ATS: Friday and Saturday Football Betting Previews for Oct. 16-17


The 2026-27 ATS NBA Betting Guide is out! Features picks, win totals, futures, power ratings and previews. Click here for your free copy.
 
The current version of the “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is also here for Vol. 8, including stats, previews, key injuries, trends, power ratings and more!
_______________________________________________________________________________________________

Friday, October 16 games

Memphis at Tulane

Friday October 16 | 7:30 PM ET | ESPN | Yulman Stadium, New Orleans | Memphis -6.5 | Total 55.5

Records: Memphis 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U; Tulane 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

Odds update: The reported total is 55.5, up from 54.0 in the original preview; Memphis remains a 6.5-point favorite. These are reported Thursday prices, not closing lines. [9]

2025 meeting: Tulane beat Memphis 38-32 as a 3.5-point underdog. The game went Over 53.5.

Last games: Memphis beat UAB 38-13 at home October 10 and covered -15.5. Marcus Stokes threw two touchdowns without an interception, allowing the Tigers to win comfortably without a high-volume passing game. Tulane lost 20-17 at Army October 10 but covered +5.5. Kadin Semonza finished 14-of-26 for 158 yards, one touchdown and one interception; Tulane needs more sustained offensive production after another close loss.

QB matchup: Marcus Stokes, Memphis: supplied season line 70.1%, 1,535 passing yards, 16 TD/3 INT, plus 188 rushing yards; latest 11-of-21, 164 yards, 2 TD/0 INT. Kadin Semonza, Tulane: 53.8%, 804 passing yards, 4 TD/2 INT; latest 14-of-26, 158 yards, 1 TD/1 INT. Semonza is the projected matchup, but Will Hall said the quarterback competition remains open; Trace Johnson is another option. That is a performance decision rather than a reported Semonza injury. [10]

Offense/Defense: Memphis offense: 247.0 rushing / 269.7 passing YPG, 38.5 PPG; defense: 176.7 rushing / 203.7 passing YPG, 20.8 PPG allowed. Tulane offense: 152.8 rushing / 180.6 passing YPG, 18.4 PPG; defense: 218.6 rushing / 188.6 passing YPG, 22.6 PPG allowed. Season figures retain the original preview snapshot.

Key injuries and availability: Memphis: no named injuries on the checked public matchup report. Tulane: Kam Hamilton (DL), day-to-day after leaving the Army game in the fourth quarter; Ed Smith IV (DL), day-to-day after missing Army; the coach did not disclose diagnoses. Zycarl Lewis Jr. (WR), questionable, leg; Maurice Turner (RB), questionable, undisclosed; Antwaun Parham (WR), questionable, undisclosed; J. McClure (RB), out, foot, without a return timetable. 

Weather: Low 80s in New Orleans, wind around 6.5 mph and a 7% rain chance in the Thursday game forecast. 

ATS and totals trends: Memphis: 4-0 ATS in its last four October games; 5-1 Under in its last six after a SU win. Tulane: 6-1 Under in its last seven home games; 6-0 Under in its last six after an ATS win; 1-5-1 ATS in its last seven at home; 0-7-1 ATS in its last eight after an ATS win.  The series has gone Over in four of the last five meetings.

Matchup analysis: Memphis has the clearest statistical route through its running game against a Tulane defense allowing 218.6 rushing yards per game. Tulane must win enough first downs defensively to force longer passing situations and give its own offense manageable field position. Its 18.4 PPG average makes a sustained scoring exchange difficult. 

Keys to win: Memphis must exploit the defensive front, protect the ball and convert red-zone possessions into touchdowns. Tulane must limit explosive runs, keep its quarterback out of obvious passing downs and finish its best drives with seven points. 

Washington at Purdue

Friday October 16 | 8:00 PM ET | FOX | Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette | Purdue -3.5 | Reported total 50.5-51.5

Records: Washington 3-3 SU, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 O/U; Purdue 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 5-1 O/U.

2025 meeting: Washington beat Purdue 49-13 in Seattle, covering -14.5; the game went Over 50.5.

Last games: Washington lost 41-24 at home to Iowa October 9 and failed to cover -2.5. Elijah Brown supplied 251 passing yards and three touchdowns after Demond Williams Jr. was injured, but Washington could not erase its deficit. Purdue beat Minnesota 41-13 at home October 10 and covered +2.5. Running back Fame Ijeboi led the attack with 195 yards and three touchdowns on 31 carries; Ryan Browne added 159 passing yards and a touchdown without an interception.

QB matchup: Projected Elijah Brown versus Ryan Browne. E. Brown: 71.4%, 276 yards, 4 TD/0 INT; he went 28-of-39 for 251 yards and 3 TD/0 INT against Iowa. Ryan Browne: 68.9%, 1,549 yards, 9 TD/1 INT; latest 14-of-24, 159 yards, 1 TD/0 INT. Brown’s productive relief appearance offers Washington a passing route, while Browne’s low interception total supports Purdue’s effort to avoid short fields.

Offense/Defense: Washington offense: 90.3 rushing / 279.5 passing YPG, 26.2 PPG; defense: 136.7 rushing / 193.7 passing YPG, 22.2 PPG allowed. Purdue offense: 160.2 rushing / 338.4 passing YPG, 38.6 PPG; defense: 189.0 rushing / 291.8 passing YPG, 37.6 PPG allowed.  

Key injuries and availability: Washington: Demond Williams Jr. (QB), questionable, ribs; Jedd Fisch said he would be surprised if Williams were cleared, with Brown taking first-team reps. Xe’ree Alexander (LB), doubtful. Kai McClendon (DL), Jacob Lane (DE), Jeron Jones (CB), Jack Shaffer (OL) and Justin Hylkema (OL), questionable; diagnoses were not supplied in the availability report. Christian Moss (WR), Jordan Washington (RB), Jayden Limar (RB), Quaid Carr (RB) and C.J. Christian (S), out. Separate listings identify Limar’s upper-body injury and Christian’s Achilles injury. Purdue: Mister Clark (DB) and Joey Tanona (OT), out; Kylan Fox (TE) and Raderrion Daniels (DB), out for the season with knee injuries.   

Weather: The updated hourly forecast calls for about 51°F with possible showers near kickoff, cooling toward 49-50°F late.  

ATS and totals trends: Washington: 4-1 ATS in its last five after a SU loss. Purdue: 5-0 Over in its last five home games; 7-1 Over in its last eight overall; 4-1 Under in its last five October games; 1-7 ATS in its last eight Friday games; 1-5 ATS in its last six overall. These retain the original trend snapshot.  

Matchup analysis: Purdue can test Washington’s injured defensive front with Ijeboi and use that threat to simplify Browne’s reads. The decisive question is whether Purdue can pressure Brown without exposing its secondary. A repeat of Brown’s productive second half would make more than a field goal valuable to Washington; sustained Purdue rushing success would reduce Washington’s possessions and make the road comeback harder.

Keys to win: Washington must protect Brown, manufacture efficient early-down gains and tackle well enough to avoid a repeat of Purdue’s rushing breakout. Purdue must establish Ijeboi, prevent explosive completions and preserve Browne’s ball security.  

App State at Coastal Carolina

Friday October 16 | 8:00 PM ET | ESPN2 | Brooks Stadium, Conway | App State -1.5 | Total 48.5

Records: App State 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U; Coastal Carolina 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Coastal Carolina won 45-37 at App State as a 10.5-point underdog. The game went Over 48.5.

Last games: App State lost 10-3 at home to Old Dominion October 10 and did not cover -8.5. Malachi Singleton finished 5-of-23 for 72 yards and an interception before an ankle injury complicated the quarterback outlook; Henry Hasselbeck went 2-of-4 for minus-six yards and an interception. Coastal won 27-21 at Marshall October 10 and covered +4.5. Deuce Bailey threw for only 73 yards, but Dominic Lee-Knicely carried 25 times for 169 yards and a touchdown, adding 42 receiving yards. 

QB matchup: Malachi Singleton or Henry Hasselbeck versus Deuce Bailey. Singleton’s supplied season line: 65.2%, 1,278 passing yards, 7 TD/2 INT. Bailey: 53.8%, 1,340 yards, 13 TD/3 INT, plus 192 rushing yards; latest 8-of-18, 73 yards, 1 TD/1 INT. Hasselbeck’s four attempts against Old Dominion provide very little basis for projecting a full start. Singleton’s availability and mobility are separate questions even if he dresses.

Offense/Defense: App State offense: 134.2 rushing / 268.6 passing YPG, 28.4 PPG; defense: 137.6 rushing / 197.8 passing YPG, 19.8 PPG allowed. Coastal Carolina offense: 149.0 rushing / 224.3 passing YPG, 25.2 PPG; defense: 189.7 rushing / 213.7 passing YPG, 24.3 PPG allowed.  

Key injuries and availability: App State: Malachi Singleton (QB), ankle; Hasselbeck is the expected replacement if needed. Treyaun Webb (RB), out, undisclosed; Alexander Sanchez (WR), Chris Lofton (WR) and Dillon Galloway (TE), questionable, undisclosed. Coastal: Colton Hinton (WR), Goldie Lawrence (WR) and Zach Courtney (TE), questionable, undisclosed.  

Weather: The updated Conway hourly forecast calls for mostly clear skies around 76°F at kickoff, easing toward 72°F late. The original stadium forecast had light wind near 6.5 mph, gusts around 14 mph and a 4% rain chance.  

ATS and totals trends: The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five series meetings. App State: 1-5 ATS in its last six conference games; 6-1 Under in its last seven after a SU loss; 6-1 Over in its last seven conference games. Coastal: 5-1 Over in its last six home games; 4-1 ATS in its last five October games. These retain the supplied trend snapshot. App State’s opposing totals trends describe different situations, so quarterback availability is more actionable than either trend alone.

Matchup analysis: App State’s defense has the stronger supplied scoring profile, allowing 19.8 PPG, but the offense must recover from a three-point performance. Coastal’s 189.7 rushing yards allowed per game gives the Mountaineers a route to protect Hasselbeck or a limited Singleton with a run-led plan. Coastal will try to reproduce its Marshall formula through Lee-Knicely rather than ask Bailey to win entirely through the air. If App State forces longer passing downs, its defensive advantage becomes more useful.  

 

Saturday College Football Betting Previews

Georgia State at James Madison

12:00 PM ET | ESPNU | James Madison -12.5 | Total 58.0

Records: Georgia State: 4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U; James Madison: 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: James Madison beat Georgia State 14 – 7 (GSU 20.5, total 52.5).

Last games: Georgia State beat Old Dominion 42 – 10 (home, Oct 03, 2026); covered -1.5; James Madison beat Georgia Southern 27 – 24 (away, Oct 10, 2026); did not cover -7.5.

QBs: Cameran Brown: season 67.9%, 1,157 yards, 12 TD/4 INT; 112 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD; latest 14/20, 284 yards, 6 TD/0 INT; Camden Coleman: season 62.3%, 1,150 yards, 11 TD/1 INT; latest 16/27, 171 yards, 1 TD/0 INT.

Offense/Defense: Georgia State: offense 209.6 rushing / 259.0 passing YPG, 39.4 PPG; defense 127.0 rushing /174.0 passing YPG, 19.0 PPG allowed. James Madison: offense 219.3 rushing / 232.7 passing YPG, 41.8 PPG; defense 102.0 rushing / 245.0 passing YPG, 15.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Georgia State: none listed. James Madison: Z. Collins (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 50.0°F, sunny, wind 11.4 mph, gusts 18.6 mph, rain chance 1%.

Trends: Geo State is: 1)6-0 ATS over last 6. 2)6-0 ATS last 6 overall. 3)4-0 Over last after an ATS loss. 4)8-2 Over last 10 after an ATS win. 5)2-6 ATS last 8 conference. JMU is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 after an ATS loss.

Matchup analysis: JMU’s 219.3 rushing yards per game run into a Georgia State front allowing 127.0, making early-down efficiency the first test. Georgia State has a more inviting passing route against a defense allowing 245.0 passing yards per game. If the Panthers protect well and finish drives with touchdowns, they can make the favorite defend the full field.

Florida Atlantic at Army
12:00 PM ET | CBSSN | Army -2.5 |
Total 56.0
Records: FAU 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U; ARMY 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

Last games: FAU beat FCS Texas Southern 66 – 10 (home, Oct 03); covered -46.5; Army beat Tulane 20 – 17 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -5.5.

QBs: Caden Veltkamp: 73.1%, 1,427 yd, 12/2 TD/INT; last 13/16, 247 yd, 4/0 TD/INT; Cale
Hellums: 56.4%, 356 yd, 3/1 TD/INT; 524 rush yds, 8 rush TD; last 3/6, 19 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Florida Atlantic: Offense 116.4 rush/304.4 pass YPG, 37.2 PPG; Defense 166.0 rush/237.6 pass YPG, 26.6 PPG allowed; Army: Offense 333.2 rush/82.6 pass YPG, 30.6 PPG; Defense 156.0 rush/199.2 pass YPG, 19.2 PPG allowed.

Injuries: Florida Atlantic: none listed. Army: B. Luter (QB): Q – UD; N. Dolbin (WR): Q – UD; B. Mott (WR): Q – UD.

Weather: 44.8°F, sunny, W 17.7 mph, G 31.8 mph, rain 19%.

Trends: FAU is: 1)4-0 ATS over last 4. 2)4-0 ATS last 4 after a SU win. Army is: 1)4-1 Over last 5 home. 2)4-1Under last 5 in October. 3)0-3-1 ATS last 4 overall.  

Ball State at Bowling Green

12:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Bowling Green -6.5 | Total 45.0

Records: BST 1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS, 5-1 O/U; BG 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

Last games: Ball State lost to Northwestern 45-14 (away, Oct 10); covered 34.5; Bowling Green beat Sacramento State 38 – 10 (home, Oct 10); covered -9.5.

QBs: Keldric Luster: 64.4%, 871 yd, 6/4 TD/INT; last 27/41, 209 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; Jay Kastantin: 65.7%, 986 yd, 5/3 TD/INT; last 11/15, 116 yd, 1/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Ball State: Offense 117.8 rush/190.2 pass YPG, 18.3 PPG; Defense 218.8 rush/248.5 pass YPG, 39.0 PPG allowed; Bowling Green: Offense 107.3 rush/167.7 pass YPG, 15.8 PPG; Defense 204.5 rush/175.2 pass YPG, 29.2 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Ball State: C. Breveard (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Bonds (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; I. Thacker (WR): Out – Undisclosed. Bowling Green: I. Dawson (WR): Out – Undisclosed; K. Baldwin (RB):Questionable – Undisclosed; A. Clay (WR): Out – Undisclosed.

Weather: 41.5°F, sunny, W 12.5 mph, G 16.8 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Ball State is: 1)Road team is 5-0 ATS over last 5 matchups. 2)9-2 ATS last 11 after a SU loss. 3)1-5 ATS last 6 after an ATS win. 4)1-4 ATS last 5 road. 5)7-1 Over last 8 overall. BG is: 1)6-1 Over last 7 after a SU win of >20 points.

Matchup analysis: Neither offense has been consistently productive, but both defenses offer a possible rushing opening: Ball State allows 218.8 rushing yards per game and Bowling Green allows 204.5. The Falcons should test that weakness before asking their passing game to carry the matchup. Ball State’s route to an upset is to sustain possessions, protect the ball and make Bowling Green earn points over long fields. The key totals question is whether vulnerable run defenses outweigh the offenses’ low scoring averages.

Northwestern at Michigan State

12:00 PM ET | Peacock | Northwestern -7.5 | Total 48.5

Records: NW 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U; MSU 2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

Last games: Northwestern beat Ball State 45 – 14 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -34.5; Michigan State lost to Illinois 37 – 38 (home, Oct 10); covered 2.5.

QBs: Aidan Chiles: 71.4%, 1,172 yd, 9/0 TD/INT; last 17/23, 272 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Alessio Milivojevic: 65.8%, 1,047 yd, 5/3 TD/INT; last 22/26, 196 yd, 2/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Northwestern: Offense 203.0 rush/234.4 pass YPG, 35.4 PPG; Defense 147.2 rush/233.4 pass YPG, 16.2 PPG allowed; Michigan State: Offense 124.2 rush/187.5 pass YPG, 21.3 PPG; Defense 141.8 rush/197.8 pass YPG, 25.7 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Northwestern: B. Turner (CB): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Fussell (CB): Out – Undisclosed; C. Farrell (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Michigan State: C. Fancher (QB): Questionable – Knee; C. Edwards (RB): Questionable – Knee; C. Wheatland (LB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 40.8°F, sunny, W 11.4 mph, G 17.7 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: NW is: 1)8-1-2 ATS last 11 after a SU win. 2)5-0 Over last 5 overall. 3)8-1-2 ATS last 11 after a SU win. MSU is: 1)6-17 ATS last 23 home.

Matchup analysis: Northwestern brings the stronger scoring profile, averaging 35.4 points and allowing 16.2, but Michigan State’s 141.8 rushing yards allowed per game make this more than a simple offensive comparison. The Spartans need to limit Northwestern’s 203.0-yard rushing attack, force longer passing downs and finish their own possessions.    

Ohio State at Indiana

12:00 PM ET | FOX | Ohio State -3.5 | Total 50.5

Records: OSU 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U; IND 6-0 SU, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Indiana beat Ohio State 13 – 10 (IU 3.5, total 45.5).

Last games: Ohio State beat Maryland 45 – 16 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -31.5; Indiana beat Nebraska 20 – 17 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -8.5.

QBs: Julian Sayin: 71.2%, 1,772 yd, 17/2 TD/INT; last 13/21, 242 yd, 4/1 TD/INT; Josh Hoover: 68.2%, 1,364 yd, 17/0 TD/INT; last 12/22, 263 yd, 2/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Ohio State: Offense 165.7 rush/337.8 pass YPG, 42.7 PPG; Defense 96.2 rush/150.7 pass YPG, 13.2 PPG allowed; Indiana: Offense 221.3 rush/241.3 pass YPG, 40.2 PPG; Defense 75.0 rush/188.3 pass YPG, 11.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Ohio State: L. Bey (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; A. Valerio-Hudson (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Rogers (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed. Indiana: none listed.

Weather: 48.7°F, sunny, W 10.7 mph, G 15.7 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: OSU is: 1)9-1 ATS last 10 road. 2)7-0 Under last 7 road. Ind is: 1)0-5 ATS last 5 home. 2)1-6 ATS last 7 overall.

Matchup analysis: This is a strength-on-strength matchup. Ohio State’s 337.8 passing yards per game meet an Indiana defense allowing 188.3 through the air and just 75.0 on the ground. Indiana should make Sayin earn sustained drives rather than surrender explosive throws. Going the other way, the Hoosiers’ 221.3-yard rushing attack must prevent Ohio State’s defense from dictating obvious passing situations.  

Virginia at SMU

12:00 PM ET | CW | SMU -8.5 | Total 52.0

Records: UVA 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U; SMU 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

Last games: Virginia beat Syracuse 28 – 25 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -14.5; SMU beat Boston College 25 – 16 (home, Oct 03); did not cover -21.5.

QBs: Beau Pribula: 66.4%, 1,080 yd, 13/1 TD/INT; last 11/19, 119 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Kevin Jennings: 75.0%, 1,588 yd, 14/5 TD/INT; last 20/30, 160 yd, 2/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Virginia: Offense 162.8 rush/217.5 pass YPG, 32.8 PPG; Defense 151.8 rush/161.8 pass YPG, 19.2 PPG allowed; SMU: Offense 138.2 rush/341.0 pass YPG, 34.6 PPG; Defense 141.6 rush/170.4 pass YPG, 23.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Virginia: R. Flores Jr. (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; P. Lewis (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Ward (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. SMU: Y. Knight (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; Y. Smith (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed;  

Weather: 59.7°F, overcast, W 8.7 mph, G 11.2 mph, rain 4%.

Trends: UVA is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 in October. 2)4-1 ATS last 5 after an ATS loss. 3)9-1 Under last 10 conference. 4)6-0 Under last 6 road. SMU is: 1)7-1 Under last 8 home. 2)10-1 Under last 11 after an ATS loss. 3)3-7 ATS last 10 after an ATS loss.

Matchup analysis: SMU’s 341.0 passing yards per game face a Virginia defense allowing only 161.8. Jennings needs efficient early completions to prevent the Cavaliers from controlling the terms of the game. Virginia’s best response is a balanced attack that extends drives and limits SMU’s possessions. Pribula’s supplied 13-to-1 touchdown/interception ratio supports that approach if his protection holds.  

Pittsburgh at Boston College

12:00 PM ET | ESPN2 | Pittsburgh -6.5 | Total 44.0

Records: PITT 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U; BC 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 0-5 O/U.

2025 meeting: Pittsburgh beat Boston College 48 – 7 (PITT -6.5, total 54.5).

Last games: Pittsburgh lost to North Carolina 17 – 21 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -3.5; Boston College lost to SMU 16 – 25 (away, Oct 03); covered 21.5.

QBs: Holden Geriner: 65.7%, 438 yd, 2/2 TD/INT; last 27/44, 219 yd, 0/2 TD/INT; Mason McKenzie: 58.3%, 967 yd, 5/5 TD/INT; 437 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 20/31, 208 yd, 2/0 TD/INT. Geriner replaces Heintschel, whose torn ACL is season-ending.

Offense/Defense: Pittsburgh: Offense 160.0 rush/299.8 pass YPG, 34.8 PPG; Defense 49.7 rush/241.3 pass YPG, 14.7 PPG allowed; Boston College: Offense 153.0 rush/193.4 pass YPG, 19.0 PPG; Defense 151.6 rush/164.6 pass YPG, 23.4 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Pittsburgh: M. Heintschel (QB): Out for season – torn ACL (team confirmed); M. Knight (WR): Out -Undisclosed; M. Hunt (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed. Boston College: B. MacCormack III (RB): Out – Shoulder; B. Clough (TE): Out – Undisclosed.

Injury impact: Heintschel’s season-ending ACL injury is the central personnel issue. Knight’s absence and Hunt’s questionable tag further affect Pitt’s available targets. BC’s listed losses at running back and tight end can reduce both protection flexibility and its options against Pitt’s front.

Weather: 48.4°F, patchy rain nearby, W 15.2 mph, G 27.3 mph, rain 10%.

Trends: Home team is 4-0 ATS over last 4 matchups. Pitt is: 1)2-5 ATS last 7 after a SU loss. 2)4-1 Under last 5 overall. BC is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 conference. 2)4-0 ATS last 4 after a SU loss. 3)6-0 Under last 6 overall.

Matchup analysis: Pitt’s defense allows just 49.7 rushing yards per game, putting pressure on Boston College to create offense through McKenzie’s legs, designed movement and timely passes. Pitt should make BC drive the field without conceding scramble plays. The Panthers’ own offense is a separate concern after the quarterback change: Geriner’s latest two-interception outing means a 299.8-yard team passing average cannot be assumed to describe the current unit. BC needs takeaways and short fields; Pitt needs a manageable game for its replacement quarterback.

Cincinnati at West Virginia

12:00 PM ET | TNT | West Virginia -2.5 | Total 63.5

Records: CIN 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U; WV 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 6-0 O/U.

Last games: Cincinnati lost to Arizona 34-7 (away, Oct 03); did not cover 6.5; West Virginia lost to Arizona 52-31 (home, Oct 10); did not cover 3.5.

QBs: JC French IV: 69.9%, 949 yd, 6/0 TD/INT; 193 rush yd, 5 rush TD; last 16/29, 153 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; Michael Hawkins Jr.: 52.3%, 1,055 yd, 7/1 TD/INT; 672 rush yd, 12 rush TD; last 11/28, 219 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Cincinnati: Offense 230.8 rush/196.8 pass YPG, 33.8 PPG; Defense 141.6 rush/260.0 pass YPG, 23.2 PPG allowed; West Virginia: Offense 295.5 rush/184.8 pass YPG, 36.3 PPG; Defense 163.8 rush/297.0 pass YPG, 32.7 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Cincinnati: G. Kontosis (WR): Probable – Undisclosed; D. Witherspoon (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed. West Virginia: A. Devine (RB): Out – Undisclosed; M. Boswell (RB): Out – Undisclosed; J. Neider (WR): Out – Undisclosed.

Weather: 44.8°F, sunny, W 13.9 mph, G 22.8 mph, rain 5%.

Trends: Cincinnati: 1)3-7 ATS over latest 10 listed. 2)5-1 Over last 6 road. 3)1-5 ATS last 6 conference. West Va: 1)5-0 Over last 5 overall. 2)6-1 Over last 7 in October.

Matchup analysis: The rushing matchup will shape the game, with Cincinnati averaging 230.8 yards on the ground and West Virginia 295.5. Cincinnati can also attack a Mountaineer defense allowing 297.0 passing yards per game, provided French does not force throws after his team’s recent loss. West Virginia needs Hawkins’ running threat to create favorable numbers and keep Cincinnati from keying on conventional handoffs. 

Kansas at Kansas State

12:00 PM ET | FS1 | Kansas State -5.5 | Total 55.5

Records: KU 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U; KST 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Kansas State beat Kansas 42 – 17 (KSU 3.5, total 55.5).

Last games: Kansas lost to Utah 24 – 41 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 15.5; Kansas State lost to Houston 35-16 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -2.5.

QBs: Isaiah Marshall: 53.9%, 1,143 yd, 8/4 TD/INT; 255 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 19/37, 333 yd, 2/1 TD/INT; Avery Johnson: 63.8%, 1,092 yd, 9/3 TD/INT; 330 rush yd, 3 rush TDs; last 16/30, 182 yd, 2/1 TD/INT.  

Offense/Defense: Kansas: Offense 214.8 rush/260.8 pass YPG, 33.6 PPG; Defense 135.8 rush/167.4 pass YPG, 21.8 PPG allowed; Kansas State: Offense 216.0 rush/228.0 pass YPG, 35.6 PPG; Defense 158.4 rush/133.4 pass YPG, 19.2 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Kansas: J. Mason (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Ballard (QB): Out – Shoulder; T. Nagy (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Kansas State: D. Duff (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; B. Barnett (QB): Questionable – Lower Body; J. Knuth (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 48.7°F, sunny, W 8.7 mph, G 11.0 mph, rain 3%.

Trends: KU is: 1)9-1 ATS last 10 after allowing >200 rush yd. 2)4-1 Over last 5 overall. KState is: 1)2-7 ATS last 9 after an ATS loss. 2)1-5 ATS last 6 conference. 3)5-1-1 ATS last 7 after a DD loss at home.

Matchup analysis: Both teams average more than 214 rushing yards per game, but Kansas State’s defense allows just 133.4 passing yards per game. Kansas needs early-down rushing success to avoid repeatedly testing that coverage on predictable third downs.    

Mississippi State at LSU

12:00 PM ET | ESPN | LSU -12.5 | Total 59.0

Records: MST 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U; LSU 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

Last games: Mississippi State lost to Alabama 23 – 56 (home, Oct 03); did not cover 5.5; LSU lost to Kentucky 34 – 35 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -9.5.

QBs: Kamario Taylor: 66.2%, 1,450 yd, 17/4 TD/INT; 159 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 19/34, 258 yd, 3/2 TD/INT; Sam Leavitt: 67.6%, 1,495 yd, 10/8 TD/INT; 259 rush yd, 7 rush TDs; last 25/34, 275 yd, 2/1 TD/INT. 

Offense/Defense: Mississippi State: Offense 177.8 rush/309.2 pass YPG, 39.0 PPG; Defense 119.6 rush/260.0 pass YPG, 28.0 PPG allowed; LSU: Offense 213.8 rush/311.0 pass YPG, 42.0 PPG; Defense 74.5 rush/176.2 pass YPG, 18.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Mississippi State: A. Williams (WR): Out – Leg; B. Mitchell (WR): Out – Undisclosed; J. Freeman (OG): Questionable – Undisclosed. LSU: R. Guillory Jr. (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; P. Wright III (WR): Out – Undisclosed [older listing]; T. Green (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 70.0°F, sunny, W 13.2 mph, G 16.6 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: MST is 1)4-1 ATS over last 5. 2)9-2 ATS last 11 road. LSU is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 2)5-1 Under last 6 conference. 3)0-4 ATS last 4 in October. 4)2-8 ATS last 10 after a SU loss.

Matchup analysis: Mississippi State’s 309.2 passing yards per game give it an avenue to compete, but LSU’s defense allows just 74.5 rushing yards per game. If the Bulldogs become one-dimensional, Taylor will face a harder protection and decision-making test. LSU can attack Mississippi State’s 260.0 passing yards allowed while using its own 213.8-yard rushing average to stay balanced. Leavitt’s supplied eight interceptions are the underdog’s most obvious opening: takeaways and short fields could keep a strong LSU offense from controlling the scoreboard.

Florida at Texas
12:00 PM ET | ABC | Texas -10.5 | Total 53.0

Records: FLA 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U; TEX 4-1 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Florida beat Texas 29 – 21 (FLA 5.5, total 42.5).

Last games: Florida lost to South Carolina 38-19 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -10.5; Texas lost to Oklahoma 27-2-4 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -7.5.

QBs: Aaron Philo: 70.5%, 1,341 yd, 9/3 TD/INT; 104 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 21/28, 227 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; Arch Manning: 63.0%, 1,122 yd, 10/5 TD/INT; 102 rush yd, 0 rush TD; last 19/31, 260 yd, 3/2 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Florida: Offense 200.3 rush/273.5 pass YPG, 41.7 PPG; Defense 124.3 rush/268.7 pass YPG, 29.0 PPG allowed; Texas: Offense 142.2 rush/237.0 pass YPG, 31.4 PPG; Defense 96.0 rush/168.4 pass YPG, 16.0 PPG allowed.

Injuries: Florida: L. Montgomery (RB): P – UD; V. Brown III (WR): Q – Knee; B. Stockton (WR): Q – UD; D. McCutcheon (WR): Q – Illness; Z. Williams (DL): Q – UD.

Weather: 64.9°F, sunny, W 13.6 mph, G 17.7 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Fla is: 1)5-2 Over last 7 overall. 2)5-2 Over last 7 conference. 3)0-4 ATS last 4 in October. 4)4-1 ATS last 5 after an ATS loss. Tex is: 1)8-3 ATS last 11 after a SU loss. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 overall. 7-3 Under last 10 after allowing <275 total yds

Rutgers at Maryland

12:30 PM ET | BTN | Maryland -5.5 | Total 57.0

Records: RIT 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U; MD 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 5-1 O/U.

2025 meeting: Rutgers beat Maryland 35 – 20 (RUTG -1.5, total 56.5).

Last games: Rutgers lost to Indiana 47-15(home, Oct 03); did not cover 24.5; Maryland lost to Ohio State 45-16 (away, Oct 10); covered 31.5.

QBs: AJ Surace: 62.3%, 475 yd, 6/4 TD/INT; last 6/10, 128 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Malik Washington: 61.0%, 1,352 yd, 7/6 TD/INT; last 12/25, 64 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Rutgers: Offense 168.5 rush/326.0 pass YPG, 37.5 PPG; Defense 249.0 rush/260.3 pass YPG, 40.3 PPG allowed; Maryland: Offense 136.0 rush/241.7 pass YPG, 28.0 PPG; Defense 148.3 rush/205.7 pass YPG, 32.7 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Rutgers: D. Lonergan (QB): Out – Head; K. Levy (CB): Out – Undisclosed; A. Raymond (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed [older listing]. Maryland: C. Williams (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; L. Johnson (DL): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Leahy (K): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 52.9°F, sunny, W 17.0 mph, G 32.7 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Rut is: 1)8-2 ATS last 10 after an ATS loss. 2)5-1 ATS last 6 after SU loss. Maryland: 1)3-7 ATS over latest 10. 2)5-0 Over last 5 after a SU loss. 3)1-7 ATS last 8 conference. 4)1-7 ATS last 8 after a SU loss.

Matchup analysis: Rutgers’ defense has allowed 249.0 rushing yards and 40.3 points per game, giving Maryland a clear reason to establish the run even with a modest rushing average of its own. Rutgers can answer through a passing offense averaging 326.0 yards, but its current quarterback configuration matters more than the team average. Maryland needs efficient quarterback play after Washington’s latest low-output game.  

Charlotte at Temple

1:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Temple -20.5 | Total 47.5

Records: CHAR 0-6 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U; TEM 2-4 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

2025 meeting: Temple beat Charlotte 49 – 14 (TEM -10.5, total 47.5).

Last games: Charlotte lost to North Texas 10 – 50 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 27.5; Temple lost to UConn 20 – 34 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -3.5.

QBs: Conner Harrell: 68.3%, 311 yd, 1/2 TD/INT; last 15/22, 218 yd, 1/2 TD/INT; Ajani Sheppard: 60.8%, 891 yd, 7/0 TD/INT; 261 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 19/25, 260 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Charlotte: Offense 101.5 rush/186.3 pass YPG, 16.0 PPG; Defense 184.0 rush/282.8 pass YPG, 42.2 PPG allowed; Temple: Offense 201.8 rush/172.7 pass YPG, 24.8 PPG; Defense 165.5 rush/231.7 pass YPG, 26.3 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Charlotte: J. Hoffman (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Temple: J. Smolik (QB): Questionable – Foot; R. Stocksdale (WR): Questionable – Hamstring; C. Logan (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 50.5°F, patchy rain nearby, W 16.8 mph, G 30.9 mph, rain 2%.

Trends: Char is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 in October. 2)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 3)5-1 Under last 6 after allowing >450 total yd. Tem is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 2)4-1 Under last 5 overall. 3)4-1 Under last 5 home.

Matchup analysis: Temple’s 201.8 rushing yards per game are the cleanest offensive advantage against a Charlotte defense allowing 42.2 points per game.  

UMass at Buffalo

1:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Buffalo -6.5 | Total 41.5

Records: UMass 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U; BUF 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Buffalo beat UMass 28 – 21 (MASS 16.5, total 47.5).

Last games: UMass lost to Miami (Ohio) 20-19 (home, Oct 10); covered 6.5; Buffalo beat Toledo 23 – 8 (away, Oct 10); covered 18.5.

QBs: Aedan McCarthy: 51.5%, 182 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; last 15/29, 171 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; Jason Wright: 48.8%, 726 yd, 4/3 TD/INT; 104 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 14/31, 171 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: UMass: Offense 158.3 rush/180.8 pass YPG, 29.7 PPG; Defense 109.3 rush/191.3 pass YPG, 18.2 PPG allowed; Buffalo: Offense 156.2 rush/162.7 pass YPG, 20.8 PPG; Defense 150.5 rush/239.5 pass YPG, 26.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: UMass: P. Watson III (QB): Questionable – Foot; J. Griffin Jr. (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Elliott (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Buffalo: E. Holmes (QB): Out – Knee; B. Mays (WR): Out – Undisclosed; T. Richards (WR): Out – Undisclosed.

Weather: 40.5°F, patchy light snow, W 16.3 mph, G 24.6 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: UMass is: 1)4-1 Over last 5 road. 2)6-19-1 ATS last 26 after an ATS win. 3)6-1 Over last 7 after a SU loss. Buf is: 1)2-5 ATS last 7 in October. 2)4-11-1 ATS last 16 overall.

Matchup analysis: UMass’ defense, allowing 18.2 points per game, is the strongest unit in this matchup on the supplied numbers. Buffalo needs its rushing attack to keep Wright out of repeated long-yardage passing situations. UMass can challenge a Buffalo defense allowing 239.5 passing yards per game.

Western Michigan at Central Michigan

1:30 PM ET | ESPN+ | Western Michigan -6.5 | Total 43.0

Records: WM 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U; CM 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

2025 meeting: Western Michigan beat Central Michigan 24 – 21 (CMU 5.5, total 43.5).

Last games: Western Michigan beat Kent State 38 – 7 (home, Oct 10); covered -13.5; Central Michigan lost to Ohio 31-13 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 2.5.

QBs: Broc Lowry: 68.3%, 996 yd, 7/1 TD/INT; 222 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 18/26, 257 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Angel Flores: 59.7%, 313 yd, 1/2 TD/INT; 501 rush yd, 4 rush TD; last 14/20, 112 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Western Michigan: Offense 154.8 rush/175.8 pass YPG, 25.7 PPG; Defense 142.7 rush/193.5 pass YPG, 17.3 PPG allowed; Central Michigan: Offense 188.7 rush/96.3 pass YPG, 17.0 PPG; Defense 177.7 rush/195.3 pass YPG, 26.3 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Western Michigan: M. Dersa (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed. Central Michigan: R. VanWetzinga IV (FB): Questionable – Knee; J. Allen (TE): Out – Undisclosed

Weather: 44.2°F, sunny, W 8.5 mph, G 13.4 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: WMU is: 1)6-1 ATS over last 7 matchups in Central Michigan. 2)7-1 Over last 8 after allowing <20 points. CMU is: 1)9-2 ATS last 11 home. 2)4-1 Under last 5 after an ATS loss. 3)7-2 Under last 9 overall. 4)7-2 Over last 9 in October. 5)2-6 ATS last 8 overall. 6)6-15 ATS last 21 in October.

Matchup analysis: Central Michigan averages only 96.3 passing yards per game, making its 188.7-yard rushing attack the obvious focal point for Western Michigan’s defense. The Broncos should crowd early-down rushing lanes without allowing play-action throws behind them. Western Michigan’s more balanced offense can attack a CMU defense allowing 177.7 rushing yards per game.    

North Carolina at Duke

3:30 PM ET | ESPN2 | Duke -3.5 | Total 47.5

Records: UNC 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U; DUKE 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Duke beat North Carolina 32 – 25 (DUKE -6.5, total 50.5).

Last games: North Carolina beat Pittsburgh 21 – 17 (away, Oct 10); covered 3.5; Duke lost to Georgia Tech 25 – 28 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -4.5.

QBs: Billy Edwards Jr.: 59.8%, 1,068 yd, 8/5 TD/INT; last 18/26, 249 yd, 2/2 TD/INT; Walker Eget: 62.7%, 980 yd, 7/1 TD/INT; last 26/41, 259 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: North Carolina: Offense 112.4 rush/218.0 pass YPG, 23.4 PPG; Defense 152.0 rush/204.2 pass YPG, 19.0 PPG allowed; Duke: Offense 226.6 rush/230.0 pass YPG, 34.0 PPG; Defense 84.0 rush/202.0 pass YPG, 14.4 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: North Carolina: C. Warren (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; K. Chapman (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Washington (TE): Out – Undisclosed. Duke: L. Gardner (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; Q. Johnson (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Salas (K): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 63.9°F, sunny, W 9.4 mph, G 13.4 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: UNC is: 1)5-0 ATS last 5 in October. 2)3-13 ATS last 16 after a SU win. 3)9-1-1 Under last 11 after an ATS win. 4)4-1 Under last 5 in October. 5)4-1 Over last 5 conference. Duke is: 1)10-2 Over last 12 after an ATS loss. 2)4-1 ATS last 5 home.

Matchup analysis: Duke’s 226.6 rushing yards per game contrast sharply with North Carolina’s 112.4, and the Blue Devils allow only 84.0 rushing yards per game. North Carolina therefore needs an efficient passing plan to stay ahead of the chains and avoid handing Duke repeated short possessions.  

Arizona State at Texas Tech

3:30 PM ET | FOX | Texas Tech -14.5 | Total 48.5

Records: ASU 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U; TT 5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Arizona State beat Texas Tech 26 – 22 (ASU 7.5, total 52.5).

Last games: Arizona State beat Hawai’i 30 – 12 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -20.5; Texas Tech beat Colorado 29 – 7 (away, Oct 03); covered -13.5.

QBs: Cutter Boley: 62.7%, 1,229 yd, 12/3 TD/INT; last 21/31, 189 yd, 2/0 TD/INT; Will Hammond: 68.3%, 1,102 yd, 5/5 TD/INT; last 17/26, 134 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Arizona State: Offense 163.8 rush/256.0 pass YPG, 32.6 PPG; Defense 136.2 rush/211.2 pass YPG, 27.8 PPG allowed; Texas Tech: Offense 179.0 rush/227.4 pass YPG, 34.8 PPG; Defense 91.4 rush/262.2 pass YPG, 16.2 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Arizona State: L. Rawls (CB): Out – Leg; H. Hassmann (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; G. Rigdon (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed. Texas Tech: A. Boyd (CB): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Dickey (RB): Out – Ankle.

Weather: 55.9°F, sunny, W 4.3 mph, G 11.6 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Home team is 5-0 ATS over last 5 matchups. ASU is: 1)1-5 ATS last 6 in October. 2)6-0 Over last 6 after a bye week. 3)6-1 ATS last 7 after an ATS loss. 5)1-5 ATS last 6 in October. TT is: 1)4-1 Under last 5 in October. 2)4-0 Under last 4 after an ATS win. 3)4-1 Under last 5 in October.

Matchup analysis: Texas Tech’s defense allows 91.4 rushing yards per game, so Arizona State may need to attack the more vulnerable pass defense, which allows 262.2.  est Arizona State’s 27.8 points allowed per game.  

UNLV at Air Force

3:30 PM ET | CBSSN | Air Force -1.5 | Total 47.0

Records: UNLV 4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS, 1-5 O/U; AF 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: UNLV beat Air Force 51 – 48 (AFA 6.5, total 65.5).

Last games: UNLV beat North Dakota State 13 – 7 (home, Oct 10); covered 2.5; Air Force beat NIU 28 – 7 (away, Oct 10); covered -6.5.

QBs: Jackson Arnold: 58.4%, 1,140 yd, 8/1 TD/INT; 330 rush yd, 5 rush TD; last 8/16, 77 yd, 0/1 TD/INT; Kemper Hodges: 0.0%, 0 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; 198 rush yd, 2 rush TD

Offense/Defense: UNLV: Offense 178.2 rush/191.5 pass YPG, 23.0 PPG; Defense 141.3 rush/228.8 pass YPG, 20.8 PPG allowed; Air Force: Offense 325.6 rush/74.4 pass YPG, 28.8 PPG; Defense 122.0 rush/157.6 pass YPG, 17.4 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: UNLV: D. Irvin Jr. (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Lyons (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Air Force: L. Szarka (QB): Out – Leg; G. Stalfort (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 61.7°F, sunny, W 8.7 mph, G 17.0 mph, rain 0%.

Trends: UNLV is: 1)7-1 Under last 8 overall. 2)5-0 Under last 5 road. 3)6-1 Under last 7 conference. AF is: 1)4-1 ATS last 5 in October. 2)4-2 ATS last 6 overall. 3)1-3 ATS last 4 at home in series.

Matchup analysis: Air Force’s 325.6 rushing yards per game make assignment discipline the central issue for UNLV. The Rebels need to win early downs and force the Falcons into passing situations without allowing quarterback keepers or perimeter runs to turn into explosives. Air Force’s defense gives up only 17.4 points per game, so UNLV must protect scoring opportunities.  

Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech

3:30 PM ET | ACC Network | Virginia Tech -10.5 | Total 55.5

Records: GT 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U; VT 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Georgia Tech beat Virginia Tech 35 – 20 (GT -13.5, total 54.5).

Last games: Georgia Tech beat Duke 28 – 25 (home, Oct 10); covered 4.5; Virginia Tech lost to California 20 – 25 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -11.5.

QBs: Alberto Mendoza: 69.9%, 1,193 yd, 7/3 TD/INT; last 23/30, 218 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Ethan Grunkemeyer: 73.1%, 1,734 yd, 12/2 TD/INT; last 21/31, 288 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Georgia Tech: Offense 134.0 rush/238.6 pass YPG, 27.2 PPG; Defense 183.0 rush/205.8 pass YPG, 25.8 PPG allowed; Virginia Tech: Offense 148.2 rush/310.2 pass YPG, 37.7 PPG; Defense 86.5 rush/209.3 pass YPG, 20.7 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Georgia Tech: D. Collins (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; M. Hosley (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Jean-Noel (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Virginia Tech: T. Heath (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; S. Peterkin (WR): Questionable – Foot; B. Davis (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 50.9°F, sunny, W 13.0 mph, G 19.0 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: GT is: 1)8-1 ATS last 9 matchups at Virginia Tech. 2)6-0 Over last 6 conference. 3)4-0 ATS last 4 in October. 4)4-0 Over last 4 after a SU win. 4)1-5 ATS last 6 overall. VT is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 home. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 conference. 3)4-0 Over last 4 after a SU win.

Matchup analysis: Virginia Tech’s 310.2 passing yards per game provide the clearest route to separation, but its ground game can also test a Georgia Tech defense allowing 183.0 rushing yards.   

Akron at Miami (Ohio)

3:30 PM ET | ESPN+ | Miami (Ohio) -9.5 | Total 47.0

Records: AKR 1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U; MIO 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Miami (Ohio) beat Akron 20 – 7 (M-OH -11.5, total 47.5).

Last games: Akron lost to Eastern Michigan 23 – 25 (home, Oct 10); covered 4.5; Miami (Ohio) beat UMass 20 – 19 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -6.5.

QBs: Brayden Roggow: 59.3%, 834 yd, 6/4 TD/INT; last 17/24, 229 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Caleb Heavner: 56.6%, 329 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; 114 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 6/20, 95 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Akron: Offense 141.3 rush/202.3 pass YPG, 19.7 PPG; Defense 179.8 rush/242.7 pass YPG, 32.2 PPG allowed; Miami (Ohio): Offense 111.0 rush/241.7 pass YPG, 25.7 PPG; Defense 102.7 rush/284.0 pass YPG, 27.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Akron: C. Broughton (QB): Questionable – Knee; P. Davis (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Monteiro (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Miami (OH): D. McComb (QB): Out – Upper Body; T. Gotkowski (QB): Out – Undisclosed [older listing]; D. Hyatt (WR): Out – Undisclosed.

Weather: 48.4°F, sunny, W 11.0 mph, G 13.2 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Road team is 7-1 ATS over last 8 matchups. Akr is: 1)1-4 ATS last 5 in series. 2)1-3 ATS last 4 overall. MIO is: 1)9-2 Over last 11 in October. 2)2-5 ATS last 7 conference. 3)7-2 ATS last 9 in October. 4)6-2 ATS last 8 home.

Matchup analysis: Miami’s defense allows 284.0 passing yards per game, giving Akron a potential way to stay competitive if its quarterback and receivers are functional. The RedHawks should answer by attacking Akron’s 32.2 points allowed per game and avoiding unnecessary turnover risk.    

Northern Illinois at Wyoming

3:30 PM ET | CW | Wyoming -8.5 | Total 41.0

Records: NI 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U; WYO 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 1-5 O/U.

2025 meeting: No 2025 meeting found in the matchup history.

Last games: NIU lost to Air Force 7 – 28 (home, Oct 10); did not cover 6.5; Wyoming beat San Jose State 16 – 13 (away, Oct 09); covered 4.5.

QBs: Taron Dickens: 69.3%, 977 yd, 3/3 TD/INT; last 13/20, 140 yd, 0/1 TD/INT; Tyler Hughes: 60.3%, 822 yd, 3/7 TD/INT; 276 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 16/24, 114 yd, 1/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: NIU: Offense 86.0 rush/204.8 pass YPG, 12.4 PPG; Defense 211.4 rush/185.2 pass YPG, 34.6 PPG allowed; Wyoming: Offense 163.7 rush/138.2 pass YPG, 14.5 PPG; Defense 171.5 rush/190.7 pass YPG, 20.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Northern Illinois: D. Howard (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; G. Weber (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed. Wyoming: T. Hasselbeck (QB): Out – Knee; D. Hubbard (RB): Questionable – Knee; K. Washom (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 58.1°F, sunny, W 24.2 mph, G 27.3 mph, rain 0%.

Trends: NI is: 1)1-6 ATS last 7 in October. Wyo is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 in October. 2)4-0 Under last 4 home. 3)4-1 ATS last 5 in October. 4)8-0 Under last 8 after allowing <20 points.

Matchup analysis: Both offenses have struggled to score, but Wyoming has a clearer rushing opportunity against an NIU defense allowing 211.4 yards per game on the ground. 

Toledo at Eastern Michigan

3:30 PM ET | ESPN+ | Toledo -6.5 | Total 53.0

Records: A 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 5-1 O/U; H 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 O/U.

Last games: Toledo lost to Buffalo 23-8 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -18.5; Eastern Michigan beat Akron 25 – 23 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -4.5.

QBs: John Alan Richter: 63.8%, 1,565 yd, 13/1 TD/INT; last 22/35, 203 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; Noah Kim: 61.4%, 1,464 yd, 9/4 TD/INT; last 26/46, 277 yd, 1/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Toledo: Offense 184.5 rush/271.0 pass YPG, 36.7 PPG; Defense 140.2 rush/189.5 pass YPG, 25.2 PPG allowed; Eastern Michigan: Offense 115.1 rush/211.1 pass YPG, 22.6 PPG; Defense 135.1 rush/229.7 pass YPG, 24.7 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Toledo: K. Gilbert Jr. (WR): Out – Undisclosed; T. Jones (WR): Out – Undisclosed; T. Kelleher (TE): Out – Undisclosed. Eastern Michigan: N. Kinsey (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; S. Fishwick (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; N. Jones-Davis (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 45.3°F, sunny, W 10.3 mph, G 13.4 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Tol is: 1)1-5 ATS last 6 in October. 2)6-1 Over last 7 overall. 3)6-0 ATS last 6 after a SU loss. EMU is: 1)5-1 Under last 6 overall. 2)6-1 Under last 7 home. 3)5-1 Under last 6 overall. 4)6-1-1 ATS last 8 home. 5)5-1-1 ATS last 7 conference.

Matchup analysis: Toledo’s offense averages 36.7 points with production through both the run and pass, giving it multiple ways to test Eastern Michigan’s defense. EMU needs to prevent explosive throws and make Toledo sustain longer drives without its full set of pass catchers.  

Alabama at Tennessee

3:30 PM ET | ABC | Alabama -8.5 | Total 53.5

Records: AL 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 5-1 O/U; TENN 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 O/U.

2025 meeting: Alabama beat Tennessee 37 – 20 (ALA -9.5, total 61.5).

Last games: Alabama lost to Georgia 17 – 20 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -2.5; Tennessee beat Arkansas 24 – 17 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -13.5.

QBs: Keelon Russell: 67.9%, 1,599 yd, 12/2 TD/INT; 225 rush yd, 4 rush TD; last 16/30, 185 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; George MacIntyre: 65.3%, 395 yd, 2/2 TD/INT; last 18/29, 247 yd, 1/2 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Alabama: Offense 182.2 rush/270.3 pass YPG, 44.2 PPG; Defense 99.8 rush/236.5 pass YPG, 20.7 PPG allowed; Tennessee: Offense 228.3 rush/186.5 pass YPG, 34.7 PPG; Defense 132.5 rush/161.3 pass YPG, 15.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Alabama: A. Walker (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Ford (TE): Questionable – Arm. Tennessee: J. Gordon (RB): Questionable – Leg; B. Brady (LS): Questionable – Undisclosed; W. Moe Jr. (OG): Out – Undisclosed

Latest injury update: Alabama: WR Ryan Coleman-Williams is out; C Racin Delgatty is questionable. DL Terrance Green, DL Jeremiah Beaman, LB Cayden Jones, OLB Desmond Umeozulu and CB Nick Sherman are also out. Tennessee: QB Faizon Brandon remains a shoulder-injury concern; George MacIntyre is expected to start again, per ESPN. 

Weather: 61.2°F, sunny, W 10.3 mph, G 14.5 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Home team is 5-0 ATS over last 5 matchups. ‘Bama is: 1)5-0 ATS last 5 after a SU loss. 2)4-1 ATS last 5 conference. Tenn is: 1)7-1 Under last 8 in October. 2)4-0 Under last 4 home. 3)2-7 ATS last 9 home. 4)14-3 ATS last 17 after scoring <20 points in their pervious game. 5)4-0 Under last 4 overall.

Matchup analysis: Alabama’s 44.2-point offense meets a Tennessee defense allowing 15.5, while the Volunteers’ 228.3-yard rushing attack faces a Tide front allowing 99.8. Alabama needs enough run efficiency to keep its quarterback out of predictable passing situations.     

Auburn at Georgia

3:30 PM ET | ESPN | Georgia -20.5 | Total 49.5

Records: AUB 3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS, 1-4 O/U; GA 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS, 5-1 O/U.

2025 meeting: Georgia beat Auburn 20 – 10 (UGA -4.5, total 46.5).

Last games: Auburn lost to Tennessee 14 – 24 (away, Oct 03); did not cover 6.5; Georgia beat Alabama 20 – 17 (away, Oct 10); covered 2.5.

QBs: Byrum Brown: 65.4%, 1,055 yd, 7/7 TD/INT; 344 rush yd, 4 rush TD; last 22/33, 159 yd, 1/2 TD/INT; Gunner Stockton: 76.6%, 1,298 yd, 14/2 TD/INT; 134 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 18/22, 249 yd, 1/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Auburn: Offense 180.0 rush/219.8 pass YPG, 26.8 PPG; Defense 149.0 rush/208.2 pass YPG, 21.4 PPG allowed; Georgia: Offense 211.8 rush/263.0 pass YPG, 46.2 PPG; Defense 74.7 rush/186.8 pass YPG, 14.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Auburn: E. Smith (WR): Out – Undisclosed; N. Davenport (RB): Out – Undisclosed; H. Herring (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed; Georgia: I. Canion (WR): Questionable – Leg; T. Blackshear (WR): Questionable – Upper Body; D. Dowdell (RB): Out – Undisclosed

Weather: 69.3°F, sunny, W 6.9 mph, G 8.7 mph, rain 0%.

Trends: Auburn: 1)3-7 ATS over latest 10 overall. 2)7-1-1 ATS last 9 in October. 3)0-5-1 ATS last 6 conference. Geo is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 home. 2)5-1 ATS last 6 overall. 3)6-0 Over last 6 after an ATS win.

Matchup analysis: Georgia’s defense allows just 74.7 rushing yards per game, directly challenging Auburn’s preferred way to stay competitive. Auburn needs early completions, disciplined protection and occasional quarterback-created plays to avoid repeatedly facing third-and-long. Georgia can use an offense averaging 46.2 points to create scoreboard pressure without taking excessive risks.  

Missouri at Ole Miss

3:30 PM ET | SEC Network | Ole Miss -5.5 | Total 59.5

Records: MO 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U; OLE MISS 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

Last games: Missouri beat Texas A&M 27 – 6 (home, Oct 10); covered -4.5; Ole Miss beat Vanderbilt 52 – 17 (away, Oct 10); covered -9.5.

QBs: Austin Simmons: 64.8%, 1,434 yd, 14/1 TD/INT; last 14/28, 147 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; Trinidad Chambliss: 70.1%, 1,435 yd, 11/4 TD/INT; 113 rush yd, 5 rush TD; last 20/30, 213 yd, 3/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Missouri: Offense 182.5 rush/256.5 pass YPG, 35.8 PPG; Defense 78.7 rush/223.8 pass YPG, 17.7 PPG allowed; Ole Miss: Offense 133.2 rush/300.6 pass YPG, 38.8 PPG; Defense 176.4 rush/216.0 pass YPG, 28.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Missouri: J. Brady (WR): Out – Undisclosed [older listing]; A. Hardy (RB): Out – Leg [older listing]; D. Smith (DL): Questionable – Undisclosed. Mississippi: I. Hartrup (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 66.0°F, overcast, W 10.5 mph, G 15.4 mph, rain 9%.

Trends: Mizzou is: 1)8-2 Under last 10 after a SU win. 2)7-1 Under last 8 in October. 3)5-1 Under last 6 road. 4)4-1 ATS last 5 in October. 5)1-4 ATS last 5 after an ATS win. Ole Miss is: 1)4-1 ATS last 5 conference. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 vs. Tigers. 3)5-2 Over last 7 overall.

Matchup analysis: Missouri’s 182.5 rushing yards per game offer a direct way to attack an Ole Miss defense allowing 176.4. Sustained rushing success would keep the Rebels’ 300.6-yard passing offense on the sideline and reduce Missouri’s exposure t 

Penn State at Michigan

3:30 PM ET | CBS | Michigan -6.5 | Total 42.5

Records: A 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U; H 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U.

Last games: Penn State lost to USC 31-23 (home, Oct 10); did not cover 1.5; Michigan lost to Minnesota 20-14 (away, Oct 03); did not cover -6.5.

QBs: Rocco Becht: 62.7%, 1,397 yd, 11/3 TD/INT; last 21/32, 289 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Bryce Underwood: 59.3%, 881 yd, 5/4 TD/INT; 212 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 10/21, 101 yd, 0/2 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Penn State: Offense 141.7 rush/251.2 pass YPG, 30.5 PPG; Defense 165.8 rush/149.8 pass YPG, 18.5 PPG allowed; Michigan: Offense 135.0 rush/180.8 pass YPG, 23.0 PPG; Defense 94.6 rush/146.8 pass YPG, 15.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Penn State: D. Sheffey (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; K. Howard (WR): Out – Undisclosed; C. Rosa (K): Questionable – Undisclosed. Michigan: L. Forbes (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed J. Daley (DL): Questionable – Lower Body; A. Sprague (OG): Out – Undisclosed.

Weather: 45.1°F, sunny, W 10.3 mph, G 13.4 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: PSU is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 conference. 2)13-3 Over last 16 conference. 3)0-4 ATS last 4 conference. Mich is: 1)7-1 Under last 8 home. 2)4-1 Under last 5 in October. 3)1-6 ATS last 7 conference.

Matchup analysis: The defensive numbers suggest a game in which scoring chances will be valuable. Michigan allows only 94.6 rushing and 146.8 passing yards per game, while Penn State is stronger against the pass than the run. Michigan should test the Nittany Lions’ 165.8 rushing yards allowed to create manageable passing downs.      

Tulsa at Rice

4:30 PM ET | ESPN+ | Tulsa -4.5 | Total 46.0

Records: TULSA 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 2-4 O/U; RICE 1-5 SU, 3-3 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

Last games: Tulsa lost to Navy 34 – 26 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 3.5; Rice lost to East Carolina 28-12 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 9.5.

QBs: Baylor Hayes: 59.5%, 832 yd, 5/1 TD/INT; last 20/35, 268 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Gael Ochoa: 44.4%, 65 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; last 2/4, 48 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Tulsa: Offense 160.8 rush/197.0 pass YPG, 27.5 PPG; Defense 175.3 rush/242.7 pass YPG, 23.3 PPG allowed; Rice: Offense 230.5 rush/82.7 pass YPG, 17.0 PPG; Defense 188.7 rush/179.0 pass YPG, 27.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Tulsa: J. Calloway (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; G. Tempest (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Rice: D. Lane (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Cole (TE): Out – Undisclosed; J. Falk (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed

Weather: 78.6°F, sunny, W 10.5 mph, G 12.3 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Road team is 4-0 ATS over last 4 matchups. Tulsa is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 after an ATS loss. 2)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 3)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 4)1-4 ATS last 5 road. Rice is: 1)4-1 ATS last 5 home. 2)4-1 Under last 5 conference.

Matchup analysis: Rice averages 230.5 rushing yards but only 82.7 passing yards per game, making Tulsa’s early-down run defense the central matchup. The Golden Hurricane need to avoid allowing Rice to control possession without being forced into passing situations. Tulsa can answer with greater offensive balance and test a Rice defense allowing 188.7 rushing yards.    

Troy at Louisiana

5:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Louisiana -3.5 | Total 49.5

Records: TROY 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U; ULL 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

2025 meeting: Troy beat Louisiana 35 – 23 (TROY -7.0, total 47.0).

Last games: Troy beat Southern Miss 55 – 34 (home, Oct 06); covered -9.5; Louisiana lost to Louisiana Tech 31 – 32 (away, Oct 10); covered 3.5.

QBs: Goose Crowder: 56.9%, 1,047 yd, 9/4 TD/INT; 219 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 18/21, 225 yd, 2/0 TD/INT; Lunch Winfield: 72.4%, 1,083 yd, 3/4 TD/INT; 398 rush yd, 8 rush TD; last 14/24, 239 yd, 1/2 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Troy: Offense 220.4 rush/209.4 pass YPG, 28.0 PPG; Defense 113.6 rush/236.2 pass YPG, 24.0 PPG allowed; Louisiana: Offense 193.0 rush/189.2 pass YPG, 29.5 PPG; Defense 100.7 rush/202.8 pass YPG, 21.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Troy: F. Rogosch (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Worley (TE): Out – Undisclosed. Louisiana: J. Norris (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Smith (RB): Out – Undisclosed; J. Birdlow (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 77.2°F, sunny, W 14.5 mph, G 16.1 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Troy is: 1)6-0 Over last in October. 2)13-3 ATS last 16 in October. 3)6-0 Over last in October. Louisiana: 1)7-3 ATS over latest 10 overall. 2)5-1 ATS last 6 overall. 3)4-1 ATS last 5 after an ATS win.

Matchup analysis: Troy’s 220.4-yard rushing offense meets a Louisiana defense allowing 100.7, making this an important test of whether Troy can sustain its preferred style. Louisiana’s own rushing game faces a solid Troy front allowing 113.6 yards.   

Washington State at Oregon State

6:00 PM ET | USA Network | Oregon State -17.5 | Total 53.5

Records: WST 1-5 SU, 4-2 ATS, 2-4 O/U; OSU 4-2 SU, 6-0 ATS, 5-1 O/U.

2025 meeting: Washington State beat Oregon State 32 – 8 (WSU -14.5, total 42.5); Oregon State beat Washington State 10 – 7 (ORST 3.5, total 47.5).

Last games: Washington State lost to Utah State 16 – 17 (away, Oct 09); covered 4.5; Oregon State beat San Diego State 66 – 14 (home, Oct 10); covered -15.5.

QBs: Caden Pinnick: 61.8%, 952 yd, 3/5 TD/INT; 194 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 23/36, 156 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; Braden Atkinson: 70.6%, 2,257 yd, 21/2 TD/INT; last 29/38, 409 yd, 5/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Washington State: Offense 123.7 rush/158.7 pass YPG, 18.5 PPG; Defense 150.0 rush/204.5 pass YPG, 23.7 PPG allowed; Oregon State: Offense 131.2 rush/391.2 pass YPG, 41.8 PPG; Defense 135.8 rush/190.5 pass YPG, 22.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Washington State: R. McKendry (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Toney (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Freeman (WR): Out – Leg. Oregon State: none listed.

Weather: 59.2°F, patchy rain nearby, W 1.1 mph, G 2.5 mph, rain 20%.

Trends: WST is: 1)8-1 Under last 9 road. 2)4-0 Under last 4 conference. 3)8-1 Under last 9 road. OSU is: 1)6-0 ATS over last 6. 2)Home team is 6-0 ATS over last 6 matchups 3)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 4)2-9 ATS last 11 after allowing less than170 pass yd.

Matchup analysis: Oregon State’s 391.2 passing yards per game create a substantial production gap against a Washington State offense averaging 18.5 points.   

Nevada at North Dakota State

7:00 PM ET | CBSSN | North Dakota State -15.5 | Total 45.5

Records: NEV 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U; ND ST 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 O/U.

Last games: Nevada beat UTEP 30 – 13 (away, Oct 10); covered -10.5; North Dakota State lost to UNLV 13-7 (away, Oct 10); did not cover -2.5.

QBs: Carter Jones: 59.6%, 654 yd, 3/2 TD/INT; last 11/19, 82 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Nathan Hayes: 63.0%, 1,119 yd, 8/5 TD/INT; 155 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 12/22, 124 yd, 1/3 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Nevada: Offense 212.2 rush/168.2 pass YPG, 27.8 PPG; Defense 182.8 rush/155.8 pass YPG, 22.0 PPG allowed; North Dakota State: Offense 171.8 rush/193.0 pass YPG, 29.2 PPG; Defense 114.8 rush/124.5 pass YPG, 10.3 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Nevada: none listed. North Dakota State: H. Nelson (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Harvey (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. LeGrant (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: Indoors at Fargodome

Trends: Nev is: 1)3-1 Under last 4 overall. 2)4-1 ATS last 5 conference. 3)6-1 Under last 7 in October. 4)6-1 Under last 7 road. ND State is: 1)5-1 Under last 6 overall. 2)4-1 Under last 5 in October. 3)5-0 ATS last 5 after an ATS loss.

Matchup analysis: Nevada’s 212.2 rushing yards per game run into a North Dakota State defense allowing 114.8 on the ground and just 10.3 points overall.  

TCU at Baylor

7:00 PM ET | FS1 | Baylor -5.5 | Total 48.0

Records: TCU 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U; BAY 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: TCU beat Baylor 42 – 36 (TCU -3.5, total 66.5).

Last games: TCU lost to BYU 17 – 10 (home, Oct 03); did not cover 5.5; Baylor beat Arizona State 55 – 19 (away, Oct 03); covered 3.5.

QBs: Jaden Craig: 68.8%, 1,400 yd, 8/4 TD/INT; last 18/25, 187 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; DJ Lagway: 53.4%, 860 yd, 8/2 TD/INT; last 25/40, 306 yd, 4/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: TCU: Offense 125.4 rush/280.0 pass YPG, 25.4 PPG; Defense 99.6 rush/155.4 pass YPG, 13.4 PPG allowed; Baylor: Offense 169.4 rush/292.0 pass YPG, 34.8 PPG; Defense 97.4 rush/229.2 pass YPG, 14.2 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: TCU: J. Pitchford (RB): Out – Undisclosed; J. Dwyer (WR): Out – Foot; M. Short (LB): Out – Undisclosed. Baylor: A. Jones (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Williams Jr. (WR): Out – Collarbone; C. Redding (S): Out – Knee.

Weather: 65.1°F, sunny, W 8.9 mph, G 11.6 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: TCU is: 1)4-1-2 Over last 7 in this series. 2)3-0 Under last 3 overall. Baylor is: 1)Home team is 5-0 ATS over last 5 matchups. 2)4-1 ATS over last 5. 3)6-0 Over last 6 after a bye week. 4)5-1 Over last 6 after a SU win.

Matchup analysis: Both defenses allow fewer than 15 points per game and fewer than 100 rushing yards, creating a matchup that may be decided through the air. Baylor’s 292.0 passing average meets a TCU defense allowing 155.4, while TCU has an opening against Baylor’s 229.2 passing yards allowed.       

Arkansas at Vanderbilt

7:00 PM ET | ESPN2 | Vanderbilt -6.5 | Total 50.5

Records: ARK 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 1-5 O/U; VANDY 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

Last games: Arkansas lost to Tennessee 17 – 24 (home, Oct 10); covered 13.5; Vanderbilt lost to Ole Miss 17 – 52 (home, Oct 10); did not cover 9.5.

QBs: KJ Jackson: 59.8%, 1,193 yd, 7/4 TD/INT; last 15/27, 155 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Jared Curtis: 63.1%, 968 yd, 5/5 TD/INT; 131 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 19/32, 222 yd, 1/2 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Arkansas: Offense 99.0 rush/228.2 pass YPG, 19.3 PPG; Defense 149.5 rush/202.8 pass YPG, 27.7 PPG allowed; Vanderbilt: Offense 119.7 rush/228.7 pass YPG, 24.0 PPG; Defense 139.5 rush/214.0 pass YPG, 29.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Arkansas: H. Hendrix (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed; M. Lassiter (TE): Out – Upper Body. Vanderbilt: K. Smith (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Curtis (LB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 57.6°F, sunny, W 9.8 mph, G 19.2 mph, rain 0%.

Trends: Ark is: 1)3-7 ATS over latest 10 overall. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 after an ATS win. 3)1-4 ATS last 5 conference. 4)6-1 Under last 7 overall. Vandy is: 1)9-2 ATS last 11 after a SU loss. 2)7-2 ATS last 9 after an ATS loss. 3)1-4 ATS last 5 home. 4)6-0 Over last 6 after a SU loss. 5)6-1 Over last 7 conference.

Matchup analysis: Neither offense has a strong rushing profile, and neither defense has consistently kept opponents off the scoreboard. Vanderbilt should test Arkansas’ 149.5 rushing yards allowed while maintaining a low-risk passing plan. 

Florida State at Miami (FL)

7:00 PM ET | ESPN | Miami (FL) -20.5 | Total 56.0

Records: FSU 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U; MIA 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U.

2025 meeting: Miami (FL) beat Florida State 28 – 22 (MIA -3.5, total 54.5).

Last games: Florida State lost to Louisville 44-20 (away, Oct 09); did not cover 4.5; Miami (FL) beat Clemson 41 – 13 (away, Oct 03); covered -14.5.

QBs: Ashton Daniels: 59.5%, 1,320 yd, 8/7 TD/INT; 323 rush yd, 10 rush TD; last 21/37, 209 yd, 2/1 TD/INT; Darian Mensah: 84.2%, 1,438 yd, 15/0 TD/INT; last 18/27, 227 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Florida State: Offense 224.6 rush/266.8 pass YPG, 37.2 PPG; Defense 198.6 rush/293.6 pass YPG, 30.4 PPG allowed; Miami (FL): Offense 220.4 rush/334.4 pass YPG, 49.6 PPG; Defense 42.6 rush/207.0 pass YPG, 9.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Florida State: D. Carter (WR): Questionable – Back; T. Gelsey (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; G. Markey (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed. Miami (FL): M. Fletcher Jr. (RB): Questionable – Upper Body; J. Moore (WR): Out – Upper Body; C. Brown (RB): Out – Lower Body.

Weather: 83.7°F, patchy rain nearby, W 15.0 mph, G 17.9 mph, rain 23%.

Trends: FSU is: 1)3-7 ATS over last 10 overall. 2)3-0-1 ATS last 4 after a bye week. 3)1-7 ATS last 8 road. Miami (FL): 1)9-1 ATS over latest 10 overall. 2)4-0 Under last 4 after a bye week. 3)6-1 Over last 7 overall. 4)5-1 Over last 6 after a SU win.

Matchup analysis: Florida State’s 224.6-yard rushing offense faces a Miami defense allowing only 42.6 on the ground. Florida State defense allowing 198.6 rushing and 293.6 passing yards per game.    

Arkansas State at Southern Miss

7:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Arkansas State -6.5 | Total 62.0

Records: ASU 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U; SMiss 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Southern Miss beat Arkansas State 27 – 21 (ARST 6.5, total 54.5).

Last games: Arkansas State lost to South Alabama 49 – 56 (home, Oct 08); did not cover -3.5; Southern Miss lost to Troy 55-34 (away, Oct 06); did not cover 9.5.

QBs: Trey Owens: 68.8%, 1,461 yd, 9/6 TD/INT; 149 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 32/43, 418 yd, 4/2 TD/INT; Landry Lyddy: 62.6%, 824 yd, 6/2 TD/INT; last 24/37, 316 yd, 2/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Arkansas State: Offense 132.8 rush/243.5 pass YPG, 28.2 PPG; Defense 213.7 rush/181.3 pass YPG, 28.8 PPG allowed; Southern Miss: Offense 144.2 rush/271.4 pass YPG, 26.4 PPG; Defense 275.6 rush/200.2 pass YPG, 34.6 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Arkansas State: D. Spencer (RB): Out – Knee [older listing]. Southern Miss: E. Hampton (QB): Out – Hand; J. Himes (WR): Out – Foot [older listing]; G. Page (WR): Out – Elbow.

Weather: 66.0°F, cloudy, W 7.4 mph, G 15.9 mph, rain 4%.

Trends: ASU is: 1) 4-0 ATS over last 4 matchups. 2)4-0 Under last 4 in October. 3)7-2 Under last 9 conference. SMiss is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 conference. 2)1-5 ATS last 6 after a SU loss.

Matchup analysis: Southern Miss allows 275.6 rushing yards per game, making the ground game an obvious starting point for Arkansas State despite a modest rushing average of its own. Arkansas State must also improve on its 213.7 rushing yards allowed to avoid trading long drives.   

Kent State at South Florida

7:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | South Florida -20.5 | Total 46.0

Records: KENT 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U; SF 4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U.

Last games: Kent State lost to Western Michigan  38-7 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 13.5; South Florida lost to UTSA 31-24 (away, Oct 08); did not cover 5.5.

QBs: Dru DeShields: 57.4%, 980 yd, 4/6 TD/INT; 177 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 19/35, 223 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; Michael Van Buren Jr.: 61.2%, 1,099 yd, 5/0 TD/INT; last 16/29, 177 yd, 2/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Kent State: Offense 109.2 rush/171.5 pass YPG, 13.7 PPG; Defense 152.0 rush/227.0 pass YPG, 32.5 PPG allowed; South Florida: Offense 152.5 rush/186.7 pass YPG, 26.2 PPG; Defense 157.7 rush/183.7 pass YPG, 17.3 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Kent State: M. Stephens (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Armentrout (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; W. Bierfeldt (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. South Florida: C. Seldon (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; A. Branch (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Alexis (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 77.9°F, patchy rain nearby, W 16.1 mph, G 22.4 mph, rain 48%.

Trends: Kent St is: 1)7-0 ATS last 7 after an ATS loss. 2)5-0 Over last 5 road. 3)2-10 ATS last 12 non-conf.. 4)5-16-1 ATS last 22 road. SF is: 1)5-0 ATS last 5 after a SU loss. 2)4-1 Under last 5 home. 3)4-1-1 Under last 6 vs. MAC.

Matchup analysis: South Florida’s defense allows 17.3 points per game against a Kent State offense averaging 13.7.   

Oklahoma State at Houston

7:30 PM ET | FOX | Houston -4.5 | Total 61.5

Records: OSU 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U; HOU 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: Houston beat Oklahoma State 39 – 17 (HOU -14.5, total 47.5).

Last games: Oklahoma State beat UCF 42 – 28 (home, Oct 10); covered -10.5; Houston beat Kansas State 35 – 16 (away, Oct 10); covered 2.5.

QBs: Drew Mestemaker: 67.5%, 1,575 yd, 13/5 TD/INT; 108 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 19/28, 304 yd, 2/0 TD/INT; Conner Weigman: 66.7%, 1,428 yd, 15/1 TD/INT; 177 rush yd, 6 rush TD; last 19/30, 242 yd, 4/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Oklahoma State: Offense 199.0 rush/322.4 pass YPG, 38.2 PPG; Defense 149.0 rush/179.8 pass YPG, 21.4 PPG allowed; Houston: Offense 230.0 rush/251.8 pass YPG, 40.0 PPG; Defense 74.0 rush/248.3 pass YPG, 19.2 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Oklahoma State: J. Sexton (OG): Out – Leg; O. Hammond (TE): Out – Undisclosed; Houston: J. Ridgle (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Strozier Jr. (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Hebert (RB): Out – Leg.

Latest injury update: Houston: NT De’Marion Thomas, LB Jaden Yates, WR Muizz Tounkara and OL Demetris Dean II are reported out. DB Alvin Williamson Jr. is doubtful; CB Jalen Mayo is questionable. Thomas’ absence specifically challenges the interior rotation behind Houston’s strong season rushing-defense numbers.  

Weather: 76.8°F, sunny, W 9.2 mph, G 12.1 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: OK ST is: 1)4-0 ATS over last 4. 2)4-0 ATS last 4 overall. 3)6-0 ATS last 6 conference. 4)1-5 ATS last 6 in October. 5)3-7 ATS last 10 road. Hou is: 1)8-2 Over last 10 after an ATS win. 2)4-1 Under last 5 conference. 3)8-3 Under last 11 in October.

Matchup analysis: Houston’s defense allows only 74.0 rushing yards per game, but new front-seven absences may change how confidently that season average can be applied. Oklahoma State can test the interior early and use play-action if Houston needs extra help against the run.   

Louisville at Syracuse

7:30 PM ET | ACC Network | Louisville -14.5 | Total 56.0

Records: LOU 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS, 5-1 O/U; SYR 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

Last games: Louisville beat Florida State 44 – 20 (home, Oct 09); covered -4.5; Syracuse lost to Virginia 25 – 28 (away, Oct 10); covered 14.5.

QBs: Lincoln Kienholz: 69.5%, 1,534 yd, 9/1 TD/INT; 198 rush yd, 8 rush TD; last 11/15, 140 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; Malachi Nelson: 51.6%, 217 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; last 16/29, 217 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Louisville: Offense 278.0 rush/315.4 pass YPG, 47.4 PPG; Defense 186.8 rush/308.6 pass YPG, 33.2 PPG allowed; Syracuse: Offense 165.8 rush/281.6 pass YPG, 32.8 PPG; Defense 144.4 rush/168.2 pass YPG, 24.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Louisville: A. Watts (CB): Out – Knee [older listing]; M. Quisenberry (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; P. Cook (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. Syracuse: S. Angeli (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; A. Odom (QB): Out – Shoulder [updated; see latest injury update]; N. Edwards (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Latest injury update: Syracuse: QB Amari Odom is out, while QBs Steve Angeli and Malachi Nelson are questionable. No starter had been named yet.   

Weather: Indoors at JMA Wireless Dome

Trends: Lou is: 1)Home team is 6-0 ATS over last 6 matchups. 2)Favorite is 8-1 ATS over last 9 matchups. 3)6-2 ATS last 8 road. Cuse is: 1)5-1 Under last 6 home. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 after an ATS win.

Matchup analysis: Louisville averages 47.4 points, but its defense allows 308.6 passing yards per game, giving Syracuse a route to compete if its quarterback situation is settled. The Cardinals should use their 278.0-yard rushing attack to control the game and reduce exposure to passing exchanges.  

Notre Dame at BYU

7:30 PM ET | ABC | Notre Dame -9.5 | Total 47.5

Records: A 6-0 SU, 4-2 ATS, 4-2 O/U; H 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

Last games: Notre Dame beat Stanford 58 – 7 (home, Oct 10); covered -40.5; BYU beat Iowa State 24 – 10 (home, Oct 09); covered -11.5.

QBs: CJ Carr: 70.8%, 1,378 yd, 16/1 TD/INT; last 14/20, 181 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Bear Bachmeier: 66.4%, 1,033 yd, 8/1 TD/INT; 239 rush yd, 4 rush TD; last 22/30, 329 yd, 2/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Notre Dame: Offense 194.8 rush/261.8 pass YPG, 44.0 PPG; Defense 58.3 rush/155.7 pass YPG, 11.0 PPG allowed; BYU: Offense 223.8 rush/209.6 pass YPG, 34.6 PPG; Defense 80.4 rush/174.0 pass YPG, 13.4 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Notre Dame: B. Hebert (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; L. Moore (CB): Questionable – Concussion; Q. Porter (WR): Out – Knee [older listing]. BYU: L. Martin (RB): Out – Lower body [updated]; S. Moa (RB): Out – Undisclosed [older listing]; J. Nye (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Latest injury update: Notre Dame: CB Leonard Moore (concussion) and DT Jason Onye (left ankle) are questionable. OL Charles Jagusah and OL Chris Terek are out; WR Quincy Porter is out for the season. OL Matty Augustine and LB Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa were removed from the report. BYU: RB LJ Martin remains out with a lower-body injury; reporting gives a four-to-six-week absence.  

Weather: 63.5°F, sunny, W 1.3 mph, G 2.0 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: ND is: 1)7-3 ATS over latest 10 listed; BYU: 9-1 ATS over latest 10 listed.

Matchup analysis: BYU’s rushing offense averages 223.8 yards per game, but Notre Dame allows only 58.3. Martin’s absence makes that already difficult matchup more demanding.   

Wisconsin at UCLA

7:30 PM ET | NBC | UCLA -2.5 | Total 46.5

Records: WISC 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U; UCLA 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U.

Last games: Wisconsin beat Michigan State 31 – 3 (home, Oct 03); covered -8.5; UCLA beat Oregon 17 – 15 (away, Oct 10); covered 10.5.

QBs: Colton Joseph: 56.6%, 1,132 yd, 10/5 TD/INT; 262 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 9/20, 145 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Nico Iamaleava: 62.1%, 982 yd, 4/4 TD/INT; 144 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 10/17, 162 yd, 0/2 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Wisconsin: Offense 153.0 rush/226.4 pass YPG, 31.6 PPG; Defense 114.6 rush/152.6 pass YPG, 16.6 PPG allowed; UCLA: Offense 253.2 rush/205.0 pass YPG, 39.2 PPG; Defense 87.6 rush/220.4 pass YPG, 18.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Wisconsin: D. O’Neil (QB): Questionable – Lower Body; M. Lane (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Domingeaux (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. UCLA: M. Matthews (WR): Out – Undisclosed; J. Phifer (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed; S. Yoon (OG): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 84°F, clear, W near 4 mph and little rain risk.

Trends: Wisc is: 1)7-0 Under last 7 in October. 2)6-0 Under last 6 after an ATS win. 3)11-2 Under last 13 overall. 4)6-0 Under last 6 after an ATS win. Bruins are:1)5-0-1 ATS over last 6. UCLA is: 1)5-0-1 ATS last 6 overall. 2)2-7-1 ATS last 10 home.

Matchup analysis: UCLA’s 253.2 rushing yards per game meet a Wisconsin defense allowing 114.6, making first-down efficiency central to the Bruins’ offense.  

Kentucky at Oklahoma

7:30 PM ET | SEC Network | Oklahoma -6.5 | Total 43.5

Records: KY 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 5-1 O/U; OU 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

Last games: Kentucky beat LSU 35 – 34 (home, Oct 10); covered 9.5; Oklahoma beat Texas 27 – 24 (home, Oct 10); covered 7.5.

QBs: Kenny Minchey: 67.4%, 1,394 yd, 11/1 TD/INT; last 23/36, 246 yd, 0/0 TD/INT; John Mateer: 66.7%, 1,038 yd, 8/4 TD/INT; last 18/26, 155 yd, 0/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Kentucky: Offense 181.8 rush/232.3 pass YPG, 34.7 PPG; Defense 135.8 rush/246.3 pass YPG, 28.0 PPG allowed; Oklahoma: Offense 95.8 rush/208.8 pass YPG, 23.0 PPG; Defense 116.8 rush/150.0 pass YPG, 17.6 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Kentucky: T. Mizell (RB): Out – Undisclosed; L. Watkins (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed; A. Afari Jr. (LB): Questionable – Undisclosed. Oklahoma: J. Carter (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Harris (WR): Out – Back [older listing]; J. Van Dorselaer (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 55.9°F, overcast, W 4.7 mph, G 4.9 mph, rain 3%.

Trends: Ky is: 1)4-0 ATS over last 4. 2)6-0 Over last 6 conference. 3)6-0 Over last 6 conference. 4)5-0 Over last 5 overall. OU is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 after a SU win. 2)0-4 Under last 4 after an ATS win.

Matchup analysis: Kentucky’s 34.7-point offense faces an Oklahoma defense allowing 17.6, while the Sooners’ own offense averages just 95.8 rushing yards.  

Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe

8:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Louisiana Tech -14.5 | Total 56.0

Records: LT 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS, 5-0 O/U; ULM 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS, 4-1 O/U.

Last games: Louisiana Tech beat Louisiana 32 – 31 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -3.5; UL Monroe lost to South Alabama  52-35 (away, Oct 03); did not cover 12.5.

QBs: Blake Baker: 67.9%, 679 yd, 7/1 TD/INT; last 32/42, 319 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Aidan Armenta: 64.5%, 855 yd, 6/1 TD/INT; last 26/41, 362 yd, 3/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Louisiana Tech: Offense 151.6 rush/251.8 pass YPG, 35.2 PPG; Defense 165.6 rush/213.4 pass YPG, 29.4 PPG allowed; UL Monroe: Offense 132.0 rush/233.4 pass YPG, 24.0 PPG; Defense 243.6 rush/268.2 pass YPG, 44.6 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Louisiana Tech: T. Kukuk (QB): Questionable – Ankle; J. Miller (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Benedix (WR): Out – Undisclosed. Louisiana-Monroe: J. Wright (RB): Out – Undisclosed; D. Jameson (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 61.0°F, partly cloudy, W 7.8 mph, G 14.6 mph, rain 4%.

Trends: LT is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 overall. 2)4-1 ATS last 5 overall. 3)4-0 Over last 4 in October. ULM is: 1)3-7 ATS over last 10 overall. 2)5-1 Over last 6 overall. 3)0-5 ATS last 5 home.

Matchup analysis: Louisiana Tech has a clear opportunity against a ULM defense allowing 243.6 rushing yards, 268.2 passing yards and 44.6 points per game.  

Navy at UTSA

8:00 PM ET | ESPNU | UTSA -6.5 | Total 55.0

Records: Navy 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U; UTSA 5-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

Last games: Navy beat Tulsa 34 – 26 (home, Oct 10); covered -3.5; UTSA beat South Florida 31 – 24 (home, Oct 08); covered -5.5.

QBs: Jackson Gutierrez: 46.8%, 439 yd, 4/1 TD/INT; 505 rush yd, 7 rush TD; last 5/7, 95 yd, 1/1 TD/INT; Owen McCown: 68.7%, 1,219 yd, 7/2 TD/INT; last 22/31, 209 yd, 0 TD/ INT.

Offense/Defense: Navy: Offense 299.4 rush/102.0 pass YPG, 27.0 PPG; Defense 96.6 rush/225.4 pass YPG, 23.4 PPG allowed; UTSA: Offense 191.0 rush/210.5 pass YPG, 31.3 PPG; Defense 184.7 rush/202.5 pass YPG, 25.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Navy: L. Walker (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Chalmers (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; M. Barlow (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed. UTSA: B. Donnell (RB): Out – Undisclosed.

Weather: Indoors at Alamodome;

Trends: Navy is: 1)7-1 Over last 8 in October. 2)1-6 ATS last 7 road. UTSA is: 1)6-3 ATS over latest 10 listed. 2)23-8 Over last 31 home. 3)12-3 ATS last 15 home. 4)7-2 Over last 9 in October.

Matchup analysis: Navy’s 299.4-yard rushing offense forces UTSA to defend option responsibilities without giving up explosive keepers or perimeter runs. UTSA should make the Midshipmen sustain long drives and finish tackles on early downs.     

San Jose State at UTEP

9:00 PM ET | MW+ | San Jose State -7.5 | Total 48.5

Records: SJS 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS, 1-5 O/U; UTEP 1-5 SU, 1-5 ATS, 3-3 O/U.

Last games: San Jose State lost to Wyoming 16-13 (home, Oct 09); did not cover -4.5; UTEP lost to Nevada 30-13  (home, Oct 10); did not cover 10.5.

QBs: Luke Weaver: 63.2%, 1,529 yd, 11/6 TD/INT; last 26/38, 251 yd, 0/1 TD/INT; Raymond Moore III: 56.8%, 210 yd, 2/2 TD/INT; 359 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 16/26, 132 yd, 2/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: San Jose State: Offense 123.0 rush/254.8 pass YPG, 21.0 PPG; Defense 141.3 rush/234.0 pass YPG, 23.5 PPG allowed; UTEP: Offense 126.8 rush/130.2 pass YPG, 15.8 PPG; Defense 186.8 rush/206.8 pass YPG, 39.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: San Jose State: C. Hoch (WR): Questionable – Leg. UTEP: E. Colson Jr. (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Simon (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; M. Ferguson (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 62.8°F, clear, W 11.6 mph, G 14.3 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: San Jose State: 1)3-7 ATS over last 10. 2)5-0 Under last 5 overall. 3)14-6 ATS last 20 road. UTEP: 1)1-9 ATS over last 10. 2)10-2 Over last 12 overall. 3)7-2 Over last 9 after an ATS loss. 4)0-5 ATS last 5 conference.

Matchup analysis: San Jose State’s passing game, averaging 254.8 yards, gives it a clearer scoring route than UTEP’s offense, which averages 15.8 points. The Spartans should protect Weaver and avoieeds rushing success, lod the turnovers that can keep an underdog involved.   

Ohio at Sacramento State

10:00 PM ET | ESPN+ | Ohio -14.5 | Total 49.0

Records: OHIO 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U; SAC  1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

Last games: Ohio beat Central Michigan 31 – 14 (home, Oct 10); covered -2.5; Sacramento State lost to Bowling Green 38-10 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 9.5.

QBs: Nick Poulos: 50.0%, 338 yd, 4/0 TD/INT; 133 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 11/18, 158 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Jackson Sharman: 55.9%, 1,001 yd, 6/5 TD/INT; last 13/28, 145 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Ohio: Offense 197.3 rush/157.8 pass YPG, 27.5 PPG; Defense 140.7 rush/208.2 pass YPG, 24.7 PPG allowed; Sacramento State: Offense 104.3 rush/204.3 pass YPG, 16.3 PPG; Defense 161.3 rush/186.5 pass YPG, 30.2 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Ohio: H. Grand (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; R. Perry (WR): Out – Undisclosed. Sacramento State: K. Peevy (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Godley (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Borders (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 77.9°F, cloudy, W 4.7 mph, G 4.9 mph, rain 2%.

Trends: Ohio is: 1)4-1 Under last 5 in October. 2)1-6 ATS last 7 road. 3)4-1 Under last 5 in October. Sac is: 1)6-2 ATS last 8 after a SU loss.

Matchup analysis: Ohio’s 197.3 rushing yards per game offer a reliable starting point against a Sacramento State defense allowing 30.2 points.  

Utah at Colorado

10:15 PM ET | ESPN | Utah -15.5 | Total 50.0

Records: UT 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U; CU 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Utah beat Colorado 53 – 7 (UTAH -13.5, total 50.5).

Last games: Utah beat Kansas 41 – 24 (home, Oct 10); covered -15.5; Colorado lost to Texas Tech 29-7 (home, Oct 03); did not cover 13.5.

QBs: Devon Dampier: 71.8%, 1,134 yd, 12/2 TD/INT; 206 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 23/30, 238 yd, 3/1 TD/INT; Isaac Wilson: 56.3%, 443 yd, 2/3 TD/INT; last 26/44, 290 yd, 1/3 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Utah: Offense 297.5 rush/330.0 pass YPG, 53.5 PPG; Defense 98.5 rush/257.8 pass YPG, 16.3 PPG allowed; Colorado: Offense 140.8 rush/253.4 pass YPG, 18.6 PPG; Defense 131.2 rush/215.6 pass YPG, 25.4 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Utah: none listed. Colorado: M. Vickers (CB): Out – Undisclosed; D. Scudero (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 49.5°F, clear, W 8.3 mph, G 12.8 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Utah: 1)8-2 ATS over last 10. 2)5-0 ATS last 5 after a SU win. 3)4-0 ATS last 4 after an ATS win. 4)5-0-1 Over last 6 after a bye week. Colorado: 1)2-8 ATS over latest 10 overall. 2)4-1-1 Under last 6 in October. 3)0-4 ATS last 4 overall. 4)0-4 ATS last 4 home.

Matchup analysis: Utah’s offense averages 297.5 rushing and 330.0 passing yards per game, giving Colorado no obvious phase to concede safely. Colorado can test a Utah defense allowing 257.8 passing yards, but protection and ball security are crucial.   

Fresno State at San Diego State

10:30 PM ET | CBSSN | Fresno State -7.5 | Total 45.0

Records: FRE 4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U; SDST 2-4 SU, 1-5 ATS, 4-2 O/U.

2025 meeting: San Diego State beat Fresno State 23 – 0 (SDSU -3.5, total 46.5).

Last games: Fresno State lost to Boise State 31 – 38 (home, Oct 10); covered 9.5; San Diego State lost to Oregon State 14 – 66 (away, Oct 10); did not cover 15.5.

QBs: Jayden Mandal: 64.7%, 1,252 yd, 8/1 TD/INT; 135 rush yd, 2 rush TD; last 19/33, 218 yd, 2/0 TD/INT; Jayden Denegal: 53.9%, 787 yd, 6/5 TD/INT; last 5/19, 78 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Fresno State: Offense 139.7 rush/224.0 pass YPG, 28.3 PPG; Defense 165.2 rush/219.2 pass YPG, 20.0 PPG allowed; San Diego State: Offense 134.0 rush/143.7 pass YPG, 22.8 PPG; Defense 178.7 rush/299.2 pass YPG, 35.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Fresno State: R. Luke (RB): Questionable – Concussion; H. Duvall (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; B. Ramirez (RB): Out – Undisclosed. San Diego State: N. Acevedo (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; A. Doe (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Brown (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 79.3°F, clear, W 7.6 mph, G 12.8 mph, rain 1%.

Trends: Fresno is: 1)5-0 ATS over last 5. 2)5-0 ATS last 5 after an ATS win. SD St is: 1)4-1 Over last 5 after a SU loss. 2)4-1 Over last 5 in October.

Matchup analysis: Fresno State’s passing game has an inviting target against a San Diego State defense allowing 299.2 passing yards per game. Mandal needs to turn that opening into efficient scoring without giving the Aztecs short fields. San Diego State’s offense averages only 143.7 passing yards, so its best response is a productive ground game and improved third-down execution.  

Wake Forest at California

10:30 PM ET | ESPN2 | Wake Forest -9.5 | Total 53.5

Records: A 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS, 3-3 O/U; CAL 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS, 2-4 O/U.

Last games: Wake Forest beat NC State 38 – 14 (away, Oct 10); covered -4.5; California beat Virginia Tech 25 – 20 (home, Oct 10); covered 11.5.

QBs: Gio Lopez: 67.4%, 1,680 yd, 13/1 TD/INT; 202 rush yd, 6 rush TD; last 26/33, 303 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; Jackson Brousseau: 63.7%, 620 yd, 3/0 TD/INT; last 29/43, 321 yd, 1/0 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: Wake Forest: Offense 144.8 rush/290.5 pass YPG, 36.8 PPG; Defense 95.3 rush/236.7 pass YPG, 21.5 PPG allowed; California: Offense 92.8 rush/304.3 pass YPG, 26.7 PPG; Defense 175.0 rush/192.5 pass YPG, 25.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Wake Forest: N. Carr (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed. California: J. Sagapolutele (QB): Questionable – Head; C. Vargas (RB): Questionable – Leg; C. Boscia (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather: 63.5°F, cloudy, W 5.1 mph, G 5.8 mph, rain 6%.

Trends: WF is: 1)4-0 ATS over last 4. Cal is: 1)0-7 ATS last 7 after an ATS win. 2)4-1 Under last 5 overall. 3)1-10 ATS last 11 after a SU win. 4)20-6-1 Under last 27 after a SU win.

Matchup analysis: California’s 304.3 passing yards per game provide its clearest way to challenge a Wake Forest defense allowing 236.7 through the air. 

New Mexico at Hawai’i

10:30 PM ET | FS1 | New Mexico -13.5 | Total 46.0

Records: NM 4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U; HAW 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS, 1-5 O/U.

Last games: New Mexico beat UTEP 61 – 7 (home, Oct 03); covered -23.5; Hawai’i lost to Arizona State 30-12  (away, Oct 10); covered 20.5.

QBs: Toa Fa’avae: 57.1%, 639 yd, 5/1 TD/INT; 143 rush yd, 1 rush TD; last 15/19, 249 yd, 3/1 TD/INT; Micah Alejado: 59.2%, 1,612 yd, 5/4 TD/INT; last 25/49, 252 yd, 1/1 TD/INT.

Offense/Defense: New Mexico: Offense 208.8 rush/177.4 pass YPG, 43.4 PPG; Defense 100.8 rush/154.8 pass YPG, 10.6 PPG allowed; Hawai’i: Offense 98.8 rush/325.2 pass YPG, 20.0 PPG; Defense 204.4 rush/264.2 pass YPG, 30.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: New Mexico: J. Layne (QB): Out – Elbow; T. Omeire (WR): Out – Undisclosed; S. Miller (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed [updated]. Hawai’i: I. Jaramilla-Phe (QB): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Heimuli (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; T. Griffiths (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Latest injury update: New Mexico: the October 15 list has WR S. Miller questionable, updating the supplied out tag. RB K. Sibley, TE T. Walsh and WR M. Mingo (foot) are also questionable. WR T. Omeire remains out.

Weather: 77.2°F, sunny, W 23.3 mph, G 27.1 mph, rain 12%.

Trends: NM is: 1)5-0 ATS over last 5. 2)4-0 ATS last 4 after an ATS win. 3)7-19 ATS last 26 in October. Haw is: 1)6-1 Under last 7 in October. 2)6-0 Under last 6 after a SU loss.

Matchup analysis: New Mexico’s 208.8 rushing yards per game meet a Hawai’i defense allowing 204.4, providing the visitor with a direct way to control tempo. Hawai’i needs its 325.2-yard passing attack to create enough offense against a New Mexico defense allowing only 10.6 points per game.    

Nebraska at Oregon

11:00 PM ET | FOX | Oregon -7.5 | Total 52.5

Records: NEB 5-1 SU, 5-1 ATS, 3-3 O/U; ORE 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U.

Last games: Nebraska lost to Indiana 20-17 (home, Oct 10); covered 8.5; Oregon lost to UCLA 17- 15 (home, Oct 10); did not cover -10.5.

QBs: Anthony Colandrea: 64.0%, 1,405 yd, 13/3 TD/INT; 296 rush yd, 3 rush TD; last 25/43, 263 yd, 0/1 TD/INT; Brock Thomas: 70.0%, 172 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; last 11/15, 156 yd, 1/0 TD/INT; Dylan Raiola also: 6/19, 43 yd, 0/2 TD/INT. Concussion question, Raiola started the last game and Thomas relieved him.

Offense/Defense: Nebraska: Offense 213.8 rush/247.7 pass YPG, 39.2 PPG; Defense 94.7 rush/181.5 pass YPG, 15.2 PPG allowed; Oregon: Offense 141.8 rush/317.0 pass YPG, 41.0 PPG; Defense 118.4 rush/226.0 pass YPG, 22.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries and availability: Nebraska: L. Miles (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; C. Nelson (TE): Questionable – Leg; R. Van Poppel (DL): Questionable – Undisclosed. Oregon: D. Moore (QB): Out – Concussion [updated; see latest injury update]; I. Hooks (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; D. Gresham (WR): Questionable – Neck.

Latest injury update: Oregon: QB Dante Moore is reported out against Nebraska, superseding the supplied questionable tag. Confirm the final starter among the available quarterbacks rather than assuming the supplied Thomas projection is settled. Nebraska: S Jamir Conn is also reported out. 

Weather: about 58°F, partly cloudy, W near 3 mph and a 7% rain chance

Trends: Cornhuskers are: 1)5-1 ATS over last 6. 2)5-0 Over last 5 after a SU loss. Ore is: 1)5-1 Over last 6 home. 2)5-1 Over last 6 overall. 3)5-1 Under last 6 overall.

Matchup analysis: Nebraska’s 213.8-yard rushing attack offers a way to limit Oregon’s possessions and test a defense allowing 118.4 rushing yards per game. Oregon’s ability to answer depends heavily on the quarterback plan with Moore reported out..

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol.8 (Oct 14-19) is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs win again for the week! Don’t miss another profitable postseason.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 14 weeks. Has won nearly 40 units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey wins big for the week as average clients win up to $6,000! Up 8-3 the last 11 selections!  
  • ATS All-Sports Program continues to roll (hockey, football, baseball). Up big again going into this weekend!
  • Basketball tips off on October 20 with the NBA and Nov. 2 in College Basketball. Don’t miss this season as the Lock Club is projected to set records!
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: Thursday Night Football Betting Previews for Oct. 15


The 2026-27 ATS NBA Betting Guide is out! Features picks, win totals, futures, power ratings and previews. Click here for your free copy.
 
The current version of the “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is also here for Vol. 8, including stats, previews, key injuries, trends, power ratings and more!
 

NFL — SEATTLE SEAHAWKS AT DENVER BRONCOS
8:15 PM ET | Prime Video | Empower Field at Mile High
Seattle -2½ | Total 40½

Records: Seattle 3–2 SU, 2–3 ATS, 3–2 O/U; Denver 3–2 SU, 3–2 ATS, 1–4 O/U.  

Last-game recaps

Seattle: Lost at home to San Francisco 32-29. Four turnovers gave away scoring opportunities and helped the 49ers generate 21 points off takeaways. Sam Darnold also absorbed five sacks. Jaxon Smith-Njigba produced 102 receiving yards and a touchdown, but Seattle’s protection and ball security undermined its offensive production.  

Denver: Won 23–17 at the Chargers despite limited passing production. Bo Nix finished with 123 passing yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. Defensive takeaways helped  

Quarterback matchup

 Season passing yardsTD–INTPasser ratingLast game
Sam Darnold, Seattle7557–590.3118/29, 195 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT
Bo Nix, Denver9426–380.8416/27, 123 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT

Offense versus defense

 Seattle offenseDenver defense allowsDenver offenseSeattle defense allows
Total yards328.0347.4269.0251.2
Rushing yards106.0145.286.2100.4
Passing yards222.0202.2182.8150.8
Points26.822.219.421.0

Seattle ranks first in total and passing yards allowed in the cited preview, while Denver ranks 30th in total offense.  

Seattle with the ball: Denver’s secondary absences create opportunities for Smith-Njigba and the supporting receivers. Seattle should also have reason to stay patient with the run against a defense allowing 145.2 rushing yards per game. Can Denver pressure Darnold without committing extra rushers and exposing its replacement defensive backs?

Denver with the ball: Long, methodical drives look difficult against Seattle’s defensive profile. Denver needs to avoid negative plays, use quick throws and generate favorable field position. Seattle’s missing starting linebacker gives Denver a matchup to test with its backs and underneath routes, although that alone does not erase the broader statistical disadvantage.

Final injury updates

Seattle:

  • RB Zach Charbonnet — out, knee/ACL rehabilitation. His absence limits backfield depth and leaves more responsibility with the available runners.
  • LB Drake Thomas — out, ankle. Tyrice Knight will replace him alongside Ernest Jones IV.
  • LB Chazz Surratt — out, calf. Primarily a depth and special-teams loss.

Denver:

  • CB Patrick Surtain II — out, ankle. A major loss against Seattle’s receiving corps.
  • S Talanoa Hufanga — out, ankle. Further weakens coverage flexibility and run support.
  • CB Riley Moss — questionable, ribs. Limited throughout the week; his availability is the major remaining defensive personnel question.

Weather: Updated reporting points to temperatures falling through the 40s, with one forecast near 52°F at kickoff and northeast winds around 10 mph.

Key Trends: Sea is: 1)2-6 ATS last 8 Thursday games. 2)6-1 ATS last 7 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Den is: 1)1-6 ATS last 7 Thursday games. 2)1-4 ATS last 5 in Week 6. 3)5-1 Under last 6 overall. 4)8-2 Under last 10 in Week 6.   

Prop Bets:

First TD Scorer

Jaxon Smith-Njigba +550

Anytime TD Scorer

Jaylen Waddle +240

Emmanuel Wilson +120

Courtland Sutton +265

 

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Georgia Southern at Old Dominion
7:30 PM ET | ESPN2 | Georgia Southern -3½ | Total 47½

Records: Georgia Southern 2–4 SU, 5–1 ATS, 3–3 O/U; Old Dominion 2–4 SU, 1–5 ATS, 3–3 O/U.

Last games: Georgia Southern lost to James Madison 27-24 but covered as a 7½-point home underdog. ODU won at Appalachian State 10-3, covering as an 8½-point underdog.

QB matchup: Max Johnson’s supplied season line is 66.1% completions, 1,572 yards and 11 TD/2 INT. He went 26-of-38 for 343 yards and three touchdowns against JMU. Quinn Henicle’s numbers are 54.5%, 570 passing yards, 3 TD/4 INT, plus 323 rushing yards and four rushing touchdowns. He threw for only 97 yards with two interceptions against Appalachian State. Henicle’s availability is now a central concern.

Updated injuries:

  • Georgia Southern: WR A. Hollins remains out with a season-ending shoulder injury. WR J. Ware and RB D. Mbadinga are listed out with undisclosed injuries. QB W. Bryan is listed probable.
  • Old Dominion: QB Quinn Henicle is questionable with an undisclosed injury. WR J. Harrell is listed out;  

Offense/defense: Georgia Southern averages 120.0 rushing and 275.8 passing yards, scoring 24.7 PPG; it allows 136.5 rushing, 199.3 passing and 24.3 PPG. ODU averages 122.5 rushing, 143.5 passing and 18.2 PPG; it allows 138.2 rushing, 186.0 passing and 27.5 PPG.

2025 meeting: Old Dominion won 45–10, covering -9½; the game stayed Under 61½.

Key Trends: Georgia Southern 7–1 ATS in its last eight and 7–1–1 ATS following a straight-up loss. ODU 0–4 ATS in its last four home games, with the Under 7–1 in its last eight at home.


East Carolina at UAB
7:30 PM ET | ESPN | East Carolina -4½ | Total 47½

Records: East Carolina 3–2 SU, 2–3 ATS, 1–4 O/U; UAB 3–3 SU, 2–4 ATS, 1–5 O/U.

Last games: ECU defeated Rice 28–12, covering -9½ at home. UAB lost at Memphis 38-13 and failed to cover +15½.

QB matchup: Emory Williams’ is  completing 64.9% of his passes for 529 yards and 5 TD/1 INT; he went 19-of-31 for 143 yards and two touchdowns against Rice. Ryder Burton’s line is 55.4%, 922 yards and 4 TD/5 INT; he finished 10-of-20 for 131 yards and an interception at Memphis.

Updated injuries: ECU WR J. Melvin remains questionable with a back injury. UAB TE A. Ferguson remains questionable with an undisclosed injury.  

Offense/defense: ECU averages 148.8 rushing and 195.2 passing yards, scoring 24.8 PPG; it allows 146.8 rushing, 172.6 passing and 22.6 PPG. UAB averages 179.5 rushing, 155.8 passing and 22.2 PPG; it allows 190.8 rushing, 126.0 passing and 25.8 PPG.

Trends from your draft: ECU is 7–2–1 ATS in its last 10 road games. UAB has gone Under in five straight overall and four straight at home.  The Blazers are 2-8 ATS last 10 in October. and 5-0 Under last 5 after an ATS loss.


Colorado State at Texas State
8:00 PM ET | CBSSN | Texas State -14½ | Total 69½–70

Records: Colorado State 2–3 SU, 3–2 ATS, 5–0 O/U; Texas State 2–3 SU, 2–3 ATS, 4–1 O/U.

Last games: CSU lost  to Oregon State on October 3, 56-26, failing to cover +6½. Texas State lost 31–29 at San Diego State that day, failing to cover -9½. Both enter following a bye.

QB matchup: K’Saan Farrar’s season line is 61.2% completions, 649 yards and 3 TD/2 INT; he threw for 178 yards and a touchdown against Oregon State. Brad Jackson is completing 66.7% of his passes for 1,226 yards and 13 TD/5 INT, plus 186 rushing yards. Jackson threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns, with two interceptions, at San Diego State.

Updated injuries:

  • Colorado State: Hauss Hejny will not start because of a hamstring injury, according to an October 13 report relaying ESPN’s Pete Thamel.  
  • CSU WR R. Vick is questionable; . WR T. Foster and TE G. Houser remain listed out, although their accompanying notes reference the previous game.
  • Texas State: TE B. Smith is questionable with a foot injury; RB D. Jackson is listed out. TE C. Snodgrass remains listed out. WR K. Evans and LB J. Sample still carry older questionable listings referencing October 3; 

Offense/defense: CSU averages 175.2 rushing and 273.2 passing yards, scoring 37.4 PPG; it allows 228.6 rushing, 264.6 passing and 38.6 PPG. Texas State averages 263.6 rushing, 268.0 passing and 34.8 PPG; it allows 122.8 rushing, 300.4 passing and 33.2 PPG.

Key Trends: CSU 6–1 ATS following a bye and 4-0 Over last 4 games overall. Texas State 4–1 ATS in its last five home games, 7-1 ATS last 8 Thursday games and 0-5 ATS last 5 after a bye  week.

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol.8 (Oct 14-19) is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs win again for the week! Don’t miss another profitable postseason.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 14 weeks. Has won nearly 40 units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey wins big for the week as average clients win up to $6,000! We crushed it at the end of last season.  
  • ATS All-Sports Program continues to roll (hockey, football, baseball). 
  • Basketball tips off on October 20 with the NBA and Nov. 2 in College Basketball. Don’t miss this season as the Lock Club is projected to set records!
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: College Football Betting Previews for Wednesday, Oct. 14


The 2026-27 ATS NBA Betting Guide is out! Features picks, win totals, futures, power ratings and previews. Click here for your free copy.
 
The current version of the “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is also here for Vol. 8, including stats, previews, key injuries, trends, power ratings and more!
 
College football continues this week with two games from Conference USA on Wednesday night.
 

Wednesday, October 14, 2026
Kennesaw State at M
issouri State
7:30 PM ET | CBSSN | Kennesaw State -3.5 | Total 51.5

Records: Kennesaw State: 1-4 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U; Missouri State: 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Kennesaw State beat Missouri State 41 – 34 (KENN -6.5, total 54.5).

Last game recaps: Kennesaw State lost to Jacksonville State 26 – 27 (home, Oct 07, 2026); covered 2.5;

Missouri State lost to Western Kentucky 13 – 34 (away, Oct 08, 2026); did not cover -1.5.

QB matchup: Rickie Collins: season 68.7%, 1,042 yards, 3 TD/3 INT; 246 rushing yards, 4 rushing TD; latest 24/34, 293 yards, 1 TD/2 INT; Henry Belin IV: season 55.9%, 250 yards, 2 TD/1 INT; latest 8/14, 115 yards, 1 TD/0 INT; Skyler Locklear also played: 12/24, 89 yards, 0/1 TD/INT.

Offense / defense:
Kennesaw State: offense 157.0 rushing / 219.4 passing YPG, 22.6 PPG; defense 148.0 rushing / 219.4 passing YPG, 23.4 PPG allowed. Missouri State: offense 135.2 rushing / 209.0 passing YPG, 21.8 PPG; defense 196.4 rushing / 250.4 passing YPG, 32.4 PPG allowed.

Key injuries: Kennesaw State: Z. Booker (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; G. Bullock Jr. (TE): Questionable -Undisclosed. Missouri State: J. Joyner (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed; M. Cope (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed
[older listing]; J. Rexroat (TE): Questionable – Undisclosed.

Weather:  80.1°F, light rain shower, wind 9.8 mph, gusts 20.4 mph, rain chance 49%.

Key Trends: Kent State is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 after a SU loss. 2)4-0 Under last 4 overall. 3)5-0 ATS last 5 in October. Mo State is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 home games.2)2-5 ATS last 7 overall.

Western Kentucky at Sam Houston
8:00 PM ET | ESPN | Western Kentucky -1.5 | Total 53.0

Records: Western Kentucky: 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, 3-3 O/U; Sam Houston: 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U.

2025 meeting: Western Kentucky beat Sam Houston 41 – 24 (WKU -10.5, total 59.5).

Last game recaps: Western Kentucky beat Missouri State 34 – 13 (home, Oct 08, 2026); covered 1.5; Sam Houston lost to Liberty 35 – 3 (away, Oct 08, 2026); did not cover 13.5.

QB matchup: Brock Glenn: season 54.1%, 547 yards, 4 TD/2 INT; 268 rushing yards, 5 rushing TD; latest 20/35, 242 yards, 1 TD/0 INT; Landyn Locke: season 66.3%, 1,306 yards, 11 TD/3 INT; latest 20/30, 138 yards, 0 TD/0 INT.

Offense / defense: Western Kentucky: offense 134.7 rushing / 233.7 passing YPG, 22.2 PPG; defense 204.0 rushing / 204.0 passing YPG, 35.2 PPG allowed. Sam Houston: offense 126.3 rushing / 342.5 passing YPG, 28.5 PPG; defense 264.5 rushing / 173.8 passing YPG, 32.8 PPG allowed.

Key injuries: Western Kentucky: N. Johnson (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; K. Hutchinson (WR): Questionable- Undisclosed; A. Boyd (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed. Sam Houston: M. Whisner (TE): Questionable -Undisclosed; B. Kuhl (TE): Out-Undisclosed.

Weather: 80.1°F, clear, wind 10.3 mph, gusts 20.6 mph, rain chance 2%.

Key Trends: Wky is: 1)6-1 Under last 7 after a SU win. 2)5-1 Under last 6 in October. SHU is: 1)1-6 ATS last 7 in October. 2)0-5 ATS last 7 Wednesday games

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol.8 (Oct 14-19) is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs win again for the week! Don’t miss another profitable postseason.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 14 weeks. Has won nearly 40 units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey wins big for the week as average clients win up to $6,000! We crushed it at the end of last season.  
  • ATS All-Sports Program continues to roll (hockey, football, baseball). 
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: College Football Betting Previews for Tuesday, Oct. 13


We’re almost at the midway mark of the college football season, which means that there are games during the middle of the week in college football. 
 
Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Delaware at Middle Tennessee

7:00 PM ET | CBSSN | Delaware -1.5 | Total 47.5

Records: Delaware: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS; 1-4 O/U Middle Tennessee: 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U
2025 meeting: Delaware beat Middle Tennessee 31 – 28 (MTU 8.5, total 55.5).

Last game recaps: Delaware lost to Liberty 14 – 30 (home, Oct 02, 2026); did not cover 6.5; Middle Tennessee lost to Kansas 0 – 55 (away, Oct 03, 2026); did not cover 21.5.

QB matchup:
EJ Archield Jr.: season 52.6%, 137 yards, 0 TD/0 INT; latest 10/19, 137 yards, 0 TD/0 INT; Braden Streeter also played: 3/7, 78 yards, 1/1 TD/INT; Roman Gagliano: season 56.4%, 913 yards, 8 TD/1 INT; latest 9/26, 81 yards, 0 TD/0 INT. Delaware starter unconfirmed;  Minicucci remains week-to-week. Archield started the last game.

Offense / defense:
Delaware: offense 98.8 rushing / 261.0 passing YPG, 21.4 PPG; defense 136.8 rushing / 252.8 passing YPG, 25.6 PPG allowed. Middle Tennessee: offense 124.0 rushing / 182.6 passing YPG, 20.8 PPG; defense 225.0 rushing / 195.6 passing YPG, 28.0 PPG allowed.

Key injuries:
Delaware: N. Minicucci (QB): Leg; week-to-week, Tuesday unconfirmed; T. Salazer (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; B. Rehmann (WR): Questionable -Undisclosed; Middle Tennessee: none listed.

Weather:
Early stadium forecast: 74.5°F, sunny, wind 7.2 mph, gusts 13.4 mph, rain chance 3%.

Key Trends: Del is: 1)1-5 ATS last 6 road games. 2)0-4 ATS last 5 in October. 3)5-1 Under last 6 overall.  MTU is: 1)5-1 Under last 6 home games. 2)5-1 ATS last 6  home games. 
 
Middle Tennessee’s goal is to force the inexperienced passer into long-yardage situations; Delaware can counter by attacking a run defense allowing 225.0 yards per game. Neither team’s latest defeat supports a simple momentum play
 
FIU at Jacksonville State

8:00 PM ET | ESPNU | Jacksonville State -2.5 | Total 43.5

Records: FIU: 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U; Jacksonville State: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS, 4-2 O/U.
 
2025 meeting: FIU beat Jacksonville State 27 – 21 (FIU -2.5, total 56.5).
 
Last game recaps: FIU beat New Mexico State 22 – 3 (home, Oct 07, 2026); covered -6.5; Jacksonville State beat Kennesaw State 27 – 26 (away, Oct 07, 2026); did not cover -2.5.

QB matchup: JJ Kohl: season 57.1%, 1,180 yards, 5 TD/7 INT; latest 12/21, 115 yards, 0 TD/1 INT; Caden Creel: season 66.5%, 1,423 yards, 10 TD/5 INT; 405 rushing yards, 4 rushing TD; latest 26/44, 311 yards, 1 TD/1 INT.

Offense / defense:
FIU: offense 119.2 rushing / 259.2 passing YPG, 18.8 PPG; defense 85.4 rushing / 156.4 passing YPG, 12.2 PPG allowed. Jacksonville State:  offense 146.3 rushing / 244.8 passing YPG, 27.3 PPG; defense 161.8 rushing / 174.5 passing YPG, 22.5 PPG allowed.

Key injuries: Florida International: K. Schaeffer (TE): Questionable -Undisclosed; A. Passley (TE): Questionable –Undisclosed; N. Sidan (K): Questionable – Undisclosed. Jacksonville State: N. Hoyt (WR): Questionable –Undisclosed; A. Watkins (WR): Questionable – Undisclosed; J. Savage (RB): Questionable – Undisclosed.
 
Weather: Early stadium forecast: 70.0°F, clear, wind 0.4 mph, gusts 0.5 mph, rain chance 4%.
 
Key Trends: FIU is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 conferencegames. 2)19-7-1 ATS last 27 after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. JX State is: 1)21-5 ATS last 26 home games. 

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs win again for the week! Don’t miss another profitable postseason.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 14 weeks. Has won nearly 40 units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey wins big for the week as average clients win up to $6,000! We crushed it at the end of last season.  
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: NFL Betting Preview for Monday, Oct. 12


Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams — Monday Night Betting Preview
Monday, October 12, 2026 | 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN/ABC | SoFi Stadium

                                                                                Buffalo                          LA Rams

Current spread+3½−3½
Moneyline+148 −177
TotalOver 54½Under 54½
Straight-up record3–12–2
ATS record3–12–2
Over/Under record3–12–2

The Rams enter this matchup with the stronger defensive numbers, while Buffalo brings the more efficient quarterback through four games. The biggest betting variables are D.J. Moore’s availability, Buffalo’s depleted defensive front, and whether Matthew Stafford can reduce his turnovers. Kickoff is Monday night in Los Angeles. 

Quarterback matchup

2026 regular-season statistics through four games.

StatisticJosh Allen — BillsMatthew Stafford — Rams
Completions/attempts79/11999/162
Completion percentage66.4%61.1%
Passing yards1,0391,189
Passing yards per game259.8297.3
Yards per attempt8.77.3
Passing TDs66
Interceptions36
Passer rating100.180.5
Sacks taken96
Rushing yards11821
Rushing TDs70

 Allen: His 8.7 yards per attempt and seven rushing touchdowns illustrate the two problems he creates: explosive passing and goal-line running. His ability to escape pressure also gives Buffalo a way to sustain possessions when receivers are covered. With Palmer out and Moore questionable, Buffalo may need more production from its tight ends, James Cook and Allen’s legs.

Stafford: He has produced more passing yardage, but six interceptions have undermined that production. He threw four interceptions over his last two games. Against Buffalo, protecting possessions is especially important because an Allen-led offense can turn a short field into a touchdown quickly. Puka Nacua’s return gives Stafford another dependable target alongside Davante Adams.

Last game: Patriots 29, Bills 26 — October 4

Buffalo suffered its first loss after winning its opening three games. Allen completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, one touchdown and one interception, and added a rushing touchdown. Cook ran 12 times for 75 yards and a touchdown, while Keon Coleman caught six passes for 116 yards and a touchdown. Buffalo led 17–14 at halftime but could not finish the game.

The more concerning development was the defense: New England gained 405 yards and scored touchdowns on all three red-zone opportunities. Buffalo’s offensive production remained competitive, but its defense allowed the Patriots to dictate too much of the game. That is a difficult formula against Stafford, Nacua and Adams. 

Last game: Rams 24, Eagles 20 — October 4

Los Angeles rallied behind two late Kyren Williams touchdown runs. His four-yard score cut the deficit to 20–17 with 3:59 remaining; his seven-yard touchdown put the Rams ahead with 1:10 left. Byron Young then recorded two sacks on Philadelphia’s final possession to secure the victory. Williams finished with 80 rushing yards, two rushing touchdowns and 10 catches for 67 yards.

Stafford went 32 of 51 for 317 yards, no passing touchdowns and two interceptions. The Rams nevertheless outgained Philadelphia 415–172. That distinction matters for handicapping: Los Angeles controlled the yardage battle far more decisively than its four-point winning margin suggests, but turnovers kept the game close.

Offense versus defense

 BillsRams
Points scored per game31.821.3
Total offense, yards/game386.3417.0
Net passing offense, yards/game247.3290.3
Rushing offense, yards/game139.0126.8
Points allowed per game26.820.8
Total defense, yards allowed/game372.3247.5
Sacks recorded107

These figures show Buffalo’s scoring advantage and Los Angeles’ advantage in yardage production and prevention. 

Rams offense against Buffalo defense: This is Los Angeles’ clearest matchup opportunity. Buffalo’s secondary must cover Nacua and Adams while accounting for Williams underneath. Ed Oliver’s absence removes an important interior defender, potentially helping both the Rams’ running game and Stafford’s pocket protection.

Both teams have run efficiently: Buffalo averages 5.1 yards per carry, and Los Angeles 4.8. If Williams consistently gains useful yardage on early downs, Sean McVay can use play-action and keep Stafford out of obvious passing situations.

Bills offense against Los Angeles defense: Cook and Allen’s running threat can force the Rams to devote extra defenders to the box. That creates opportunities for Buffalo’s passing game, but the receiver injuries could limit its ability to exploit them.

Los Angeles allows just 145.5 passing yards per game, although that number needs context: the Rams faced a Giants team that lost its starting quarterback and an Eagles offense that struggled badly. Allen presents a substantially different challenge because he can create outside the structure of the play

Key injuries

Buffalo’s final report lists two players out and three questionable

Bills playerInjury/statusLikely matchup impact
Ed Oliver, DLKnee — OUTReduces interior pressure and run-defense strength.
Joshua Palmer, WRShoulder — OUTRemoves a receiving option and thins the rotation.
D.J. Moore, WRShoulder — QUESTIONABLEMost significant offensive availability decision; his absence would narrow Allen’s options.
Dee Alford, CBAnkle — QUESTIONABLEImportant against the Rams’ slot and underneath passing game.
Landon Jackson, DLKnee — QUESTIONABLECould further reduce defensive-front depth.
Christian Benford, CBToe — Cleared; expected to startValuable return against Nacua and Adams.

Los Angeles’ final report shows several important returns, with Quentin Lake the remaining questionable player

Rams playerInjury/statusLikely matchup impact
Quentin Lake, S/slot defenderHip — QUESTIONABLEAvailability matters against Buffalo’s tight ends and short passing game.
Aaron Donald, DEBack — No game designationReturns to strengthen the defensive front.
Jaylen Watson, CBShoulder — No game designationImproves coverage depth.
Colby Parkinson, TEKnee/shoulder — No game designationRestores blocking and receiving flexibility.
Nate Landman, LBShoulder — No game designationAvailable for responsibilities against Cook and Allen.
Terrance Ferguson, TEAnkle — Injured reserveRemains unavailable, reducing tight-end depth.

Ferguson’s injured-reserve placement was confirmed in the Rams’ injury coverage. The impact descriptions are my assessment; questionable players still require a final game-day decision.

Prop Bets:

First TD Scorer

Puka Naua +650

Anytime TD Scorer

Khalil Shakir +205

Dalton Kincaid +180

2+ TDs

Josh Allen +500

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs win again for the week! Don’t miss another profitable postseason.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 14 weeks. Has won nearly 40 units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey wins big for the week as average clients win up to $6,000! We crushed it at the end of last season.  
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: NFL Betting Previews for Sunday, Oct. 11


Get ready for Week 5 of the NFL and this is the first weekend where two teams have byes (Carolina, KC).  Catch power ratings, NFL Trends, and more in our latest ATS Weekly Gaming Review, Vol. 7. 

NFL Sunday Game Previews

Week 5 October 11 2026

All 13 Sunday matchups, including the London game and Sunday Night Football. Each preview includes key injury updates, the previous game, projected quarterback matchups, betting records, team yardage averages and results from the 2025 season.

All kickoff times are Eastern.  Injury notes distinguish announced game designations from practice participation when final statuses are pending.

Sunday schedule

Matchup

Time ET

TV

Spread / total

Philadelphia at Jacksonville

9:30 a.m.

NFL Network

JAX -7.5 / 42

Chicago at Green Bay

1 p.m.

FOX

CHI -1.5 / 45.5

Houston at Tennessee

1 p.m.

CBS

HOU -7.5 / 38

Cincinnati at Miami

1 p.m.

FOX

CIN -6.5 / 43.5

Las Vegas at New England

1 p.m.

CBS

NE -3.5 / 45

Minnesota at New Orleans

1 p.m.

FOX

MIN -2.5 / 41.5

Cleveland at NY Jets

1 p.m.

CBS

NYJ -2.5 / 40

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

1 p.m.

CBS

PIT -2.5 / 44

NY Giants at Washington

1 p.m.

FOX

WAS -4.5 / 42

Denver at LA Chargers

4:05 p.m.

CBS

DEN -3.5 / 42

Detroit at Arizona

4:25 p.m.

FOX

DET -5.5 / 54.5

San Francisco at Seattle

4:25 p.m.

FOX

SEA -3.5 / 46

Baltimore at Atlanta

8:20 p.m.

NBC / Peacock

ATL -3.5 / 43.5

How to read the numbers

SU is the straight-up win-loss record; ATS is the record against the spread. O/U lists overs first, then unders. All records and team averages cover the 2026 regular season through Week 4. Passing yards per game are team net passing yards, including sack deductions; individual QB passing totals are gross yards. QB rating is NFL passer rating, not ESPN QBR.

 

Philadelphia at Jacksonville

Sunday, October 11 | 9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Network | London

Friday odds JAX -7.5 / 42

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Philadelphia

2-2

0-4

3-1

Jacksonville

3-1

3-1

1-3

Key injuries and availability

Eagles: RB Saquon Barkley (hamstring), WR DeVonta Smith (hamstring), WR Marquise Brown (ankle) and S Marcus Epps (groin) are OUT. RB Tank Bigsby is on IR after core surgery. EDGE Jonathan Greenard (ankle) is QUESTIONABLE. .

Jaguars: S Eric Murray remains in concussion protocol after limited Thursday practice. CB Montaric Brown (hamstring), CB Jourdan Lewis (hamstring) and EDGE Josh Hines-Allen (groin) were limited Thursday;  

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Jalen Hurts

59.6%

713

7

3

87.4

Trevor Lawrence

69.2%

843

8

2

111.2

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Philadelphia

109.0

160.8

122.0

222.0

Jacksonville

117.3

199.3

74.3

280.3

Last game recap

Philadelphia lost to the Rams on Oct. 4, 24-20, failed to cover as a 3.5-point favorite and went over 42.5. Barkley’s hamstring injury and Bigsby’s subsequent IR move further depleted the backfield.

Jacksonville won at Cincinnati, 22-17, on Oct. 4. The Jaguars allowed Burrow 428 passing yards but intercepted him twice and limited the Bengals to 23 rushing yards on 15 carries.

Key trends

Philadelphia is 0-4 ATS; Jacksonville is 3-1 ATS and 3-1 to the under.

 

Chicago at Green Bay

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX

Friday odds CHI -1.5 / 45.5

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Chicago

3-1

3-1

1-3

Green Bay

2-2

1-3

2-2

Key injuries and availability

Bears: QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) is QUESTIONABLE after limited Friday practice. Tyso nBagent is the expected starter, subject to Williams’ late improvement. RB Kyle Monangai (thumb/toe) is OUT; RB D’Andre Swift and starting linemen Jonah Jackson, Joe Thuney and Darnell Wright are cleared. CB Kyler Gordon (calf) is QUESTIONABLE.

Packers: G Aaron Banks (knee/toe) and C Jacob Monk (quadriceps) are DOUBTFUL. RB Chris Brooks and WR Savion Williams are OUT with ankle injuries. DT Javon Hargrave (toe) is QUESTIONABLE. LB Edgerrin Cooper is lost for the season with an Achilles injury.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Tyson Bagent

69.8%

322

0

1

81.7

Jordan Love

56.5%

1,041

8

3

86.5

Bagent is the expected starter; Williams is now questionable rather than ruled out. Williams has 407 passing yards, 2 TD and 1 INT this season.

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Chicago

196.3

232.8

102.5

179.8

Green Bay

58.0

249.3

139.3

185.0

Last game recap

Chicago beat the Jets 23-12 on Oct. 4. Monangai ran 30 times for 146 yards and two touchdowns; Bagent completed 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards with one interception.

Green Bay won at Tampa Bay on Oct. 4, 17-14. Love threw for 197 yards and two touchdowns while completing 73.3% of his passes, but Cooper suffered a season-ending Achilles injury.

2025 season matchup

Green Bay won 28-21 on Dec. 7, 2025 (GB -7 push; over 43.5). Chicago won 22-16 in overtime on Dec. 20 (CHI -1.5 cover; under 44.5). In the 2025 postseason on Jan. 10, 2026, Chicago won 31-27 (CHI +2.5 cover; over 46.5).

 

Houston at Tennessee

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS

Friday odds HOU -7.5 / 38

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Houston

0-4

0-4

2-2

Tennessee

0-4

2-2

1-3

Key injuries and availability

Texans: WR Tank Dell (knee) is OUT. Tackles Aireontae Ersery (illness), Blake Fisher (illness) and Braden Smith (foot), plus G Ed Ingram (illness), are QUESTIONABLE. EDGE Will Anderson Jr. (ankle) practiced fully Friday and is cleared.

Titans: S Amani Hooker (concussion) is OUT. WR Carnell Tate (back) and CB Joshua Williams (pectoral) are QUESTIONABLE. RB Tony Pollard (foot) and  

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

C.J. Stroud

61.6%

1,141

5

0

95.9

Cam Ward

63.0%

726

3

2

81.4

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Houston

79.0

264.8

83.8

260.0

Tennessee

89.0

172.3

122.8

209.8

Last game recap

Houston lost 34-30 to Dallas on Oct. 4 and fell to 0-4 both SU and ATS. The 64 combined points cleared the total as the Texans’ search for their first win continued.

Tennessee lost at Baltimore on Oct. 4 24-18. Ward completed 20 of 31 passes for 222 yards, one touchdown and one interception. The Titans remain winless.

Key trends

Both teams are 0-4 SU. Houston is also 0-4 ATS; Tennessee has covered twice and gone under three times.

2025 season matchup

Houston won 26-0 on Sept. 28, 2025 (HOU -7.5 cover; under 39.5), then 16-13 on Nov. 16 (TEN +5.5 cover; under 37.5).

 

Cincinnati at Miami

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX

Friday odds CIN -6.5 / 43.5

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Cincinnati

2-2

2-2

2-2

Miami

0-4

1-3

1-3

Key injuries and availability

Bengals: WR Ja’Marr Chase (concussion) is expectedd to play though is listed as questionable. WR Tee Higgins (groin/neck) is QUESTIONABLE. S Kyle Dugger (quadriceps) and DT Jonathan Allen (knee) missed Thursday practice; 

Dolphins: RB De’Von Achane is out for the season with a torn ACL. Coach Jeff Hafley said Friday that WR Caleb Douglas (ankle) is unlikely to play. T Austin Jackson (knee) and WR Chris Bell (knee) were limited Thursday.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Joe Burrow

71.3%

1,171

7

3

99.5

Malik Willis

56.3%

712

1

2

73.0

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Cincinnati

74.3

277.5

99.5

248.0

Miami

104.0

163.5

109.0

226.5

Last game recap

Cincinnati lost to Jacksonville on Oct. 4, 22-17 despite Burrow’s 428 passing yards. Two interceptions and just 23 rushing yards undercut the passing production.

Miami lost at Minnesota on Oct. 4, 15-10. Ollie Gordon ran nine times for 100 yards and a touchdown. The defense had four sacks and allowed no touchdowns, but the Dolphins still fell to 0-4.

2025 season matchup

Cincinnati won 45-21 at Miami on Dec. 21, 2025, covering -3.5. The game went over 47.5.

 

Las Vegas at New England

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS

Friday odds NE -3.5 / 45

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Las Vegas

3-1

4-0

2-2

New England

2-2

3-1

1-3

Key injuries and availability

Raiders: RB Ashton Jeanty (ankle/foot) is QUESTIONABLE after missing Friday practice. WR Jalen Nailor (concussion), WR Dont’e Thornton Jr. (hamstring) and T Trey Zuhn III (knee) are OUT. 

Patriots: CB Christian Gonzalez (shoulder), CB Carlton Davis III (neck) and WR Mack Hollins (calf) are OUT. RB Rhamondre Stevenson (knee), T Morgan Moses (foot) and DT Christian Barmore (shoulder) are QUESTIONABLE.  

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Kirk Cousins

64.6%

1,026

11

4

99.5

Drake Maye

62.4%

854

4

7

71.0

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Las Vegas

93.0

250.0

134.5

202.8

New England

117.8

213.8

104.0

189.8

Last game recap

Las Vegas lost to Kansas City, 30-27, on Oct. 4 but covered as a 3.5-point underdog. TE Brock Bowers caught six passes for 86 yards and a touchdown.

New England upset Buffalo on the road, 29-26 on Oct. 4. Maye completed 22 of 37 passes for 269 yards and three touchdowns and added 54 rushing yards on eight attempts.

2025 season matchup

Las Vegas won 20-13 at New England on Sept. 7, 2025, covering +2.5. The game stayed under 44.5.

 

Minnesota at New Orleans

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX

Friday odds MIN -2.5 / 41.5

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Minnesota

4-0

3-1

1-3

New Orleans

1-3

2-2

3-1

Key injuries and availability

Vikings: LT Christian Darrisaw (concussion) is OUT. WR Justin Jefferson (ankle), WR Jordan Addison (hamstring), RT Brian O’Neill (knee) and C Michael Jurgens (elbow) are QUESTIONABLE.

Saints: RB Alvin Kamara (back), S Julian Blackmon (shoulder) and WR Barion Brown (thigh) are QUESTIONABLE. LB Kaden Elliss (calf), EDGE Anfernee Jennings (knee) and G Jeremiah Wright (concussion) are OUT. Shough (left hand) and WR Chris Olave (foot) practiced fully Friday and are cleared.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Kyler Murray

63.4%

433

1

2

73.3

Tyler Shough

67.2%

1,203

9

3

95.7

Murray is projected to start; his totals cover his own appearances, including games split with Carson Wentz.

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Minnesota

106.8

156.0

94.5

194.8

New Orleans

88.5

278.5

147.8

212.5

Last game recap

Minnesota beat Miami 15-10 on Oct. 4 without scoring a touchdown. Will Reichard supplied all the points with five field goals; 11 penalties for 85 yards kept the game close.

New Orleans lost 45-24 to Atlanta on Monday, Oct. 5. Bijan Robinson scored on a 59-yard run on Atlanta’s third offensive play, and the Saints spent the game chasing the Falcons.

2025 season matchup

No 2025 meeting. Minnesota won the last regular-season meeting 27-19 on Nov. 12, 2023, covering +2.5; the game went over 40.5.

 

Cleveland at NY Jets

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS

Friday odds NYJ -2.5 / 40

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Cleveland

3-1

3-1

3-1

NY Jets

1-3

2-2

1-3

Key injuries and availability

Browns: DT Mason Graham (knee/ankle), DT Mike Hall Jr. (ankle), DT Kalia Davis (quadriceps), G Teven Jenkins (back) and WR Tylan Wallace (knee) are OUT. Backup QB Dillon Gabriel (back) is also OUT; Watson remains the projected starter.

Jets: RB Breece Hall (quadriceps), WR Adonai Mitchell (finger) and G Dylan Parham (knee) were ruled OUT Friday. TE Mason Taylor is expected to return from his thumb injury. CB Jarvis Brownlee Jr. (concussion) practiced fully Friday.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Deshaun Watson

69.6%

855

6

2

101.2

Geno Smith

72.6%

902

5

0

109.0

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Cleveland

93.8

198.8

113.3

235.3

NY Jets

84.0

202.0

123.5

193.3

Last game recap

Cleveland beat Pittsburgh 27-24 on Thursday, Oct. 1, on Andre Szmyt’s 56-yard field goal with 10 seconds left. Watson went 24-for-33 for 268 yards, one touchdown and one interception.

The Jets lost at Chicago, 23-12, on Oct. 4. New York ran only 32 offensive plays as Chicago collected 34 first downs; Smith completed eight of 15 passes for 119 yards and a touchdown.

2025 season matchup

The Jets won 27-20 over Cleveland on Nov. 9, 2025, covering +2.5. The game went over 37.5.

 

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS

Friday odds PIT -2.5 / 44

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Indianapolis

2-2

3-1

2-2

Pittsburgh

2-2

2-2

2-2

Key injuries and availability

Colts: EDGE Arden Key (hamstring), LB Jaylon Carlies (ribs) and WR Ashton Dulin (hamstring) are OUT. WR Keenan Allen (groin), WR Darius Slayton (knee) and CB Charvarius Ward (groin) are QUESTIONABLE.

Steelers: WR Michael Pittman Jr. (foot), CB Jamel Dean (ankle) and S DeShon Elliott (knee) are OUT. DB Jalen Ramsey (wrist) and RB Rico Dowdle (toe) are QUESTIONABLE.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Daniel Jones

63.6%

754

3

4

73.9

Aaron Rodgers

57.5%

999

7

4

81.6

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Indianapolis

109.5

174.8

131.0

261.3

Pittsburgh

94.8

223.0

112.8

209.5

Last game recap

Indianapolis beat Washington 30-13 in London on Oct. 4. Jonathan Taylor ran 20 times for 95 yards and two touchdowns; Jones threw for 143 yards with a 55.9% completion rate.

Pittsburgh lost 27-24 at Cleveland on Thursday, Oct. 1. Szmyt’s 56-yard field goal with 10 seconds remaining decided the division game and left the Steelers at 2-2. 

2025 season matchup

Pittsburgh beat Indianapolis 27-20 on Nov. 2, 2025, covering +3. The game stayed under 51.5.

 

NY Giants at Washington

Sunday, October 11 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX

Friday odds WAS -4.5 / 42

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

NY Giants

3-1

3-1

2-2

Washington

1-3

2-2

3-1

Key injuries and availability

Giants: QB Jaxson Dart is out for the season with a torn ACL. DL Chauncey Golston (neck) and S Jason Pinnock (concussion) are OUT.  

Commanders: Daniels will return and start with a brace on his injured elbow. WR Stefon Diggs (hamstring) is OUT. WR Terry McLaurin returned to practice Friday, with game availability still pending. Backup QB Marcus Mariota is dealing with an MCL injury. Jayden Daniels (elbow) will return from injury.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Jameis Winston

55.1%

479

3

3

70.4

Jayden Daniels

56.9%

260

3

0

90.3

 

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

NY Giants

110.5

172.8

109.0

205.3

Washington

124.0

190.8

93.5

242.5

Last game recap

The Giants beat Arizona 36-24 on Oct. 4. Winston threw for 250 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions; Nabers caught seven passes for 112 yards and a touchdown.

Washington lost to Indianapolis 30-13 in London on Oct. 4. Ten penalties compounded the offensive struggles, and Mariota’s knee injury forced rookie Athan Kaliakmanis into relief duty.

2025 season matchup

Washington swept: 21-6 on Sept. 7, 2025 (WAS -6.5 cover; under 45.5) and 29-21 on Dec. 14 (WAS +2.5 cover; over 45.5).

 

Denver at LA Chargers

Sunday, October 11 | 4:05 p.m. ET | CBS

Friday odds DEN -3.5 / 42

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Denver

2-2

2-2

1-3

LA Chargers

0-4

0-4

1-3

Key injuries and availability

Broncos: CB Patrick Surtain II (ankle) is reported OUT, while WR Pat Bryant (ankle) was placed on IR Friday. CB Riley Moss (ribs) missed Thursday practice; his final designation remains pending.

Chargers: LT Rashawn Slater is on IR following ankle surgery. RT Joe Alt (neck) is expected to miss Sunday. WR Ladd McConkey (foot), OL Trevor Penning (concussion), S Derwin James (hamstring) and CB Donte Jackson (hamstring) missed Thursday practice; final game statuses remain pending.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Bo Nix

60.0%

819

5

3

80.4

Justin Herbert

59.7%

816

4

6

70.6

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Denver

81.3

199.0

142.8

232.3

LA Chargers

121.5

185.3

121.8

211.8

Last game recap

Denver lost at San Francisco 24-14 on Oct. 4 with 296 total yards. Nix went 25-for-42 for 214 yards and fumbled three times, losing one.

The Chargers lost 30-23 at Seattle on Oct. 4. Herbert completed 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions; tackle injuries added to the concerns for the winless team.

Key trends

The Chargers are 0-4 SU and ATS. Both teams have gone under in three of four games.

2025 season matchup

The Chargers won 23-20 on Sept. 21, 2025 (LAC -2.5 cover; under 45.5). Denver won 19-3 on Jan. 4, 2026, in the 2025 regular-season finale (DEN -15.5 cover; under 38.5).

 

Detroit at Arizona

Sunday, October 11 | 4:25 p.m. ET | FOX

Friday odds DET -5.5 / 54.5

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Detroit

2-2

1-3

4-0

Arizona

1-3

2-2

2-2

Key injuries and availability

Lions: S Brian Branch (Achilles), CB Rock Ya-Sin (hamstring), G Ben Bartch (foot) and C Cade Mays (wrist) are OUT. DT Tyleik Williams (foot) is QUESTIONABLE.

Cardinals: LT Paris Johnson Jr. is lost for the season with a torn biceps. RB Jeremiyah Love (ankle) was limited Thursday, but the coaching staff expects him to play. G Isaiah Adams (ankle) and S Andrew Wingard (knee) missed Thursday practice; final statuses remain pending.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Jared Goff

67.7%

1,214

9

0

108.6

Jacoby Brissett

67.8%

818

6

4

83.2

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Detroit

102.0

287.3

119.8

304.0

Arizona

100.5

194.3

117.5

233.8

Last game recap

Detroit lost 32-26 at Carolina on Oct. 4. The Lions gained 452 total yards but allowed 445, including 329 passing yards. It was their third game in four allowing at least 30 points.

Arizona lost at the Giants 36-24 on Oct. 4. Marvin Harrison Jr. scored his first touchdown of the season, while Johnson’s torn biceps created a major hole at left tackle.

 

San Francisco at Seattle

Sunday, October 11 | 4:25 p.m. ET | FOX

Friday odds SEA -3.5 / 46

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

San Francisco

4-0

3-1

2-2

Seattle

3-1

2-2

2-2

Key injuries and availability

49ers: EDGE Nick Bosa (knee/calf), FB Kyle Juszczyk (knee), S Marques Sigle (ankle) and DL James Thompson Jr. (ankle) missed Thursday practice. WR Mike Evans (ribs) also missed Thursday after being limited Wednesday. CB Upton Stout (shoulder) was limited.  

Seahawks: DL Leonard Williams (ankle) was downgraded to no practice Thursday. RB Zach Charbonnet (knee), RB George Holani (ribs) and CB Nehemiah Pritchett (ankle) were limited Thursday; 

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Brock Purdy

69.9%

1,007

11

1

126.2

Sam Darnold

65.2%

560

6

3

101.1

Darnold has returned from his earlier glute injury;  

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

San Francisco

137.3

251.8

99.8

209.0

Seattle

110.3

237.0

102.0

144.8

Last game recap

San Francisco beat Denver 24-14 on Oct. 4 to stay unbeaten. The defense held Denver to 296 total yards; Purdy continued a season in which he has 11 touchdown passes and one interception.

Seattle beat the Chargers 30-23 on Oct. 4. The Seahawks nearly surrendered a 21-point lead and committed 14 penalties for 150 yards before closing out their third win.

2025 season matchup

San Francisco won 17-13 on Sept. 7, 2025 (SF -1.5 cover; under 43.5). Seattle won 13-3 on Jan. 3, 2026 (SEA -2.5 cover; under 48.5), then 41-6 in the 2025 postseason on Jan. 17 (SEA -6.5 cover; over 44.5).

 

Baltimore at Atlanta

Sunday, October 11 | 8:20 p.m. ET | NBC / Peacock

Friday odds ATL -3.5 / 43.5

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Baltimore

3-1

1-3

2-2

Atlanta

2-2

2-2

2-2

Key injuries and availability

Ravens: QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) and EDGE Trey Hendrickson (finger surgery) are OUT. Huntley will start. WR Zay Flowers (foot), CB Marlon Humphrey (hamstring/calf) and G Andrew Vorhees (foot) are QUESTIONABLE. C Cam Jurgens (concussion) missed Thursday practice.

Falcons: LT Jake Matthews (groin), EDGE Za’Darius Smith (concussion/neck), EDGE Samson Ebukam (hamstring) and LB Divine Deablo (hamstring) are QUESTIONABLE. LB Yasir Abdullah (hamstring) is OUT.

Quarterback matchup

Projected QB

Comp

Pass yards

TD

INT

Rating

Tyler Huntley

88.9%

63

0

0

95.8

Michael Penix Jr.

73.3%

479

2

1

113.1

Huntley’s totals are from one relief appearance, not four starts. Penix’s totals cover two appearances since returning from his ACL injury.

Offense and defense yards per game

Team

Rush gained

Pass gained

Rush allowed

Pass allowed

Baltimore

153.5

241.5

100.0

215.3

Atlanta

181.0

179.5

48.3

264.8

Last game recap

Baltimore beat Tennessee 24-18 on Oct. 4. Jackson injured his ankle before halftime; Huntley completed eight of nine passes for 63 yards in relief.

Atlanta beat New Orleans 45-24 on Monday, Oct. 5. Robinson’s 59-yard touchdown on the third offensive play set the tone; the Falcons have scored 80 points over their last two games.

2025 season matchup

No 2025 meeting. The last regular-season meeting was Baltimore’s 17-9 home win on Dec. 24, 2022; Baltimore covered -6.5 and the game stayed under 35.

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominating since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs wins in the opening week of the postseason and is up again this week. Don’t miss another profitable postseason as “average” clients are projected to win at least $10,000.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 13 weeks. Has won 40+ units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey started last week! We crushed it at the end of last season. We’re up double digits this week after three days!
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: Comprehensive College Football Betting Previews for Saturday, Oct. 10


Get ready for another huge college football Saturday. We offer injuries, trends, records and more in this latest write up for each college game. Catch power ratings and more in our latest ATS Weekly Gaming Review, Vol. 7. 

Saturday, October 10

Texas A&M at Missouri

12:00 ET • ABC • Missouri -3.5 | Total 48.5

Texas A&M 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U 1-2 SEC; Missouri 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-1 SEC

QB matchup: Marcel Reed (Texas A&M): 57.0%, 908 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT; 170 rushing yards. Austin Simmons (Missouri): 1,287 yards, 13 TD, 0 INT; 23-of-30 for 340 yards and 2 TD against Florida.

Last game: Texas A&M won over Arkansas 34-7. Missouri won over Florida 45-17.

Key injuries: Latest update: Texas A&M WR Mario Craver QUESTIONABLE (ankle), expected to be a game-time decision; OL Blake Ivy OUT, WR Terry Bussey OUT for season. Missouri OT Cayden Green QUESTIONABLE; RB Ahmad Hardy remains OUT. 

Offense/defense (yards per game): Texas A&M: Offense — 167.4 rushing, 188.8 passing. Defense — 121.0 rushing allowed, 191.8 passing allowed. Missouri: Offense — 168.6 rushing, 278.4 passing. Defense — 88.6 rushing allowed, 231.2 passing allowed

Key trends: Missouri: 6-1 Under in October; 5-0 Under after an ATS win; 0-4 ATS after an ATS win; 1-6 ATS after a SU win.

2025 matchup: Tx A&M -6.5 over Missouri 38-17.

Arizona at West Virginia

12:00 ET • TNT • Arizona -3.5 | Total 1.5

Arizona 4-1 SU. 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-1 B12; West Virginia 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 5-0 O/U, 0-2 SEC

QB matchup: Noah Fifita (Arizona): 1,415 yards, 13 TD, 3 INT; three consecutive games above 280 passing yards. Michael Hawkins Jr. (West Virginia): 836 passing yards, 7 TD, 1 INT; 574 rushing yards and 11 rushing TD.

Last game: Arizona won 34-7 over Cincinnati Bearcats. West Virginia lost 45-42 to Iowa State.

Key injuries: Arizona: S D. Austin OUT (undisclosed; Sep 25); WR G. Richardson QUESTIONABLE (hamstring; Oct 4); WR T. Spivey OUT (ankle; Oct 4); TE S. King QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 1); TE C. Rusk OUT (leg; Oct 1); WR S. Brennan QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 27). West Virginia- WR J. Neider OUT (undisclosed; Oct 9); TE C. Ball QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB C. Talley QUESTIONABLE (hamstring; Oct 3); RB A. Devine QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB M. Boswell QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Arizona: Offense — 151.6 rushing, 299.8 passing. Defense — 79.0 rushing allowed, 213.2 passing allowed. West Virginia: Offense — 294.0 rushing, 178.0 passing. Defense — 168.4 rushing allowed, 288.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Ariz is: 1)6-0 Under last 6 conference games. 2)4-1 ATS last 5 conference games. West Va is: 1)4-1 ATS in its last five overall. 2)4-0 Over last 4 overall. 3)5-1 Under last 6 home games.

 

UCF at Oklahoma State

12:00 ET • ESPN2 • Oklahoma State -10.5 | Total 53.5

UCF 3-2 SU; 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-1 B12, Oklahoma State 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-0 B12.

QB matchup: Keyone Jenkins (UCF): 69.7%, 541 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT. Drew Mestemaker (Oklahoma State): 1,271 yards and 11 TD. Jenkins projects to continue while Alonza Barnett III works back from a hamstring injury; Barnett’s final availability still matters.

Last game: UCF lost 17-27 to Houston Cougars. Oklahoma State won 41-24 over West Virginia Mountaineers.

Key injuries: UCF QB A. Barnett III QUESTIONABLE (hamstring; Oct 5); LB L. Carter OUT (undisclosed; Sep 24); WR D. Thomas Jr. QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 5); TE D. Wade QUESTIONABLE (shoulder; Oct 1). Oklahoma State — OG J. Sexton QUESTIONABLE (leg; Sep 27);

Offense/defense (yards per game): UCF: Offense — 172.6 rushing, 178.2 passing. Defense — 120.0 rushing allowed, 223.4 passing allowed. Oklahoma State: Offense — 221.3 rushing, 327.0 passing. Defense — 158.8 rushing allowed, 158.5 passing allowed.

Key trends: UCF is: 1)1-6 ATS after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. OK State is: 1)6-0 Under last 6 as a favorite. 2)5-0 ATS last 5 after an ATS win. 3)4-0 ATS last 4 home games.

2025 matchup: UCF (-13.5) beat Oklahoma State 17-14.

 

North Carolina at Pittsburgh

12:00 ET • ESPN • Pittsburgh -3.5 | Total 47.5

North Carolina 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 0-1 ACC; Pittsburgh 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 2-0 ACC.

QB matchup: Billy Edwards Jr. (UNC): 57.5%, 820 yards, 6 TD, 3 INT. Holden Geriner (Pitt) replaces Mason Heintschel, whose season ended with an ACL tear after 1,304 yards, 14 TD and 1 INT. Geriner completed 8-of-12 for 78 yards and a TD in relief against Virginia Tech.

Last game: North Carolina lost 26-37 to Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Pittsburgh won 35-33 over Virginia Tech Hokies.

Key injuries (Friday check): Pitt QB Mason Heintschel OUT for season (ACL); Holden Geriner takes over. [I113] Thursday report: Pitt TEs Elijah Lagg and Max Hunt and WR Rodney Dunbar OUT; WR Malik Knight, LB Alex Sanford Jr. and DB Josh Guerrier QUESTIONABLE. UNC DL Jaylen Harvey QUESTIONABLE.

Offense/defense (yards per game): North Carolina: Offense — 135.5 rushing, 210.3 passing. Defense — 152.5 rushing allowed, 200.5 passing allowed. Pittsburgh: Offense — 162.0 rushing, 316.0 passing. Defense — 55.6 rushing allowed, 239.8 passing allowed.

Key trends: UNC is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 in October. 2)5-16-1 ATS last 22 conference games. 3)4-0 Over last 4 conference games. Pitt is: 1)5-1 Under last 6 home games. 2)5-1 Under last 6 games after a SU win.

 

Wake Forest at NC State

12:00 ET • The CW • Wake Forest -3.5 | Total 59.5

Wake Forest 4-1 SU; 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 2-1 ACC, NC State 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-1 ACC.

QB matchup: Gio Lopez (Wake Forest): 1,377 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT. CJ Bailey (NC State): 1,266 yards, 8 TD, 4 INT. Lopez has protected the football better; Bailey threw for 373 yards in the Louisville win.

Last game: Wake Forest won 57-3 over Stanford Cardinal. NC State won 31-28 over Louisville Cardinals.

Key injuries: NC State: starting RB Jayden “Duke” Scott, LG Yousef Mugharbil, C Spike Sowells Jr. and S Tristan Teasdell OUT; WR JoJo Trader and OLs Jimarion McCrimon/Kamen Smith QUESTIONABLE. Sowells is out for the season following surgery. Wake Forest DL Tyler Walton, DB Devin Cook, WR Elijah Otieno and OL Dalton DeBoer OUT; OL Jack Hines newly QUESTIONABLE.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Wake Forest: Offense — 157.0 rushing, 288.0 passing. Defense — 111.4 rushing allowed, 235.4 passing allowed. NC State: Offense — 199.2 rushing, 260.8 passing. Defense — 143.4 rushing allowed, 215.8 passing allowed.

Key trends: WF is: 1)6-0 Over last 6 as a favorite. NC St is: 1)7-1 ATS last 8 home games. 2)4-1 Over last 5 overall. 3)5-1 Over last 6 after an ATS loss.

2025 matchup: NC State -6.5 over WF 34-24.

 

Indiana at Nebraska

12:00 ET • FOX • Indiana -7.5 | Total 48.5

Indiana 5-0 SU;1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 2-0 B10; Nebraska 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 2-0 B10

QB matchup: Josh Hoover (Indiana): 1,101 yards, 15 TD, 0 INT. Anthony Colandrea (Nebraska): 1,142 yards, 13 TD, 2 INT. 

Last game: Indiana won 47-15 over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Nebraska beat Maryland 48-23.

Key injuries: Indiana: CB AJ Harris, DL Daniel Ndukwe and RBs Lee Beebe Jr./Turbo Richard/Sean Cuono no longer listed; RB Khobie Martin, TE Andrew Barker and DB Carson Williams OUT; WR Lebron Bond QUESTIONABLE. Nebraska TE Carter Nelson and LB Gage Stenger DOUBTFUL; WR Larry Miles, DB Kahmir Prescott, LBs Jase Reynolds/Jacob Bower and DL Gabe Moore OUT.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Indiana: Offense — 315.8 rushing, 296.3 passing. Defense — 80.5 rushing allowed, 216.8 passing allowed. Nebraska: Offense — 231.0 rushing, 244.6 passing. Defense — 100.6 rushing allowed, 165.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Ind is: 1)7-1 ATS last 8 in October. 2)5-1 ATS last 6 road games. 3)1-5 ATS last 6 overall. Neb is: 1)9-2 Over last 11 home games. 2)6-1 Over last 7 after an ATS win. 3)4-1 Over last 5 in October.

 

Tulane at Army

12:00 ET • CBSSN • Army -3.5 | Total 47.5

Tulane 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 0-0 AAC; Army 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U, 1-1 AAC.

QB matchup: Kadin Semonza (Tulane): 53.8%, 646 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT; 13 sacks taken. Cale Hellums (Army): 337 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT; 301 rushing yards and 6 rushing TD. 

Last game: Tulane beat Southern Miss,  24-21 over Southern Miss. Army lost to Louisiana Tech 31-29.

Key injuries: Tulane RB J. McClure OUT (foot; Sep 27); WR Z. Lewis Jr. QUESTIONABLE (leg; Sep 27). Army — aggregate carryovers: QB B. Luter QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 26); Army’s B. Luter concern QB depth;

Offense/defense (yards per game): Tulane: Offense — 160.5 rushing, 186.3 passing. Defense — 191.0 rushing allowed, 231.0 passing allowed. Army: Offense — 334.3 rushing, 98.5 passing. Defense — 164.5 rushing allowed, 209.5 passing allowed.

Key trends: Tul is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 conference games. 2)7-2 Under last 9 overall. Army is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 home games. 2)4-0-1 ATS last 5 after a SU loss. 3)4-1-1 ATS last 6 overall. 4)6-2-1 ATS last 9 after an ATS loss.

 

Sacramento State at Bowling Green

12:00 ET • ESPN+ • Bowling Green -7.5 | Total 44.5

Sacramento State 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 0-2 MAC; Bowling Green 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-0 MAC.

QB matchup: Jackson Sharman (Sacramento State): 57.7%, 856 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT. Jay Kastantin (Bowling Green): 870 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT.

Last game: Sacramento State lost 35-6 to UMass Minutemen and had a bye last week. Bowling Green won 24-20 over Miami RedHawks.

Key injuries: Sacramento State —WR K. Peevy QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 27); RB D. Godley QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 27); RB C. Borders QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 27). Bowling Green : WR I. Dawson QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB K. Baldwin OUT (undisclosed; Oct 3);

Offense/defense (yards per game): Sacramento State: Offense — 111.2 rushing, 216.2 passing. Defense — 150.0 rushing allowed, 196.4 passing allowed. Bowling Green: Offense — 85.2 rushing, 173.8 passing. Defense — 231.4 rushing allowed, 181.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Sac St is: 1)4-1 Under last 5 overall. 2)4-0 Under last 4 after a SU loss. BG is: 1)3-7 ATS last 10 overall. 2)5-0 Under last 5 home games. 3)6-1 ATS last 7 as a favorite.

 

Ball State at Northwestern

12:30 ET • BTN • Northwestern -36.5 | Total 52.5

Ball State 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U; Northwestern 3-1 SU, 4-0 ATS, 3-1 O/U.

QB matchup: Keldric Luster (Ball State): 63.9%, 662 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT. Aidan Chiles (Northwestern): 70.8%, 900 yards, 6 TD, 0 INT. 

Last game: Ball State lost 39-24 to Toledo Rockets. Northwestern beat Penn State 34-13.

Key injuries: Ball State TE C. Coonrod QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB C. Breveard QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR C. Thompson Jr. QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB J. Bonds QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR I. Thacker OUT (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR D. Talbert OUT (undisclosed; Sep 26).  Northwestern — CB J. Fussell OUT (undisclosed; Oct 1); CB B. Turner OUT (undisclosed; Sep 25); TE L. Dehnicke OUT (undisclosed; Oct 2); WR J. McDuffie OUT (undisclosed; Oct 1); TE T. McGlinchey OUT (undisclosed; Sep 29); WR C. Farrell OUT (undisclosed; Sep 25).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Ball State: Offense — 123.4 rushing, 174.2 passing. Defense — 229.8 rushing allowed, 243.8 passing allowed. Northwestern: Offense — 212.8 rushing, 225.0 passing. Defense — 161.5 rushing allowed, 224.3 passing allowed.

Key trends: BST is: 1)1-4 ATS last 5 vs Big 10. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 road games. 3)5-0 Over last 5 non-conf. games. 4)0-5 ATS last 5 after an ATS win. NW is: 1)5-0-1 ATS in its last six overall. 2)6-0-1 ATS after allowing fewer than 20 points. 3)6-0 Over last 6 after an ATS win. 4)5-0 ATS last 5 non-conference games.

 

South Carolina at Florida

12:45 ET • SEC Network • Florida -12.5 | Total 60.5

South Carolina 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 0-3 SEC; Florida 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 2-1 SEC.

QB matchup: LaNorris Sellers (South Carolina): 60.5%, 1,059 passing yards, 8 TD, 4 INT; 391 rushing yards and 1 TD. Aaron Philo (Florida): 1,114 passing yards, 8 TD, 2 INT. Sellers threw for 226 yards and 2 TD and ran for 147 yards in the overtime loss to Kentucky.

Last game: South Carolina lost to Kentucky 35-34. Florida fell to Missouri 45-17.

Key injuries (Friday check): Thursday report: South Carolina OT Josiah Thompson, DB Jalewis Solomon, WR Jayden Sellers and edge Kobby Sakyi-Prah OUT; DL Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy, edge Julian Walker, DB Quay’sheed Scott and OL Carter Miller DOUBTFUL; WR Mazeo Bennett QUESTIONABLE. Dylan Stewart is absent from the latest report and on track to return after suspension, superseding the stale aggregate OUT tag. Florida WR Vernell Brown III QUESTIONABLE;

Offense/defense (yards per game): South Carolina: Offense — 256.0 rushing, 235.0 passing. Defense — 100.4 rushing allowed, 231.2 passing allowed. Florida: Offense — 216.4 rushing, 274.8 passing. Defense — 126.4 rushing allowed, 266.6 passing allowed. 

Key trends:  Florida is 6-1 ATS after rushing for 200+ yards; Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. SC is: 0-4 ATS last 4 overall and 5-0 Over last 5 after an ATS loss.

 

Old Dominion at Appalachian State

1:00 ET • ESPN+ • Appalachian State -9.5 | Total 48.5

Old Dominion 1-4 SU, 0-5 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 0-2 SBC; Appalachian State 3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 0-0 SBC.

QB matchup: Quinn Henicle (Old Dominion): 55.9%, 473 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT; 235 rushing yards and 4 TD. Malachi Singleton (Appalachian State): 72.7%, 1,206 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT. Singleton offers the more reliable downfield passing profile.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Old Dominion: Offense — 105.6 rushing, 152.8 passing. Defense — 147.4 rushing allowed, 210.0 passing allowed. Appalachian State: Offense — 144.8 rushing, 319.3 passing. Defense — 120.3 rushing allowed, 223.0 passing allowed.

Last game: Old Dominion lost 42-10 to Georgia State Panthers. Appalachian State lost at NC State 41-31.

Key trends: ATS: ODU is 9-1 ATS after a double-digit home loss; the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

 

Miami (OH) at UMass

2:00 ET • ESPN+ • Miami (OH) -2.5 | Total 47.5

Miami (OH) 2-3 SU; UMass 4-1 SU

QB matchup: Caleb Heavner (Miami OH) vs. William Watson III (UMass). Heavner: 72.7%, 234 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 17-of-24 for 198 yards and a TD in his first start against Bowling Green. Watson: 820 yards, 7 TD; 167 rushing yards and 4 rushing TD.

Last game: Miami (OH) lost 20-24 to Bowling Green Falcons. UMass lost 14-38 to Eastern Michigan Eagles.

Key injuries: Miami QBs David McComb and Thomas Gotkowski are OUT FOR THE SEASON. Caleb Heavner is the current starter. [57] Pass-catcher carryovers: Miami WR D. Hyatt and TE N. Butbul QUESTIONABLE; UMass RB J. Washington OUT, WR J. Griffin Jr. QUESTIONABLE (Oct. 3 listings).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Miami (OH): Offense — 100.2 rushing, 271.0 passing. Defense — 113.4 rushing allowed, 290.0 passing allowed. UMass: Offense — 177.0 rushing, 166.2 passing. Defense — 98.2 rushing allowed, 210.6 passing allowed.

Key trends: UMass was 3-9 ATS in 2025 and is 7-1 Over last 8 conference games. Miami-Oh is 9-1 Over last 10 in October and 7-1 ATS last 8 in October.

 

Texas vs Oklahoma

3:30 ET • ABC • Texas -7.5 | Total 38.5

Texas 4-0 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U, 1-0 SEC; Oklahoma 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U, 0-1 SEC.

QB matchup: Arch Manning (Texas): 63.5%, 862 yards, 7 TD, 3 INT. John Mateer (Oklahoma): 66.1%, 883 yards, 8 TD, 4 INT. Both teams had a bye, giving each two weeks to prepare for the Red River rivalry from the Cotton Bowl.

Last game: Texas won over Tennessee 20-17. Oklahoma lost to Georgia 41-13

Key injuries: Texas TE Nick Townsend AVAILABLE after removal from the report; DL Justus Terry QUESTIONABLE; WR Kaliq Lockett, OL Jordan Coleman and DT Zion Williams OUT. Oklahoma LT Michael Fasusi DOUBTFUL and OL Fred Hinton OUT

Offense/defense (yards per game): Texas: Offense — 147.3 rushing, 231.3 passing. Defense — 99.5 rushing allowed, 171.8 passing allowed. Oklahoma: Offense — 99.0 rushing, 222.3 passing. Defense — 115.5 rushing allowed, 122.5 passing allowed

Key trends: Texas is: 5-1 Under last 6 after a SU win. OU is: 0-4 ATS last 4 neutral site games, 11-1 Under after a bye week and 4-1 Under last 5 in October.

2025 matchup: Texas beat Oklahoma 23-6 in the Cotton Bowl. 

 

Ole Miss at Vanderbilt

3:30 ET • ESPN • Ole Miss -10.5 | Total 54.5

Ole Miss 3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-1 SEC; Vanderbilt 3-2 SU,3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 0-2 SEC.

QB matchup: Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss): 1,222 yards, 8 TD, 3 INT. Jared Curtis (Vanderbilt): 64.3%, 746 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT in four appearances.    

Last game: Ole Miss lost 52-28 to the Florida Gators. Vanderbilt lost 38-14 to Georgia in their last game.

Key injuries: Ole Miss RB Kewan Lacy is expected to return with a reduced/rotating workload.   Vanderbilt WR K. Smith listed OUT

Offense/defense (yards per game): Ole Miss: Offense — 117.5 rushing, 322.5 passing. Defense — 194.8 rushing allowed, 210.0 passing allowed. Vanderbilt: Offense — 123.0 rushing, 226.4 passing. Defense — 128.2 rushing allowed, 214.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Vandy is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 after a SU loss. 2)5-0 over last 5 after a SU loss.  

 

Houston at Kansas State

3:30 ET • FOX • Kansas State -2.5 | Total 55.5

Houston 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-1 B12; Kansas State 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U, 0-1 B12

QB matchup: Conner Weigman (Houston): 1,186 yards, 11 TD, 1 INT. Avery Johnson (Kansas State): 66.2%, 910 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT. Johnson’s designed runs add an extra defender-accounting problem for Houston.

Last game: Houston won 27-17 over UCF Knights. Kansas State lost 31-26 to Cincinnati Bearcats.

Key injuries: Houston — TE J. Thurman OUT (undisclosed; Oct 9); RB J. Hebert OUT (leg; Oct 5); K E. Noel OUT (undisclosed; Oct 1);  Kansas State —  QB D. Duff QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 27); QB B. Barnett QUESTIONABLE (lower body; Sep 27); QB J. Knuth QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 27).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Houston: Offense — 229.4 rushing, 253.8 passing. Defense — 65.4 rushing allowed, 261.6 passing allowed. Kansas State: Offense — 240.8 rushing, 239.5 passing. Defense — 139.8 rushing allowed, 106.3 passing allowed.

Key trends:  Hou is: 1)4-0-1 ATS last 5 as a road dog. KSTate is: 1)4-1 Under last 5 as a fave.

 

Duke at Georgia Tech

3:30 ET • ESPN2 • Duke -6.5 | Total 44.5

Duke 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-0 ACC; Georgia Tech 1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 0-1 ACC.

QB matchup: Walker Eget (Duke): 62.4%, 721 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT. Alberto Mendoza (Georgia Tech): 68.3%, 975 yards, 6 TD, 3 INT. Duke has leaned on its running game and defense; Mendoza must avoid giving that defense short fields.

Last game: Duke won 62-7 over the FCS William & Mary Tribe. Georgia Tech lost to Stanford 34-27.

Key injuries: Duke: QB Lawrence Gardner and OLs Kai Jacobowitz, Reagan McCranie and Roman Fina OUT; K Cosme Salas QUESTIONABLE.  Georgia Tech LT Ethan Mackenny, DEs Jordan Walker/Noah Carter/A.J. Hoffler, CB Daiquan White and RB Malachi Hosley OUT; OLs Jameson Riggs/Markell Samuel/Josh Petty, DE Jordan Boyd and CB Trae Stevenson Jr. QUESTIONABLE.  

Offense/defense (yards per game): Duke: Offense — 243.5 rushing, 222.8 passing. Defense — 63.8 rushing allowed, 198.0 passing allowed. Georgia Tech: Offense — 126.3 rushing, 243.8 passing. Defense — 189.0 rushing allowed, 192.5 passing allowed.

Key trends:  Duke is: 1)4-0 ATS last 4 overall. 2)7-0 Over last 7 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.  GT is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 conference games.

2025 matchup: Georgia Tech beat Duke 27-18.

 

Stanford at Notre Dame

3:30 ET • NBC/Peacock • Notre Dame -37.5 | Total 54.5

Stanford 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U; Notre Dame 5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U

QB matchup: Davis Warren (Stanford): 1,207 passing yards. CJ Carr (Notre Dame): 1,197 yards, 13 TD, 1 INT.  

Last game: Stanford lost to Wake Forest 57-3. Notre Dame won 37-26 over North Carolina.

Key injuries: Notre Dame: LB Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa now OUT (thumb), downgraded from questionable Thursday; CB Leonard Moore remains QUESTIONABLE (concussion).  Stanford: OG N. Prongos and OG A. Kilstrom QUESTIONABLE (Oct. 3),    

Offense/defense (yards per game): Stanford: Offense — 88.8 rushing, 247.8 passing. Defense — 159.0 rushing allowed, 299.8 passing allowed. Notre Dame: Offense — 161.6 rushing, 266.8 passing. Defense — 58.4 rushing allowed, 158.0 passing allowed

Key trends: Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. Stan is: 1)5-1 Over last 6 overall. 2)4-0 Over last 4 vs. Indep.

2025 matchup: Notre Dame won 49-20 at Stanford.

 

 

Virginia Tech at California

3:30 ET • ACC Network • Virginia Tech -9.5 | Total 53.5

Virginia Tech 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-1 ACC; California 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-1 ACC.

QB matchup: Ethan Grunkemeyer (Virginia Tech): 1,446 yards and 11 TD. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (Cal): 1,180 yards, 8 TD, 5 INT, but questionable in concussion protocol. Cal’s backup plan becomes important if Sagapolutele is not cleared.

Last game: Virginia Tech lost 35-33 to Pittsburgh at home. California lost 39-31 to the UNLV Rebels.

Key injuries: Cal: QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele, RB Adam Mohammed, WR Chase Hendricks and S Kingston Lopa QUESTIONABLE; RB Carter Vargas and starting DL Nate Burrell newly OUT. Jackson Brousseau is the QB fallback after a 200-yard, two-TD relief performance against UNLV. Virginia Tech RB Bill Davis and OL Brody Meadows QUESTIONABLE.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Virginia Tech: Offense — 155.2 rushing, 314.6 passing. Defense — 87.4 rushing allowed, 187.0 passing allowed. California: Offense — 95.0 rushing, 301.0 passing. Defense — 187.4 rushing allowed, 173.4 passing allowed

Key trends: ATS: Virginia Tech: 1)4-1 ATS in its last five as a favorite. 2)6-1 Under last 7 road games. 3)4-1 ATS last 5 as a fave.

 

Illinois at Michigan State

3:30 ET • FS1 • Illinois -2.5 | Total 48.5

Illinois 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 0-2 B10; Michigan State 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 0-2 B10.  

QB matchup: Katin Houser (Illinois): 1,246 yards, 11 TD, 3 INT. Alessio Milivojevic (Michigan State): 62.0%, 851 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT.  

Last game: Illinois lost 24-17 to the Purdue Boilermakers. Michigan State lost 31-3 to Wisconsin/

Key injuries: Illinois RB Ca’lil Valentine OUT for season after last week’s injury; Aidan Laughery, Jordan Anderson and Javari Barnett absorb the backfield work. Michigan State LB Caleb Wheatland OUT; RB C. Edwards and reserve QB Cam Fancher QUESTIONABLE (Oct. 8) 

Offense/defense (yards per game): Illinois: Offense — 155.6 rushing, 249.2 passing. Defense — 126.8 rushing allowed, 255.0 passing allowed. Michigan State: Offense — 123.6 rushing, 182.0 passing. Defense — 144.8 rushing allowed, 181.0 passing allowed.

Key trends: Ill is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 as a fave.  MSU is: 1)6-0 Under last 6 as a dog. 2)4-0 Under last 4 games overall.

 

UCLA at Oregon

3:30 ET • CBS • Oregon -11.5 | Total 58.5

UCLA 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 3-1 O/U, 2-0 B10; Oregon 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 4-0 O/U, 1-0 B10.

QB matchup: Nico Iamaleava (UCLA): 62.6%, 820 yards, 4 TD, 2 INT. Dylan Raiola (Oregon): 83.3%, 413 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT in two appearances; 19-of-25 for 289 yards and 2 TD against USC. Dante Moore is out in concussion protocol, and Raiola will make his first Oregon start.

Last game: UCLA won 54-3 over Maryland Terrapins and had a bye week. Oregon won 41-27 over USC Trojans two weeks ago.

Key injuries: Oregon QB Dante Moore is OUT (concussion protocol); Dylan Raiola will start. lDB Aaron Flowers DOUBTFUL, DB Aaron Scott Jr. QUESTIONABLE; LB Brayden Platt, WRs Jack Ressler/Jeremiah McClellan/Dillon Gresham and RB Simeon Price OUT.  UCLA: OG S. Yoon and CBs T. Johnson/J. Johnson QUESTIONABLE; WR M. Matthews OUT.

Offense/defense (yards per game): UCLA: Offense — 281.5 rushing, 205.0 passing. Defense — 91.3 rushing allowed, 225.8 passing allowed. Oregon: Offense — 159.0 rushing, 346.5 passing. Defense — 113.0 rushing allowed, 231.3 passing allowed

Key Trends: UCLA is: 1)4-0-1 ATS last 5. Oreg is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 as a home fave.

 

Charlotte at North Texas

3:30 ET • ESPN+ • North Texas -28.5 | Total 57.5

Charlotte 0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 0-1 AAC; North Texas 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-0 AAC

QB matchup: Cole Gonzales (Charlotte): 62.2%, 802 yards, 3 TD, 7 INT. Tayven Jackson (North Texas): 1,519 yards and 10 TD.

Last game: Charlotte lost 59-8 to Memphis Tigers. North Texas beat Tulsa 45-44.

Key injuries: Charlotte: QB C. Harrell OUT (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR J. Hoffman QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 4).  North Texas: RB B. Haygood QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2); WR J. Martin QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2); TE V. Aderungboye QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2); TE D. Clemens QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2); WR J. Tyre QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2).  

Offense/defense (yards per game): Charlotte: Offense — 110.6 rushing, 180.0 passing. Defense — 181.2 rushing allowed, 263.0 passing allowed. North Texas: Offense — 184.6 rushing, 340.0 passing. Defense — 160.0 rushing allowed, 212.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Char is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 as a road dog. North Texas is: 1)5-0 ATS last 5 home games.

 

Tulsa at Navy

3:30 ET • CBSSN • Navy -2.5 | Total 48.5

Tulsa 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 0-1 AAC; Navy 1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 0-2 AAC

QB matchup: Tulsa has used Baylor Hayes (60.4%, 564 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT) and Dexter Williams II (57.6%, 340 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT). Navy’s Jackson Gutierrez: 344 passing yards, 3 TD, 0 INT; 273 rushing yards and 4 TD. Navy’s quarterback option execution is the key comparison, rather than conventional passing volume.

Last game: Tulsa lost to North Texas 45-44. Navy lost to Air Force 14-9.

Key injuries: Tulsa – WR J. Calloway QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2); WR G. Tempest QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 2).  Navy — RB L. Walker QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB J. Chalmers QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); TE M. Barlow QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Tulsa: Offense — 173.4 rushing, 180.8 passing. Defense — 133.2 rushing allowed, 272.2 passing allowed. Navy: Offense — 277.8 rushing, 103.8 passing. Defense — 96.3 rushing allowed, 212.3 passing allowed.

Key Trends: Tulsa is: 1)5-1 Under last 6 overall. Navy is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

2025 matchup: Navy won 42-23 at Tulsa.  

 

Eastern Michigan at Akron

3:30 ET • ESPN+ • Eastern Michigan -6.5 | Total 52.5

Eastern Michigan 3-3 SU; Akron 1-4 SU

QB matchup: Noah Kim (Eastern Michigan): 1,187 yards, 8 TD, 3 INT. Akron has used Brayden Roggow (55.8%, 605 yards, 3 TD, 5 INT) and Cibastian Broughton (80.3%, 380 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT).

Last game: Eastern Michigan won 38-14 over UMass. Akron lost to Central Michigan 41-17.

Key injuries:  Eastern Michigan: QB N. Kinsey QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR S. Fishwick QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB N. Jones-Davis QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR N. Lyman QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR B. Minner QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); TE J. Holt QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).  Akron — QB C. Broughton OUT (knee; Oct 3); RB C. Gee QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR L. Sivon QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR J. Riggins QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR P. Davis QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR C. Monteiro OUT (undisclosed; Oct 3). Akron QB Cibastian Broughton missed last week and is questionable.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Eastern Michigan: Offense — 111.7 rushing, 200.2 passing. Defense — 133.8 rushing allowed, 229.8 passing allowed. Akron: Offense — 141.0 rushing, 197.0 passing. Defense — 188.6 rushing allowed, 235.8 passing allowed

Key Trends: Emich is: 1)5-0-1 ATS last 6 conference games. 2)6-0 Under last 6 as a fave.

 

Buffalo at Toledo

3:30 ET • ESPN+ • Toledo -20.5 | Total 54.5

Buffalo 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 0-1 MAC; Toledo 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 5-0 O/U, 1-0 MAC.

QB matchup: Jason Wright (Buffalo): 50.0%, 555 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT; Elijah Holmes has added 250 yards and 3 TD without an INT. John Alan Richter (Toledo): 1,362 yards and 13 TD. Toledo has the much stronger passing-production profile.

Last game: Buffalo lost to Western Michigan 20-17. Toledo won over Ball State 39-24.

Key injuries: Buffalo QB Elijah Holmes OUT for season (knee surgery), confirmed Oct. 6; Jason Wright remains the starting projection. Buffalo TE N. Leonard and WRs B. Mays/T. Richards QUESTIONABLE; RB T. Shelton Jr. OUT (Oct. 3). Toledo TE T. Kelleher and WRs K. Gilbert Jr./T. Jones QUESTIONABLE (Oct. 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Buffalo: Offense — 151.4 rushing, 161.0 passing. Defense — 159.6 rushing allowed, 246.8 passing allowed. Toledo: Offense — 200.4 rushing, 284.6 passing. Defense — 132.2 rushing allowed, 193.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Buf is: 1)5-0 Over after an ATS loss. Tole is: 1)4-0 over last 4 as a favorite. 2)6-0 Over last 6 overall. 3)Home team is 4-0 ATS last 4 in series.

 

Central Michigan at Ohio

3:30 ET • ESPN+ • Ohio -2.5 | Total 46.5

Central Michigan 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-0 MAC; Ohio 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-0 MAC

QB matchup: Angel Flores (Central Michigan): 55.5%, 201 passing yards; 474 rushing yards and 4 TD. Matt Vezza (Ohio): 69.0%, 438 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT. Nick Poulos’ questionable designation makes Ohio’s final quarterback plan worth monitoring.

Last game: Central Michigan won 41-17 over Akron Zips. Ohio won over Kent State 13-10.

Key injuries (Friday check): Central Michigan — aggregate carryovers: FB R. VanWetzinga IV QUESTIONABLE (knee; Oct 3); RB V. Blue QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); TE J. Allen OUT (undisclosed; Sep 15). Ohio — aggregate carryovers: QB N. Poulos QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); QB H. Grand OUT (undisclosed; Sep 26); WR R. Perry QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Central Michigan: Offense — 202.2 rushing, 84.8 passing. Defense — 164.2 rushing allowed, 202.8 passing allowed. Ohio: Offense — 187.8 rushing, 157.8 passing. Defense — 144.6 rushing allowed, 219.0 passing allowed.

Key trends: CMich is: 1)6-1 ATS last 7 conference games. 2)7-1 Over last 8 in October. Ohio is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 conference games. 2)2-8 ATS last 10 in October.

 

Kent State at Western Michigan

3:30 ET • ESPN+ • Western Michigan -13.5 | Total 43.5

Kent State 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-1 MAC; Western Michigan 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 ATS, 1-0 MAC.

QB matchup: Dru DeShields (Kent State): 757 yards, 3 TD, 5 INT; 183 rushing yards. Broc Lowry (Western Michigan): 739 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT; 170 rushing yards.

Last game: Kent State lost 10-13 to Ohio Bobcats. Western Michigan won 20-17 over Buffalo Bulls.

Key injuries Kent State: WR M. Stephens QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB D. Armentrout QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); K E. Tucker QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR W. Bierfeldt QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3). [I61] Western Michigan — TE M. Dersa QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); K P. Domschke OUT (undisclosed; Oct 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Kent State: Offense — 116.0 rushing, 161.2 passing. Defense — 141.6 rushing allowed, 220.0 passing allowed. Western Michigan: Offense — 145.0 rushing, 158.6 passing. Defense — 156.2 rushing allowed, 187.6 passing allowed

Key trends: Kent St is: 1)8-0 ATS after scoring fewer than 20 points. 2)7-0 ATS after a straight-up loss. 3)4-0 Over last 4 road games. 4)5-15-1 ATS last 21 road games. WMich is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 in this series. 2)7-1 Under last 8 after an ATS loss.

 

UConn at Temple

3:45 ET • ESPNU • Temple -3.5 | Total 54.5

UConn 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U; Temple 2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U

QB matchup: Kalieb Osborne (UConn): 1,164 yards and 10 TD. Ajani Sheppard (Temple): 55.6%, 631 yards, 6 TD, 0 INT; 234 rushing yards and 3 TD. Sheppard’s rushing contribution and interception avoidance offset Temple’s modest passing volume.

Last game: UConn lost to Syracuse 42-41. Temple won 17-13 over USF Bulls.

Key injuries: UConn —QB J. Merklinger QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR J. Brown OUT (concussion; Oct 5); RB K. Christian QUESTIONABLE (hamstring; Oct 4). Temple —: QB J. Smolik QUESTIONABLE (foot; Oct 4); RB S. Brown V QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 28); WR R. Stocksdale QUESTIONABLE (hamstring; Sep 25); WR C. Logan QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 25); WR R. Hardy QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 25).

Offense/defense (yards per game): UConn: Offense — 181.6 rushing, 256.4 passing. Defense — 110.8 rushing allowed, 290.8 passing allowed. Temple: Offense — 212.6 rushing, 149.4 passing. Defense — 149.0 rushing allowed, 226.6 passing allowed.

Key trends: UConn is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 in October. 2)5-1 Over last 6 after a SU loss. 3)5-1 Over last 6 road games. 4)1-4 ATS last 5 road games. Temple. 1)4-0-1 ATS in its last five overall. 2)5-0 ATS as a home favorite. 3)9-2 Under last 11 vs. Indep. 4)4-0 ATS last non-conf. games.

 

Rice at East Carolina

4:00 ET • ESPN+ • East Carolina -9.5 | Total 47.5

Rice 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 0-1 AAC; East Carolina 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 1-3 O/U, 0-0 AAC

QB matchup: Jacurri Brown (Rice): 410 passing yards and 495 rushing yards. Emory Williams (East Carolina) started the Pirates’ last game and threw for 341 yards, 3 TD and 1 INT against North Carolina Central. ECU has used two quarterbacks this season, so the last-start projection is Williams.

Last game: Rice lost to UTSA 16-14. East Carolina won 42-9 over the FCS North Carolina Central Eagles.

 Key injuries: Rice — aggregate carryovers: WR D. Lane QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 20); TE J. Falk QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 20); TE P. Zinter QUESTIONABLE (leg; Sep 20). East Carolina — aggregate carryovers: WR J. Melvin OUT (back; Sep 26);  

Offense/defense (yards per game): Rice: Offense — 243.8 rushing, 85.4 passing. Defense — 179.6 rushing allowed, 186.4 passing allowed. East Carolina: Offense — 127.5 rushing, 208.5 passing. Defense — 142.5 rushing allowed, 198.5 passing allowed.

Key trends: Rice is: 1)0-5 ATS last 5 road games. 2)1-5 ATS last 6 after an ATS win. 3)4-0 Over last 4 after a bye week. ECU is: 1)Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings. 2)9-1 ATS after an ATS loss. 3)5-1 Over last 6 conference games. 4)5-1 Over last 6 in October.

 

 

 

Tennessee at Arkansas

4:15 ET • SEC Network • Tennessee -13.5 | Total 51.5

Tennessee 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-1 SEC; Arkansas 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 0-2 SEC.

QB matchup: Faizon Brandon (Tennessee): 60.4%, 697 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT; 3 rushing TD. KJ Jackson (Arkansas): 60.5%, 1,038 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT.

Last game: Tennessee won 24-14 over Auburn Tigers. Arkansas lost to Texas A&M 34-7.

Key injuries: Tennessee QB Faizon Brandon QUESTIONABLE (shoulder); George MacIntyre is expected to start. RB Javin Gordon also QUESTIONABLE. [I135] OG Wendell Moe Jr., CB Q. Moss and LB J. Harmon remain listed OUT. Arkansas TE H. Hendrix QUESTIONABLE; TE M. Lassiter OUT

Offense/defense (yards per game): Tennessee: Offense — 240.6 rushing, 174.4 passing. Defense — 132.4 rushing allowed, 162.6 passing allowed. Arkansas: Offense — 92.2 rushing, 242.8 passing. Defense — 146.0 rushing allowed, 194.0 passing allowed.

Key trends: Tenn is: 1)6-1 Under last 7 in October. 2)5-1 Under last 6 overall. 3)8-2 Over last 10 after an ATS win. Ark is: 1)1-4 ATS and 4-1 Under this season. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 conference games. 3)1-6 ATS last 7 overall.

2025 matchup: Tenn -10.5 over Ark 34-31.

 

Maryland at Ohio State

4:15 ET • BTN • Ohio State -34.5 | Total 56.5

Maryland 2-3 SU;  2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 0-2 B10; Ohio State 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 2-0 B10.

QB matchup: Malik Washington (Maryland): 1,288 yards, 7 TD, 6 INT. Julian Sayin (Ohio State): 1,530 yards, 13 TD, 1 INT.  

Last game: Maryland lost at Nebraska 48-23. Ohio State won 31-14 over Iowa on the road.

Key injuries: Ohio State’s latest report lists starters WR Devin McCuin, WR Brandon Inniss, RT Phillip Daniels, DB Jay Timmons and LB Christian Alliegro QUESTIONABLE. [I138] Maryland TE P. Howard QUESTIONABLE; DL L. Johnson and LB Z. Mathis remain OUT  

Offense/defense (yards per game): Maryland: Offense — 146.8 rushing, 277.2 passing. Defense — 136.6 rushing allowed, 198.4 passing allowed. Ohio State: Offense — 157.6 rushing, 357.0 passing. Defense — 99.0 rushing allowed, 168.0 passing allowed.

Key trends: Md is: 1)Road team is 0-6 ATS last 6 in series. 2)5-0 Over last 5 as an underdog. 3)0-7 ATS last 7 conference games. 4)4-0 over last 4 conference games. OSU is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 overall. 2)5-0 over last 5 as an underdog. 3)6-1 Under last 7 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

 

San Diego State at Oregon State

6:00 ET • USA Network • Oregon State -14.5 | Total 53.5

San Diego State 2-3 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-0 Pac-12; Oregon State 3-2 SU, 5-0 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-0 Pac-12.

QB matchup: Jayden Denegal (San Diego State): 57.9%, 706 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT. Braden Atkinson (Oregon State): approximately 1,851 yards and 16 TD; 428 yards and 5 TD against Colorado State.  

Last game: San Diego State won 31-29 over Texas State Bobcats. Oregon State won 56-26 over Colorado State Rams.

Key injuries: SDSU RB Lucky Sutton QUESTIONABLE (ankle) and RB Javion Kinnard QUESTIONABLE (knee). WR Donovan Brown QUESTIONABLE, WR N. Acevedo DOUBTFUL. Oregon State RB K. Glass listed OUT (Oct. 2)

Offense/defense (yards per game): San Diego State: Offense — 149.6 rushing, 154.2 passing. Defense — 176.6 rushing allowed, 266.6 passing allowed. Oregon State: Offense — 119.6 rushing, 377.0 passing. Defense — 151.8 rushing allowed, 210.4 passing allowed

Key trends: SD St is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 road games. 2)6-0 Under last 6 after a SU win. 3)5-1 Under last 6 after an ATS win. OSU is: 1)8-2 Over last 10 home games. 2)5-0 ATS last 5 overall.

 

LSU at Kentucky

7:00 ET • ESPN • LSU -8.5 | Total 51.5

LSU 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-1 SEC; Kentucky 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 2-1 SEC

QB matchup: Sam Leavitt (LSU): 1,220 yards, 8 TD, 7 INT. Kenny Minchey (Kentucky): 1,148 yards, 11 TD, 1 INT.  

Last game: LSU won 63-14 over the FCS McNeese State Cowboys. Kentucky beat South Carolina 35-34.

Key injuries: TE Trey’Dez Green, LBs Whit Weeks/Charles Ross II, S Dashawn Spears and WR Phillip Wright III OUT. Sam Leavitt is not listed and is available despite earlier hamstring concern. Kentucky WR DJ Miller removed from report/AVAILABLE; DT Kalen Edwards DOUBTFUL; RB Jordan Colbert QUESTIONABLE; CBs Jaden Smith/Grant Grayton, LBs Tavion Wallace/Antwan Smith and OL Aba Selm OUT.  

Offense/defense (yards per game): LSU: Offense — 237.8 rushing, 310.0 passing. Defense — 58.4 rushing allowed, 162.2 passing allowed. Kentucky: Offense — 187.2 rushing, 229.6 passing. Defense — 144.2 rushing allowed, 232.4 passing allowed.

Key trends: LSU is: 1)4-1 Under last 5 overall. Ky is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 conference games. 2)4-0 Over last 4 overall. 3)4-1 ATS last 5 home games. 4)4-1 ATS last 5 overall.

 

UAB at Memphis

7:00 ET • ESPN2 • Memphis -14.5 | Total 52.5

UAB 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-0 AAC; Memphis 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-0 AAC

QB matchup: Ryder Burton (UAB): 791 yards, 4 TD, 4 INT. Marcus Stokes (Memphis): 1,371 yards, 14 TD, 3 INT.

Last game: UAB won 33-14 over Samford Bulldogs. Memphis won 59-8 over Charlotte.

Key injuries: UTEP —QB E. Colson Jr. QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 6); RB L. Sperling QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB T. Jones QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR C. Simon OUT (undisclosed; Oct 1); WR M. Ferguson OUT

Offense/defense (yards per game): Nevada: Offense — 196.8 rushing, 184.8 passing. Defense — 208.8 rushing allowed, 161.8 passing allowed. UTEP: Offense — 136.4 rushing, 129.8 passing. Defense — 169.4 rushing allowed, 227.8 passing allowed.

Key trends: UAB is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 after an ATS loss. 2)4-0 Under last 4 overall. Mem is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 overall.

2025 matchup: UAB +23.5 over Memphis 31-24.

 

 

Nevada at UTEP

7:00 ET • FS1 • Nevada -8.5 | Total 49.5

Nevada 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U; UTEP 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 0-1 MWC.

QB matchup: Carter Jones (Nevada): 572 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT. EJ Colson (UTEP): 541 yards, 7 TD, 3 INT. Colson is questionable, which makes the final quarterback announcement important for an already struggling UTEP offense.

Last game: Nevada lost to Air Force 36-33. UTEP lost to the New Mexico Lobos 61-7.

Key injuries: Nevada: no injuries listed in the checked aggregate report; this does not establish full availability. UTEP — aggregate carryovers: QB E. Colson Jr. QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 6); RB L. Sperling QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB T. Jones QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); WR C. Simon OUT (undisclosed; Oct 1); WR M. Ferguson OUT (undisclosed; Oct 1)

Offense/defense (yards per game): Nevada: Offense — 196.8 rushing, 184.8 passing. Defense — 208.8 rushing allowed, 161.8 passing allowed. UTEP: Offense — 136.4 rushing, 129.8 passing. Defense — 169.4 rushing allowed, 227.8 passing allowed.

Key trends: Nev is: 1)6-2-2 ATS last 10 in October. UTEP 1)10-1 Over last 11 overall. 2)2-12 ATS last 14 overall. 3)7-1 Over last 8 after a SU loss. 4)7-1 Over last 8 as an underdog.

 

 

 

North Dakota State at UNLV

7:00 ET • The CW • North Dakota State -3.5 | Total 48.5

North Dakota State 5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U.  2-0 MWC; UNLV 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-0 MWC.

QB matchup: Nathan Hayes (North Dakota State): 64.7%, 995 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT. Jackson Arnold (UNLV): 59.4%, 1,063 yards, 8 TD, 0 INT; 270 rushing yards and 5 rushing TD. Arnold’s mobility is important against NDSU’s front.

Last game: North Dakota State beat Wyoming 28-0. UNLV beat California 39-31.

Key injuries: North Dakota State — QB H. Nelson QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB B. Toliver OUT (undisclosed; Oct 9); WR D. Schlosser OUT (undisclosed; Oct 9); WR K. Schlichting OUT (undisclosed; Oct 9); TE C. Danner OUT (undisclosed; Oct 9); TE N. Nelson QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).  UNLV — : WR D. Irvin Jr. QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 9); WR T. Lyons QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 4); WR K. McGee QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 26).  NDSU’s H. Nelson concern QB depth; the starting projection remains the QB named in the matchup above, subject to final availability.

Offense/defense (yards per game): North Dakota State: Offense — 171.0 rushing, 206.8 passing. Defense — 102.2 rushing allowed, 134.0 passing allowed. UNLV: Offense — 178.2 rushing, 214.4 passing. Defense — 134.4 rushing allowed, 249.8 passing allowed.

Key trends: ND State is: 1)9-1 Over last 10 road games. 2)6-2 ATS last 8 road games. 3)1-6 ATS last 7 after an ATS win. UNLV is: 1)6-1 Under last 7 overall.

 

 

 

Coastal Carolina at Marshall

7:00 ET • ESPN+ • Marshall -3.5 | Total 58.5

Coastal Carolina 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 0-1 SBC; Marshall 3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 0-1 SBC

QB matchup: Deuce Bailey (Coastal Carolina): 1,267 yards, 12 TD, 2 INT. Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Marshall): 1,004 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT; 209 rushing yards.  

Last game: Coastal Carolina lost 31-24 to Georgia Southern. Marshall lost to James Madison 45-17

Key injuries: Coastal Carolina — WR C. Hinton QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 4); WR K. Johnson QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 1). Marshall —: WR A. Norton QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Coastal Carolina: Offense — 131.8 rushing, 254.6 passing. Defense — 183.4 rushing allowed, 199.6 passing allowed. Marshall: Offense — 146.2 rushing, 240.6 passing. Defense — 185.6 rushing allowed, 289.6 passing allowed.

Key trends: CC is: 1)6-0 Over last 6 conference games. 2)5-0 ATS after a DD home loss. Marsh is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 in October. 2)1-6 ATS last 7 games overall. 3)9-3 ATS last 12 after a SU loss.

 

Georgia at Alabama

7:30 ET • ABC • Alabama -1.5 | Total 51.5

Georgia 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 5-0 O/U, 3-0 SEC; Alabama 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 5-0 O/U, 3-0 SEC.

QB matchup: Gunner Stockton (Georgia): 75.5%, 1,049 yards, 13 TD, 1 INT. Keelon Russell (Alabama): 1,414 yards, 11 TD, 2 INT. Russell threw for 285 yards and 3 TD against Mississippi State;

Last game: Georgia won 38-14 over Vanderbilt Commodores. Alabama won 56-23 over Mississippi State Bulldogs.

Key injuries: Georgia: RB Chauncey Bowens and WR Thomas Blackshear OUT; WR Isiah Canion QUESTIONABLE; S Tyriq Green, OL Marcus Harrison and OLB Amaris Williams OUT. RB Nate Frazier is absent from the report and available after a rib issue. Alabama TE Josh Ford QUESTIONABLE (broken arm); DB Jorden Edmonds QUESTIONABLE; DL Jeremiah Beaman, LBs Justin Hill/Cayden Jones, OLB Desmond Umeozulu and DB Nick Sherman OUT. RT Jayvin James is off the report/AVAILABLE

Offense/defense (yards per game): Georgia: Offense — 213.0 rushing, 265.8 passing. Defense — 57.4 rushing allowed, 187.2 passing allowed. Alabama: Offense — 186.4 rushing, 287.4 passing. Defense — 78.6 rushing allowed, 234.0 passing allowed.

Key trends: Geo is: 1)6-0 over last 6 overall. 2)5-0 Over last 5 after a SU win. 3)5-13 ATS last 18 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Bama is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 overall. 2)4-0 Over last 4 after a SU win. 3)4-0 ATS last 4 conference games. 4)2-5-1 ATS last 8 after an ATS win.

2025 matchup: Alabama won the regular-season meeting 24-21 at Georgia. Georgia then beat Alabama 28-7 in the SEC Championship Game.  

 

Syracuse at Virginia

7:30 ET • ACC Network • Virginia -9.5 | Total 50.5

Syracuse 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 ATS, 0-2 ACC; Virginia 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-1 ACC

QB matchup: Amari Odom (Syracuse): 398 passing yards, 6 TD, 2 INT after replacing Steve Angeli against UConn. Beau Pribula (Virginia): 67.8%, 961 yards, 12 TD, 1 INT. Odom’s mobility and Virginia’s ability to force long-yardage downs are key.

Last game: Syracuse won 42-41 over Connecticut Huskies. Virginia lost 7-38 to Florida State Seminoles.

Key injuries:  Syracuse QB Amari Odom newly QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed) on Thursday; Steve Angeli is the fallback if he cannot play. LB Antoine Deslauriers QUESTIONABLE; WR Darien Williams OUT. Virginia WR Dillon Newton-Short, S Jaylen Jones and DT Jason Hammond OUT. Virginia CB Omillio Agard now DOUBTFUL; K Tim Hamann and RB Jack Stevens OUT.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Syracuse: Offense — 166.5 rushing, 285.3 passing. Defense — 138.3 rushing allowed, 180.5 passing allowed. Virginia: Offense — 161.6 rushing, 237.2 passing. Defense — 149.6 rushing allowed, 140.8 passing allowed.

Key trends: Cuse is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 in October. 2)1-6 ATS last 7 conference games. UVA is: 1)5-0 Under last 5 in October. 2)9-0 Under last 9 conference games. 3)5-0 Under last 5 after an ATS loss. 4)4-0 ATS last 4 after a SU loss.

 

USC at Penn State

7:30 ET • NBC/Peacock • Penn State -1.5 | Total 54.5

USC 5-1 SU, 1-5 ATS, 4-2 O/U, 2-1 B10; Penn State 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-1 B10.

QB matchup: Jayden Maiava (USC): 1,744 yards, 15 TD, 3 INT. Rocco Becht (Penn State): 1,108 yards, 10 TD, 3 INT.

Last game: USC beat Washington 25-21. Penn State lost to the Northwestern Wildcats 34-13.

Key injuries: LB Taylor “Taybo” Johnson is OUT, joining WR Corey Simms, S Kendarius Reddick, LB Roman Marchetti and OL Kilian O’Connor. WRs Trent Mosley/Terrell Anderson, TE Mark Bowman, OL Hayden Treter and DTs Jahkeem Stewart/Jide Abasiri QUESTIONABLE. Mosley’s current official tag supersedes the older aggregate DOUBTFUL. Penn State K C. Rosa, WR K. Howard and DL M. Granville OUT; RB D. Sheffey and TE B. Kortovich QUESTIONABLE

Offense/defense (yards per game): USC: Offense — 156.2 rushing, 311.7 passing. Defense — 118.2 rushing allowed, 230.7 passing allowed. Penn State: Offense — 156.4 rushing, 243.6 passing. Defense — 173.2 rushing allowed, 119.6 passing allowed.

Key trends: USC is: 1)1-5 ATS this season. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 road games. PSU is: 1)13-3 Over last 16 conference games. 2)4-1 Over last 5 home games. 3)4-1 ATS last 5 home games.

 

Air Force at Northern Illinois

7:30 ET • CBSSN • Air Force -7.5 | Total 46.5

Air Force 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-1 MWC; Northern Illinois 0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-1 MWC

QB matchup: Evan Medders projects to replace Air Force’s Liam Szarka, who is out for the season with a lower-leg injury. Medders has limited starting experience. Taron Dickens (NIU): approximately 70.0%, 837 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT.

Last game: Air Force won 14-9 over Navy Midshipmen. Northern Illinois lost  to Georgia State Panthers 35-14.

Key injuries: CONFIRMED: Air Force QB Liam Szarka is OUT FOR THE SEASON (lower leg). Evan Medders projects to take over, changing the option offense’s quarterback component.

 Offense/defense (yards per game): Air Force: Offense — 297.3 rushing, 93.0 passing. Defense — 124.3 rushing allowed, 162.0 passing allowed. Northern Illinois: Offense — 79.3 rushing, 221.0 passing. Defense — 154.5 rushing allowed, 231.5 passing allowed.

Key trends: AF is: 1)4-1 ATS last 5 after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 2)5-0 Over last 5 as a road fave. NIU is: 1)8-1 Over last 9 conference games. 2)6-1-1 Over after a bye week. 3)1-7 ATS last 8 after scoring more than 20 points in their previous game.

 

 

James Madison at Georgia Southern

7:30 ET • ESPNU • James Madison -7.5 | Total 51.5

James Madison 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 2-0 SBC; Georgia Southern 2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-0 SBC

QB matchup: Camden Coleman (James Madison): 979 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT. Max Johnson (Georgia Southern): 1,229 yards, 8 TD, 1 INT.  

Last game: James Madison won 45-17 over Marshall Thundering Herd. Georgia Southern won 31-24 over Coastal Carolina Chanticleers.

Key injuries: JMU — QB J. Evans QUESTIONABLE (wrist; Oct 3); WR Z. Collins QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3). Georgia Southern —WR J. Ware QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 1); WR A. Hollins OUT (shoulder; Oct 1); WR J. Dallas QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Sep 30).

Offense/defense (yards per game): James Madison: Offense — 221.4 rushing, 233.4 passing. Defense — 98.0 rushing allowed, 225.4 passing allowed. Georgia Southern: Offense — 119.6 rushing, 262.4 passing. Defense — 122.0 rushing allowed, 193.4 passing allowed.

Key trends: JMU is: 1)6-0 ATS in its last six overall. 2)9-0 ATS after allowing 280+ passing yards. 3)4-1 Over last 5 after a SU win. 4)5-1 Over last 6 road games. 5)5-0 ATS last 5 after a SU win. 6)4-0 ATS last 4 road games. Ga South is: 1)4-1 Over last 5 in October. 2)5-1 Under last 6 after a SU win.

2025 matchup: JMU -15.5 over Georgia Southern 35-10.

 

 

Louisiana at Louisiana Tech

7:30 ET • ESPN+ • Louisiana Tech -2.5 | Total 47.5

Louisiana 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-0 SBC; Louisiana Tech 2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS, 4-0 O/U, 0-0 SBC

QB matchup: D’Wayne Winfield (Louisiana): 75.5%, 844 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT; 364 rushing yards and 7 TD. Blake Baker (Louisiana Tech): 360 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT, and announced as the starter after Trey Kukuk’s ankle injury. Kukuk remains questionable on the newer availability listing.

Last game: Louisiana won 23-20 over Arkansas State Red Wolves. Louisiana Tech won 31-29 over Army Black Knights.

Key injuries: Louisiana Tech QB Blake Baker is announced as the starter. QB Trey Kukuk is QUESTIONABLE (ankle) on the latest Oct. 8 . Louisiana WR J. Norris and RB D. Smith OUT (Oct. 8/7); Louisiana Tech WR D. Benedix OUT (Oct. 8), RB J. Miller QUESTIONABLE (Oct. 4).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Louisiana: Offense — 199.6 rushing, 179.2 passing. Defense — 91.4 rushing allowed, 175.8 passing allowed. Louisiana Tech: Offense — 152.8 rushing, 230.3 passing. Defense — 167.0 rushing allowed, 207.0 passing allowed.

Key trends: LA is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 as a dog. LT is: 1)4-0 Over last 4 overall. 2)1-4 ATS last 5 conference games. 3)4-0 Under last 4 conference games. 4)4-0 ATS last 4 overall. 5)9-2 ATS last 11 home games.

 

Minnesota at Purdue

8:00 ET • BTN • Minnesota -2.5 | Total 50.5

Minnesota 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 2-0 B10; Purdue 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-1 B10

QB matchup: Drake Lindsey (Minnesota): 66.9%, 1,087 yards, 8 TD, 4 INT. Ryan Browne (Purdue): 1,390 yards, 8 TD, 1 INT.

Last game: Minnesota won over Michigan 20-14. Purdue won 24-17 over Illinois Fighting Illini.

Key injuries: Minnesota — WR B. Stevens QUESTIONABLE (illness; Oct 3); RB Z. Bates QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); K B. Sunderland QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3); RB A. Turner QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 3).

Offense/defense (yards per game): Minnesota: Offense — 120.4 rushing, 234.2 passing. Defense — 94.0 rushing allowed, 159.8 passing allowed. Purdue: Offense — 99.2 rushing, 306.6 passing. Defense — 183.6 rushing allowed, 242.2 passing allowed.

Key trends: Minn is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 road games. 2)7-1 ATS last 8 overall. 3)4-0 ATS last 4 conference games. Pur is: 1)3-13 ATS last 17 after an ATS win. 2)2-10-1 ATS last 13 in October. 3)4-0 Over last 4 home games. 4)4-0 Under last 4 in October.

2025 matchup: Minnesota beat Purdue 27-20 in Minneapolis.

 

Kansas at Utah

10:15 ET • ESPN • Utah -15.5 | Total 50.5

Kansas 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 0-1 B12; Utah 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 1-0 B12

QB matchup: Isaiah Marshall (Kansas): 54.8%, 810 yards, 6 TD, 3 INT; 234 rushing yards. Devon Dampier (Utah): 70.3%, 896 yards, 9 TD, 1 INT; 2 rushing TD. Dampier’s passing efficiency is a substantial advantage.

Last game: Kansas won 55-0 over MTSU Blue Raiders. Utah won 31-17 over Iowa State Cyclones.

Key injuries: Kansas: QB C. Ballard — OUT (shoulder), QB J. Mason — OUT, RB K. Amachree — OUT for season, RB Y. Willis — OUT for season, RB J. Thurman — OUT for season; TEs C. Bruhn and J. Butler and WR T. Nagy are QUESTIONABLE. Utah: WR M. Carvalho — QUESTIONABLE.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Kansas: Offense — 254.0 rushing, 242.8 passing. Defense — 100.0 rushing allowed, 144.8 passing allowed. Utah: Offense — 225.8 rushing, 265.5 passing. Defense — 84.0 rushing allowed, 174.5 passing allowed.

Key trends: KU is: 1)0-4 ATS last 4 after allowing less than 20 pts in their previous game. 2)4-0 Under last 4 conference games. Utes are: 1)5-1 Over last 6 conference games. 2)4-0 ATS last 4 home games. 3)4-0 ATS last 4 after a SU win. 5)4-0-1 Over last 5 after a bye week.

2025 matchup: Utah beat Kansas 31-21 in Lawrence.

 

Hawaii at Arizona State

10:30 ET • FS1 • Arizona State -20.5 | Total 49.5

Hawaii 1-4 SU, 1-4 ATS, 1-4 O/U; Arizona State 2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U

QB matchup: Micah Alejado (Hawaii): 1,361 yards, 4 TD, 3 INT. Cutter Boley (Arizona State): 1,040 yards, 10 TD, 3 INT. Hawaii has moved the ball through the air more successfully than it has converted that yardage into touchdowns.

Last game: Hawaii lost 20-16 to San Jose State Spartans. Arizona State lost to Baylor 55-19.

Key injuries: Hawaii —: WR P. Ashlock OUT (undisclosed; Oct. 5); QB I. Jaramilla-Phe QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 5); WR C. Brown QUESTIONABLE (shoulder; Oct 5); WR T. Griffiths QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 5); TE A. Hickman QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 5); TE O. Salave’a QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 5); WR D. Heimuli QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 5). Arizona State —: CB L. Rawls OUT (leg; Oct 7); OG W. Helton OUT (leg; Sep 18); RB G. Rigdon QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 1); TE K. Anderson OUT (leg; Sep 21); WR H. Hassmann OUT (undisclosed; Sep 17). Hawaii’s I. Jaramilla-Phe concern QB depth;

Offense/defense (yards per game): Hawaii: Offense — 86.0 rushing, 274.8 passing. Defense — 158.2 rushing allowed, 226.4 passing allowed. Arizona State: Offense — 149.0 rushing, 272.8 passing. Defense — 154.3 rushing allowed, 201.0 passing allowed.  

Key trends: Haw is: 1)5-0 Under last 5 after a SU loss. 2)0-4 ATS last 4 road games. 3)6-0 ATS last 6 after an ATS loss. ASU is: 1)1-6 ATS last 7 vs. MWC. 2)10-1 Over last 11 after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game

 

Boise State at Fresno State

10:30 ET • The CW • Boise State -6.5 | Total 48.5

Boise State 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-0 Pac12; Fresno State 4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 1-0 Pac-12

QB matchup: Maddux Madsen (Boise State): 65.9%, 1,058 yards, 11 TD, 0 INT. Jayden Mandal (Fresno State): 66.4%, 1,034 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT.

Last game: Boise State won over Utah State Aggies 37-18. Fresno State beat the Washington State Cougars 26-6.

Offense/defense (yards per game): Boise State: Offense — 226.6 rushing, 211.6 passing. Defense — 114.4 rushing allowed, 258.2 passing allowed. Fresno State: Offense — 153.8 rushing, 213.4 passing. Defense — 143.4 rushing allowed, 215.4 passing allowed.

Key injuries: Boise State: WR C. Bates QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 1); RB S. Gaines QUESTIONABLE (upper body; Sep 27).  Fresno State: WR H. Duvall QUESTIONABLE (undisclosed; Oct 9); RB R. Luke QUESTIONABLE (concussion; Oct 5); RB B. Ramirez OUT.

Key trends: BST is: 1)1-6 ATS last 7 conference games. 2)2-8-1 ATS last 11 in October. 3)2-5-1 ATS last 8 after a SU win. Fresno is: 1)5-0 Under last 5 as a dog. 2)6-1 Under last 7 after an ATS win. 3)7-1 Under last 8 in October.

2025 matchup: Fresno State (+17.5) beat Boise State 30-7

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominatign since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs wins in the opening week of the postseason and is up again this week. Don’t miss another profitable postseason as “average” clients are projected to win at least $10,000.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 13 weeks. Has won 40+ units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey started last week! We crushed it at the end of last season. We’re up double digits this week after three days!
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: College Football Betting Previews for Friday


On Thursday, Week 5 of the NFL begins, but Week 6 of the College Football season has begun since Tuesday.  Let’s check out betting previews for: 

Friday, October 9

Florida State at Louisville

7:00 ET • ESPN • Louisville -3.5 | Total 59.5

Florida State 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-1 ACC; Louisville 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 4-1 O/U, 1-2 ACC

QB matchup: Ashton Daniels (FSU): 1,111 passing yards, 6 TD, 6 INT. Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville): 1,394 yards, 9 TD, 1 INT; Daniels’ rushing threat is a major part of FSU’s attack.

Last game: Florida State won 38-7 over Virginia Cavaliers. Louisville lost 28-31 to NC State Wolfpack.

Key injuries: Louisville QB Lincoln Kienholz is PROBABLE, upgraded from questionable. FSU DL Darryll Desir is QUESTIONABLE; RB Samuel Singleton Jr., WR Devin Carter and LB Blake Nichelson are OUT. Louisville RB Keyjuan Brown, DB TJ Banks and OL Cason Henry are QUESTIONABLE; OT Bryten Close, OL Sam Secrest and WR Montavin Quisenberry are OUT.

Offense/defense: FSU’s quarterback runs and downhill rushing attack test Louisville’s defensive fits; the Seminoles ran for 281 yards against Virginia. Louisville can answer through Kienholz against FSU’s vulnerable pass coverage. A clean pocket favors the Cardinals, while Daniels’ mobility can neutralize pressure and extend drives.

Key trends: FSU is: 1)5-0 Over last 5 on the road in series. 2)6-1 Under last 7 in October. 3)4-0 Under last 4 after a SU win. 4)0-4 ATS last 4 Friday games. 5)0-4 ATS last 4 after an ATS win. Ville is: 1)5-1 Over last 6 overall. 2)5-1 ATS last 6 after an ATS loss.

Iowa at Washington

9:00 ET • FOX/FS1• Washington -3.5 | Total 41.5

Iowa 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-1 B10; Washington 3-2 SU, 1-4 ATS, 2-3 OU, 0-2 B10

QB matchup: Hank Brown/Jeremy Hecklinski (Iowa) vs. Demond Williams Jr. (Washington). Brown: 832 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT, but questionable with a shoulder injury. Hecklinski was 5-of-5 for 67 yards in relief against Ohio State. Williams: 1,327 yards, 8 TD, 3 INT. Iowa’s starter must be confirmed before kickoff.

Key injuries: Iowa QB Hank Brown — QUESTIONABLE, shoulder; S Tyler Brown and DB Kyler Gerardy — OUT; DB Ty Hudkins — QUESTIONABLE.  

Washington CB Jeron Jones — DOUBTFUL, undisclosed. He has started three games, with 19 tackles and an interception. C Landen Hatchett — QUESTIONABLE, wrist. RBs Quaid Carr and Jayden Limar — OUT; S CJ Christian — OUT for the season, Achilles.

Last game: Iowa lost 31-14 to Ohio State Buckeyes. Washington lost 21-25 to USC Trojans.

Key injuries: NEW: Iowa QB Hank Brown is QUESTIONABLE (shoulder); Jeremy Hecklinski may start.   

Offense/defense: Iowa needs to reestablish its ground game after managing only 39 rushing yards against Ohio State. Washington’s passing attack tests Iowa’s zone coverage, but the Hawkeyes can keep this close by limiting explosives and winning field position. A backup start would increase the importance of protection and manageable third downs.

Key trends: IA is: 1)6-0-1 ATS last 7 road games. 2)5-1 Under last 6 conference games. 3)8-1 Over last 9 after an ATS loss. Wash is: 1)3-13 ATS last 16 after an ATS win. 2)5-1 Under last 6 in October. 3)0-4 ATS last 4 home games.

Washington State at Utah State

9:00 ET • The CW • Utah State -5.5 | Total 43.5

Washington State 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U, 0-1 Pac-12; Utah State 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 0-1 Pac-12.

QB matchup: Caden Pinnick (Washington State): 61.3%, 796 yards, 3 TD, 5 INT; 178 rushing yards. McCae Hillstead (Utah State): 764 yards, 6 TD, 6 INT; 232 rushing yards.

Last game: Washington State lost 6-26 to Fresno State Bulldogs. Utah State lost 18-37 to Boise State Broncos.

2025 matchup: Washington State beat Utah State 34-21 in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

Key injuries: Utah State QB McCae Hillstead is listed PROBABLE.

Offense/defense: Washington State produced only 182 yards against Fresno State, including 30 on the ground. Utah State’s quarterback runs offer a better way to create efficient early downs, but interceptions have repeatedly hurt the Aggies.

Key trends: WST is: 1)7-1 Under last 8 road games. 2)5-1 Over last 6 Friday games. 3)5-1 ATS last 6 after an ATS loss. UTS is: 1)9-2 ATS last 11 home games. 2 )3-0-1 ATS last 4 Friday games. 3)4-1 Under last 5 games overall.

Wyoming at San Jose State

9:00 ET • CBSSN • San Jose State -5.5 | Total 42.5

Wyoming 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-0 MWC; San Jose State 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 1-4 O/U, 1-0 MWC

QB matchup: Tyler Hughes (Wyoming): 58.9%, 708 yards, 2 TD, 6 INT; 184 rushing yards. Luke Weaver (San Jose State): 1,278 yards, 11 TD, 5 INT.  

Last game: Wyoming lost 0-28 to North Dakota State Bison. San Jose State won 20-16 over Hawaii Warriors.

Key injuires: Wyoming LB Ethan Stuhlsatz — QUESTIONABLE, ankle. Wyoming’s leading tackler has 39 tackles; CB Ian Bell — QUESTIONABLE, foot. WR Deion DeBlanc — OUT, toe.  

Offense/defense: Wyoming’s passing struggles allow San Jose State to crowd the line and force Hughes or his replacement to win outside. Weaver gives the Spartans the more productive passing option, but Wyoming can slow possessions if it avoids giveaways. SJSU’s own limited rushing production makes sustained pass protection important.

Key trends: Wyo is: 1)0-6 ATS last 6 road games. 2)5-2 ATS last 7 in October. 3)6-0 Under last 6 after a SU loss. 4)6-0 Under last 6 after a SU and ATS loss. SJST is: 1)4-0 Under last 4 games overall. 2)6-0 Under last 6 after an ATS loss. 3)11-4 ATS last 15 Friday games.

Iowa State at BYU

10:15 ET • ESPN • BYU -9.5 | Total 46.5

Iowa State 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U, 1-1 B12;  BYU 4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS, 2-2 O/U, 2-0 B12

QB matchup: Jaylen Raynor (Iowa State): 903 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT; 152 rushing yards and 3 rushing TD. Bear Bachmeier (BYU): 704 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT; 130 rushing yards and 4 rushing TD. Bachmeier has the cleaner turnover profile.

Last game: Iowa State won 45-42 over West Virginia Mountaineers. BYU won 17-10 over TCU Horned Frogs.

Key injuries: Iowa State RB E. Miller and TE L. Galer are questionable; WR C. Pabst is out for the season. Additional listings: Iowa State TEs C. Greenlaw and R. Barnes are QUESTIONABLE; CB J. Singletary and DL C. Crawford are OUT.  

Offense/defense: Iowa State’s 45-42 win exposed defensive vulnerabilities despite a productive offense. BYU can stress those fits with Bachmeier’s mobility and a balanced attack, while Iowa State needs Raynor to create chunk plays without turnovers. BYU’s 17-10 win over TCU also shows it can win a controlled, lower-possession game.

Key trends: IST is: 1)0-4-1 ATS last 5 games in October. 2)4-0 Under last 4 road games. 3)5-0 Under last 5 games after a DD loss at home. BYU is: 1)4-1 Under last 5 conference games. 2)5-0 ATS last 5 as a home fave. 3)5-0 Under last 5 after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is dominatign since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.
  • Baseball Playoffs wins in the opening week of the postseason and is up again this week. Don’t miss another profitable postseason as “average” clients are projected to win at least $10,000.
  • UFC has won 9 of the last 13 weeks. Has won 40+ units in that span. Discounts are available.
  • Hockey started last week! We crushed it at the end of last season. We’re up double digits this week after three days!
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: NFL and College Football Betting Preview for Thursday


On Thursday, Week 5 of the NFL begins, but Week 6 of the College Football season has begun since Tuesday.  Let’s check out betting previews for 

NFL

TAMPA BAY AT DALLAS — 8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video

Records: Tampa Bay 0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS; Dallas 2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS. Dallas games have gone 4-0 Over this season.  

Last game recap: Tampa Bay lost 17-14 to Green Bay in rookie Jalon Daniels’ first start. He produced two touchdown drives but threw two first-half interceptions, and protection problems contributed to the offense stalling on its late opportunity to win. Dallas beat Houston 34-30 behind Dak Prescott’s 32-of-45 passing for 335 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. CeeDee Lamb caught 17 passes for 189 yards and the winning touchdown; Javonte Williams scored three rushing touchdowns.  

QB matchup: Jalon Daniels vs. Dak Prescott. Daniels threw for 148 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions, adding 55 rushing yards, against Green Bay. Prescott enters with 1,065 passing yards, eight touchdowns and a 105.0 passer rating through four games. Dallas has the substantial advantage in experience and established passing production. Daniels’ mobility gives Tampa Bay a way to extend possessions when protection breaks down. 

Key injuries: Tampa Bay has ruled out QB Baker Mayfield (right thumb), S Antoine Winfield Jr. (rib), CB Benjamin Morrison (quad) and LB SirVocea Dennis (ankle/foot). Dallas has ruled out CB Cobie Durant, LB DeMarvion Overshown and OT Drew Shelton. G Tyler Smith and WR Jonathan Mingo are questionable. Lamb practiced fully Wednesday and has no game designation.  

2025 matchup: They did not meet in 2025. Their most recent meeting was Dallas’ 26-24 home win on December 22, 2024.  

Offense vs. defense: Dallas averages 30.5 points, but its defense ranks last in yards allowed per play and has struggled on third down. That creates an opportunity for Tampa Bay to improve offensively despite starting a rookie. Conversely, Winfield and Morrison’s absences make defending Lamb and George Pickens considerably more difficult. 

Prop Bets 

(from DraftKings)

First TD scorer

Javonte Williams  +370

Anytime TD Scorer

Jake Ferguson +205

Jalon Daniels +255

 

 

College Football 

SAM HOUSTON AT LIBERTY — 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU

Records: Sam Houston 1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS on the Covers ledger; Liberty 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS. 

Last game recap: Sam Houston lost 49-14 at Texas Tech on September 26 and has had an open week since. Landyn Locke completed 23 of 37 passes for 195 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Liberty won 30-14 at Delaware, building a 30-0 lead before allowing two late scores. Kam Davis rushed for 147 yards, while Deshawn Purdie went 13-of-20 for 157 yards without an interception.  

QB matchup: Landyn Locke vs. Deshawn Purdie. Adding Locke’s four game logs gives 1,168 passing yards, 11 touchdowns and three interceptions, with 96 completions in 145 attempts—66.2%. He exceeded 300 passing yards in each of his first three games. Purdie has seven touchdown passes and no interceptions; his recent performances have complemented Liberty’s increasingly productive running attack.  

Key injuries: Liberty’s published watch list includes RB J. Marshall (leg), RB C. Wood, TE B. Burklow and TE C. Ryan, all questionable.   

Offense vs. defense: Sam Houston’s Air Raid averages 308 passing yards per game, while Liberty’s spread-option attack averages 208.2 rushing yards. Sam Houston’s defense has improved to 335.5 yards allowed per game, substantially better than last season. Liberty has shut out opponents in seven of its last 12 quarters.  


MISSOURI STATE AT WESTERN KENTUCKY — 7 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network

Records: Missouri State 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, calculated from its four listed betting results because the matchup page’s summary incorrectly shows 0-0. Western Kentucky 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS.  

Last game recap: Missouri State lost 34-24 at SMU on September 26, covering a large underdog spread. The Bears were within 21-18 in the fourth quarter, and Joel Boamah contributed a 60-yard interception-return touchdown. Western Kentucky lost 34-13 at New Mexico State. A pick-six helped put WKU behind 20-6 at halftime; the Hilltoppers finished with 349 total yards, including 314 passing, but struggled to convert that passing production into points.  

QB matchup: Skyler Locklear vs. Rodney Tisdale Jr. Locklear has completed 70.2% of his passes, averages 8.32 yards per attempt and has a 4-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He was hurt during the SMU game but is expected to remain the starter. Tisdale threw for 309 yards and four touchdowns against Mercyhurst, then approximately 314–315 yards with no touchdown passes against New Mexico State. 

Key injuries: . Missouri State also has an older questionable listing for WR M. Cope, which does not confirm his current status. WKU’s October 2 listings flag WR K. Hutchinson, TE G. Reimer and RB A. Boyd as questionable with undisclosed injuries.  

2025 matchup: Western Kentucky won 27-22 at Missouri State on September 27. The listed line was WKU -4.5, making the five-point victory a narrow cover; the game stayed Under 59.5.  

Offense vs. defense: WKU’s run defense is allowing 6.22 yards per carry, the highest figure in the FBS in the cited preview. Missouri State can attack that weakness with Breezy Dubar, who averages 5.2 yards per carry, while using Locklear’s accurate passing to keep the defense balanced. On the other side, Tisdale has shown he can accumulate yards, but WKU’s latest game demonstrated problems with protection, rushing support and finishing drives. 


SOUTH FLORIDA AT UTSA — 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

Records: South Florida 4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS; UTSA 4-1 SU, 2-2 ATS on the cited ledger, which records four lined games.  

Last game recap: South Florida lost 17-13 at home to Temple. The decisive breakdown was allowing Temple to drive 96 yards in 10 plays for the winning fourth-quarter touchdown. Michael Van Buren Jr. completed 17 of 32 passes for 205 yards, without a touchdown or interception. UTSA survived Rice 16-14, scoring all its points before halftime. Owen McCown finished 19-of-29 for 148 yards, no touchdowns and one interception.  

QB matchup: Michael Van Buren Jr. vs. Owen McCown. Summing Van Buren’s five game logs gives 922 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions, completing 77 of 123 attempts—62.6%. McCown has 1,010 passing yards, seven touchdowns and two interceptions, completing 68.2%. McCown has the stronger touchdown production, while Van Buren has protected the ball but struggled to generate explosive offense.  

Key injuries: UTSA’s offensive line is the main concern. Ben Rios’ injury has disrupted left guard, and Jonah Miller is returning from injury at tackle. Local reporting describes continued uncertainty in the line rotation. South Florida has an older questionable listing for WR A. Branch, but I could not confirm an updated game designation. 

2025 matchup: South Florida won 55-23 in Tampa on November 6, covering -13.5; the game went Over 66.5. However, that Bulls offense was led by Byrum Brown, so last year’s result has limited value for evaluating the current quarterback matchup. 

Offense vs. defense: USF allows 14.6 points and 312.4 yards per game, but its offense has produced only 27 combined points over the last two games. UTSA’s rushing attack averages 173.8 yards and 5.1 yards per carry, providing an alternative when the passing game struggles. USF needs to stop that run game and force McCown into longer passing downs behind an unsettled line.  


SOUTH ALABAMA AT ARKANSAS STATE — 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2

Records: South Alabama 3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS; Arkansas State 2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS on Covers’ full-game ledger. Some other services exclude FCS betting results and display fewer ATS decisions.  

Last game recap: South Alabama beat ULM 52-35, producing 570 total yards: 321 passing and 249 rushing. Jared Hollins threw three touchdown passes, including scoring plays of 72 and 69 yards. Arkansas State lost 23-20 at Louisiana on a field goal as time expired. Trey Owens completed 20 of 31 passes for 206 yards and a touchdown; Chauncy Cobb caught eight passes for 65 yards, and Solomon Baggett rushed for 51 yards and a score.  

QB matchup: Jared Hollins vs. Trey Owens. Hollins’ three listed appearances total 779 passing yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. He is coming off his most explosive performance, completing 14 of 19 against ULM. Owens has 1,043 passing yards through five games and threw one touchdown without an interception in each of his last two outings.

Arkansas State lists RB Kenyon Clay questionable with an ankle injury and RB D. Spencer out for the season with a knee injury. South Alabama’s published list includes season-ending absences for WR K. Marion, WR B. Barnes and TE M. Lynch. WR D. White also has an out listing, but its note refers to the previous game and does not establish Thursday’s status.  

2025 matchup: Arkansas State won 15-14 in Mobile on October 14. The Red Wolves also won the previous Jonesboro meeting 18-16 in 2024, so the last two meetings were decided by a combined three points. 

Offense vs. defense: South Alabama’s balance is its principal strength. Its three featured backs have combined for 871 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns, and the Jaguars average nearly 34 minutes of possession. Arkansas State averages 24 points and 348.4 yards offensively, while allowing 23.4 points and 399.6 yards. South Alabama’s concern is coverage: ULM threw for 355 yards last week despite losing.  

*******************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats, picks, weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

  • ATS Football is set for a huge run! Is up again this week and is crushing since last Thursday. If you want to test the waters, call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.

  • Baseball Playoffs wins in the opening week of the postseason and is up again this week. Don’t miss another profitable postseason as “average” clients are projected to win at least $10,000.

  • UFC has won 9 of the last 13 weeks. Has won 40+ units in that span. Discounts are available.

  • Hockey started last week! We crushed it at the end of last season. We’re up double digits this week after three days!
    ____________________________________________________________

ATS: Betting approach for two months of daily football games


From October 1 through November 30, football fans will have something remarkable: 61 consecutive days with a football game on the schedule. That sounds like a bettor’s dream. It can also become a bettor’s nightmare.

When there is football every night, the temptation is to treat every game like an opportunity that must be played.

Tuesday night Conference USA, Wednesday MACtion, Thursday Night Football, Friday college football, a packed Saturday, the NFL on Sunday, Monday Night Football – and then start all over again. The advantage comes from being selective.

Our job is not to manufacture a selection because a game happens to be on television. Our job is to analyze the entire board and identify the situations where we believe the line is wrong. That distinction becomes even more important during a 61-day football marathon.

More Games Means Betting Wiser

Before ATS releases a selection, our handicapping team will evaluate: Power ratings; quarterback play; offensive and defensive matchups; key injuries and depth-chart changes; coaching and coordinator advantages; travel and scheduling situations; weather; historical ATS systems and trends; line movement; situational motivation; and matchup-specific analytics.

Protect the Bankroll for the Entire 61-Day Run

The goal is not to win everything on one Saturday. The goal is to still have a healthy bankroll when the calendar reaches Thanksgiving weekend. That means clients should avoid dramatically changing their wager size based on what happened the previous day. A bettor who loses Sunday afternoon should not suddenly make Monday Night Football three or four times larger trying to get even. Likewise, somebody who wins big Saturday should not start treating Tuesday night football like house money. ATS believes in a structured unit system.
Standard selections should receive standard wagering amounts. Larger wagers should be reserved for situations in which ATS has significantly greater confidence. That is also why Max Bets are intentionally rare. If everything were labeled a Max Bet, nothing would actually be a Max Bet. Those releases are designed for situations where several important handicapping factors align and our team believes there is an unusually strong discrepancy between our evaluation and the sportsbook number.

Midweek Football Requires a Different Handicap
Tuesday and Wednesday football is not simply Saturday football played on another night.

MAC, Conference USA and Sun Belt games frequently present very different circumstances: shortened preparation, unusual travel situations, smaller crowds, colder or windier late-season weather, less depth than major Power conference programs, quarterbacks or offensive linemen playing through injuries, and dramatically different levels of motivation. By late October and November, one team may be fighting for a conference championship or bowl eligibility while another may already know its postseason hopes are gone. ATS looks for those situational differences. The public may see two teams with similar records. Our job is to determine whether those records actually represent two teams in the same position. Very often, they do not.

Don’t Automatically Bet the Under in MACtion Midweek
Unders can certainly offer value, particularly when wind, cold weather, injuries or short preparation affect offenses. The correct question is: Has the sportsbook properly accounted for the circumstances? If two explosive offenses are facing depleted secondaries, the Over may still be the value. If a starting quarterback is missing, the offensive line is injured and 20-mph winds are expected, an Under could become attractive. We handicap the specific game, not the nickname attached to the night.

Injuries Become More Important as the Season Gets Longer

By October and November, virtually every football team is dealing with injuries. The challenge is determining which injuries actually matter. We study the replacement structure. If a quarterback is injured: Who is the backup? How much experience does he have? Does the offense need to change? Is the offensive line healthy? Are the starting receivers available? Can the team protect him with a strong running game? Does the opponent have a pass rush capable of exposing him? The same applies elsewhere. One injured cornerback may be manageable. Both starting corners missing against an elite passing attack could completely alter the matchup. A starting left tackle injury becomes much more significant against a dominant edge rusher. During a 61-day stretch, injury clusters can create some of the biggest discrepancies between ATS’ evaluation and the market.

The Advantage
During the 61-Day Football Marathon This stretch is exactly why professional handicapping can become particularly valuable. Instead of a client trying to evaluate dozens of teams, injuries, quarterback changes, weather forecasts, coaching situations, trends and line moves every single day, ATS’ handicapping team does that work continuously. That means more research, more discipline, better money management, fewer forced wagers, greater emphasis on the number, and bigger conviction only when the situation deserves it. For ATS clients, it means 61 days of potential opportunity – and the discipline to know when to play and when to pass. The games never stop. Neither does the research.

*****************************************************************************************

The “New” ATS Weekly Gaming Review is available for FREE. Vol. 7 is full of stats,weather, odds, trends, picks, power ratings, key injuries and more. Click here for your free copy.  

_________________________________________________________________

Upcoming and Current Events at ATS:

ATS Football is set for another huge season! Want to test the waters? Call or email us about our “big weekend” with discounted prices.

Baseball Playoffs won in the opening week of the postseason. Don’t miss another profitable postseason as “average” clients are projected to win at least $10,000.

UFC has won 9 of the last 13 weeks. Has won 40+ units in that span. Discounts are available.

Hockey starts this week! We crushed it at the end of last season. 
____________________________________________________________

Stop playing games with your money

Are you a recreational bettor or is making money your #1 priority?

Speak with an Advisor