Strategies for March Madness and your Bracket

Wagering Strategies for March Madness

There are few events in the world of sports that are as exciting as the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, which is held every year starting in mid-March. It consists of 68 of the best Division I men’s basketball teams in the nation (expanded to 68 teams starting in 2011) in a single-elimination tournament that crowns the winning team as the season’s National Champion.  

The most common way to wager on the tournament as a whole is to participate in a bracket pool that awards a set number of points for each correct pick. The person with the most points at the end wins. While these pools can range from wagering a couple of bucks in the local office pool to investing a small fortune in a high-stakes bracket pool, there are a couple of basic things to keep in mind when making your picks.

Keep things in Perspective

The first thing to do is pick the teams that you believe will win the game in each round. This sounds simple enough, but many people get so hung up trying to predict upsets that they forget to pick the winner. Upsets are what make this tournament great, but they are not as prevalent as you may think, and they can be extremely difficult to uncover.

The lowest seed to ever win it all was the 1985 Villanova Wildcats as a No. 8.  In most pools, the points awarded for each round increase as the tournament progresses, so the goal is to advance as many teams as possible to the next round.

Do not go the other extreme and advance every No. 1 and No.2 seed all the way into the Elite Eight. As a general rule, two of the top eight teams will be eliminated by the end of the first weekend of play. Try to uncover the best No. 4 and No. 3 seeds and work them into your final eight teams.  

Always take into consideration a team’s overall record when making your picks. Teams with just a few losses, no matter what conference they come out of, know how to win. They may get seeded a bit lower than they should because of their conference, but this is what makes them a very attractive upset pick. Advancing lower-seeded teams with a high win/low loss total makes the most sense in the first two rounds as this advantage tends to diminish once the field gets pared down to the Sweet 16.

Unless you are playing a bracket pool for the pure fun of it, do your homework before making your picks for the final few rounds, because this is when the points in most pools start to pile up. Once again, your ultimate goal is to advance as many winners as possible so avoid just following suit with the most popular picks. Be sure to closely analyze all the No. 1 seeds to see which one is likely to get tripped up, as well as the No. 4’s and 3’s to find which one is poised to make a run all the way to the championship game.

Plot Your Final Four Picks First:

While it’s fun to try and figure out which teams may pull upsets early on, you’re better off trying to work backwards in the bracket. Look at each region and figure out which teams you might see playing in the Elite Eight, before penciling in which team you see emerging victorious and winding up in the Final Four.  

Do Your Research:

Sure, anyone can sit down and randomly pick teams but if you plan on finishing in the money when it’s all said and done, you must familiarize yourself with the teams. Look and see how teams finished the regular season, as teams that floundered late likely won’t be around long. Home records mean nothing as there are no home games in the tournament. Look at the records for teams on the road and on neutral floors. Keep an eye out on strength of schedule (check sites like KenPom, WarrenNolan, and Net Rankings at NCAA.com) and see how teams fared against other good teams: after all, you’re not going to cut down the nets without beating quality opponents. Also, watch for clashes of style, tempo and systems: a team like Houston, which relies on defense and slowing the pace to a glacial mark, would be a rough matchup if paired against an offensive powerhouse. Research can make or break you and even a little knowledge can go a long way when it comes to the fine line between being a winner and an also-ran.

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Statistical Analysis of all 68 NCAA Tournament teams

The NCAA Tournament starts on Tuesday with the First Four. Here is a little primer with stats to help you get through the first couple of rounds.

March Madness Guide

(KenPom: ORTG: Adjusted Offensive Rating; DRTG: Adjusted Defensive Rating; ADJT: Adjusted Tempo; SOS: Strength of Schedule; NCSOS: Non-conference strength of schedule; TeamRankings.com=Effective Field Goal%). Odds: from DraftKings. Seeds are in parenthesis.

(12) Akron 29-5, 17-15 ATS, 17-1 MAC. KenPom: 64; ORTG: 54; DRTG: 113; ADJT: 32; SOS NET:236; NCSOS Rating: 267; Team Effective Field Goal%: 58.5% (8th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.6% (134th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +50000

(4) Alabama 23-9, 14-18 AST, 13-5 SEC; KenPom: 16; ORTG: 3; DRTG: 66; ADJT: 4; SOS NET: 9; NCSOS Rating: 9; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.4% (34th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.3% (77th);  NCAA Tournament Odds: +10000

(4) Arkansas 25-8, 21-12 ATS, 13-5 SEC; KenPom: 17; ORTG: 5 ; DRTG: 51; ADJT: 22; SOS NET: 12; NCSOS Rating: 80; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.4% (21st); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.4% (183rd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +6000

(1) Arizona: 31-2, 19-14 ATS, 16-2 B12, KenPom: 2, ORTG: 7th; DRTG: 3rd; ADJT: 54; SOS NET: 13th; NCSOS Rating: 99; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.1% (39th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 44.9% (3rd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +425

(6) BYU 23-11, 15-19 ATS, 9-9 B12; KenPom: 23; ORTG: 1-; DRTG:56; ADJT: 47; SOS NET: 14; NCSOS Rating: 73; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.7% (52nd); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.2% (73rd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +13000 

(13) Cal Baptist 25-8, 20-13 ATS, 13-5 WAC KenPom: 106; ORTG: 191; DRTG: 49; ADJT: 265; SOS NET: 204; NCSOS Rating:275; Team Effective Field Goal%: 48.6% (301st).    Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 46.4% (15th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(10) Central Florida (UCF) 21-11, KenPom: 54; ORTG: 40; DRTG: 101; ADJT: 78; SOS NET: 39; NCSOS RATING: 258. Team Effective Field Goal%: 52.8% (112th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 52.4% (236th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +40000

(8) Clemson 24-10, ORTG: 71; DRTG: 20, ADJT: 333; SOS NET: 65; NCSOS RATING: 167. Team Effective Field Goal%: 52.6% (118th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.9% (66th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +25000

(2) Connecticut (UConn) 29-4, 13-20 ATS,  17-3 BEast; KenPom: 9; ORTG: 26; DRTG: 11; ADJT: 322; SOS NET: 45th; NCSOS Rating: 38th; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.9% (26th);  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.4% (7th), NCAA Tournament Odds: +1700

(1) Duke: 31-2, 19-14 ATS, 17-1 ACC, KenPom: 1, ORTG: 4th, DRTG: 2nd: ADJT: 287, SOS NET: 18th; NCSOS: 18; Team Effective Field Goal%: 57.2% (13th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 46% (12th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +330

(1)Florida: 26-7, 18-15 ATS, 16-2 SEC, KenPom: 4, ORTG: 9th; DRTG: 6th; ADJT: 28th; SOS NET: 5th; NCSOS Rating: 29th; Team Effective Field Goal%: Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.8% (10th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +700

(15) Furman 22-12, 15-16 ATS, 10-8 Southern. KenPom: 190; ORTG: 200; DRTG: 182; ADJT: 263; SOS NET: 289; NCSOS Rating: 203; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.8% (46th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.1% (110th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(8) Georgia 22-10, 16-16 ATS, 10-8 SEC. KenPom: 32; ORTG: 88; DRTG: 88; ADJT: 16; SOS NET: 61; NCSOS Rating: 326; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.6% (55th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.1% (111th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +50000

(3) Gonzaga 30-3, 18-15 ATS, 16-2 WCC; KenPom: 11; ORTG: 30; DRTG: 9; ADJT: 112 ; SOS NET: 87; NCSOS Rating: 26; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.3% (22nd); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 46.2% (14th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +6500

(13) Hawaii 24-8, 13-17 ATS, 14-6 Big West. KenPom: 108; ORTG: 209; DRTG: 42; ADJT: 61; SOS NET:228; NCSOS Rating: 364; Team Effective Field Goal%: 52.0% (150th).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 46.4% (16th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +150000

(12) High Point 30-4, 15-16 ATS, 15-1 Big South. KenPom: 92; ORTG: 66; DRTG: 161; ADJT: 49; SOS NET: 342; NCSOS Rating: 355; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.7% (48th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.1% (106th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(13) Hofstra 24-10, 21-11 ATS, 12-6 CAA. KenPom: 88; ORTG: 89 ; DRTG: 95; ADJT:317; SOS NET:173; NCSOS Rating: 103 ; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.5% (177th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.9% (10th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(5) Houston 28-6, 16-18 ATS, 14-4 B12. KenPom: 5; ORTG: 14; DRTG: 5; ADJT: 352. SOS NET: 24; NCSOS Rating: 156. Team Effective Field Goal%: 52.1% (141st). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 46.6% (17th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +1000

(16) Howard: 23-10, 21-8 ATS, 11-3 MEAC. KenPom: 208; ORTG: 283; DRTG: 118; ADJT: 89; SOS NET: 215; NCSOS Rating: 214; Team Effective Field Goal%: 50.6% (141st).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%:  47.4% (29th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(2) Houston 28-5, 16-17 ATS, 14-4 B12, KenPom: 5th, ORTG: 16th; DRTG: 4th; ADJT: 352; SOS NET: 28th; NCSOS Rating: 28th; Team Effective Field Goal%: 52.2% (141st); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 46.4% (16th) , NCAA Tournament Odds: +1000


(15) Idaho 21-14, 16-16 ATS, 9-9 Big Sky.  KenPom: 145 ; ORTG: 176 ; DRTG: 136; ADJT: 145; SOS NET: 195; NCSOS Rating: 161; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.9% (152nd).   Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.3% (124th). NCAA Tournament Odds: N/A

(3) Illinois 24-8, 17-15 ATS, 15-5 B10, KenPom: 7;  ORTG: 1st; DRTG: 28th; ADJT: 306; SOS NET: 31st; NCSOS Rating: 91st; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.1% (41st); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.5% (84th), NCAA Tournament Odds: +1900

(15) Iowa 21-12, 18-15 ATS, 10-10 B10; KenPom: 25 ; ORTG: 31; DRTG: 31; ADJT:357 ; SOS NET: 46; NCSOS Rating: 336; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.6% (17th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 52.7% (252nd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +20000

(2) Iowa State 27-7, 21-13 ATS, 12-6 B12; KenPom: 21st; ORTG: 5th; DRTG: 5th; ADJT: 226; SOS NET: 31st ; NCSOS Rating: 280th; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.5% (19th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.5% (84th), NCAA Tournament Odds: +2200

(4) Kansas 23-10, 12-6 B12, 20-13 ATS; KenPom: 21; ORTG: 57; DRTG: 10; ADJT: 164; SOS NET: 1; NCSOS Rating: 14; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.6% (172nd); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.2% (4th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +5000

(14) Kennesaw State 21-13, 16-16 ATS, 10-10 C-USA.  KenPom: 163; ORTG: 144; DRTG: 194; ADJT: 19; SOS NET:217; NCSOS Rating: 304; Team Effective Field Goal%: 50.7% (204th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.5% (49th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(7) Kentucky 21-13, 17-17 ATS, 10-8 SEC;  KenPom: 28; ORTG: 39; DRTG: 27; ADJT: 124; SOS NET:6; NCSOS Rating: 142; Team Effective Field Goal%: 53.1% (102nd); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.8% (57th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +10000

(16) Lehigh 18-16, 19-13 ATS, 11-7 Patriot League. KenPom: 284; ORTG: 290; DRTG: 257; ADJT:205; SOS NET: 330; NCSOS Rating: 196; Team Effective Field Goal%: 53.3% (93rd). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.6% (134th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(16) Long Island 24-10, 17-17 ATS, 15-3 NEC. KenPom: 216; ORTG: 239; DRTG: 186; ADJT:155; SOS NET: 350; NCSOS Rating: 119; Team Effective Field Goal%: 53.3% (92nd).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.8% (92nd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(6) Louisville 23-10, 15-18 ATS, 11-7 ACC; KenPom: 18; ORTG: 20; DRTG: 26; ADJT: 63; SOS NET: 30; NCSOS Rating: 117; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.4% (20th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.8% (55th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +12000

(12) McNeese 28-5, 14-17 ATS, 19-3 Southland;  KenPom: 68; ORTG: 91; DRTG: 47; ADJT:247; SOS NET:201; NCSOS Rating: 22; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51% (196th).   Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.9% (67th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +150000

(7) Miami-Fla 25-8, 18-15 ATS, 13-5 ACC. KenPom: 31; ORTG: 33; DRTG: 38; ADJT: 168; SOS NET: 77; NCSOS Rating: 76; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.6% (30th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.7% (198th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +25000

(11) Miami-Ohio 31-1, 19-10 ATS, 18-0 MAC. Ken Pom: 93; ORTG: 70; DRTG:156; ADJT: 44; SOS NET:269; NCSOS Rating: 361. Team Effective Field Goal%: 59.2% (6th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.8% (147th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +100000

(1) Michigan: 31-3, 15-19 ATS, 19-1 B10, KenPom: 3, ORTG: 8th; DRTG: 1st; ADJT: 21, SOS NET: 4; NCSOS: 10; Team Effective Field Goal%: 58.5% (9th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 44.2% (1st); NCAA Tournament Odds: +350

(3) Michigan State 25-7, 17-15 ATS, 15-5 B10; KenPom: 10; ORTG: 24; DRTG: 13; ADJT: 252; SOS NET: 21; NCSOS Rating: 94; Team Effective Field Goal%: 53.6% (83rd), Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.6% (51st); NCAA Tournament Odds: +4000

(10) Missouri 20-12, 14-18 ATS, 10-8 SEC. KenPom: 52. ORTG: 50; DRTG: 78; ADJT: 244. SOS NET: 44; NCSOS Rating: 344. Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.4% (32nd). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.4% (184th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +50000

(4) Nebraska 26-6, 17-15 ATS, 15-5 B10; KenPom: 14 ; ORTG: 55; DRTG: 7; ADJT: 98; SOS NET: 41; NCSOS Rating: 319; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.4% (31st); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 47.8% (38th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +10000

(6) North Carolina 24-8, 19-13 ATS, 12-6 ACC;  KenPom: 29 ; ORTG: 32; DRTG: 37; ADJT:143; SOS NET:45; NCSOS Rating:141; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.6% (57th).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.2% (44th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +11000

(11) NC State 20-13, 15-18 ATS, 10-8 ACC; KenPom: 34; ORTG: 20; DRTG: 86; ADJT: 86; SOS NET: 37; NCSOS Rating: 85. Team Effective Field Goal%: 52.8% (112th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 53.1% (271st). NCAA Tournament Odds: +30000

(14) North Dakota State 27-7, 18-13 ATS, 14-2 Summit. KenPom: 113; ORTG:124; DRTG: 124; ADJT: 237; SOS NET: 282; NCSOS Rating: 213; Team Effective Field Goal%:  53.4% (86th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.5% (190th). NCAA Tournament Odds:+200000

(12) Northern Iowa 23-12, 19-15 ATS, 11-9 MVC. KenPom: 71; ORTG: 153; DRTG: 24; ADJT: 178; SOS NET 125; NCSOS Rating: 206; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.2% (66th).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 47.2% (23rd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +150000

(8) Ohio State 21-12, 18-15 ATS, 12-8 B10; KenPom: 26 ; ORTG: 17; DRTG: 52; ADJT: 251; SOS NET:22; NCSOS Rating: 236; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.5% (18th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.3% (122); NCAA Tournament Odds: +25000

(14) Penn 18-11, 19-9 ATS, 11-3 IVY. KenPom: 150; ORTG:204; DRTG: 111; ADJT: 89; SOS NET:166; NCSOS Rating: 171; Team Effective Field Goal%: 50.3% (225th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.7% (197th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +100000

(16) Prairie View A&M 18-17, 21-10 ATS, 9-9 SWAC. KenPom: 288; ORTG: 310; DRTG: 231; ADJT: 23; SOS NET:348; NCSOS Rating: 23; Team Effective Field Goal%: 47.9% (315th).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.4% (126th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(2) Purdue 27-8, 15-20 ATS, 13-7 B10 KenPom: 8; ORTG: 2nd ; DRTG: 36; ADJT: 323; SOS NET: 8th; NCSOS Rating: 51; Team Effective Field Goal%: 57.7% (11th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 52.4% (233rd), NCAA Tournament Odds: +4000

(15) Queens 21-13, 15-17 ATS, 13-5 A-Sun. KenPom: 181 ; ORTG: 77; DRTG: 322; ADJT: 65; SOS NET: 276; NCSOS Rating: 59; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.6% (16th).   Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 54% (302nd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(5) St. John’s 27-6, 18-15 ATS, 18-2 BEast; KenPom: 20 ; ORTG: 46; DRTG: 15; ADJT: 61; SOS NET: 52; NCSOS Rating:44; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51%(196th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 47.7% (35th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +7000

(9) Saint Louis: 28-5, 17-15 ATS, 15-3 A-10. KenPom: 41; ORTG:51 ; DRTG: 41; ADJT: 22; SOS NET: 129; NCSOS Rating: 316; Team Effective Field Goal%: 59.7% (3rd). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 44.8% (2nd). NCAA Tournament Odds:

(7) Saint Mary’s 27-5, 20-11 ATS, 16-2 WCC; KenPom: 24; ORTG: 43; DRTG: 19; ADJT: 297; SOS NET: 297; NCSOS Rating: 89; Team Effective Field Goal%:  52.9% (109th); Opponent Effective Field Goal% 46.7% (18th);  NCAA Tournament Odds: +25000

(10) Santa Clara 26-8, 18-15 ATS, 15-3 WCC. KenPom: 35; ORTG: 23; DRTG:82; ADJT: 82; SOS NET: 85; NCSOS Rating: 89; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.6% (53rd). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.8% (202nd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +40000

(16) Siena 23-11, 20-14 ATS, 13-7 MAAC. KenPom: 192; ORTG: 208; DRTG: 175; ADJT: 319; SOS NET: 347; NCSOS Rating: 343; Team Effective Field Goal%: 50.6% (214th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.6% (53rd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(11) SMU 20-13, 15-18 ATS, 8-10 ACC. KenPom: 42; ORTG: 26; DRTG: 91; ADJT: 115; SOS NET:347; NCSOS Rating: 343; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.7% (27th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.4% (183rd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +50000

(11) South Florida 25-8, KenPom: 47; ORTG: 61; DRTG: 40; ADJT: 51; SOS NET:104; NCSOS Rating: 73; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.2% (188th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.7% (54th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +60000

(9) TCU 22-11, KenPom: 43; ORTG: 81; DRTG: 22; ADJT: 159; SOS NET: 53; NCSOS Rating: 333. Team Effective Field Goal%: 50.9% (201st).  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51% (163rd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +40000

(6) Tennessee 22-11, 14-19 ATS, 11-7 SEC;  KenPom: 15 ; ORTG: 35; DRTG: 14; ADJT: 307; SOS NET: 9; NCSOS Rating: 4; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.6% (173rd),  Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 47.7% (36th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +9000

(15) Tennessee State 23-9, 18-11 ATS, 15-5 OVC. KenPom: 187; ORTG: 173; DRTG: 212; ADJT: 36; SOS NET: 326; NCSOS Rating: 61; Team Effective Field Goal%: 50.1% (232nd). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.2% (176th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

(11) Texas 18-14, 16-15 ATS, 9-9 SEC;  KenPom: 19; ORTG: 13; DRTG: 112; ADJT: 206; SOS NET:20; NCSOS Rating: 321; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.2% (62nd); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.2% (171st); NCAA Tournament Odds: +40000

(10) Texas A&M 21-11, 18-14 ATS, 11-7 SEC; KenPom: 39; ORTG: 49; DRTG: 41; ADJT: 29; SOS NET: 52; NCSOS Rating:317; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.2% (64th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.8% (143rd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +20000

(5) Texas Tech 22-10, 17-15 ATS, 12-6 B12; KenPom: 19; ORTG: 12; DRTG: 33; ADJT: 244; SOS NET:7; NCSOS Rating:36; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.2% (23rd); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.4% (82nd); NCAA Tournament Odds: +11000

(13) Troy 22-11 KenPom: 143; ORTG: 141; DRTG: 166; ADJT: 309; SOS NET: 226; NCSOS Rating: 84; Team Effective Field Goal%: 51.9% (152th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.1% (108th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +150000

(7) UCLA 23-11, 17-17 ATS, 13-7 B10;  KenPom: 27 ; ORTG: 22; DRTG: 53; ADJT: 318; SOS NET: 33; NCSOS Rating: 248; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54% (70th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 50.3% (121st). NCAA Tournament Odds: +13000

(16) UMBC 24-8, 19-11 ATS, 14-2 AEast; KenPom: 185 ; ORTG: 184; DRTG: 193; ADJT: 243; SOS NET: 365; NCSOS Rating: 334; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54% (71st). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.2% (76th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +150000)

(9) Utah State 28-6, 15-18 ATS, 15-5 MWC; KenPom: 30; ORTG: 28; DRTG: 43; ADJT: 143; SOS NET: 81; NCSOS Rating:127; Team Effective Field Goal%: 56.8% (15th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 49.7% (89th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +2500

(5) Vanderbilt 26-7, 18-14 ATS, 11-7 SEC  KenPom: 12; ORTG: 6 ; DRTG: 29; ADJT: 92; SOS NET: 15; NCSOS Rating: 149; Team Effective Field Goal%: 55.4% (35th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.2% (45th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +6000

(11) VCU 26-7, 16-17 ATS, 15-3 A-10. KenPom: 31; ORTG: 46; DRTG: 63; ADJT: 110; SOS NET: 102; NCSOS Rating: 222; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.6% (63rd). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 48.8% (62nd). NCAA Tournament Odds: +40000

(8) Villanova 24-8, 19-13 ATS, 15-5 BEast.  KenPom: 33; ORTG: 41; DRTG: 35; ADJT: 296; SOS NET: 67; NCSOS Rating: 108. Team Effective Field Goal%: 53.7% (76th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.3% (177th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +25000

(3) Virginia 29-4; 17-16 ATS, 15-3 ACC; KenPom: 13; ORTG: 28; DRTG: 16; ADJT: 269; SOS NET: 30; NCSOS Rating: 274; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.7% (49th), Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 45.3% (45th); NCAA Tournament Odds: +8000

(5) Wisconsin 24-10, 20-14 ATS, 14-6 B10; KenPom: 22; ORTG: 11; DRTG: 50 ; ADJT: 104; SOS NET: 17; NCSOS Rating: 73; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.6% (56th); Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 51.4% (182nd);  NCAA Tournament Odds: +7000

(14) Wright State 23-11, 20-12 ATS, 15-5 Horizon. KenPom: 140; ORTG: 117; DRTG: 193; ADJT:191; SOS NET: 249; NCSOS Rating156; Team Effective Field Goal%: 54.4% (59th). Opponent Effective Field Goal%: 52.1% (219th). NCAA Tournament Odds: +200000

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for research at this time of year, ATS is here to help with this tournament season and March Madness for just $99. Or get Baseball for the entire season and get the March Madness Package for Free.

ATS Basketball (won *four straight weeks) is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $10,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. Press the Contact us button below for more information.     ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 26. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play (has won 2 straight weeks) and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

After solid weekend of winners from Las Vegas, highlighted by Kevin Vallejos -105 over Josh Emmett (KO/TKO/DQ) and Ion Cutelaba +225 over Oumar Sy. If you’re interested, contact us for more info.

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer one play today as part of our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss this easy winner and check out why we like the pick below. 

 

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our opponent is tanking for a high draft pick and is not playing most of their key players due to “injuries”

*Our side is getting some key players back from injury.

*Our opponent will not play any key players in the fourth quarter to ensure a loss.

*Our side is fighting for playoff position.

Second Game

How will the results of the College Basketball Tournaments Impact March Madness?

When you’re getting ready to pick games (ATS) for March Madness, remember a few things in the last three days of the Conference Tournaments. 

 

1)A team can enter the tournament having won three or four straight games, capturing its conference titles. Does that automatically mean they are the team to bet on? Teams that play on Sunday’s championship games have to fly back later that night. They don’t know their opponent until late Sunday night and they have a day or two to practice.  The fresher teams are the ones that lost earlier in their conference tournaments. They may not have the momentum, but they can rest injured players, and a few days off can help as they prepare for March Madness.

 

2)The top seeds usually get benefits. That means easier early-round opponents and tournament locations that are closer to home. There is a better path to the Final Four so getting a No. 1 or 2 seed is extremely important.

 

3)Teams that lose in the conference title game can be undervalued. Power 5 teams are 46-34-2 ATS in the first round after losing the conference title game. Fading conference tournament winners in the first round due to mental and physical fatigue is not a bad idea.

 

4)Teams that were on the bubble and had deep conference tournament runs are usually figuring things out. They can be very dangerous 9-12 seeds as they have a lot of momentum and confidence heading to the Big Dance.

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research at this time of the year, ATS is here to help this tournament season and for March Madness. We’re coming off a huge Wednesday and Thursday, going 4-1 in our last 5 picks. Our Basketball clients who play $250/units, are up $2,500 this week.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $10,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. Press the Contact us button below for more information.     ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 26. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play (up again this week) and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

After going 2-1 last Saturday on UFC 326, which was highlighted by Charles Oliveira (+165) over Max Holloway. There’s another big card this weekend from Las Vegas. ATS has some great-priced winners! If you’re interested, contact us for more info.

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer two plays today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss these easy winners and check out why we like the pick below. 

 

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our side has a big rebounding advantage

*Our opponent has played one more game in the tournament format.

*Our side is motivated to move up in the NCAA Tournament seeding process.

*Our side dominated our opponent in their only meeting.

Second Game

*Our side is playing their best basketball of the season

*Our opponent doesn’t have a lot of motivation when it comes to the tournament. They are pretty much locked into their side.

*Our side is the underdog and they’ve been great at covering.

*Our side has the size to counter the opponent’s big men.

Best Strategies for Betting on the College Basketball Tournaments

College basketball tournaments continue today and you have your mix of Power 5 teams playing along with some mid-majors.

What is the best strategy this late in the season? Some people will say bet on the teams that have double-byes, because they are playing teams that have played two or three straight games in three nights. That’s not a bad idea, but it doesn’t always work if teams have good depth or they’re relying on motivation. 

You also have great teams like Duke, who are dealing with major injuries and don’t have a lot of motivation to advance. What really matters at this stage is defense and rebounding. Teams that are tired will struggle to shoot the ball, but if they can rebound and defend, that can keep them in these games as a dog. Team Rankings is a good site to find out about metrics for both stats. KenPom is another site that focuses on Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. 

There are some teams that are still on the bubble in these bigger conferences and they desperately need wins, so they are treating these games as elimination games. Nobody wants to play in the NIT. 

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help this tournament season and for March Madness. At ATS BAS, our Financial Package has won three in a row weeks in a row heading into March Madness! Our Financial Package clients who play $250/units, won $4,500 in that span.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $10,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. Press the Contact us button below for more information.     ___________________________________________________________________________________  

2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 26. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today. _____________________________________________________________________

After going 2-1 last Saturday on UFC 326, which was highlighted by Charles Oliveira (+165) over Max Holloway. There’s another big card this weekend from Las Vegas. ATS has some great-priced winners! If you’re interested, contact us for more info.

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer two plays today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss these easy winners and check out why we like the pick below. 

 

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our opponent is playing its worst basketball of the season

*Our side still has a shot at the NCAA Tournament, even if it’s a long shot.

*Our side has one of the top scorers in the conference.

*Our opponent has little to play for in terms of the NCAA’s, where they are locked in.

Second Game

*Our opponent has a key player out with an injury.

*Our side has revenge on their minds.

*Our side is a very good three-point shooting team.

*Our opponent is already in the NCAA Tournament so the motivation is just winning the whole thing.

Best Bets in the Power Five College Basketball Tournaments

This is the final week of the college basketball tournaments before March Madness officially begins next week.

When betting these games, remember to review the NET Rankings alongside all the Bracketology reports. That doesn’t guarantee a winner by betting on teams that are on the bubble, because linesmakers also know which teams are motivated. What they don’t know about is which teams are slumping in terms of confidence, which ones have too many selfish players thinking about their next portal stop, and which ones have a lack of chemistry.

Let’s take a look at the latest odds for the Power Five teams to win the conference tournaments and best bets.

ACC

Favorite (DraftKings)

Duke -330

So many teams have injury issues, including Duke who will be playing without point guard Caleb Foster and center Patrick Ngonbba II.

Best Bet: Virginia +650

The Cavs have won two straight and 11 of 13 games. They just seem to do enough right things to win. They also have one of the best defenses in the nation.

Big 12

Favorite: Arizona +105

Best Bet: Iowa State +700

This is a great conference and this is one of the best teams. Iowa State brings a strong defense and a very good 3-point shooting team (14th). 

Big East 

Favorite: UConn +100

Best Bet: St. John’s +185

Take Rick Pitino in a conference tournament. He’s won 15 over the years, including the ones that were vacated. They’ve won three straight and the last time they faced UConn, they were embarrassed 72-40. You know that’s in the back of his mind if they meet up again.

Big 10 

Favorite: Michigan -135

Best Bet: Michigan State +600

The Spartans have revenge on their minuds after losing at Michigan in the finale. Before that, they won five straight games, and that’s not unusual for a Tom Izzo team to peak at the right time.

SEC

Favorite: Florida -170

Best Bet: Florida

There is nobody remotely close to Florida right now in the SEC. Arkansas is the second favorite at +600 and it appears that star guard Darius Acuff will play. If you’re willing to go against Florida, take the chance.

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help this tournament season and for March Madness. At ATS BAS, our Financial Package has won three in a row weeks in a row heading into March Madness! Our Financial Package clients who play $250/units, won $4,500 in that span.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $10,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. This weekend, we’re getting ready for the Max Bet College Basketball Conference Tournament Game on (TODYAY) Wednesday, March 11. Check out our 5-Day Conference Tournament Bash for $99 and get the Max Bet Game included. Press the Contact us button below for more information.     ___________________________________________________________________________________  

The ATS Max Bet Conference Tournament game goes TONIGHT, March 11 and is included in the 5-Day Tournament Bash for $99. Or add $50 and get our March Madness Hoops Financial Package Program for $149. That’s 2-3 “rated” picks daily, now through the Championship Game on April 6th.
______________________________________________________

  • 2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 26. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.
  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today!

After going 2-1 last Saturday on UFC 326, which was highlighted by Charles Oliveira (+165) over Max Holloway. There’s another big card this weekend from Las Vegas. ATS has some great-priced winners! If you’re interested, contact us for more info.

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer one play today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss this easy winner and check out why we like the pick below. 

 

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our opponent has lost four straight

*Our side is playing for their coach

*Our side gets back a key injured player

*Our opponent lost to our side at home in the first meeting.

Second Game

*Our side has covered in 3 of the last 4 games.

*Our opponent is expected to be without their best post player.

*Our opponent is awful against the three-point shot

*Our side has one of the best three-point shooters in the conference.

Which current Bubble Teams impact betting in college basketball?

 As we finish the college basketball tournaments this week, there are still high-major teams on the bubble, trying to win one or more games to get off it.

Last week, we covered those squads, and unfortunately, most of them lost and didn’t cover. Either way, it’s still important to know which teams are barely in the NCAA Tournament by most predictions or are barely out because motivation is a factor. But in the new NIL/Revenue Sharing era, what can’t be quantified is how many of those players are more concerned about the bottom line ($$$).

Let’s take a look at each high-major conference and which teams are on the bubble or who might barely be in the tournament, but can’t afford to lose a game in the tournament. A loss might put some of these teams out of the Big Dance or place in the First Four. You can get on them, against them, or pass, but remember that each of these teams should be motivated to play their best basketball of the season.

ACC:

NC State (35 NET), SMU (39 NET), Stanford (59 NET), Virginia Tech (55 NET).

Big 10:

UCLA (34 NET), Indiana (37 NET).

Big 12:

TCU (41 NET), UCF (51 NET), Cincinnati (46 NET)

MAC:

Miami-Ohio (53 NET)

SEC:

Texas (42 NET), Auburn (40 NET), Oklahoma (54 NET).

WCC:
Santa Clara (38 NET).

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help this tournament season and for March Madness. At ATS BAS, our Financial Package has won three in a row weeks in a row heading into March Madness! Our Financial Package clients who play $250/units, won $4,500 in that span.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $10,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. This weekend, we’re getting ready for the Max Bet College Basketball Conference Tournament Game on Wednesday, March 11. Check out our 5-Day Conference Tournament Bash for $99 and get the Max Bet Game included. Press the Contact us button below for more information.     ___________________________________________________________________________________  

The ATS Max Bet Conference Tournament game goes this Wednesday, March 11 and is included in the 5-Day Tournament Bash for $99. Or add $50 and get our March Madness Hoops Financial Package Program for $149. That’s 2-3 “rated” picks daily, now through the Championship Game on April 6th.
______________________________________________________

  • 2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 26. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.
  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today!

After going 2-1 last Saturday on UFC 326, which was highlighted by Charles Oliveira (+165) over Max Holloway. There’s another big card this weekend from Las Vegas. ATS has some great-priced winners! If you’re interested, contact us for more info.

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer one play today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss this easy winner and check out why we like the pick below. 

 

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our opponent has lost four straight

*Our side is playing for their coach

*Our side gets back a key injured player

*Our opponent lost to our side at home in the first meeting.

Second Game

*Our side has covered in 3 of the last 4 games.

*Our opponent is expected to be without their best post player.

*Our opponent is awful against the three-point shot

*Our side has one of the best three-point shooters in the conference.

Who will win the NFL offseason?

NFL free agency

The NFL season ended with the Super Bowl on Feb. 8 with Seattle defeating New England 29-13.

The real season starts this week with NFL free agency. But on Friday, Baltimore kicked it off with a huge trade as they dealt away two first-round picks to Las Vegas for DE Maxx Crosby.  Despite that move, the Ravens (+950) are tied for third as the Super Bowl favorite behind Seattle and the LA Rams on DraftKings. Crosby helps out a pass rush that finished fifth-worst at 29.9% in pass rush win rate and recorded just 30 sacks (tied for third fewest). He’s produced 10+ sacks in three of his last four seasons and is the top player in terms of pressure.

But there are still good pass rushers available and because the quarterback market is down, they will get the most lucrative contracts. Trey Henderickson is the top target coming off an injury-prone season. DE Jaelan Phillips (5 sacks) just agreed to a four-year deal with Carolina, which gives them a very strong DL room, which includes Derrick Brown and Tershawn Wharton.

The Jets also reportedly agreed with former Bengals DE Joseph Ossai (5 sacks) and DE Kingsley Enagbare (2 sacks).

So, the dominoes continue to fall as Super Bowl MVP RB Kenneth Walker III heads to Kansas City, TE Isaiah Likely heads to play for former coach John Harbaugh with the NY Giants, and Pittsburgh adds WR Michael Pittman Jr. from the Colts.

Check out more of these NFL free agent moves as they happen and keep up with all 32 teams to give you an edge before the season starts in September.

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help. At ATS BAS, our Financial Package came through with another winning week to make it three in a row! Our Financial Package clients who played $250/unit won $4,500 in that span.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $10,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. This weekend, we’re getting ready for theMax Bet College Basketball Conference Tournament Game on Wednesday, March 11. Check out our 5-Day Conference Tournament Bash for $99 and get the Max Bet Game included. Press the Contact us button below for more information.     ___________________________________________________________________________________  

The ATS Max Bet Conference Tournament game goes this Wednesday, March 11 and is included in the 5-Day Tournament Bash for $99. Or add $50 and get our March Madness Hoops Financial Package Program for $149. That’s 2-3 “rated” picks daily, now through the Championship Game on April 6th.
______________________________________________________

  • 2026 Baseball is just around the corner, as Exhibition play is rolling. The season starts on March 26. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

     

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today!

After going 2-1 last Saturday on UFC 326, which was highlighted by Charles Oliveira (+165) over Max Holloway. There’s another big card this weekend from Las Vegas. ATS has some great-priced winners! If you’re interested, contact us for more info.

If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer one play today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss this easy winner and check out why we like the pick below. 

Click below to find out more!

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*One team has gone under in seven of nine games.

*Both teams are bottom 10 in pace.

*Both teams are elite defensively.

*One team played the night before.

Second Game

Who are the remaining Bubble teams to Bet on in College Basketball?

Betting on college basketball at this time of the year can be great if you have the information, or it can be hazardous to your bankroll.

Knowing who is on the bubble and who is not is key to betting. Here are some teams you should either bet on or at least avoid betting against today and through next Sunday. Included are their latest NET Rankings and Quad 1 record. 

1)Santa Clara (41 NET), 24-7 overall, 15-3 WCC. Q1: 1-5. 

2)New Mexico (48 NET), 22-8 overall, 13-6 MWC, Q1: 2-5.

3)TCU (42 NET), 20-10 overall (10-7 B12), Q1: 5-7

4)Ohio State (32 NET), 19-11 overall (11-8 B10). Q1: 2-10.

5)San Diego State (46 NET), 19-10 overall (13-6 MWC). Q1: 2-6.

6)Indiana (37 NET), 18-12 overall (9-10 B10). Q1: 2-10

7)SMU (38 NET), 19-11 overall (8-9 ACC). Q1: 4-8.

8)Texas A&M (43 NET), 20-10 overall (10-7 SEC). Q1: 5-6

9)UCLA (36 NET), 20-10 overall, (12-7 B10), Q1: 4-8.

10)VCU (45 NET), 23-7 overall, (14-3 A10). Q1: 1-5. 

Don’t bet against these teams, but the oddsmakers may also pump up these lines if they know these teams are playing to get off the bubble. No 19 Miami-Ohio is also 53rd in the NET Rankings and undefeated this season, which may not be a lock for the tournament. They might have to win the MAC Tournament, but they could also be laying too many points given their situation.

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help. At ATS BAS, we started the week at 3-0 in basketball and went 2-0 on Thursday, while our Financial Package came off a two-week winning streak. Our Financial Package clients who played $250/unit won $3,000 in that span.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $11,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. This weekend, we’re getting ready for the Max Bet College Basketball Shocka-Locka Game on Saturday, along with seven other big plays! Press the Contact us button below for more information.       ___________________________________________________________________________________    

The ATS Max Bet SHOCKA-LOCKA game goes this Saturday and is absolutely free when you join the Road to March Madness Hoops Financial Package Program for $149. That’s 2-3 “rated” picks daily, now through the Championship Game on April 6th.

We’ve already had back-to-back winning weeks as we head towards conference tournaments and into full-on March Madness!
__________________________________________________________________________

  • 2026 Baseball is just around the corner, but if you really want to build your bankroll before the season, check out our Spring Training Games package and 2026 Baseball, which starts on March 26.

  • Last week, we won every day from Wednesday through Sunday and we’re up again this week. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

  • Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April.

In 2025, ATS won 3 out of 4 weeks in Exhibition Games, as $250/unit clients won $4,325. We’ve averaged winning 30+ units in spring training games over the last four seasons, with a target of 250+ units on the season. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today!

UFC Card 326 goes this week from Las Vegas and ATS has some great winners! If you’re interested, contact us for more info.



If you want to test our Daily Program in basketball, we offer two plays today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss these easy winners and check out why we like the picks below. 

Click below to find out more!

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our side need this game to continue their quest of making the Big Dance.

*Our opponent is horrific on the defensive end, especially against the three

*Our side is an elite shooting squad especially from beyond the arc.

*Our opponent is one of the worst rebounding teams in their conference.

Second Game

*Our side is getting a key player back from injury tonight

*Our side should dominate the paint

*Our opponent is starting a tough road trip.

*Our side can score but doesn’t always defend well.

Who are the top NFL free agents available?

NFL free agency

Football doesn’t have much of an off-season anymore. The season just ended in February and all eyes are on the start of Free Agency, which begins on March 11 at 4pmET.

Bettors who like to place future bets, hold on until free agency and the NFL Draft is over. For example, just as I’m typing this, the Chicago Bears dealt away wide receiver D.J. Moore to Buffalo. Moore is about to turn 29 and his numbers are declining, though he did just have 98 catches in 2024 and 06 in 2023. He certainly should help Josh Allen in Buffalo.

Most teams want defensive help and the first thought is pass rushing. EDGE Trey Hendrickson is the top pass rusher available after registering 35 sacks in 2023 and 24, before playing just seven games for Cincinnati last season.

Jaelan Philips is another big EDGE, who played for Miami last season before being traded to the Eagles. In five seasons, he has 28 sacks and 150 pressures.

Baltimore center Tyler Linderbaum is just 26 and is expected to receive the biggest salary for a center ever.

Here are the top 5 free agents available by position (former team in parentheses):

*-non-exclusive franchise tag

QB Kyler Murray (Arizona)

Malik Willis (Green Bay)

Aaron Rodgers (Pittsburgh)

Kirk Cousins (Atlanta)

Marcus Mariota (Wash)

TE Isaiah Likely (Baltimore)

Cade Otton (TB)

Chicago Okonkwo (TEN)

Dallas Godedert (PHI)

David Njoku (CLE)

OL Tyler Linderbaum (Baltimore), center

Rasheed Walker (Green Bay), offensive tackle

Braden Smith (Indy), offensive tackle

Isaac Seumalo (PIT), offensive guard

Zion Johnson (LAC), offensive guard

WR George Pickens (Dallas)*

Alec Pierce (Indy)

Rashid Shaheed (Seattle)

Mike Evans (TB)

Tyreek Hill (MIA)

Running back Kenneth Walker III (Seattle)

Travis Etienne (Jax)

Tyler Allgeier (Atl)

Rico Dowdle (Car)

Kenneth Gainwell (Pittsburgh)

Defensive Linemen John Franklin-Myers (Denver)

Logan Hall (TB)

Jonathan Allen (MIN)

David Onyemata (ATL)

Sheldon Rankins (HOU)

Linebacker Devin Lloyd (Jax)

Quay Walker (GB)

Leo Chenal (KC)

Nakobe Dean (PHI)

Alex Anzalone (DET)

Defensive End Trey Hendrickson (Cincy)

Boye Mafe (Seattle) 

Odafe Oweh (LA Chargers/Baltimore)

Khalil Mack (LAC)

K’Lavon Chaisson (NE)

Safety Bryan Cook (KC)

Reed Blankenship (PHI)

Jaquan Brisker (CHI)

Kam Curl (LAR)

Coby Bryant (SEA)

Cornerback Jamel Dean (TB)

Alontae Taylor (NO)

Riq Woolen (Seattle)

Jaylen Watson (KC)

Greg Newsome II (Jax)

___________________________________________________________________________________    

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help. At ATS, we started the week at 3-0 in basketball, while our Financial Package came off a two-week winning streak. Our Financial Package clients who played $250/unit won $3,000 in that span.    

ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $11,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. This weekend, we’re getting ready for the Max Bet College Basketball Shocka-Locka Game on Saturday, along with seven other big plays! Press the Contact us button below for more information.       ___________________________________________________________________________________    

The ATS Max Bet SHOCKA-LOCKA game goes this Saturday and is absolutely free when you join the Road to March Madness Hoops Financial Package Program for $149. That’s 2-3 “rated” picks daily, now through the Championship Game on April 6th.

We’ve already had back-to-back winning weeks as we head towards conference tournaments and into full-on March Madness!

___________________________________________________________________________

2026 Baseball is just around the corner, but if you really want to build your bankroll before the season, check out our Spring Training Games package and 2026 Baseball, which starts on March 26.

Last week, we won every day from Wednesday through Sunday. We have a specialty team that is in charge of Exhibition play and the first 1st month of the regular season, while pitchers settle in and team chemistry takes shape.

Phase 2 is May through the All-Star Break in July, and then we bring in the closers for the run to the playoffs. Expecting 75+ units by the end of April.

  • In 2025, ATS won 3 out of 4 weeks in Exhibition Games, as $250/unit clients won $4,325. We’ve averaged winning 30+ units in spring training games over the last four seasons, with a target of 250+ units on the season. Contact us below for special deals so you can start winning today!

If you want to test out our Daily Program in basketball, we offer two plays today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss these easy winners and check out why we like the picks below. 

Click below to find out more!

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our opponent is struggling and has very little confidence after losing nine straight.

*Our side is strong defensively and has even better numbers away from home.

*Our opponent is a poor shooting team and will struggle even more in a neutral site

*Our side has a quality point guard, which is key in these neutral site situations

Second Game

*Our opponent is struggling and is on a long losing streak.

*Our side will dominate the boards against our opponent.

*Our opponent is a poor shooting team.

*Our side has been playing strong basketball all conference play, and is excellent on the road.

Can sites like KenPom help when it comes to betting College Basketball?

We’ve come to the point in college basketball where March Madness is upon us. The mid-major college basketball tournaments also have tipped off, and next week, we’ll see the Power Five leagues like the Big East, ACC, Big 10, Big 12 and SEC.

As a bettor, information is not readily available for some of these “smaller” conferences. When it comes to handicapping the matchups, you need to know more than just who is the better team.

There are sites out there, like KenPom.com, WarrenNolan.com, and Evanmiya.com, that can help with handicapping. For example, let’s say ODU is playing Georgia Southern in the Sun Belt Tournament. Georgia Southern is a 2-point favorite and the total is 159. ODU is 245th overall, 236th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and 245th in Adjusted Defense on KenPom. Georgia Southern is ranked 266th, with an adjusted offense of 196th and a defense of 306th. I could lean towards the over, but you can check the pace of play (Adjusted Tempo), finding out that Georgia Southern is 28th in pace of play and ODU is 92nd. With0ut looking at the other sites for more analytics, I’d lean towards the over and possibly ODU. That’s, of course, without looking at some of the intangibles like injuries, momentum, revenge and motivation.

Sites like KenPom can give you the projected final score and win probability. If KenPom projects a certain team to win by nine and they are a 5-point favorite, that suggests some potential value in the line.

If you don’t have time for the research, ATS is here to help. At ATS, we started our week at 3-0 in basketball, while our Financial Package came off winning two straight weeks. Our Financial Package clients who play $250/unit won $3,000 in that span.

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ATS Basketball is set for a huge run, with $100/unit players expected to win over $11,000 through the NCAA Championship game on April 6, and $250/unit players set to win $27,000. This weekend, we’re getting ready for the Max Bet College Basketball Shockalocka Game on Saturday, along with seven other big plays! Press the Contact us button below for more information.       ___________________________________________________________________________________    

The ATS Max Bet SHOCKA-LOCKA game goes this Saturday and is absolutely free when you join the Road to March Madness Hoops Financial Package Program for $149. That’s 2-3 “rated” picks daily, now through the Championship Game on April 6th.

We’ve already had back-to-back winning weeks as we head towards conference tournaments and into full-on March Madness!

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If you want to test out our Daily Program in basketball, we offer two plays today available from our Basketball Financial Package for $25.  Don’t miss these easy winners and check out why we like the picks below. 

Click below to find out more!

Daily Program Plays

First Game

*Our side needs this game for their postseason hopes.

*Our opponent is struggled all year, especially at home.

*Our side has some very good three-point shooters and is shooting nearly 40% from 3-point range on the road.

*Our opponent is playing for pride and might not even make their own conference tournament.

Second Game

*Our side has a tremendous rebounding advantage.

*Our side needs this game to keep their seed in the NCAAT or they could fall into the First Four.

*Our opponent does not have the same motivation as they are comfortably in the field of 68.

*Our opponent struggles on the defensive end, allowing teams to shoot 45%.

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