 52% from the field, but they committed 17 turnovers. Curry, who played in just 43 regular-season games, is averaging 26.6 points per game and shoots 39.3% from beyond the arc. Another wild card is the play of 7-2 Kristaps Porzingis (16.7ppg, 5.2rpg), who came over from Atlanta, but has played in just 32 games this season due to injuries (the story of his career).

Phoenix is coming off a 114-110 loss at home against Portland on Tuesday. They couldn’t stop Deni Avdija, who had 41 points and a late layup and three-point play to help seal the game. Jalen Green led the Suns with 35 points on 14-of-29 shooting. Devin Booker added 22 points, and Dillon Brooks contributed 20 points, seven rebounds, and four steals before fouling out. The problem was the bench, which contributed just 17 points combined. Booker also went 8 of 13 from the free-throw line. Booker (26.1ppg, 6apg) and Brooks (20.2ppg) are talented enough to carry this team in most instances, but they need more from their frontcourt to get this win.  

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The NFL Draft runs Thursday at 7pmET in Pittsburgh and lasts until Saturday, April 25. The first round is on Thursday, rounds 2-3 on Friday, and Saturday offers fourth, fifth, sixth and seventh rounds.

When it comes to betting on the NFL Draft, there are several options, including picking the number one player. At that point, the Raiders are going to take QB Fernando Mendoza, so it’s not worth betting on him at -20000 (from DK).

The second pick is likely to be David Bailey (-135) or Avrell Reese (+105). The NY Jets have that pick and Bailey, an Edge from Texas Tech, seems the likely pick over DE Reese from Ohio State. Bailey tied for the FBS lead in sacks with 14.5 in 2025.

Reese (+125) could end up in Arizona, which also needs pass-rush help. But there’s a possibility that dynamic runner Jeremiyah Love (+850) from Notre Dame goes as high as third. Running backs normally don’t get drafted over pass rushers in today’s game.

Love, at least in the mock drafts, appears to be a lock as a top-five pick. He’s +115 to be drafted fourth by Tennessee, who can use a lot. There are also a lot of questions after Medoza, Bailey, and Reese as to who gets drafted from 4 and on. Ohio State LB Sonny Styles is a fantastic athlete who is more of a middle/inside backer than an Edge. Those guys, again, usually don’t go this high.

Francis Mauigoa makes sense to the NY Giants at the 5^th pick. The Miami (FL) offensive tackle could also start inside at guard. He’s +380, while Styles is +175 to go to the Giants in the fifth pick.

You can also bet on each team’s top position. So, for example, if you think Baltimore is going to draft an Edge, that’s +475. They are favored to draft an offensive lineman (+140) and a wide receiver (+190), because those are the biggest needs.

One of the more popular bets is positions over/under. For example, the total number of cornerbacks drafted in the fourth round is listed at 4.5. Over 4.5 would be +330 and Under is -500. That shows that it’s a pretty weak draft for corners. If you think Love is the only running back drafted in the first round, go under 1.5 (-700). If you think there will be two or more, go over 1.5 (+400).

Another popular bet is the player who will be first of his position selected. The first offensive lineman is expected to be Mauigoa (-270). If you think Spencer Fano (+330) will be picked higher, you’ll get good value.

Not every team drafts by need, but if you’re going to draft players outside the top five, it’s important to know each team’s needs.

Atlanta Falcons (Top pick: 48): CB, WR, DL, OT

Arizona Cardinals (Top pick: 3): QB, OT, EDGE, LB

Baltimore Ravens (Top pick: 14): IOL, WR, TE, EDGE

Buffalo Bills (Top pick: 26): WR, EDGE, LB, DL

Carolina Panthers (Top pick: 19):  WR, TE, OT, CB

Chicago Bears (Top pick: 25): EDGE, DB, DT, WR

Cincinnati Bengals (Top pick: 10): EDGE, S, DB, LB

Cleveland Browns (Top pick: 6): OL, WR, QB, EDGE

Dallas Cowboys (Top pick: 12): CB, EDGE, S, LB

Denver Broncos (Top pick: 62): TE, LB, RB, DL

Detroit Lions (Top Pick: 17): EDGE, OT, IOL, DB

Green Bay Packers (Top pick: 52): CB, EDGE, DL, OT

Houston Texans (Top pick: 28): DL, IOL, OT, LB

Indianapolis Colts (Top pick: 47): LB, EDGE, WR, OT

Jacksonville Jaguars (Top pick: 56): DT, CB, LB, RB

Kansas City Chiefs (Top pick: 9):  CB, OT, EDGE, WR

Las Vegas Raiders (Top pick: 1): WR, DT, DB, OT

Los Angeles Chargers (Top pick: 22): OL, DL, CB, EDGE

Los Angeles Rams (Top pick: 13): WR, OT, LB, TE

Miami Dolphins (Top pick: 11): WR, OL, CB, EDGE

Minnesota Vikings (Top pick: 18): OL, DB, WR, S

New England Patriots (Top pick: 31). OL, EDGE, LB, WR

New Orleans Saints (Top pick: 8): WR, CB, LB, S

New York Giants (Top pick: 5): OL, CB, RB, LB

New York Jets (Top pick: 2): QB, WR, EDGE, CB

Philadelphia Eagles (Top pick: 23): OT, EDGE, WR, TE

Pittsburgh Steelers (Top pick: 21): QB, WR, IOL, OT

San Francisco 49ers (Top pick: 27): OL, S, TE, WR

Seattle Seahawks (Top pick: 32): DB, RB, EDGE, WR

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Top Pick: 15): EDGE, LB, TE, CB

Tennessee Titans (Top pick: 4): WR, EDGE, S, RB

Washington Commanders (Top pick: 7): LB, WR, CB, EDGE

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The NBA Play-in Tournament begins on Tuesday with No. 10 Miami (42-39) facing No. 9 Charlotte (43-38) at 7:30pmET and No. 8 Portland (41-40), taking on No. 7 Phoenix (44-37). If Phoenix wins, they move on to the playoffs as the 7^th seed in the West and the same with Portland. If Phoenix loses, they have to play the winner of the No. 10 Golden State (37-44) vs. No. 9 LA Clippers (41-40) game. The loser of the No. 9 vs. No. 10 games in both conferences goes home. The winner advances to the Play-in Final on Friday vs. the loser of the 9-10 game.

*-stats from DunksandThrees.com

Tuesday, April 14

10)Miami (46-35-1 ATS, 47-35 O/U)  vs. 9)Charlotte (50-32 ATS), 31-51 O/U)

From Charlotte, NC, the Spectrum Center, 7:30pmET

Winner faces the loser of the No. 7 Philadelphia 76ers vs. No. 8 Orlando Magic on Friday for the eighth playoff spot.

Line: Charlotte -5.5

Total: 228.5

ML: Miami +180/Charlotte -215

Head-to-Head: Miami 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS. Last game: Charlotte 136-106 at home

Key Stats*: Charlotte is 8^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 6^th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 14^th in Adjusted Defense. 27^th in Pace, 2nd in Rebound Rate.

Miami is 13^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 12^th in Adjusted Offense and 13^th in Adjusted Defense. First in Pace, 12^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Charlotte has had quite a regular season, but they’ll need to win twice to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2016. A big worry here is that they don’t match up with the Heat who beat them three times and in the fourth, did not have center Bam Adebayo, who sat out with a calf issue. Miami is led by Norman Powell, who has played in just 58 games due to injuries, while Adebayo adds 20.1 points and 10 rebounds. The Hornets are 33-16 since Jan. 1 and have one of the best records since 2026 started. Braxton Miller (20.2ppg), LaMelo Ball (20.1ppg 7.1apg) and rookie Kon Kneuppel (18.5ppg, 42.5% 3pt) are combining for 10.3 three-pointers per game. Rebounding will be key as the Hornets are second in rebound rate, led by Moussa Diabate (6-10, 210).

*-stats from DunksandThrees.com

8)Portland (44-38 ATS, 42-40 O/U) vs. 7)Phoenix (46-33-3 ATS, 37-45 O/U)

From Phoenix, Arizona, Mortgage Matchup Center

The winner moves on to the 7^th seed in the playoffs, and the loser faces the winner of the LA Clippers/Golden State game on Friday.

Line:  Phoenix -3.5

Total: 216.5

ML: Phoenix -158/Portland +134

Head-to-Head: Phoenix won two of three games SU and ATS. In their last meeting on Feb. 22,

Key Stats*: Portland is 20^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 22nd in Adjusted Offensive Rating, and 11^th in Adjusted Defense. 8^th in Pace, 7th in Rebound Rate.

Phoenix is 15^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 18^th in Adjusted Offense and 10^th in Adjusted Defense. First in Pace, 17^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Portland has won five of its last seven games and will need to win two games to make the playoffs. That would be a great accomplishment because Tiago Splitter has been their interim coach for most of the season due to the suspension of Chauncey Billups early in the season. Portland is led by 7-2 Donovan Clingan (11.6rpg), a space eater and rim protector with a soft touch (12.1ppg). Deni Avdija is one of the best all-around players in the Western Conference, averaging 24.2 points, 6.9 rebounds, and 6.7 assists, who gets little notice. Shaedon Sharpe (20.8ppg) is another gifted scorer, but if this team has an issue, it’s their shooting from the field (45.3%) and three-point shooting (34.3%), where they rank near the bottom of the league. A healthy Phoenix team could be a factor in the West. The good news is that Dillon Brooks (20.2ppg) and Devin Booker (26.1ppg, 6apg) rested late in the season and appear to be healthy. The bigger question is whether Jalen Green (17.8ppg) can return from a knee injury. The Suns also struggle to shoot the ball (45.5% FG), but they have some strong three-point shooters in Connor Gillespie (40.1%) and Royce O’Neal (40.8%).

Wednesday, April 15

8)Orlando (45-37 SU, 37-44-1 ATS, 45-37 O/U) vs. 7)Philadelphia (45-37 SU, 41-38-3 ATS, 39-43 O/U)

From Philadelphia, PA, Xfinity Mobile Arena

The winner moves on to the 7^th seed in the playoffs, and the loser faces the winner of the Charlotte/Miami game on Friday.

Line:  Philadelphia -1.5

Total: 220.5

ML: Philadelphia -120/Orlando +102

Head-to-Head: The Sixers have won two of the three meetings SU and ATS. In their last meeting on Jan. 9, the 76ers won 103-91 from Orlando.

Key Stats*: Orlando is 17^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 16th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 12^th in Adjusted Defense. 14^th in Pace, 10th in Rebound Rate.

Philadelphia is 19^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 17^th in Adjusted Offense and 17^th in Adjusted Defense, 16th in Pace, 20^th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Orlando has won five of their last six games, and if this team does reach the playoffs, it can be dangerous. It starts with the return of Franz Wagner, who has played in just 34 games due to various ankle and lower-leg injuries. He’s played in just 34 games this season, but averages 20.6 points, 5.2 rebounds, shooting 48.1% from the field. He’s an excellent complement to Paulo Banchero (22.2ppg, 8.4rpg, 5.2apg). The Magic have been very ordinary from the field (46.4%) and from the three-point line (34.3%), but a lot of that has been without Wagner. The big question for Philadelphia is whether Joel Embiid (abdomen) is going to play. It appears that the former MVP is going to miss the play-in tournament due to an Appendectomy. That’s a huge loss considering he’s averaging 26.9 points and 7.7 rebounds despite playing 38 games. In this matchup, they’ll have to rely on Tyrese Maxey (28.3ppg, 6.6apg), one of the most explosive guards in the league. Andre Drummond (8.4rpg) isn’t Embiid but he can rebound just as well. But for the Sixers to win this game, they’ll need Paul George (17.3ppg, 5.3rpg) to live up to his own nickname of “Playoff P”.

10)Golden State (37-45 SU, 34-47-1 ATS, 49-33 O/U) vs. 9)LA Clippers (42-40 SU SU, 42-39-1 ATS, 42-40  O/U)

From Inglewood, CA., Intuit Dome

The winner moves on to face the loser of the Portland/Phoenix game on Friday and the loser goes home.

Line: LA Clippers -5

Total: 220.5

ML: LA Clippers -205/Golden State +172

Head-to-Head: The Clippers won three of four games SU and ATS.

Key Stats*: Golden State is 17^th in Adjusted Net Rating, 16th in Adjusted Offensive Rating, 12^th in Adjusted Defense. 14^th in Pace, 10th in Rebound Rate.

Analysis: Two aging teams meet in this matchup and both teams are still relying on future Hall of Famers to advance. Steph Curry has played in just 43 games and still led the team in scoring with 26.6 points per game, while shooting 39.3% from long range. He has played in just four games since Jan. 30, averaging just 20.3 points, 3.5 assists, but is shooting 41.7% from three-point range in 26.8 minutes per game. They did add another aging veteran in Kristaps Porzingis (16.1ppg, 5.3rpg) to give them a rare 7-3 rim protector, but the loss of Jimmy Butler to an ACL injury at mid-season was a devastating blow and his leadership and defense can’t be replaced. The Warriors have won just one of their last eight games. The Clippers have played a little bit better than Golden State down the stretch, but it’s tough to develop chemistry after some major acquisitions when they have so many injuries. Yet, there is talent aside from Kawhi Leonard, who is having a great season in 65 games, averaging 27.9 points and 6.4 rebounds. James Harden, though slowing down, is shooting just 41.9% from the field, yet he still gets to the line 8.5  times per game. Bennedict Mathurin (17.4ppg, 5.5rpg) adds star potential and length if he can just stay healthy. The same can be said about point guard Darius Garland (19.9ppg, 6.4apg), who could be an All-Star-caliber player if he can stay healthy, which has been rare in a seven-season career.

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There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of nine weeks, and $250/unit players are up nearly $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
  ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February, including Saturday from Miami.  

• UFC goes 4-1 from Miami; $250/unit players win nearly $4,000!

  *WON 5 units Cub Swanson -112 vs Nate Landwehr
  *WON 5 units Carlos Ulberg -110 vs Jiri Prochazka
  *WON 4 units Kevin Holland -115 vs Randy Brown -105
  *WON 3 units Charles Radtke -175 vs Francisco Prado
  *loss 3 units Esteban Ribovics +170 vs Mateusz Gamrot

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18
If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

____________________________________________________

Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

Pace of play stats for NBA Playoffs

As the NBA playoffs start on April 18 and the play-in tournament tips off on Tuesday, April 14, how is important is tempo when it comes to totals?

In the NBA playoffs, the pace is normally slower than normal because teams are forced to play defense, and in a long series, it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to push the ball at a very high tempo.

For example, the pace of play doesn’t always lead to a great offense. Case in point is Miami, which ranks 1^st in pace of play, but 13^th in offensive rating (according to DunksandThrees). Sometimes, the slower team runs the best offense. If you look at Boston, they are 30^th in pace of play and second in offensive rating. The Celtics are also 4^th in defensive rating, which might explain why they are 30-52-1 Under this season.

Last season, Boston was 5-5-1 O/U in the playoffs after finishing 29^th in pace of play. But their defense was slightly worse than this season (6^th in defensive rating). The bigger question is whether a slower pace in the regular season correlates to more unders in the playoffs?

That can be a tricky question, but it wouldn’t make a lot of sense to go over with slower-paced teams, especially when the tempo is even slower in the postseason.

This season, Miami (1^st), Atlanta (4^th), and Minnesota (10^th) are in the playoffs as fast-paced teams, but the other seven are out of the playoffs (Utah, Chicago, Wash, Dallas, Memphis, Portland, Indiana). The Heat are barely in the play-in tournament, so playing at a faster pace didn’t help eight of the top 10 teams make the playoffs.

Last season, OKC was the fifth-fastest team, and Indiana was the sixth-fastest, and both met up in the NBA Finals with the Thunder winning. In the Finals, the total finished at 5-2 Under.

Research is important in any handicapping endeavor so check out DunksandThrees.com or TeamRankings.com for possessions per game (similar to pace) and you can find the pace of play stats. Also, check out offensive and defensive efficiency numbers. Regular season numbers don’t automatically mean that high-paced teams will play fast; however, knowing that most of the playoff teams are out of the top 10.

A slow pace doesn’t always indicate an under if their offense is elite. The under makes sense in situations where the pace of play might be slower and the fact that defenses are better. For example, when looking at the top defenses in terms of adjusted rating, OKC (1^st), Detroit (2^nd), Spurs (3^rd), Boston (4^th), Toronto (5^th), Houston (6^th), New York (7^th), Minnesota (8^th), Atlanta (9^th) and Phoenix (10^th) are all playoff or play-in teams.) are all playoff teams (from 1-9 in defense). When it comes to pace, there is only one team in the top 5 (Atlanta) and six teams are in the bottom 10.

Aside from the pace of play, check out the latest key injuries, offensive and defensive efficiency stats, logs for the last 10 games and matchups for each team this season to give you some tips when it comes to picking totals for the NBA Playoffs.

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There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won eight of nine weeks, and $250/unit players are up nearly $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun, and we won for the week! Now is the time to join as the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
  ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February, including Saturday from Miami.  

• UFC goes 4-1 from Miami; $250/unit players win nearly $4,000!

  *WON 5 units Cub Swanson -112 vs Nate Landwehr
  *WON 5 units Carlos Ulberg -110 vs Jiri Prochazka
  *WON 4 units Kevin Holland -115 vs Randy Brown -105
  *WON 3 units Charles Radtke -175 vs Francisco Prado
  *loss 3 units Esteban Ribovics +170 vs Mateusz Gamrot

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18
If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

____________________________________________________

Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks! 

Some bettors think we’re at a “dead period” when it comes to sports, because college basketball, the NFL, and college football are in the offseason.

 There are many other options for sharp bettors, and we call them niche sports.

There are plenty of niche sports available, but right now, with this being spring, let’s focus on golf, horse racing, UFC and UFL.

Why would you bet on sports that most people don’t watch?

These are not popular sports, and they may have less betting action. However, it also means that the odds can be more favorable for the bettor. They offer a strategic advantage because they feature less analytical saturation and lower betting volumes than mainstream sports. There are softer lines available along with value bets.

But here’s the thing: the more eyes on a market, the sharper the odds become.

Sports like MMA, which is getting more popular by the day to bet on, golf, UFL, WNBA, and horse racing are just some of the niche sports full of opportunities.  

Advantages of betting on smaller sports:

1)Less efficient odds

2)Bookmakers don’t invest as much in modeling minor sports. That leaves room for mistakes — and value.

3)Fewer public bettors = less noise

4)Odds don’t swing wildly due to hype or emotion. You can make cleaner, quieter decisions.

5)With fewer random events and less media drama, stats often reflect reality more directly.

The best option is to focus on one niche sport. Let’s say golf is your so-called niche sport. Develop as much knowledge as you can about the golfer’s records, greens in regulation, all the metrics, how the course plays, weather, etc.

Weather and track conditions are also very key in sports like horse racing, as well as jockey and trainer patterns. 

In terms of MMA/UFC, styles make fights and matchups are huge. Unlike boxing, wrestling is involved. Sometimes a wrestler can beat a striker; other times a striker matches up better against a wrestler. Cardio, durability, and fight IQ are keys to winning. There are also underdogs winning a lot, which can make this sport very profitable.

A sport like the WNBA or the UFL can be very profitable if you have the right information. In a lot of cases, the favorite is overvalued and the top teams are overinflated in terms of the odds.

But the bottom line is that if you truly understand a niche sport better than the bookmaker, you can find value.

____________________________________________________________________ 

There are over two months left in the NBA season, including the playoffs, which start on April 18 (the play-in tournament starts on April 14). The ATS Basketball Financial Program has won seven of eight weeks and $250/unit players are up over $10,000 in that span. Join our Basketball Financial Program for just $199 and get the rest of the regular season and playoffs through mid-June.

_________________________________________________________________________ 

2026 Baseball has begun, and we’re up this week! We have a specialty team that is in charge of the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.
Baseball is one of the most profitable sports at ATS. Get 2-3 games every single day through October.  We project $250/unit bettors to win over $31,000 in the first half.

• Join our Baseball Financial Program for $399 and get the Basketball Financial Program for FREE. The ATS Basketball Financial Program is just $199 from now through the NBA Finals in mid-June. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today.
  ____________________________________________________

Another great program from ATS is UFC. We’ve had great success with cards since February! This Saturday’s UFC card in Miami is going to be a scorcher!

Results from Seattle on March 28
*WON *BET TYRELL FORTUNE -135 VS MARCIN TYBURA
*WON *BET JOE PYFER +120 VS ISRAEL ADESANYA
*WON *BET TERRANCE MCKINNEY -185 VS KYLE NELSON
*WON *BET ALEXA GRASSO +160 VS MAYCEE BARBER–

$500 for 2 UFC Fight cards, April 11th/April 18
If you can bet $250+ per, we know we can 4 or 5x your investment over 2 weeks.

We’ll GUARANTEE it – if we do not at least DOUBLE your investment, ATS will give you 2 weeks additional for free.

LINK FOR $500: ATS Consultants

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The Masters Tournament has begun 

Day 1 at Augusta is in the books—and just like we expected, our positions are already looking strong.

While others are just catching up, our clients are sitting on value heading into the next rounds. And the best part? We’re not done. We’ll have 6-8 picks each week in every golf tournament with a long shot. 

Contact us for more information. 

If you want to test our programs in basketball, baseball, or other sports, try our Daily Free Picks!